IT was a good Monday for Milesey with racing tips and football picks. Can the man who'll want Stevenage to win more than his Lucky 15 come up with the good today?
Here are his thoughts on a busy day on the track – and remember to check his footie predictions too.
Noble Witness was eased in weights prior to regaining winning thread at Catterick (25f) in December but well held off revised mark since and this no easier.
Nom de Guerre has only been seen three times since opening chasing account at Wincanton (25f) in April 2010, proving he retains ability when second over C&D last time, and can’t rule out.
Not So Sure Dick bumped into Hunt Ball on a couple of occasions last year but offered little on belated return recently.
Power Pack Jack was a three-time winner over fences in 2010-11 but overall profile decidedly inconsistent, plenty more lows than highs. Others more solid.
Franklin Roosevelt was blinkered (back on) when winning handicap hurdle last spring for Warren Greatrex. Off the mark over fences with easy win at Southwell last week and sure to go well again under a penalty.
Basil Fawlty’s chances over hurdles often ruined by refusal to settle, though not given hard time both starts over fences. Looks stable No.2 though.
Lemon’s Gent landed a gamble sole start in bumpers at Ludlow in May 2011 but no better than modest form in four tries over hurdles. Showed more in cheekpieces on second start over fences but more required.
Abbey Dore gained fourth win over fences in the mud at Fontwell (3¼m) in January 2011. Good second off a higher mark when in April that year but well held on belated reurn recently.
Thorncliffer was tongue-tied when opening chasing account at Wetherby (25f) in December under this rider. Failed to complete next two starts but still early days with him.
VERDICT: Franklin Roosevelt was an impressive winner last week and a penalty may not be enough to prevent a follow up. Nom de Guerre and Thorncliffer can make a place.
FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT 1.8 betfair
QUINTE DU CHATELET 3.5 betfair
On official rating, the horse to beat in this race, the market wouldn’t suggest that though. Maybe because over fences this horse has really struggled but off a nice mark today for this handicap chase and on hurdles form is my pick for this race.
TOUBEERA 1.99 betfair
For the in-form yard of Venetia Willaims, Aidan Coleman on board, this pairing have a great strike rate. Finished third last time out in a listed event, behind two classy horses, nothing in this field today would scare me and should be good enough to win.
BUTHELEZI 2.2 betfair
Against lesser opposition today, after being disappointing last time out, has been put back among novices today.
NO WAY HOZAY 2.3 / THE FOX’S DECREE 2.74 betfair
Two horses I really like, NO WAY HOZAY carrying a weight rise for completing the hat-trick last time out will be the one to beat, didn’t know when it was beaten last time out and came back determined to win.
THE FOX’S DECREE, back to fences today, carrying less weight and off a mark of 91, will be in with a great shout in this race. I can’t side with either and will just sit back and hope for a great race.
MISLEADING PROMISE 1.8 betfair
Officially rated the top horse in this race, is in a lot better form then the rest of these runners, and should prove tough to beat.
I will personally be laying STAR OF ROHM (LAY 1.79) in this race and I hope Frank Spencer in the saddle won’t disappoint today, has lost me so much money in the past backing horses with Frank on board so I hope today by not winning this race he will win me some money. I am going to side with SIBAYA 2.38 on debut today with Jim Crowley on board.
BROXBOURNE 1.94 betfair
Massive raise of 21lb for her hat-trick, still going to be a tough horse to beat today, not a lot of class anywhere else in this field so even with the weight rise I can’t see anything getting near today.
2.40 MISLEADING PROMISE
Good luck to you all today with your selections.