IT'S not been a great week – there's no getting away from it. This time last week I was sitting on a nice profit but it's all gone so we start over.
Benfica were well backed and well fancied last night but Porto turned the form tables upside to beat them and down my latest Super Single.
Goals were also expected at Dundee v St Johnstone but the Perth men didn't keep up their side of the bargain as the Top Treble tumbled. It was a break even day for me thanks to Kane Hemmings whom I predicted to score in the match preview.
I've put up Scottish and English previews and they cover most of my tips – if I get time in the morning I'll add a European preview.
We've got plenty of free bets and cash to give away this weekend so remember to check out all of the posts and on the forum there is a £100 to give away in a match result and both to score contest.
So here are today's top tips – don't try to do them all and keep the long shots for low stakes.
Remember to check We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
Alloa v Rangers under 2.5 goals
1.5pts Super Single
Yeovil
(17-10, bet365, William Hill)
1pt Top Treble
Sheffield Wednesday
Wigan
Alloa v Rangers under 3.5 goals
1pt Homes
Everton
Wigan
Falkirk
Peterhead
Annan
(9-1, William Hill)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Orient v Northampton
Morecambe v Oxford
East Fife v Arbroath
(5-1, bet365)
LONG SHOTS
1pt Aways
Hull
Burnley
Southend
Yeovil
Perm any 3 and all 4 (5 bets at 0.2pts)
Fourfold pays 66-1, bet365
0.5pts Draws
Gillingham v Barnsley
Plymouth v Mansfield
Hamilton v Dundee Utd
Stranraer v Albion Rovers
Perm any 3 and all 4 (5 bets at 0.1pts)
Fourfold pays 115-1, bet365
February Super Single Total
13 bets (6 winners)
Loss: 3pts
February Advised Accas Total
18 bets (4 winners)
Loss: 5.33pts
Saturdays Bet
Everton Over 1.5 goals
Sheff W Over 0.5 goals
11/10 (2.11)
Boylesports
NOW BEST 26/25 @ Boylesports
Good luck all :)
Saturday Treble:
Everton to win @ 1/2
Peterhead -1 handicap @ 6/5
West Ham score 2+ @ 2/1 priceboost Skybet
Pays 9/1 Skybet
Reasons
Everton….Easy, West Brom in dire form 0/5 lg and 0/6 lg aways,toffees winning last 3 games all comps 3-0
Peterhead..Won 6/7 lg games and undefeated last 12 lg games,play a Forfar side without a lg win since the ice age.Have to fancy them to win -1 handicap @ 6/5 which they have covered with ease in 5/6 lg homes scoring 5/0/4/3/7/2 with only exception being 0-0 draw against top ranked Dunfirmline.Won 2-0 away latest meeting 15th December.
West Ham..Simples,Just had to take Skybets price boost of 2/1 for West Ham to score 2+ at a Norwich side losing last 6 all comps and conceding 2+ each time and 3+ in 5/6.Hammers are decent away and see no reason why it hasnt a great chance.
GOOD LUCK.
Peterhead has a red card. wooh!!
To the guys that followed my bet last night honestly I have never been so gutted at losing a bet in my life.
No worries wato.
Wato treat one loss just like any loss as it is still therefore just one loss. But if the wins outweigh them theres nothing to be sorry about.
Unlucky Wato sir…just whistle and move on to the next winner – you’ve been on fire of late.
Don’t worry mate it happens that’s football and betting for you lol.
Just don’t let us down again…only joking! ;)
On to the next one mate :)
Mel city v mel victory
Should be some game. Longshot
Btts in both halves @ 7.50
Overs is way to low and team corners not available but should be able to find value inplay
I’ve doubled >2.5MGS with WSW to net 2+ tomorrow against Wellington about evens
If that fails pal id be amazed. Il have a go on that. Im thinking berisha to score in this game. In all honesty can see this game being 2-2 or 3-2 either way. Nothing else i like until afternoon
Can cover slightly with btts 2nd half no at 1.72
Lost city failed to score in 2nd half final 2-1 ht 2-2 ft
Covered so little back. Was looking decent just after ht…
Bet 1 over 1.5 team goals market
Everton
Brighton
Peterboro
Pays 4.7/1
2 points
Bet 2
Hearts win 5/6
3 points
Bet 3
Hearts -1 Asian
2.600
1 point
Bet 4
Hearts -1
9/4
1 point
Current monthly profit/loss + 21.72
Current yearly profit/loss -2.605
Everton
Wigan
Double 1.4/1
Melbourne derby
Over 3.5 goals evs
1 point
Melbourne victory over 1.5 team goals 8/11
2.2 points
**BOTH WON**
46 mins
Thoughts/ramblings for today…
Some big priced away teams in the Prem:
LONGSHOT – Utd, Stoke, West Ham and Southampton…4 aways pays 52/1
Heading into the Northern Prem for the NAP and NB…
Over 2.5 goals double: BLYTH v RAMMY UTD and STOURBRIDGE v COLWYN BAY…pays 1.3/1…NB (365)
High flying Blyth should put Ramsbottom Utd to the sword and I was hoping to fleece the bookies with this but obviously their onto it with a distict lack of markets everywhere inc Coral at the moment. Over 2.5 Blyth goals for the NAP but holding back for prices.
Can’t say I fancy Stoke. I think I’d replace them with Watford for a slightly shorter acca of 47/1.
i fancy this treble today
PSG
Real Madrid
Dortmund
@2.22
Morning gents
Was another successful night in the French second tier, goals are coming in thick and fast in this league at terrific prices, the only down side is having to wait until next Friday to get on them again
Back to matters closer to home
Sheffield Wed v Brentford KO 3pm
The owls have turned Hillsborough into a fortress this season having lost just one of their 15 home games! They Are in terrifc form and with Aiden McGeady and hooper joing during the window they have some real quality in their team! Brentford don’t travel well, can see Wedneaday continuing their good form!
Baxk Sheffield Wedneadsy over 1.5 team goals 10/11 (Bet365) (NAP)
Morning Greg, is it just the one bet for you today, as you usually do a few ?
GL with this NAP ?
for fun –
Man U
Bayer
Werder B
West Ham
Celtic
@24.37
Long shot for the day
Irish league cup final
Cliftonville V Ards
Game played at Solitude 17:30 Ko (home of cliftonville)
Cliftonville win + Btts 7/4
May get better elsewhere
GL
Annan over 2.5 goals at 13 8 only bet today…
Super single…
Play these home wins for this weekend with faith . you will win some money .
Legia warsaw
lech poznan
dortmund
real madrid
sevilla
anderlecht
genk
juventus
heart
sheffield
wigan
cheltenham
grismby
konyaspor
will
metz
polokwane city
baroka
Porto B BTTS and Overs 11/10
West Ham to Score, Bournemouth > 1.5MGS 0.9/1
Madrid > 1.5 TGS, Dortmund > 2.5TGS Evens
if the FHGL in the Munich u19s at 10am is 1.5 will a punt on that …
Oozie, remaining selections will be up shortly mate! ?
Top man ?
Saturday goals bet
3pts singles o2.5goals
Rotherham v Birmingham Evens Skybet
Rochdale v Millwall 19/20 Hills
Scunthorpe v Southend 21/20 Hills
Hartlepool v Yeovil 23/20 Hills
3pts fourfold o1.5goals pays 21/10 with Coral
FHGL in the Munich u19s at 10am is 1.5 will a punt on that 4/5 WON
Leyton Orient v Northampton
Back over 2.5 match goals 21/20 (BetV) ( NB)
Scottish over 2.5 match goals treble
Celtic V Ross C
Dunfermline v Ayr
Annan v Montrose
Pays 5/2
Couple of pointers:
QPR are the Newcastle of the championship when it comes to late goals scored in their home matches + Everton have scored more first half goals than any other
team
You’ll get around 5/6 for a late goal at QPR after 70 mins and 4/6 for Everton to score in the first half
Can’t believe there was 8 corners in the first half of the melbourne derby only 2 in the second half! Shocking
BTTS treble
Leyton Orient vs Northampton
Anderlecht vs Waregem
Annan vs Montrose
BTTS Double (Eastleigh game was postponed)
Rochdale vs Millwall
Nantes vs Lorient
Probably throw together an O1.5 goals bet too.
Moreirense v belenses btts 1.80
Aubermeyang an hernandez bundesliga anytime double 3.60
Wigan -1 asian handicap
Acc stanley -1 asian handicap
Double 4.00
Cracovia v zabrze 1.5 cracovia team goals 1.72
Neither Aubameyang and hernandez are appearing today not even on bench. That bets void. Think il get on reus anytime instead
Won 2 lost 2
Everton are 4/6 in Will hill shops today on the WDW market for anyone that really fancies them
Hearts v Partick
Hearts HT result
ODDS>>>2.60
Hearts have had a first half goal in 100% of home matches, with them scoring in the 1st half in 10/11.
They have been winning at Half time in 9 of those 11 games.
Partick have scored away in the 1st half in only 3 of 12 games , failing to score in the 1st half in the last 4 in a row.
In the last 5 meetings Hearts have been winning at Half time in 4 out of 5 games, with the last 3 in a row.
Hearts lost a Striker midweek to China but showed in the away game at Ross county mid week that they have scorers all over the park as they smashed them 3-0 in Dingwall.
The force is Strong on this one and hopefully Hearts can oblige!!
Altrincham
Wrexham
Willem II
O1.5 TG treble
Saturday
—————-
Singles
Crystal palace over 1.5 team goals @ 11/8 – 4 points
crystal palace over 2.5 team goals @ 5/1- 1 point
Crystal palace win @ 5/4 – 2 points
Double @5/1- 1 point
Crystal Palace win
West Brom double chance
Win Acca @12/1- 1 point
Wigan
Brington
Sheff Wed
Cheltenam
Grimbsy
Accrington Stanley
Trixie (0.25*4=1 Point)
Hull & Yes@ 11/2
Burnley & Yes-@ 5/1
Sheff Wed & Yes- 3/1
Good Luck
February= Profit- +4.10 points
2016 – Profit- +11.00 points
super single for today –
PSG v Lille BTTS @ 27/20
also like
Werder v Hoffenheim O2.5
Sheff W v Brentford O1.5
PSG v Lille O1.5
@ 2.75
Hi all,
Decided to join as I used to post on the old site now and then.
Been taking people’s tips and advice on board and now mainly back on the goals front as I have had more wins using it.
I tend to look around Europe a lot and some leagues that people may not be to familiar with aswell as closer to home so I will post when I have free time.
So today hopefully I make my first one a winner ?
Finland Liigacup. 12:15pm
SJK v PS Kemi.
Over 1.5 PS Kemi goals 10/3 bet 365
PS Kemi have scored 13 goals in their last 4 games and although being the underdogs in this game i am on this with low stakes as think it has a great chance of landing.
Good luck all with your bets today.
orkney reef, good luck today.
*Lost*
SS TREBLE
EVERTON
COVENTRY
PSG
2.83/1 WILL HILL
GL ALL
last nite
nimes o1.5tgs 17/10 LOST
auxerre o2.5mgs 5/4 WON
benfica o2.5mgs 13/10 WON
treble 13/1 LOST
think that’s the nimes goals well and truly bust now, not scoring like they were a couple of weeks ago………
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Kelly’s top bets of the day
€20 returns 138
juventus game over 2.5 goals 7/5
brighton over 1.5 team goals 4/6
walsall over 1.5 team goals 8/11
€10 corner accum returns 232.63
sporting over 6.5 5/6
wolfsburg over 5.5 10/11
villareal over5.5 5/6
west brom over 3.5 8/11
west ham over 5.5 11/10
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Treble
Stake: £ 10.00 Return £60
Over 1.5 (- PSG Total Goals, 90 Mins)
Odds: 7/10
Over 2.5 (- Real Madrid Total Goals, 90 Mins)
Odds: 21/20
Over 1.5 (- Sheffield Wednesday Total Goals, 90 Mins)
Odds: 10/11
Have you seen Alloa have made their pitch 9 metres narrower Mr Fixit? That seems ridiculous but could definitely help the unders!
Main bet for me is Sheffield Wednesday to win at evens.
Although I think they have been very lucky with their results of late you can’t take away the fact they are unbeaten at home in 14 with 10 of them being wins. Brentford are not good away with just 5 wins from 15 and are coming into this off a 3-0 loss to Brighton.
Nottingham to beat Hudderfield also looks good at 11/8
Nottingham are on the longest league unbeaten streak in English football now at 14 and although a lot were draws they do now have 3 wins in their last 4 league games. Huddersfield have been an on, off team this season and definitely are on a off now with 3 loses on the trot in the league and a loss in the FA cup amongst them which was against championship side Reading.
sam c, it’s the whole reasoning for the unders – if you read the Scottish preview you’ll see that.
€20 rb leipzig II game over 1.5 fhg returns 45
£10 returns £50
Everton (Match Betting, 90 Mins)
Odds: 8/15
Wigan Athletic (Match Betting, 90 Mins)
Odds: 4/7
Over 10 (3 Way Total Corners, 90 Mins) man utd game
Odds: 23/20
1pm TSG Hoffenheim > 1.5 FHGL @ 1.825
that’s the u19’s
Saturdays thoughts :-
Forest to beat Huddersfield @ 13/10
Port Vale to beat Fleetwood @ 11/8
Blackpool to beat Shrewsbury @ 5/4
3 x 2pt singles plus 1pt treble @ 11/1 ish
Moreirense vs Belenenses, BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 6/4 **NAP**
The above market has come up in seven of the last ten for Moreirense and six in ten for Belenenses. Should be helped by the fact that Belenenses posses the accolade for most goals conceeded.
OH Leuven vs Lokeren BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 5/4 **NB**
Mirandes vs CD Alves, Mirandes win 13/10
Villareal vs Malaga, over 2.0 goal line
Chievo vs Sassuolo, over 2.0 goal line
Ujpest vs Videoton FC, over 2.0 goal line
5/1
Ryman Premier Division:
Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead, Leatherhead win 21/10
Grays Athletic vs Harrow Borough, over 2.5 MG’s
Merstham vs VCD Athletic, over 2.5 MG’s
Leiston vs Wingate & Finchley, over 2.5 MG’s
3.16/1
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
3.16/1
That Moreirense v belenses in before ht. A few of you guys have mentioned it. Cheers.
As usual I don’t make it easy lol, just need 4 goals in Hulls SportingCrystal game at 8
No bother @mrfurious good luck in Peru tonight mate :)
hopefully keep it safe and simple today
celtic o2.5mgs, psg o1.5tgs 13/10
treble, add real Madrid o2.5mgs just over 2/1
GL all with a bet on…………….
Don’t post too regularly folks but thought I would share my suggestions for a change today. Which will probably mean they are doomed to fail but here goes…….
My Best Treble
Peterhead to win and over 1.5 match goals
Grimsby to win
Wigan to win 3.13/1 @ Betfair
Double – Over 2.5 match goals
Leyton Orient v Northampton
Stuttgart v Hertha Berlin 3.5/1 @ Betfair
Treble
Sheffield Wednesday to score 2 or more
Everton to win
Gillingham v Barnsley ( over 2.5 match goals ) 5.36/1
Long Shot – All to win
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Wigan
Grimsby
Peterhead 9.86/1
Treble
Good luck everyone today
Anyone got any btts n win tips for today ???
shuggy2207, check the thread or post on forum.
Anyone got thoughts on the United game regarding corners? Cheers
2 bets today
Main bet is a double chance acca:
Southampton
Hull
Ipswich
Swindon
Pays 7/2
Long shot homes:
Notts Forest 13/10
Sheffield Weds 19/20
Port Vale 11/8
Wimbledon 5/4
4 x trebles and the acca, minimum treble pays just over 9/1 (and would double your total stake), all 4 pays 23/1 (plus all the trebles)
Greg, cracking little Over 2.5 goal double: your Leyton Orient selection (couldn’t agree more) alongside Accrington Stanley’s home game (recipe for goals here)…pays nearly 3/1 and I’m all over it.
Cheers and good luck.
Surprised no one has mentioned the following yet but Millwall the Lg 1 highest away scorers so far have scored over 1.5 tgs in 4/5 aways,scored in 14/15 aways and reached over 1.5 in 10/15 aways all season.Won 4/5 lag games losing 0 and scored 3 away to 2nd placed walsall last week. Playing a Rochdale side with 3 losses from 4 conceding 12 times in these games.
Latest meeting produced a 3-1 win for Millwall.
Millwall to win @ 7/5 skybet
Score over 1.5 Tgs @ 5/4 skybet
GOOD LUCK.
^^^May get better odds elsewhere,havent checked
sean ireland, I looked at Millwall but didn’t make the final list.
Off to see Bellshill v Bankies in what looks like freezing conditions and no cover.
Wish me luck – and let’s hope everyone has a good day on the betting.
Prem full house:
Man Utd
Everton
West Ham
Chelsea
+ 3 draws
415/1 with 365……worth a £1…you never know…..
€45 man utd 1st goal before 80 mins returns 60
great tipping miss Kellz.
Do you think they can score the next goal? Odds are 2.00…looks tasty
Bradford City vs Peterborough
We’re fresh off a hiding last weekend at Burton, and this doesn’t look good to me either.
Posh looked like the Premiership side in their cup exit against WBA midweek, and were unlucky to lose. Our only hope to me looks to be that the marathon and penalties defeat may have taken too much out of them to bounce back today. If I were a boss looking for bouncebackability in my team there’s no better place to find it than against City.
We haven’t won away since the 19th December and have conceded 11 in the four away days since, couple that with us not having beaten a team above us in the league all season and I think we are in trouble again today.
Here are recommendations:
Posh win: 5/4
Posh TG +1.5: 11/10
Btts over & MG 2.5+: 5/2
Anytime Scorecast: Hanson and Posh 2-1: 30/1
All with 365
Well shows what I know ?
Happy to be wrong on the above
Put €25 on
ManU
ShefWed
Barca
RealMadrid
Dortmund
Pays 138
My first time doing this Ladbrokes 5 acca, free tip if one loses
+
10 other €2 bets from MrF, Greg, Des and Scott all including a ManU win.
So I’ll know by 3 whether I’ve blown 45 on a Utd win
lol Sunderland just go ahead
Quickly did a Sunderland double chance, 32 pays back 59.
So I either get 59 quid or 11 bets still going by 3 o’clock
Loss of €15 but I dont mind. Hard luck Hampy and the rest of the Utd lads on here.
Damn I don’t know what to bet on now.
@mrfurious used to it now bud. Thats why i hardly ever tip them for anything
Wigan, Everton & Hearts treble £50 free bet around 3/1
BTTS UK – 5/1+
Shef Wed v Brentford
Scunthorpe v Southend
Hartlepool v Yeovil
BTTS EUROPE -11/2 +
Koln v Frankfurt
Guimaraes v Setubal
Eibar v Levante
40/1+ 6fold @ Coral
Bet 5 wdw market
Hearts
Sheffield wed
Wigan
Everton
Brighton
Pays 13.35/1
1.2 points
Bet 6 over 1.5 team goals market
Sheffield wed
West ham
Millwall
Pays 10.81/1
2.8 points
Bet 7 over 2.5 match goals
Everton v west brom
Brighton v Bolton
Accrington v Crawley
Real v athletic
Pays 9.36/1
1 point
Bet 8 handicap betting (-1)
Real
Dortmund
Everton
Pays 5/1
Bet 9 corners market
Everton over 6.5 team
Stoke over 3.5 team
Celtic v Ross county over 5.5 fh match corners
Pays 5.54/1
1 point
All prices bet 365
I’m on your handicap bet mate..Asian handicap though..and chuck a few quido on your corner treble ..?..good luck today mate..
€60 le havre no clean sheet returns 92
Champions League matches midweek, so look at sides before betting.
Hope PSG put a strong side, didnt check team news
Just following amalgamations of everyone else’s tips today plus 1 of my own at the moment.
Watford DNB
West Ham DNB
double at 3.75/1
Just fancy this happening today to be honest.
1 point on
Alex_MUFC83’s Madhead acca;
Bayern Leverkusen WIN
Real Madrid O1.5tgs
Hull WIN
Chelsea WIN
Wigan WIN
Leyton Orient v Northampton O1.5mgs
Oxford United WIN
Burnley or draw
Grimsby WIN
Cheltenham WIN
Everton WIN
West Ham draw no bet
121.29/1
£5 returns £582.40
Hearts game postponed water logged pitch bummer.
Brentford No clean sheet 2/11
Wrexham over 1.5 Match goals 1/5
Kidderminster No clean sheet 2/7
Lincoln City No clean sheet 2/7
Four fold £5 returns £11.72.
* Also Guru’s Nap and NB *
@wato, anything from you today pal?
Posting 2 very shortly mate – still on the ropes from last night’s ? lol
Give over pal, life’s not so serious! People follow if they wish, no pressure lad!
Lol good luck with yours mate looks a decent shout
******WON*****
FULL HOUSE ?
ATGS goal scorer treble 3.85/1
Lukaku
Benzema
Ibrahimovic
1 point on
Main tip today
Northampton over 1.5tg @ 2.62
Scored at least twice in last 6 away and in their last 5 league games home and away. Orient have conceded at least twice in the three of their last 4 home games
Others worth noting
Millwall over 1.5tg @ 2.37
Millwall have scored at least twice in 5 of their past 6 away league games with the only failure coming against in form Barnsley. Facing a Rochdale side today who have conceded in all of their last 6 home league games and while they haven’t often conceded many, they face a Millwall side in cracking form
Wigan over 1.5tg @ 1.72
Wigan have scored three times in each of the past 4 home games. Oldham have conceded in 4 of past 5 away league games but only one goal in each game – betting that Wigan’s hot home form will see them get that second today
Sheff Wed over 1.5 tg @ 1.90
Sheff Wed have scored at least twice in 4 of the past 5 home games with the only failure being a 1-1 draw against Burnley. Brentford have conceded in their last 8 away league games in a row and conceded at least twice in 3 of the past 5
Fourfold pays 20.55
Derby team news:
With Derby’s academy manager Darren Wassell running the show until the end of the season, he has a job on his hands to turn the draws back into wins and to put us back in the race:
2 changes and a formation change.
Starting 11 is:
4-4- ( f*&cking ) 2 – as Mike Bassett says !!
Carson
Christie/Keogh/Shackell/Olson
Johnson/Hendrick/Bryson/Ince
Martin/Russell
Keogh is back in as Captain having had Chris Baird being stripped of the armband. I am quite happy with the changes, 2 up front is the right thing and 4 across the midfield is not really rocket science.
I’m loving seeing the Hendrick/Bryson partnering in the midfield, that pairing will give the team a huge lift. Russell hasn’t played as a striker for the rams for 2.5 years but Martin needs that extra man up front in support as he’s been marked out of the game for 4 months and the goals have dried up.
bet365 offer 1/2 for a straight Derby win and yes, results have not been great, BUT we’ve actually played very well apart from against Burnley and Middlesbrough. We’ve only lost 4 or 5 all season and I do expect a win. I’d take a 1 nil all day long right now but I’m thinking the old guard of Bryson/Hendrick/Martin and Russell will put on a long overdue show for the 30,000 fans who keep turning up. -1 straight handicap is where I’m putting my £10 @ 5/4 with bet365.
I am aware that so many are loath to bet on a team that has struggled for form but the win will deliver today and this 4-4-2 formation change will Bryson and Hendrick back where they belong really should nail on a -1 handicap.
Best of luck folks.
PSG players missing:
DOUCHEZ, IBRAHIMOVIC, LAVEZZI, MAXWELL, THIAGO SILVA, THIAGO MOTTA
As @anton said beware of teams with Tuesday CL games.
2-1 Sunderland! ouch
Bet 5
Under/Over 2.5 Treble
Championship KO 3pm
Blackburn v Hull City
Paul Lambert did his reputation for prompting baths with cut-throat razors no harm by selling Jordan Rhodes to Middlesbrough, but we can benefit today by going for Unders when Blackburn take on another belt & braces outfit, Hull City.
Blackburn home are
P13 O3 U10 F12 A9 Avg GPG 1.6
Hull away are
P15 O3 U12 F15 A13 Avg GPG 1.9
Blackburn’s last game featuring 3 or more goals was 11 games ago, away at Sheffield Wednesday on 28th November.
4 of Hull’s last 5 have been under. In two of those they’ve drawn a blank, scoring more than one goal only once in the other three.
Under 2.5 goals is not generous @ 4/9, but it looks appealing.
League Two KO 3pm
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town
Not a high scoring league, with Unders occurring more regularly than Overs, but that’s why we’re getting more bang for our buck going for goals here.
Stanley are deceptively low in the home goals scored chart, but that’s because, in many cases, they’ve played 3 or 4 fewer home games.
Accrington home
P11 O7 U4 F22 A16 Avg GPG 3.5
Second highest home average in the league
Crawley away
P15 O12 U3 F19 A31 Avg GPG 3.3
Second highest away average in the league.
Accrington’s last seven homes have offered 3, 3, 7, 4, 4, 4 and 1 goals. They’re the only side averaging over two team goals scored per home game in the league. The only issue is they’ve only played two at home in 2016.
Three of Crawley’s last five aways have gone over – though worth noting they have been tight at home.
Ideally, we’re thinking it will be Accrington knocking in 2 or 3 with Crawley chipping in with 1 or 2.
That’s no gimme, but that’s why Over 2.5 goals is 17/20.
Northern Premier League KO 3pm
Ashton United v Rushall Olympic
A good league for goals, and I see my good pal Hull Shaker has picked two games already. No issue with either of those.
My pick features in-form Ashton, who have been knocking them in home and away. In their last ten games, six have gone over 3.5 goals. In those 10 games, Ashton are F31 A14. In the last 5 home, they’re F18 A5. (4/5 going over 2.5)
Rushall aren’t quite as full of goals, but we don’t need them to be.
Away they are
P12 O8 U4 F21 A17 Avg GPG 3.2
Only 3 of their last 5 away are over 2.5 goals, but they’ve scored in all of them F9 A6.
Again, we’re looking at Ashton to do the bulk of the work – we just want Rushall to chip in!
Over 2.5 goals is 5/8
Today’s treble pays at 4.34
. . .
Will do the accounting on this and midweek Bet 4 later.
. . .
Best of luck today, everyone!
Afternoon UHT – already got the Accy game singled out and had a good look at the Ashton game before siding with my 2 selections. Good luck.
That Accrington game is just insane lol goals n cards its got everything and thankfully got it in a winning accy
Sheffield Wednesday v Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday Over 0.5 Team Goals
Wrexham v Bromley
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Deportivo v Betis
Deportivo Under 2.5 Team Goals
4/5 (Boylesports)
Nottingham Forest v Huddersfield
Nottingham Forest Over 0.5 Team Goals
Rochdale v Millwall
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Accrington v Crawley
Over 1.5 Match Goals
23/20 (Boylesports)
@wato, Clever pal, on it!
Crap. Just spent ages typing up preview and hit log out button (use my phone) so lost it all grrr?.
In short.
Have looked through 20 odd games for this evening in SA and settled on this one…over to deepest, darkest Peru…
SPORTING CRISTAL VS. COMERCIANTES UNIDOS (8.00 KO)
OVER 3.5 GOALS…7/4
OVER 2.5 CRISTAL GOALS…5/4.
Sorry, can’t be arsed putting up reasoning again but well worth a look!
Why you think it’ll be over 3.5???
West Ham
@ 17/10 (ENG Premier League, Race to 5 Corners)
Over 4 Corners Stoke City
11/8
Everton
@ 5/4 (ENG Premier League, Race to 7 Corners)
Stake: £ 10.00 Returns £144
@stubhoy there’s the Madrid boys early corner mate!!??????..just the Catalans again haha..?
@gregbrowning thanks for the NAP mate..?…
Hullshaker
Please give a quick breakdown of your Peru bet please
Porto B BTTS and Overs 11/10 WON :)
West Ham to Score, Bournemouth > 1.5MGS 0.9/1 WON :)
Madrid > 1.5 TGS, Dortmund > 2.5TGS Evens LOST
TSG Hoffenheim u19s > 1.5 FHGL WON :)
Costa ATGS 5/6
reasonable price given the odds on Chelsea goals > 1.5 @2/5
Nice one! Wish I got on it though
hopefully keep it safe and simple today
celtic o2.5mgs, psg o1.5tgs 13/10
treble, add real Madrid o2.5mgs just over 2/1
…………..LOST normal Saturday service……………….
oooft hull your boys took a hell of a beating sore one today sir :(
Moreirense vs Belenenses, BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 6/4 **NAP** WON :)
well done – another BTTS in the FH in Portugal … I had the straight BTTS after seeing your post, Hampy and Scott on it …
Cheers @wasclueless the Portugese league has been great for goals this season I only wish I clocked it earlier.
Nottingham Forest v Huddersfield
Nottingham Forest Over 0.5 Team Goals
Rochdale v Millwall
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Accrington v Crawley
Over 1.5 Match Goals
23/20 (Boylesports)
LOST- Other bet still alive so hope that comes in later
I added Real Madrid to score over 1.5 to bet 1. So yeah, we wait on Deportivo. If you do 2 bets, then 1 winner = break even right. I would quite like it if you did pick your favourite or nap. That way I could just concenrtrate on the one bet. This is how I work with Greg. As long as you don’t then go 4 or 5, loosing naps in a row then its all good. . I can’t really see this happening with the style of your bets. That is just what I would like of course and I am one of many. Or I could just do your 1st tip of a day.
€30 villareal 1st goal before 80mins returns 46
wish they would all happen like that lol
Costa ATGS 5/6 WON :) 4 mins …
The day you don’t make a new thread for me Mr F haha! Bets posted on my old thread.
West Ham To Score
Chelsea Over 1.5 Team Goals
11/10 @ Betfair – 4 points **WIN**
noticed you had no thread mate, wanted say cheers for the triverio tip last night managed get on inplay. keep up the good work.
Nice one mate. Bet you had a decent price on that too! 2/1? Bigger?
3.75 at 30mins, i was scambling about on soccerway when the pen was awarded trying find out his shirt number, lucky enough he was on pens, i saw a clip in first half at 44mins think it was him, ball cut back to feet 5yards out and all he had do was place it and he placed it ft wide then best part was the peno was soft lol
Few quid for interest later
BTTS and Overs Nacional, Juve, Guimaraes 16/1
Also have this running which can be covered for profit.
West Ham To Score 2+
Chelsea To Score 3+
Valencia To Score 2+
12.95 @ Betfair – 1 point
Just realised I didn’t post them here. Probably why I didn’t get a new thread put up! My bad Mr F. Not like anyone who wants to follow me can’t find me though. Hope everyone has had a decent day.
Ha ha your talking baws now ha ha
No baws Douglas. 15 hours ago on my thread ta.
Jordan, no worries.
Haha Crane…an absolute spanking at Coventry…could see it coming after we conceded after 4 minutes…just gone horribly wrong for Bury…be facing a relegation battle if the rot doesn’t stop.
NB…LOST 1 goal short in the Stourbridge game…one of their players celebrated his 600th cap in the game…bonkers.
NAP was flagged as Blyth team goals against a shocking Rammy side…finished 5-0 but never got on in the end as family stuff took over.
The double of Accrington and Greg’s fancy came in at just shy of 3/1.
Seamus – evening pal. I’ll often put detailed write-ups for my fancies but sometimes simply don’t have the time – I’ve a young family and a job that demands 18 hours work most days so you’ll appreciate it’s a push to get on sometimes.
Re the Peruvian game:
*Out of Cristal’s last 25 games – 15 have seen over 3.5.
*Just under 50% of Commerciantes’ last 25 have seen over 3.5
*Cristal are strong at home but do ( and probably will) concede but outscore their opponents.
*Cristal will have the added fact they will be early table-toppers with a win
* Most importantly, Peruvian teams often have no concept of defensive football and its all or nothing – hence many scorelines topping 4 or 5 goals.
Good luck.
€46 olympiacos 1st goal before 80mins returns 74.30
You seem to randomly bet,slow down as your throwing your money away,challenges are fun but research is key,all the best still
Two BTTS bets LOST, put a double back on – Anderlecht and Nantes BTTS.
Goals bet still alive, Willem need to score twice. Tempted to cover Willem U1.5 team goals.
IN-PLAY
Gimnastic vs Elche
over 0.5 Elche TG’s 21/20
Elche are 0-1 down at halftime and are dominating heavily. They are chasing the game so will need to score in the 2nd half.
Does anybody have an idea about Fc Vaduz vs. Young Boys (Switzerland)?
I fancy over2.5 but no team news to be found…
Bets 4 & 5 (of 10) Review
Series features 10 accas paying at 3x or over.
Bet 4 Review: Tuesday Evening Treble
Northern Premier League KO 7.45pm
Darlington 1883 v Matlock Town
Over 2.5 match goals @ 19/40
Result 3-0
X
Argentina – Metropolitana C KO 8pm
Dock Sud v Excursionistas
Home win @ 8/11
Result 0-0
X
Argentina – Metropolitana C KO 8pm
Ferrocarril Midland v Berazategui
Under 2.5 match goals @ 4/9
Result 1-2
Treble loses
Four bets
4 units staked
3.1 units returned
-22.5%
. . .
Bet 5 Review: Under/Over 2.5 Treble
Championship KO 3pm
Blackburn v Hull City
Under 2.5 match goals @ 4/9
Result 2-0
X
League Two KO 3pm
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town
Over 2.5 match goals @ 17/20
Result 4-1
X
Northern Premier League KO 3pm
Ashton United v Rushall Olympic
Over 2.5 match goals @ 5/8
Result 2-3
Treble lands @ 4.34
Five bets
5 units staked
7.44 units returned
+48.8%
Watching the Livvy v Hibs game is an advert against plastic pitches, the surface looks terrible, and the players can’t seem to turn.
jim, couldn’t agree more about plastic surfaces not long back form alloa and if the ball ran true and bounced as it should on grass rangers could of been 6 up at ht and won 9 or 10-1 were quite lucky in the end to get the draw tbh loads of player drew up during the game holding calfs, knees and hips for treatment alloa players too………..
ps craig alves a was there merely as a neutral observer afore ye start :D ……………….
lossie jim, caught the end of it – looked a terrible match. Players couldn’t control the ball but maybe that’s Scottish football.
Game I was at was a bad advert for grass pitches – we need summer football.
Off back out into the cold to walk the dog. Check in later.
yup mr f think that’s the way forward too tbh a was absolutely frozen to the bone today as a was at the albion rovers v Airdrie game last month no wonder folk don’t turn up at games ave only been to 3 in 2 months now……….
iN-PLAY
Gimnastic vs Elche
over 0.5 Elche TG’s 21/20 LOST
in play Maritzburg – Platinum Stars (0-0 HT)
– peste 1.5 goals @ 6/4
over
we dabble on this tonite
juve o2.5mgs 6/4
Thoughts on the juventus v napoli game guys?
I like the look of goals….lot to play for…both should be up for it.
GUIMARAES to score 1.5. EVS bet365 . £40
And apparently Juve is missing Chiellini & Khedira
ATGS Higuain 15/8
Fingers crossed for a penalty!
Jordan, you should of posted it up on here for the masses to follow
didn’t even realise you had your own thread running till you mentioned it there tbh, personally only tend to keep an eye on main forum as so many running now, WD though cracking 11/10 4 pointer great stuff keep up the top work ;)
Crane I thought I did mate but got home fairly late last night and had guzzled a few shandies!
no bother, ye cannae beat a few lite ales of a Friday evening fell victim to that myself more than once myself ……….. ;)
ps like the gignac atgs seen you’ve posted it up a couple of times since his move GL
Aye. The meat draw turned into an all out session haha
Tomorrow
Leicester, Spurs to score Evens
Boavista v Academica BTTS 21/20
Palermo v Torino BTTS 10/11
Eibar v Levente BTTS and Overs 8/5
Mlada Boleslav > 1.5TGS, Grasshoppers v Basel > 2.5MGS Evens
in play Maritzburg – Platinum Stars (0-0 HT)
– peste 1.5 goals @ 6/4
YES – won
oooft wonder what the odds were on o4.5 fhgs in genk gem…………….
nice early goal for you in peru hull…………..
Mr f, great shout on Alloa game…..must say I won a pound or two on corner count!
warktheline, cheers – what were the corner totals?
20+. !!!
Night cap in Mexico. I spoke about the Frenchman being too good for this league when when I first took him after their mid season break at home against Toluca where he scored in a 2-0 victory. Since then he has banged in 4 in 2, and 5 in his third consecutive game. They’ll face a side who rarely keep a clean sheet away from home in the league in Tijuana.
Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres) Anytime @ 21/20 @ 365 – 1 point
Jordannnnn Ello mate..this bet looks like de ja vu from last month when u posted gignac to score..haha.. I’m on it mate..???…
Haha here’s hoping mate.
Ol’ Gary Nev. Can’t buy 3 points in the league haha
Hey Boss – i can put i melody – to give my ….. wife ….. no prob if not – thanks
In play – Valencia or draw @ 6/4
hellll YAAA
Very nice, thanks
Spoke too soon but it landed my 11/1. Valencia lead :)
Nice Jordan – well done mate
Cheers Hull mate. How did you fair today? Don’t really scope through the thread too much now.
Ey up Jordan – couple of winners but my tips on the site have been really poor of late.
San Lorenzo game Over 2.5 at 7/5 is all I’m on but might have to look at your Gignac fancy later.
Only a point for interest but whens he’s odds against I can’t turn it down. What have happened to your Bury boys? Couple of months ago I remember mentioning promotion to you haha
Moreirense vs Belenenses, BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 6/4 **NAP** WON
OH Leuven vs Lokeren BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 5/4 **NB** WON
Mirandes vs CD Alves, Mirandes win 13/10 LOST FT 0-0
Villareal vs Malaga, over 2.0 goal line
Chievo vs Sassuolo, over 2.0 goal line
Ujpest vs Videoton FC, over 2.0 goal line
5/1 LOST
Ryman Premier Division:
Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead, Leatherhead win 21/10 VOID POSTPONED
Grays Athletic vs Harrow Borough, over 2.5 MG’s
Merstham vs VCD Athletic, over 2.5 MG’s
Leiston vs Wingate & Finchley, over 2.5 MG’s
3.16/1 LOST
Sorry boys , my girl is mine , and i wat to surprise her (she was a spoRtif too) i want to mary her , and saed :YES: , for now …don’t speak english welll , but i want to put 1 melody for her , hope to not disturb you … THANKS TO ALL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vJ-VwS4LiY
THANKS TO ALL
we dabble on this tonite
juve o2.5mgs 6/4 LOST
ff sakes cant buy a winner on a sat, WD all with winners…………..
Uni de Chile RT9 7/4
@craneguy ??? that’s something you’d see on fifa the stats at Alloa. Killie looking a big price at 9/2 at home to a lower league opponent ?
lol craig, see it was another poor turn oot at parkhead theday under 20k again an aboot 10k left afore ft exhilarating stuff again eh………….
tbs killies a good shout rangers not at it atm mite take it masel tbh, plus another good result for big mcculloch today at the well, hibees slipped up as usual when pressures on against livi tonite
honestly a was only at alloa today reviewing the pies for the pies n Bovril fanzine ……………………
craneguy, how were the pies? Wasn’t going to sample the fare at Bellshill today but was so cold I had to get a couple of Bovrils and was then tempted by a sausage roll. Get some great pies at the juniors – Irvine Meadow and Beith stand out from last season.
were frozen in the middle mr f same as masel today tbh……….. ps a played for beith in ma day, does beith still play at the public park under the big cliff bit? great wee club and great local rivalry way kilbirnie ladeside an dalry thistle……………. ahhhh!!!!!! the good auld days wen a was fit an mrs crane was a wee skinny hing………. :D
craneguy, you must have been half decent then. If that’s Bellsdale they still play there but it’s not a public park – it’s a proper football ground with terracing both sides. Pitch slopes pretty badly from end to the other though.
absolute belter Jordan posted or not WD……….. ;)
Aye was posted 100% sir on my thread. All complaints can be forwarded to the don’t care box :)
cant beat the dgaf box Jordan wins a win WD……………..
Dgaf haha
SPORTING CRISTAL VS. COMERCIANTES UNIDOS …
Looked great with 2 goals in after 15 minutes then nothing for the remaining 75.
Seamus and anyone following – sorry.
No worries mate. In this business such things do happen.
sorry that we lost though :(
RT9 loses in Chile, UdC scored minutes after posting but going for over 9.5 corners at At Rafaela v Estudiantes. Low corner line and 6-4 in last H2H available plus 2 teams were good for RT markets before this daft 30 team league pish kicked in laat yr
Alves, how you doing? I see your Rose team found it tougher on their return to junior football today.
No bad but wasn’t even close wi that free £50 bet :( chucked in Shef Wed instead of Hearts but wigan and Everton bust it. Qas following on an ex players Facebook and seen 2-0 down then 3-1. Probably no win anything this season but with a wee bit of luck Talbot will qin scottish and league and sneak back in the big scottish cup again. Apparently Kilwinning no the place to go for a night out ?
lol kilwinning craig mad wee toon busses an trains just drive rite though there drivers feart tae stoap in the place too long………… :D
craneguy, been a couple of times with the Bankies and never had any problems.
Owen Scott sometimes works in the William Hill shop in the town centre.
He invited me down to lunch one day and we went to Gregg’s.
Alves, might be OK if you are Rangers minded.
We’ll need to go there this season but last time I went it was the day before a Rangers-Celtic game and all the home fans were wearing Rangers shirts and all the houses around the ground had Union Jacks draped from them. You’d have loved it.
Rose lost 4-1 in the end – worse than they did against Ross County.
Aye so I’ve been told, defo no to go for a night out then ?
Rose were probably favourites for the game but the long trips probably took it out them or were still hungover, hearing they played sh*te though, my dad was through for it with rangers being away. Bit hit and miss this season but Talbot gotta get the junior scottish now though. Even before 1st rounds they were 5/1 I’m sure, probably about 6/4 now
Alves, probably right but that was some result for Pollok – 5-0 away to Bonnyrigg. They were 15-8 I think and were on Paul Petrie’s junior treble as well.
Sure Pollock beat them a few wks ago, my dad texts me every wknd to get the junior results on twitter and that was the only one that let him down for 8fold haha, didn’t know they won 5-0 but should get a decent EW bet on them, Hurlford were around lithgaes price but always seem to fall short, can’t see past talbot though. 2/3 yr ago made lithgae look like an amateur side in the final
Last wknd I done a Portuguese over 2.5 gls, btts and over 0.5 ht gls in Primera Liga, skint this wknd due to bills and paying off last wknd so keeping bets to a minimum. Hope it doesny come back to bite me on the arrse, gls galore so far
2 bets today
Main bet is a double chance acca:
Southampton
Hull
Ipswich
Swindon
Pays 7/2
Long shot homes:
Notts Forest 13/10
Sheffield Weds 19/20
Port Vale 11/8
Wimbledon 5/4
4 x trebles and the acca, minimum treble pays just over 9/1 (and would double your total stake), all 4 pays 23/1 (plus all the trebles)
**LOST**
Poor day today
GUIMARAES to score 1.5 EVS # WIN
couple of nite owls worth a look
gignanc atgs 21/20 Jordan
alajuelense o1.5mgs, tigres o1.5tgs 21/20
hawkes bay, canterbury utd o3.5mgs just over 2/1
Last bet posting
Argentinos RT7/to score 6/4+
Sheffield Wednesday v Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday Over 0.5 Team Goals
Wrexham v Bromley
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Deportivo v Betis
Deportivo Under 2.5 Team Goals
4/5 (Boylesports)
WON ?
Wipe your brow now bud! Good stuff!
Last bet posting
Argentinos RT7/to score 6/4+
WIN – ?
Uni de Conception RT7 8/5, 1-4 on corners at HT and still gl less. 8 corners in At Rafaela/ Estudiantes game so counting that as a winner and playing with profits…
At Rafaela v Estudiantes
Over 9.5 corners 1.975
WIN – ?
Way too overpriced ?
Love an early those Estudiantes.
Usually love an early corner but for the 1st time this season it never happened, had them in my early corner black book ???
1/10 too. Was gonna pay for my fry up tomorrow morning with the winnings ?
Wellington Phoenix have 2 points out of their last 27, lost their last five on the road and conceded 3 in their last four away games. Things aren’t going to get much better against title chasers Western Sydney Wanderers, who although had a slight glitch, have come back with 4 big points, 2 in a 4-3 victory against the free scoring Melbourne City, and a point in Melbourne against the Victory who are both in with a chance still of taking the title themselves. The Wanderers shouldn’t flinch at three points here and anything less than a win would be an upset. Mark Bridge has been in fine form this season for Sydney and has 8 goals on the season, 3 in his last 3, and 7 in his last 10. Interesting 6 of his 8 are on home turf. With a couple of starting midfielders out, I think Mitch Nicols (also with 8 goals) will have more of a job to do in building the attack, which could see more attempts for Bridge.
Australia A-League – 6:00AM
Mark Bridge (Western Sydney Wanderers) Anytime @ 21/20 @ 365 – 1.5 points
SAN LORENZO v SARMIENTO…Over 2.5 goals…7/5…*WON*
Uruguay in-play..
El Tanque Sisley v Penarol…sits 0-2 and Over3.5 appeals at evens.
Lost
Velez v Olimpo KO 00.16 ??
Over 9.5 asian corners 1.925