IT was all about one team for me and Borussia Dortmund are off the Christmas card lost forever.
Their failure to win or net a second goal at home to Augsburg beat me for two trebles – and while Peterborough v Notts County went under 2.5 goals after two in the first eight minutes I'm laying all the blame at the Germans.
Greg and others did well so hopefully plenty were on those bets.
Hopefully I'll eat into the accumulator losses tonight and maybe out up a Super Single.
The focus will be on French and German football. There is a full card of 10 games in Ligue 1 including Bordeaux v Nice and PSG v Orient and Inter face Lazio in Serie A.
Biggest of the night is in the Bundesliga with two top meeting and it will be fascinating to see how RB Leipzig fare on their first league trip to Bayern Munich.
There are six more Spanish Cup second leg ties and interestingly last night both scored in all five matches – three of which were basically dead rubbers. The first-leg scores of games tonight were Hercules 1, Barcelona 1; Leganes 1, Valencia 3; Gijon 1, Eibar 2; Real Betis 1, Deportivo 0; Formentera 1, Sevilla 5 and Granada 1, Osasuna 0.
So proper games tonight except at Valencia and Sevilla but most top teams will still be weakened and Barcelona have confirmed they won't play Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, Neymar or Gerard Pique.
So there's plenty to look and I've studied team news, form and stats before picking my tips.
My first effort is a btts treble based on stats. The last six meetings between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen have seen both score and produced 28 goals and it's the same for Inter v Lazio although the goals tally is 22.
Add Bordeaux v Nice who met at the same ground in the French Cup last week with Bordeaux winning 3-2. With Mario Balotelli back Nice have every chance of gaining revenge against a side who haven't won any other games in their last six but should be goals whatever the result.
Last night I confidently backed Peterborough in their FA Cup replay against Notts County as they were fielding a strong team with Chelsea next up. Same goes for Plymouth tonight at Newport with Liverpool awaiting the winners. Newport improved after the appointment of Graham Westley but have lost their last four.
As long as Plymouth boss Derek Adams is true to his word his side should win and they are better on the road anyway with eight wins from 12 in the league including a win at Rodney Parade in October.
That's one Super Single and I'm making Guingamp a second as they head to Metz. On their day Guingamp can beat anyone and in their last two matches defeated PSG and drew with Lyon. Metz have no wins in five and without their main striker Mevlut Erdinic.
My Top Treble isn't too crazy – Lyon at home to Angers, Monaco at home to Caen and Benfica at home to Rio Ave. All three are short-priced favourites and should win well – and I've added a 0.5pt long shot.
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1pt Super Singles
(6-4, Paddy Power)
1.5pts Both to Score Treble
Inter v Lazio (7.45pm)
Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen (7pm)
Bordeaux v Nice (7.30pm)
5pts Top Treble
0.5pt Long Shot
December Super Singles Total
- Profit: 4.3pts (17 bets, 8 winners)
December Advised Accas Total
- Profit: -18.1pts (35 bets, 6 winners)
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