THE Monday night NFL action features two teams with differing fortunes as Atlanta Falcons travel to face Green Bay Packers at fortress Lambeau.
The Packers are formidable on their own patch and they don't hang about – the combined scoreline in the first quarter of their last five home games reads 79-0 in their favour.
The hosts have high hopes of glory this season while the Falcons – available at 5-1 to pull off a shock win tonight – also have plenty to play for as they still aren't out of the NFC South title race despite a 5-7 record.
In the NBA the fixture card includes a couple of first v second showdowns with Cleveland Cavs at the Brooklyn Nets and Toronto Raptors welcoming the Denver Nuggets.
Rounding off the Stateside sport is three NHL games and elsewhere there's Test cricket as Pakistan face New Zealand in the opening one-day international and stars old and new team up in the International Tennis League in India.
Good luck with your bets and post your own sporting tips and thoughts here.
If you have teams with the same record it goes on the (sos)
Each team is given a number based on their Strength of Schedule (sos)
This is worked out by their opponents winning percentages that season
This is the Current 2015 NFL Draft order with their sos number:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2-11 (.488 SOS)
2. Tennessee Titans: 2-11 (.490 SOS)
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2-11 (.522 SOS)
4. New York Jets: 2-11 (.549 SOS)
5. Oakland Raiders: 2-11 (.590 SOS)
6. Washington Redskins: 3-10 (.500 SOS)
7. New York Giants: 4-9 (.522 SOS)
8. Carolina Panthers: 4-8-1 (.502 SOS)
9. New Orleans Saints: 5-8 (.493 SOS)
10. Chicago Bears: 5-8 (.520 SOS)
11. Minnesota Vikings: 6-7 (.475 SOS)
12. St. Louis Rams: 6-7 (.541 SOS)
13. Houston Texans: 7-6 (.442 SOS)
14. Cleveland Browns: 7-6 (.463 SOS)
15. Miami Dolphins: 7-6 (.500 SOS)
16. Buffalo Bills: 7-6 (.520 SOS)
17. Kansas City Chiefs: 7-6 (.522 SOS)
18. San Francisco 49ers: 7-6 (.541 SOS)
19. Baltimore Ravens: 8-5 (.485 SOS)
20. Dallas Cowboys: 9-4 (.452 SOS)
Team projected to make the playoffs:
21. Atlanta Falcons 5-7 (.478 SOS)
22. San Diego Chargers: 8-4 (.507 SOS)
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 8-5 (.453 SOS)
24. Indianapolis Colts: 9-4 (.473 SOS)
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 8-4-1 (.495 SOS)
26. Detroit Lions: 9-4 (.470 SOS)
27. Philadelphia Eagles: 9-4 (.473 SOS)
28. Seattle Seahawks: 9-4 (.544 SOS)
29. Green Bay Packers: 9-3 (.485 SOS)
30. New England Patriots: 9-3 (.512 SOS)
31. Arizona Cardinals: 10-3 (.522 SOS)
32. Denver Broncos: 10-3 (.532 SOS)
As you can see Tampa Bay have the number one pick as it stands but if Atlanta win tonight Tampa Bay & Tennessee would have the same sos number so it would go to a coin toss if still same records at end of season
Its looking like Marcus Mariota from Oregon & Jameis Winston from Florida State are going to be top two picks in draft & i think Jameis Winston will be number one
Just putting tips up for MNF football but will give reasoning tomorrow as it’s late and I have work at 11.
Main Bet
Green Bay Packers Race to 30 points @ 4/7 @ Bet 3 6 5
Smaller bet on Randall Cobb Wincast @ EVS @ WillHill
Prop Bets
100% stake Aaron Rodgers over 306.5 passing yards @ 17/20 @ BV
50% stake Longest TD over 45.5 yards @ 5/6 @ 3 6 5
25% stake Randall Cobb over 77.5 receiving yards @ 10/11 @ Skybet
Cheers for the Gronkcast chief. Spread my bets out like I did on my props above so small return but every little helps. Just a note. All Wincasts tipped from WillHill this weekend have won. Don’t let us down Randall!
Monday night football
To score 2 or more touchdowns
Randall cobb 5/1
Devante adams 12/1
Both with bet 365
Combined NBA & NFL EVENS 4-fold:
– Wizards, Warriors, Clippers & Green Bay Packers
All to WIN – Pays odds of $2.00 or EVENS.
Chief please dont post too near to kick off if you could be a gent and do it before 11 i will love you for life haha
I haven’t even bothered to keep one eye on the Premier League Tennis that’s been going on recently, but I may break that habit today. Roger Federer teams up with his idol Sampras later to form the doubles dream team everyone want’s to see. They take on Cilic/Zimonjic in a one set match and are 11/8 to get the win.
While it’s unlikely to be taken too seriously, I think Rog and Pete will both want to put in good performances, Sampras especially to avoid being completely overshadowed by the man who’s name now normally comes before his in the Greatest of All Time conversation. Both are excellent behind serve and at the net, and I fancy them to be going for it today and to do enough for the win.
Clearly this is one of those bets that warrants nothing other than a small stake!
Ad,
I have been paying attention to the competition mate and would not back Federer/Sampras. Sampras was awful yesterday and has started poorly again today being 5-1 down before getting subbed.
Apparently he only flew in a 2 days ago, and its shown in his last couple of performances.
Fair enough Sam, thanks for that.
Doubles is a different kettle of fish, and with Rog by his side I can see them dominating at the net. But yeah, its certainly not a confident pick, more a low stakes bit of interest at decent odds.
Should have stuck to my own advice last night. Lost my NBA bet because I decided to back GSW double result. I was going to go for Bulls at +15.5 at a better price than GSW to win.
LA Clippers
Washington Wizards
Minnesota Timberwolves +17.5
@ 1.08/1
I backed Zimonjic and Cilic after seeing Sampras serve earlier. But thats void now as Monfils has been subbed in!
Yeh got my stake back, possibly for the best if sampras wasn’t on it. Would’ve backed Fed/ Monfils but the change happened too fast for me to find a bookie with odds and to back it. Best off to just carry on steering clear of this exhibition stuff though methinks!
Evening all. Hope we’re doing well.
Jut putting up my reasoning for tonights bets. Tonight see’s the Atlanta Falcons come to one of the toughest places to visit this season in the Lambeau Field, where the Green Bay Packers are 6-0. They have scored more than 30 points in 5 of 6 games, being held to 26 in last weeks NFC conference tie against the Patriots. Total Packers points (in order of most recent fixtures) 26, 53, 55, 38, 42, 31. 5 of the 6 have seen margins of victories by 7 or more points. The Falcons have only conceded 30 or more points on 3 occasions (30 @ NY Giants, 34 against the Saints, and 41 @ Minnesota) but when you look at their schedule, they have only played two teams in the top 10 highest scoring teams this season (Ravens who scored 29 in Baltimore (rank 7th) and the Saints (rank 9th). The Packers are the highest scoring team in the league, especially at home, with an average of 40.8 points per game.
The Falcons are a good team offensively, with QB Matt Ryan ranked 10th in the NFL with a QB rating of 66.4, but not when you compare him to the big dog at the top of the pile (Aaron Rodgers 86.4) ratings out of 100. Fortunately the offense is where the Falcons start, and stop. Atlanta are ranked 27th against pass yards, 32nd against pass yards per game and 22nd in points against (24.9).
Aaron Rodgers is on course for the season MVP, with many saying he’s playing a lot better than he was during the 2011 MVP season that set the NFL record for passer rating. Since his hamstring injury (where they lost in New Orleans) the Packers have jumped to leads of 30-3, 45-0, 38-3 and 42-0 in four home games during that span, averaging 39.4 points over the past two months. Rodgers has thrown over 300 passing yards in his last 3 home games, 368 against the Pats (ranked 18th pass defence) 341 against the Eagles (ranked 26th) and 315 against the Bears (ranked 30th) an average of 341.3 passing yards in 3 games.
I’ve picked the longest TD over 45.5 yards as both QB‘s like to air it out. I’d put my money on Green Bay bringing it in first but Atlanta always capable with Julio Jones or Roddy White as the WR’s. Rodgers has thrown over 45.5 yard TD’s in 5 of 6 home games. He threw a 64 yard TD to Jordy Nelson against the Eagles, 2 over the total again to Nelson and Randall Cobb in the match against the Bears, 2 against the Panthers (Nelson and Cobb) a 66 yard to Nelson against the Viks, and an 80 yard TD again to Nelson against the Jets.
Don’t let the Jordy Nelson name scare of if you like the wincast. Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson are tied on 10 TD’s for the season. Cobb has averaged over 101.7 receiving yards in his last 4 home games, 9.25 receptions, averaging 10.99 yards per carry. Hasn’t scored a TD for two home games but he was held by Revis and Bronwer last week for the Patriots but still put 85 yards the sheet with 7 receptions. He should have an easier tonight against the worst rated pass defense on the season so far.
Good luck if you follow.
GO PACKERS!! :D
I’m looking at the wincast and Cobb yards Jordan, best of luck to you and Man U tonight haha
Thank you kind sir all the best! I really like the over 45.5 yard TD. I like them all but I’m a cheesehead remember! :D
Chief you little sausage. Put a small stake on RVP Anytime and FGS didn’t I!
Cmon Chief gimme your posts big fella haha :D
MR f your a legend! easy profit with your tips today! utd, sampdoria wins means even more profit fingers crossed
Just curious think Lacy worth a look, his yards have been set high today though! If theres a market for 49ers to not score a TD against Seattle next week I might have a cheeky one one that haha
I’ve got a feeling chief will be tipping White yards, and either total TD’s or points. Hopefully the Cobb Wincast too ;) Don’t change your post if I guessed right chief haha
Here Chiefy Chiefy Chiefy :D
Hahaha honda! I dunno about Lacy mate. Packers do run the ball but Lacy isn’t the fastest RB in the NFL. Honestly mate you’re looking at the best QB in the league right now. The passing yards are low for Atlanta.
I like Cobb or Nelson, choices choices haha I was hoping Chief would put up a post to help but its bed time soon :( lol
I’m on Rodgers yards with same stake as the RT30 I’m that confident, and only 25% on the Cobb yards. You dishearten me having to wait for the chiefs tips honda. I thought you loved me? Lol, only joking mate I’d wait too.
Haha nah you know i love you Jordan :D I just like to have all tips up and then choose the ones I’m feeling most yano, also see if there are any agreements or general consensus between the posts
NFL MNF Atlanta @ Green Bay
Jordan has covered most in his excellent write up, so I wont go over it again. Atlanta have it all to do, I sided with Rodgers against Brady last week, and if Brady cant get it done in Lambeau, Matty ice wont. Green bay are a scoring machine at home, and Atlanta who have no running game worth mentioning so will need to go to the air to compete. Atlanta have the 6th best passing offence in the league. A high scoring game looks likely and O6.5 total Touchdowns is 21/20 Skybet.
Atlanta give up more yards against the pass then anyone in the NFL, however the bet I like most is Eddie Lacy to cover his rushing total. The big man is starting to motor in the last few weeks and has seen his workload increase, 70 times he carried the ball in November compared to just over 50 in the previous two months.
Rodgers will tear this secondary to pieces, however Lacy will still have a part to play. You can get 81.5yds at Bet365 5/7 however I am prepared to give up a couple of extra yards for a few more quid and take O84.5yds 5/6 Paddy Power.
My second prop bet is more of a gut feeling so only follow if you like it yourself or got some loose change from the football to put on. Davante Adams is emerging more and more as the season wears on, the rookie WR line is set at 45.5yds 10/11 Ladbrokes, and while Atlanta best corners will be on Nelson & Cobb I think it is worth a punt on Adams. He has covered this total 4 times this season.
In the anytime scorer market it will be small stakes as I am on the overs. Atlanta have one of the best WRs in Julio Jones and he will be the one Ryan looks to go to, he is 5/4 William Hill. For Packers the big three Nelson, Cobb and Lacy are all way to short but I am going with Adams at 13/8 Betvictor. He only has 3 touchdowns but as I say he is getting more and more involved and all three touchdowns have been at home and all when Green Bay get in the redzone.
O6.5 TOTAL MATCH TOUCHDOWNS 21/20
Prop Bet
LACY O84.5yds 5/6
ADAMS O45.5yds 10/11
Anytime scorers
JONES TO SCORE 5/4
ADAMS TO SCORE 13/8
Good luck if your having a bet
Haha Honda they are done now mate
Jordan, nice one mate RVP has owned Southampton over the years :)
Yes Chief much love :D
Nice £123 profit today thanks to mr f
Well done Oli, Good to see the Super single back winning will keep the idiots away
I knew it would be Lacy haha
Honda, if they lose you cant take your love back, otherwise I will think you are using me :)
Nfl Monday night
Firstly who needs the gym after watching that man u game think I lost 4 lbs from my palms sweating that is what u call winning ugly.
The boys have covered tonights game well not much to add to it so tips tonight
Randall cobb wincast evens
Julio Jones anytime scorer 5/4
Over 6.5 td 10/11
Long shot but Aaron Rodgers over 1,000,000 passing yards in first half then sits out rest of game as green Bay are 35-0 ahead 1/10000
the super single usually always wins! but you cant win them all can you, thats gambling for you keep up the good work mr f
Think the packers cover the handicap chief
Lee, chief. You’re both wrong. Rodgers will be on 261 yards in the 4th quarter, 3rd and 6 with 20 on the clock, Packers on 23 points, he’ll air one out to Cobb who just so happens to be on 32 yards, Cobb breaks a tackle, gets into the n zone for 46 yards and brings in all my bets hahahahaha
Lee that was the most shoddy performance I have seen from us for a while. So nice to see us sitting in 3rd with a bit of leg room! Did you take the BTTS an win Lee? I just had the Southampton cards over 1.5 @ EVS and 10/11 (89th and 94th minute) :D yes I know, I’m a jammy sod.
Chief RVP was a great call. I had people harrassing me saying you hadn’t tipped it hahaha
Good luck tonight boys! Let’s go cheeseheads!
Was tempted on Adams chief but I wasn’t sure how much action he got. Couldn’t help but think he was being used last week for the game plan so that Cobb and Nelson had all the pressure. I wanna see Lacy with another Lambeau leap if he gets in. Almost took the damn wall down last time!
I’m stuck between Cobb and LAcy, Cobbs one of many targets (well mainly 2) but if ther gonna run its gettin handed to Lacy. Not sure how much there gonna run it though!
Haha if only Lee, I wouldn’t be posting free ‘tips’ if I was that good! Horrible performance but 3 pts are 3 pts and we’ll say no more :D not touching the champions league tomorrow, looks like a right minefield.
Chief, lacy got back!! Don’t know much about the lad Adams but hope the Packers are winning so much that they bring people in from the crowd for a couple of plays. All the best gents.
Lacy stands out 2 me and i believe packers will cover the minus 13 formidable in the cold at home and dont think that rodgers will be taking his foot off that gas
Yeah, Lacy got plenty of “junk in the trunk” that’s for sure :) Adams is more of a gut, I would be kicking myself if I didn’t bet it and it came in. It is a low line and he seems to be getting more involved in the offence and if Cobb goes in free agency, he will become the no 2.
Did not get chance to post RVP on the footy thread, only got home after 7:30 but is history against them suggests he was worth a punt.
Ha ha Jordan if that prediction comes off play by play give me euro numbers for 2moro
I did do win bts but didn’t put it on here as didn’t mention before hand but paddy enhanced to 9/4 they enhanced us to win 2/1 too on those power plus bets but we were so lucky. Don’t want rant about it on the non footy thread but the nerves we played with and giving ball away constantly we were very lucky
Good night in football, so im gonna go with a small stake on your tips guys, the cobb wincast and the over 6.5 TD
good luck :)
Anyone know where de Andre at? Haven’t seen him post in a while
Guess is as good as mine Pete. Shame really.
Have actually changed my bet for today (listed at top of thread) to the following:
– Minnesota Timberwolves +24.5 ($1.17)
– Sacramento Kings +6.5 ($1.13)
– L.A. Clippers WIN ($1.28)
– Washington Wizards WIN ($1.20)
4 FOLD pays odds of $2.03 (just above Evens)
That should see me through the work day in Oz :-)
Attila, I said about this the other day. I think when teams are playing ‘away’ and it’s a big journey but are still 1/5 or whatever. I’m going to start taking the high scoring +18.5 or whatever equates to 1/5 for the home side.
I love the NFL but don’t have the knowledge to tip. So I’m having a long shot on Packers o50.5 @ 9/1,
Hey guys, I have a nice 6 fold going 4/6 won so far. I have Cleveland Cavaliers to win with a -3 handicap and LA Clippers to win with a -3.5 handicap. I am not a regular of basketball and saw these two tipped somewhere and was just wondering what you lot thought? Would win 439 off of 20.
GoonerCy, you should be fine, I don’t know if you’ll be up. But perhaps cover with the Nets + 3.5 (stick 20 on it) and then do the same with the Suns, but only if Cleveland win. That way you should breakeven whatever happens. But if Cleveland and Clippers win, you’ll still be up by 380..?
Doing a crazy experiment on NBA total game points. Have taken the average of home teams points last 5 home games combined with average of away team points last 5 away games
Then I take the over or under accordingly:
– Pacers Hawks >204.5, Wizards Celtics <194.0, Nets Cavaliers <197.0, Raptors Nuggets <214.0, Timberwolves Warriors <213.5, Kings Jazz 216.0
7 FOLD ODDS @ $80.
I’ve put $1.25 on each single & $1.25 on the 7 fold. $10 outlay, shouldn’t lose anything with this experiment :-)
What’s interesting with this formula I’ve used is that 5 out of 7 the points line seems too high. If moat of these win, ill be concentrating on total points in future.
***sorry – Kings Jazz 216.0
This bit was cut from above comment…
Wierd, keeps cutting text out. Kings Jazz UNDER 197.0 and Clippers Suns OVER 216.0
Totally stuffed up my post, here’s the actual bets:
Wizards Celtics OVER, Pacers Hawks UNDER, Nets Cavaliers UNDER, Raptors Nuggets UNDER, Timberwolves Warriors UNDER, Kings Jazz UNDER, Clippers Suns OVER
MNF nfl bet is Green bay -9.5 & over 56.5pts @ 15/8. High scoring game on the cards(Hopefully Rodgers & Co doing most damage). Also backing Quarless to score anytime @ 11/10. goodluck everyone
Come on packers lets have this by 14 to 19 points
This is going to be easy! Lacy on 34 yards, Rodgers on 44 yards. Touchdown in the first minute for the cheeseheads!
Lacy was always in the bag need the cheeseheads 2 win by 14 or more for a man u sampdoria 02.5 treble not gonna do cover bet as think its home and dry lol
Were can I see the scores jordan done cobb to score. Coverage is poor 365 and wh
Espn they do play by play
http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2014120800/2014/REG14/falcons@packers#menu=gameinfo&tab=track
Or if you’ve got Sky it’s on Eurosport 2 pspud.
Jordan you watching game whats lacys yardage now
50 quinn. Course I’m watching it I wouldn’t miss my Packers :D
You packers fan then surley there cover this 13 handicap im cheesehead when betting on them lol
Eddie Lacy with another Lambeau leap haha go on thunder thighs!
The boys got thighs like tree trunks
Yeah I’ve only followed this year mate. They ‘should’ cover but Atlanta are good offensively so Green Bay will have to stop their drives and hopefully score on every drive.
Like that! :) hopefully another TD on this drive. For Cobb if you could please Aaron :D
Packers will score most drives and its tough for any team to go there and match them score for score been backing nfl years they will do well falcons 2 score 1 for every 2 packer scores but i like the nerves on betting hence ask others opinions
Hey Jordan, the packers are unreal. Rodgers is best qb at present. well worth staying up to watch him destroy opposition!! would love to see a rematch against brady in superbowl. fingers crossed
Quinn I’ve picked up the game fairly quickly but don’t always get my tips right.
WA I know mate it was the Rodgers final drive vs Miami this season that won me over. Might be those two but the way Seattle are stepping up I think they might make a case. Getting interesting now that’s for sure!
Thank you Matt Ryan! Almost a pick 6!
Most def seahawks defense coming good just in time would be good showdown
cmon rodgers. throw to quarless!!! please…
go packers gotta love MNF
6 points needed for the main bet! Should have risked Race To 35 but lumped on the 30 @ 4/7.
Rodgers almost halfway to his yards too. Cobb could do with a few more catches and a score, and one for Quarless for you WA ;) hope they don’t take Rodgers out if they’re ahead too much.
Quarless will get some 3rd quater catches winner dont worry he shares the load :)
that’ll do. but quarless was standing right behind lacy in endzone when he caught it. Dang!.
No they wont take him out he will spread the ball around bit 3rd and 4th mixing up think most peoples bet will come up tonight as not only is rogers best in nfl at mo his ability 2 spread the play is second 2 none keeps the defense guessing and falcons defense are shxx lol
HAHAHAHAHAHA TWO PICKS ON TWO DRIVES FOR MATTY ICE!!
Perhaps not! I thought the catch was clean?
ha ha ha. another pick. keep the pressure on ryan and its too easy!. No way rodgers steps out Jordan. he wants easy yrds and season MVP.
Yeah I suppose WA, just think they might have kept him fresh for Sunday as they’re in Buffalo.
bad call. he caught that interception. not to worry, Extra yrds for ur rodgers bet Jordan :-)
Greenbay are the equivelant of inverness c thistle in scottish football rarley a team goes out 2 the cold and picks up a win
WOW…. the move and throw to Nelson… WOW
Main Bet
Green Bay Packers Race to 30 points @ 4/7 @ Bet 3 6 5 **WIN**
Right on HT! Laaaaaavly jaaaaaaaaab!
31-7
I didn’t know Russell Wilson is Green Bay’s QB!? :D
Did cobb get a touch down
Rodgers, is shredding this secondary and Atlanta cant bring the safeties up into the box, so they stay home and Lacy takes it too them on the ground. JJ is having a monster for Atlanta but he cant do it on his own.
Quinn you can cover your handicap @ good odds mate.
Pspud not yet mate but plenty of football to be played.
Chief it’s stunning to watch. Just knows what’s coming every time. That Starks looks a good back too.
This just in, Johnny Football starting for the Browns on Sunday!
Yeah i know jordan have covered now as the odds decent i rarley cover jordan unless ive had big bet as of the theory if you do your homework then your confident on your bets if theres lot of money at stake then yes i will cover im gonna put in couple of in plays on cobb and over 54.5 points for green bay as think they could do same second half
NOOOOOOOO!!!! Julio!! That was my longest TD bet!! INCHES!!!
Ok, 3 yards! But come on! 79 yards to be brought down at the 3! Gutted!
Quinn whether it’s a small bet or a big bet I usually always cover if odds are better than what I’ve placed the original bet on.
That was close jordan yeah of course its just not always have time 2 get covers on at right time right off 2 work gb need 2 keep up intensity good luck for other bets
Enjoy quinn mate
TD Julio Jones! That’s 6.5 TD’s too! Well done chief and Lee!
Well I was almost right!!
Rodgers on 267 lofts a 60 yard TD to Jordy Nelson!
100% stake Aaron Rodgers over 306.5 passing yards @ 17/20 @ BV **WIN** 327
50% stake Longest TD over 45.5 yards @ 5/6 @ 3 6 5 **WIN** 60 yards.
11 minutes to play in the 4th. Packers 40-24.
Jones on 250 receiving yards!
At work now jordan got the long touch down well done that block on extra point just then will be my downfall as can see winning margin 13 points so cover was good call but still not the big money for treble come on packers lol right better do some work
Well Randall let us down but A-Rod took it to that secondary, surprisingly so did Atlanta in the second half. Final score Packers 43-37!
Main Bet
Green Bay Packers Race to 30 points @ 4/7 @ Bet 3 6 5 **WIN** 31-7 at the half
Smaller bet on Randall Cobb Wincast @ EVS @ WillHill **LOSE**
Prop Bets
100% stake Aaron Rodgers over 306.5 passing yards @ 17/20 @ BV **WIN** 327
50% stake Longest TD over 45.5 yards @ 5/6 @ 3 6 5 **WIN** 60
25% stake Randall Cobb over 77.5 receiving yards @ 10/11 @ Skybet **LOSE**
3/5, main bet and main prop win, nb prop wins, unfortunately sided with Cobb for the wincast and yards but he could only manage 58 yards. Jordy Nelson picking up 2 TD’s and 146 yards which is a bit of a bummer. Julio Jones with a career high of 259 yards and 1 TD. Packers will need to sort that D out if they want to go to the Superbowl. Well done to the winners. Night folks.
Quinn unlucky mate I really wasn’t keen on that double digit spread which is why I took the points but as long as you covered then you can’t have too many problems. Have a good morning mate.