DEFENDING champ Michael van Gerwen made it past round one at the World Darts without hitting top form yesterday while fellow Dutchman Jelle Klaasen dazzled in his victory over compatriot Christian Kist.
It was an early exit for three-time winner John Part, though, as he crashed out to rising star Keegan Brown. On Friday Phil Taylor begins his tilt at a 17th world crown against Germany's Jyhan Artut, whose odds of 25-1 say it all about his chances of shutting down The Power.
Also on the oche in today's five matches are last year's runner-up Peter Wright, who is 1-4 against Gerwyn Price (4-1), and 12th seed Andy Hamilton v Dave Richardson.
It's all to play for in the final cricket ODI between Pakistan and New Zealand in Abu Dhabi. The series is finely poised at 2-2 and Pakistan are 8-13 for the win today with the Black Caps 7-5.
There's also Pro12 and Premiership rugby this evening and the usual busy schedule of NBA and NHL to take you through the night.
Good luck if you're having a punt and post your sporting tips and thoughts here.
Good Morning all,really looking forward to the darts tonight especially ‘Gezzy’ Gerwyn Price v Peter Wright.Gerwyn is a local player from my area and has impressed a lot of players since joining the PDC and certainly has the game to beat Wright especially over such short format.Rod Harrington was asked on TalkSport to name his ‘Player to lookout for’ or the player who could spring a surprise and his pick was ‘Gezzy’.
A)Anybody knkw of any sites with form guides and stats like preferred checkout colour of players etc?
Northy,if you go on flashscores ‘other sports’ and then click on darts it will show you the form of the players and recent head to head’s but it wont show any favourite doubles or colours.Most players leave d20 or d16 but i’d stay clear of that market.I’ve had a look at the market for tonights games and the bet that stands out for me is Taylor to win 3-0 at 1/2.Not great odds but when you take into account he’s 1/40 just to win the game the 1/2 for a 3-0 win looks great.
My Tip: Taylor 3-0 1/2
Try this northy
http://www.dartsdatabase.co.uk/Rankings.aspx
Click on each individual player and it’ll give you info on the player including their favourite double, which is handy if betting on the checkout colour.
Red is usually 4/7 & Green 13/8. I turned £8 into over £100 last night betting on green when players who preferred double 16 looked like they’d be on a finish first. Market usually stays open until a player is under 200 with bet365. It doesn’t come in every bet obviously, but if you are sensible with the stakes it can be profitable
***Posted Yesterday***
NBA TIPS:
***WON*** Bulls by 8 | Knicks cover +13.0
***LOST*** Thunder by 4 | Thunder cover +2.5
***WON*** Kings by 7 | Bucks cover +7.5
***WON*** Rockets by 2, Pelicans +4.5
***LOST*** NAP: Thunder +2.5 @ $1.92
***WON*** SAFE 4 FOLD: Knicks +21.5, Thunder +11.5, Bucks +15.5, Pelicans +15.5 @ $2.00/EVENS
***VOID*** HANDICAP 4 FOLD: Take the 4 handicap tips above @ $13.59 or perm any 3 and all 4 to get your stake back if 1 leg fails.
***VOID*** Handicap TRIXIE of Pelicans +4.5, Knicks +13.0 & Thunder +2.5 @ $4.50.
NOTE: not real confident on any today…not a great card and bookies seem to have all the lines about right. Good luck guys!
***3 out of 4 of the Handicap tips wasn’t too bad. I did pick the wrong one for my NAP though. I was tossing up between Knicks & Thunder, in the end the Thunder (despite a lightening fast start) were just 3 points short of landing the handicap, which also let down my 2 of my Accumulators.
However, if you took the advice to Perm and Trixie these bets then your stake would have been returned.
In the end I made a very small profit, which is better than a loss.***
***Posted Yesterday**
NHL (low stakes) Double for interest:
Sharks ML & Kings ML @ $2.27
***WON***
Early Snooker 4-FOLD:
– Marco Fu ($1.32)
– Mark Allen (1.35)
– Stuart Bingham ($1.14)
– Ryan Day ($1.14)
4 FOLD pays odds of $2.31
GL!
*EDIT – Add Mark Williams ($1.35) for 5 FOLD with odds of $3.12!
ill be on that attillaa :) just the four fold tho lol i went for a 5 yesterday one let me down haha
im adding jing hunhui make it 1.58/1 my 5 fold :)
I’m not touching Hunhui – his opponent Steadman is always odds against and just keeps winning. Steadman has wrecked my accumulaters on snooker 3 times in the past weeks…yet they keep pricing him as odds against…so im staying away from that one :-)
on cue tracker this junhui looks great hasnt been beat for ages got beat by 2 frames of osullivan surely he can beat him fingers crosssed for me then :P
They’ve both won 7 of their last 10… Im thinking of putting Junhui, but i just dont trust steadman…him being odds on every game is a bookies trap i think…lol
*odds against i mean
shortlist for nba NAP ..
LAKERS +7.5 VS OKC T (DURANT OUT)
HORNETS -4.5 VS PHILLY
CELTICS -7.5 VS MEMPHIS
WASHINGTON VS HEAT ( UNDER DEPENDING HOW LOW ITS SET )
after i selected the one , see how the others fair , singles for me 4 a while
ATTILA , marco fu is playing stuart bingham
ignore me , tired off nights , you mean german open
Treble consisting of Williams, Fu and Allen for me at 1.28/1
scottylfc, Ding is always going to look an ok bet on paper, he’s world number 2 at the end of the day. I agree with Attila on this, Steadman is man bang in form in Ding isn’t worth backing at odds of about 1/8.
Kvitova 2-0 @ 11/10
I ended up laying Allen from my 5 fold and putting Judd Trump in instead…odds of $2.65 (sorry didnt post the change before start, was a last minute change, lol)
only junhui winning lol
Williams, Bingham, Day all winning. Only one thats losing is Marco Fu, but its still only 0-1 so long way to go. I would ASSUME Judd Trump is a shoe in later on as well so looking good for the 5 fold.
Missed out on TNF, bit of travelling got in the way. Pity as I was going to get on Jags handicap and unders double. I believe it turned out to be quite successful for everyone here despite our fears it would be a disaster. Well done!
Looks like Marco Fu might let down this 5 fold in the snooker. He’s fairly odds on to win but down 1-3…
Hi Guys,
Any thoughts on tonights games in the darts ?
Regards
Fish
***POSTED EARLIER***
Early Snooker 4-FOLD:
– Marco Fu ($1.32)
– Mark Allen (1.35)
– Stuart Bingham ($1.14)
– Ryan Day ($1.14)
4 FOLD pays odds of $2.31
EDIT – Add Mark Williams ($1.35) for 5 FOLD with odds of $3.12!
***LOST*** (Marco Fu had a shocker. Other legs all good).
NBA Preliminary Selections. Just had a quick look so far, and i’ve short listed these 6 handicap bets:
RAPTORS COVER -7.5
CELTICS COVER -7.5
HORNETS COVER -4.5
JAZZ COVER +3.0
TRAIL BLAZERS COVER +5.5
CLIPPERS COVER -6.0
GRIZZLIES COVER -5.0
I’m heading to bed now (midnight in Oz!) but will post final tips and game plan 1-2 hours before first game starts.
Fish – I had Brown at 11/10 and mvg at 6/4 on the 180 handicap last night.
Tonight I fancy the power -1 at 6/4. I though the handicap would have been bigger and plannedto go aagainst Phil, but not at -1.
Also fancy Peter Wright 10/11 most 180s and Hamilton -1 at 6/5.
Will probably have them all as singles and a treble on the handicap and non handicap 180 markets
Hi Tam,
Thanks for the info
Do you follow the darts then ?
Regards
Fish
Had a good day YESTERDAY
-1st quarter Kings -2 (1.85)
-1st quarter Thunder +1 (1.85)
-1st quarter Pelicans +1.5 (1.85)
£25 on this paid £154
I then took the Kings+5.5 with three mins left, they were down 6, and in the end lost 108-107.
My first good day out of about 50!
Today I am looking for a close to evens single
My short list is
Wizards -4.5
Portland over 95.5
Hornets -4.5
All bets are 5/6 as single
Evening gents have another NBA overs treble tonite!
Was @ Mia o190.5. 4/5
Chi @ mem. O194.5. 20/21
Por. @ sas. O 195.5. 10/11
Treble pays 5.7/1
Gbjefr thanks followed your bet lastnight
Evening guys, I am sticking to minimum bets for sensible stakes as I said yesterday it is tough in the opening round over the short format. Klaasen let the totals down last night, having switched to treble 18 to get 174 instead of 180s but that goes in the note book for next time.
Phil Taylor begins to challenge for the title and having seen MVG struggle last night, I think he will be out to make a big statement. Taylor often switches to treble 19 if the first dart doesn’t go in right, but at 11/10 various on a tough night I will take him to hit O3.5 Maximums. I would advise sensible stakes as he does cover but if Artut can nick a couple of legs, he may well cover his line at a good price.
TAYLOR O3.5 TOTAL 180s 11/10
Good luck if your having a bet
I’m on
Was Wizards -6.0
Por Trail Blazers +4.5
Cha Hornets -4.5
Feeling confident about all
So far from posted bets I’m 2-1, so tonite we are improving it to 5-1 haha
Doing a treble also
I regularly net the NHL but rarely find the time to post here but given I had some time in my hands this afternoon, I’ve got a couple plays for tonight’s ice action in North America. I am Canadian after all lol.
NY Islanders at Detroit Red Wings over 5.5 goals @ 2.23
start time: 7:35 PM local (12:35 am for my friends across the pond)
This game has a high probability of seeing 6 goals according to my handicap.
The Islanders have been a very good scoring team this season and have scored at least 3 goals in 7 of their last 8 games (4 goals twice). They are off back to back 3-2 wins but before those two games they had lost 3 surrendering 6 goals twice to St. Louis and 5 in the other to Minnesota.
Detroit ranks 3rd in the league in home goals scored, having netted 56 in 19 home games (2.94 gpg). The Islanders average 2.56 gpg on the road but overall are the Leagues 4th highest scoring team at 3.00 gpg. NY also surrenders 3.18 gpg on the road which is right on with Detroit’s home average.
My handicapping gives both teams a high probability of 3 goals each. There is also supporting trend data for this play in addition to the statistical data.
League wide, games involving road teams off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival (NYI) v an opponent off a home loss (Detroit) gave gone 54-26 over the total the last 5 seasons for a winning percentage of 67.5%. This situation has come up 5 times this season and has gone 4-1.
Detroit flourishes against poor penalty killing teams such as the Islanders going 27-15 over v teams with a 19% of worse penalty kill like NY has.
Islander Friday night road games the last 3 seasons have averaged 6.8 gpg (11-3 over) and 6.2 gpg when playing on the road off a home game (14-6 over). In both those situations both teams have averaged at least 3 goals.
This game has all the ingredients in place for a high scoring game.
Game 2
Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames over 5.5 goals @ 2.00
start time 9:30 PM EST (2:30 am for my mates in the UK)
This game also provides some very favorable over situations.
First and foremost there is a league wide situation in play that is 40-16 (71.4% win rate) over the last 5 seasons. This situation calls to play over the total when any team off a home loss by 2 or more goals (Calgary 5-2 loss hosting New York) v an opponent off a road shutout win (Dallas 2-0 winners at Vancouver) This situation is 3-0 this season.
Calgary is in a very poor run at the moment losing 6 straight and allowing 3 or more goals in 5 of them. (4 goals twice and 5 once) Calgary can score however noting they did score 12 goals in the 3 games prior to this losing streak.
Dallas has gone 6-2 over the total in their last 8 games and despite their 2-0 shutout at struggling Vancouver, have a very battered And weak defense that has allowed 5 goals in 5 of those last 8 games.
Dallas gas been poor killing penalties lately and it would serve them well to stay out of the box. Of note, Calgary is 9-2 over against poor penalty killing teams where teams score on over 17.5% of their PP chances. The average combined goals in those games are 6.8.
The opposite of this also has supporting data as Calgary is scoring on more than 17.5% of their PP chances. This is not worthy because Dallas is 12-4 over the total in their last 16 against teams that score on more than 17.5% of their PP chances with those games averaging 7.3 goals. If their opponent is scoring on more than 19% of their PP chances this season, Dallas is 9-2 over with those games averaging 7.6 total goals.
Bottom line here is that Calgary comes up against a good opponent to end their losing streak but because they have been playing so poorly I’d rather play the goals market rather than trust a Calgary win.
Finally, Calgary is playing only their 2nd game in 5 nights so will be rested. They are 7-1 over the total this season when playing only their 2nd game in 5 nights this season with those games averaging 6.6 combined goals.
Feeling the wizards -4.5 (1.85) tonight against the heat. Basketball super single 5/6
Actually, I can’t find a reason why Portland won’t score 95.5 tonight. They may well lose but I think I will go with that bet
The chief fine margins there mate he could have easily gone over 3.5 I think on another day he would have spanked it but just didn’t seem to fancy it even when he had 2 in treble 20 .
Where is everyone getting Wizards -4.5 I’ve looked in bet365, betvictor, will hill and Ladbrokes and in all of them Wizards are -6
TODAY’s NBA TIPS & GAME PLAN
I’ve selections for 7 of the 10 NBA games today (the other 3 i’m not sure about the lines/margins so have left out of my top selections but are visible in the bonkers 10 fold below).
Also, from now on for my NAP/SS i’ll be adopting Huggybears’ pick as i struggle narrow down and pick the 1 best game out of the card:
Handicap Tips:
– RAPTORS COVER -7.5
– CELTICS COVER -7.5
– HORNETS COVER -4.5
– JAZZ COVER +3.0
– TRAIL BLAZERS COVER +5.5
– CLIPPERS COVER -6.0
– GRIZZLIES COVER -5.0
Today’s Game Plan:
NAP/SS: ‘Adopting huggybears NAP when he posts it’ @ $1.92 ODDS (5 pts)
TREBLE #1: ‘Adopting Gbjefr’s OVERS treble listed above’ @ $6.34 ODDS (1 pt)
TREBLE #2: Hornets -4.5, Celtics -5.5, Raptors -7.5 @ $7.07 ODDS (1 pt)
TREBLE #3: Jazz +4.0, Grizzlies -6.0, Trail Blazers +4.5 @ $7.07 ODDS (1 pt)
SAFE-ISH 7 FOLD: Hornets +4.5, Jazz +11.5, Celtics +3.5, Raptors +1.5, Grizzlies +3.5, Trail Blazers +11.5, Clippers +5.5 @ $3.77 ODDS (1 pt)
LOW ODDS 10 FOLD: Jazz +12.5, Hornets +7.5, Celtics +6.5, Raptors +4.5, Nets +21.5, Heat +16.5, Grizzlies +6.5, Trail Blazers +14.5, Clippers +8.5, Lakers +16.5 @ $3.60 ODDS (1 pt)
BONKERS 10 FOLD: Jazz +4.0, Hornets -4.5, Celtics -5.5, Raptors -7.5, Nets +11.5, Heat +6.0, Grizzlies -6.0, Trail Blazers +4.5, Clippers -3.5, Lakers +6.5 @ $680.79 ODDS (loose change only!)
Good luck all!
*note the changes in cover line margins:
– RAPTORS COVER -7.5
– CELTICS COVER -5.5
– HORNETS COVER -4.5
– JAZZ COVER +4.0
– TRAIL BLAZERS COVER +4.5
– CLIPPERS COVER -3.5
– GRIZZLIES COVER -6.0
Attila . Torn between Lakers +7.5 with durant mssing and hornets -4.5 , philly really having a rough time of it lately and hornets aren’t that bad.
gonna take hornets as my single for tonight.
also think celtics should cover the 6.
PLENTY OF NBA TIPS TONIGHT , SO LOOK AT EM ALL AND COMPARE , WE CANT ALL BE WRONG.
Cheers, thanks for posting Huggybear. I’ve thrown my 5pts on Hornets then (they were one of my fave picks so im glad you took them). GL today mate.
spurs v trail blazers tips please guys going watch it up on the drink
Jazza, there’s a couple tips already. Take Blazers to cover +4.5 or Blazers to score more than 98 points.
Huggy, the NAP is looking very safe already. Can’t believe how low the line was.
What’s mad is all my Acca’s are looking on target atm too…but no doubt 1 game will mess most of them up, lol
Hi attila i got a in play double on blazers plus 9.5 and Toronto to won…
surely I don’t need a cover mate..
just to say attila and Jordan i been following u both lately on us tips i in big profit much appreciated guys
Seriously i don’t need cover plus 9.5 ffs
When I say Cover Jazza its just my term for making the handicap…team to cover the handicap like
Yes i understand attila mate just i have 800 riding on this and blazers nearly blew it did u see the no basket jeez….i should be ok now..
If it got close on 9.5 i would cover for profit
..
GREAT RESULTS SO FAR, BIG PROFITS IF I FOLLOWED MY GAME PLAN! ONLY GRIZZLIES DIDNT COVER SO FAR. :-D
*if anyone followed I mean
What on earth is going on here blazers
I am new to nba but triple overtime jeez some game this
It’s awesome
What a game if San Antonio up by 10 i think I would launched the laptop happy days…jeez i love these American sports just got in to nfl 2 last year…i thought I wouldnt like that god was i wrong…
cheers attila mate…
The Mrs is like wtf ha ha we been up having drink she like what going on…ha ha
On okc not when they weRe down by 4….
attila how could raptors turn 9 down into massive win are they that good…
okc should win i reckon no problem attila not that I know no my stuff I rely on you guys…
i will stick my neck out and give tip of Falkirk at 6 to 5 tomorrow against Dumbarton we are in excellent form….
My single tip of Portland to score over 95.5 (1.85) WON
Glad I didn’t go with wizards -4.5!
Also took Miami to win 3rd quarter at (2.25)
Smashed it for the second day in a row as I went with big stakes today
Why are willhill not bet in play on this nba game joke
Gbjefr you are a legend! That’s 2 over bet I have followed u with and 2 wins! Keep up the good work! Cheerz