MUCH of the focus tonight will be on Reading v Arsenal in the Premier League.
It's a big night for Arsene Wenger who needs a response from his side after the shock Capital One Cup defeat at League Two Bradford.
Punters will be tempted to focus on goals after the epic 7-5 (4-4 after 90 minutes) Arsenal win earlier in the League Cup. On that crazy night Reading led 4-0 before being pegged back right at the death before Arsenal scored three more in extra time.
Both teams to score will be a popular bet but best odds are just 8-11 at Blue Square. And over 3.5 goals will also be backed and that pays 6-4 (various).
But with precious points at stake it promises to be a much tighter affair and I'm considering time of the first goal after 31 minutes at 11-8 with William Hill. An even safer punt could be over 16 minutes at 4-9.
Arsenal were poor at Bradford and it's difficult to put much faith in them on the back of that display, especially as they are no bigger than 7-10 (various).
However, Reading are in worse state than the Gunners after five successive defeats – four on the road – and that's why they are biggest 9-2 with the likes of Betfred.
I watched the Bradford game and throughout the one Arsenal player who looked like he might score was centre-half Thomas Vermaelen. He eventually bundled home to force extra time and will be threat again at set-pieces tonight.
He is 22-1 with Coral and Stan James to score first and I'm backing him each-way or to net at any time at 15-2 with Coral.
There are three ties in the William Hill Scottish Cup which should finally get the go ahead after a thaw.
Poor old Dumbarton haven't played for weeks and if they don't start well they could be in trouble against a Hamilton side who picked up a good point at Dunfermline at the weekend and have been improving.
However, Billy Reid is without three players who starred at the weekend – the impressive Stevie May, Jonathan Page and Gary Fisher – and they'll be missed.
The sides drew 3-3 at the Bet Butler Stadium earlier this season and that remains Dumbarton's only home point so both teams to score should be backed.
I'm edging towards Accies at 1-1 with Betway and BetVictor but if Dumbarton can shake off the ring rust they could force a replay.
Morton are no bigger than 1-8 at Paddy Power to see off Highland League side Turriff United and should win comfortably after being held by the minnows up north.
The Greenock men are starting to threaten a title challenge in the First Division are on a good run. A decent crowd should turn out to see them book their last-16 slot and I'm looking at Morton -2 at 10-11 with Skybet.
SPL outfit St Johnstone should win the other tie at Cowdenbeath. Saints are no better than 1-2 at BetVictor against a side whose only recent win was against non-league Vale of Leithen in the Cup.
I don't have a strong opinion on either of the Spanish games tonight. Deportivo v Valladolid and Celta Vigo v Real Betis look too close to call.
Celta-Real games have finished 1-1 in their last four meetings so a draw could be the way to go. Draw or Betis is 4-5 at bet365 and unibet.
Deportivo need to tighten up a defence that's conceded 37 goals to have a chance. I don't see Valldolid losing but take bet365's 4-5 for both to score if you can get it.
Recommendations
Vermaelen to score
(15-2, Coral)
Morton -2
(10-11, Skybet)
Deportivo-Valladolid both to score
(4-5, bet365)
Monday 17th december.
TREBLE.
PAOK 6/5
Betis 11/4
kasimpasa 12/5
£50 = £1,352.50 Profit / Bet365
——————————————————–
Reading v Arsenal
2-2 Draw, J Roberts First Goal ! @ 100/1
——————————————————–
Horse Racing
2.55 Wolves
Solace 6/4
Single
—————
3.25 Wolves
La Estrella 11/8
Single
—————
2.05 Plumpton
Brunette’sonly 9/4
2.45 ffos las
Volador 13/2
Treble
————–
12.45 ffos las
Alborz 1/1
1.00 Plumpton
Cantlow 13/8
5.25 Wolves
On The Hoof 5/2
Treble
—————
1.15 ffos las
Leviathan 11/10
1.30 Plumpton
Uncle Jimmy 5/2
3.15 ffos las
Ulis De Vassy 1/1
3.55 Wolves
Chookie Hamilton 5/4
Lucky 15
——————
1.55 Wolves
Cabal / outside Punt of the day. 14/1
—————————————————————————–
Darts
Wright V Monk / Monk win @ 11/8
Webster V White / Webster Win @ 1/1
James wade to win 3-0 @ 6/5
——————————————————————————-
American Football
NY JETS to beat TEN Titans @ 21/20 1.40 am 18Th December
——————————————————————————–
Football 7 fold
Real Betis @ 9/4
Kasimpasa @ 2/1
PAOK @ 6/5
Millwall @ 11/5
Preston @ 6/4
Cambridge UTD @ 6/4
Forest Green @ 11/10
£2.60 = £2342.34 / Corals Shop.
Gamble for the weeks games.
——————————————————————————–
Chris, good luck with the bets. My tips are up and I’m off to the Record sports lunch so might be a while before I’m back on here.
I’m off to do a days work.
But…. will keep in touch with the horse racing on my mobile, via Betfair live feed.
Monday 17th december.
Horse Racing
3.25 Wolves
La Estrella 11/8 WIN
Single
————————–
12.45 ffos las
Alborz 1/1 WIN
1.00 Plumpton
Cantlow 13/8 WIN
5.25 Wolves
On The Hoof 5/2 WIN
Treble
—————————
2.55 Wolves
Solace 6/4 2ND
Single
—————————-
2.05 Plumpton
Brunette’sonly 9/4 P/U
2.45 ffos las
Volador 13/2 3RD
Double
—————————-
1.15 ffos las
Leviathan 11/10 4TH
1.30 Plumpton
Uncle Jimmy 5/2 2ND
3.15 ffos las
Ulis De Vassy 1/1 6TH
3.55 Wolves
Chookie Hamilton 5/4 WIN
Lucky 15
—————————–
1.55 Wolves
Cabal 14/1 5TH
—————————–
Darts
Wright V Monk / Monk win @ 11/8
Webster V White / Webster Win @ 1/1
James wade to win 3-0 @ 6/5
————————————————-
American Football
NY JETS to beat TEN Titans @ 21/20 1.40 am 18Th December
————————————————–
TREBLE.
PAOK 6/5
Betis 11/4
kasimpasa 12/5
£50 = £1,352.50 Profit / Bet365
—————————————-
Reading v Arsenal
2-2 Draw, J Roberts First Goal ! @ 100/1
—————————————-
Football 7 fold
Real Betis @ 9/4
Kasimpasa @ 2/1
PAOK @ 6/5
Millwall @ 11/5
Preston @ 6/4
Cambridge UTD @ 6/4
Forest Green @ 11/10
£2.60 = £2342.34 / Corals Shop.
Gamble for the weeks games.
—————————————–
Reading vs Arsenal
Over 3.5 Goals @ 13/8
William Hill.
4FOLD
Reading-Arsenal over 2.5 goals
Deportivo 2 score in the 1st half
Celta Vigo 2 score in the 1st half
Braunschweig 2 score in both halves
SINGLE – Gianna-PAOK BTTS
BTTS TREBLE
Kayserispor-Kasimpasa
Apeldoorn-Almere
Lens-Guingamp
Might put a squid on your mad lime Danny boy what odds we talkin for that roughly
stick it on a slip like this
Reading-Arsenal over 2.5 goals 4/7
Deportivo 2 score in the 1st half 10/11
Celta Vigo 2 score in the 1st half 5/6
Braunschweig 2 score in both halves 13/8
all to win accumulator 13.43/1
£40 on Vermaelen to score anytime @ 15/2
£15 on Vermaelem to score first goal @ 22/1
£15 on Vermaelem to score last goal @ 22/1
If he scores first or last the bet returns £685
If he scores first and last the bet returns £1030
If he scores anytime the bet returns £345.
I’d be more than happy with him to score anytime, if he scores first or last its a bonus.
Danny a like the look of the treble a teams bts to
just noticed there with the 4fold a priced it up last nyt at 16/1 and its now down to 13/1 pretty shite the btts treble pays 3.71/1 mince anaw priced at 5/1 last nyt aswell
Lens v guingamp
Telstar v graafschap
Celta Vigo v betis
Ascoli v brescia
Apledoorn v almere
Kayserispor v kasimpasa
Btts line what u think Danny boy
aye it looks no bad mate a wis looking at that telstar and theve not scored in 3 of there last 5 home games which isny to clever mite be the nyt the start scoring again right enough
Mr Chris Guy – are you up or down from the bookie recently?
All I see is you putting crazy month bets on!
A dont think vermalen will score for arsenal. Giroud if he starts
Gianna v paok on the btts line aswell.
Am going to go for the 14 goals. Btts mate do betfred do they slips during the week
dont have a clue about betfred mate if they dont have sheet just right it oot
Sound way up the now let you no outcome soon mate
Call me crazy bt I fancy a biggie on arsenal draw no bet
Celta Vigo v betis
Kayserispor v kasimpasa
Giannina v paok
Reggina v
Ascoli v brescia
Lens v guingamp
1.50 returns 78.76 William hill
least u got it on in william hill same bet online pays 88 bit shite how they dae that 78 wid still dae nicely but
Betfred only had 4 games for the day Danny.
Anton I hope you’re wrong.
Chris Harris I’m about £350 up from this weekend despite my losses on Friday and Sunday.
Chris a hope it does come up for you a would rather a punter won money out the bookies than the other way about. Could be dangerous from corners. Giroud if he starts would be ma pick
Draws-
Dep La Coruna
Lens
Maccabi Haifa
And Betis to win at Celta – 103/1
Btts- reading, celta, e braunschweig, kayserispor, Lens and Morton -2
Pays over 26/1
Good luck this week fellas and heres hopin for a top up in the funds dept before the festive period kicks in!!
32 % profit yesterday and 188 units at stake on Mr. Fixits tips for tonight. 64 % profit on the 188 units if 2/3 and 82 % back if just 1/3. Huge :-) if 3/3.
Vermaelen to score / 18 units
Morton -2 / 85 units
Deportivo – Valladolid BTTS / 85 units
The Dane.
The Dane, i watch and note your posts with great interest and you obviously do your homework on the maths side. Do you keep records and if so how are you faring these past few months
I mean that as out of curiousity alone
robert miller, I can assure you that I’m keeping record. Before even opening a bankroll on a tipster I check out their record to see if the tipster can keep up the numbers over a longer period of time. Mr. Fixit are such a tipster.
I’m making more profit (in percentages!) on competent tipsters than on other investments as an average. The only problem I face are limits.
The Dane.
I fancied draws in 2 games yesterday- Vitesse vs RKC and Genoa vs Torino.
I also did correct scores, Vitesee 1-1 and 2-2 and Genoa 0-0 and 1-1. 4 £1 singles and 4 £1 doubles.
Ofcourse half way through the Genoa match id noticed that for some reason I had wrote down the scores 0-0 and 2-2!!! The game finished 1-1 and through my own stupidity I lost at least 90-odd quid!!!
Jason we have all been there mate. I thought I’d won £400 on a first Goalscorer before as I didn’t confirm the bet online. Some just let the bet gone and others it checks the bets first. I was so annoyed as I genuinely thought that I had won the money. Worst feeling ever. Even worse when I had £200 on Rooney First Goal at 7/2 and as I was at work I just phoned Ladbrokes to find out the first scorer. She told me Rooney penalty and I said yes ya dancer. She then proceeded to explain to me that it said Rooney pen and had a wee picture of a football with a red line scored through it……… The rest is history lol
Ano Danny it’s a funny one how they do that. It would be a welcome win mate some priced at evens an a ,6/5 for the Greek game
Ha Chris thats a nightmare.
I always put my bets on online the night before, but didnt get a chance to so had to write them out on a slip. I’ll tell you, never again!!
Very good Chris guy
You not believe me Chris Harris?
A lot saying just as mr fixit that arsenal game will be tight and people tipping unders 2.5 and over 2.5 can’t make my mind up was gonna go big on overs but now thinking under is better value?! Any thoughts from everyone?
Arsenal to hit a bit of form all go 3-1 to the gunners
hope your right anton,ive got £10 on 3-1 arsenal at 11-1 and the scorecast for a £10 giroud and 3-1 at 40-1.
Tempted to leave arsenal alone, darts tip wright -1.5
Great darts tip !
Had Monk to win, but covered myself with the -1.5 peter wright after reading your tip !
Arsenal to score 4+ expect a big performance from gte gunners tonight, arteta and cazorla wi goals will help my SS fantasy football team
Craig, good tip on the Gunners. I fancied them to win but you never really know what to expect.
to anyone interested, betvictor are refunding any losing bets on outright winner if Phil Taylor wins world championships. bets have to be placed before second round matches start on 21st. offer valid up to £50. I’ll be lumping on Barney
Hi lads I’m new to this anyone fancy east fife tomorrow?
Dumbarton/bêtis double for me tonight!
Reading Dumbarton and 3 2nd div Dutch games Btts
Good luck all
Peter Brown I like your btts. Just tried to stick £40 on them
And they only allowed me to put £38 on so I’ve stuck the other £2 on 6 draws for over £3k return. I really hope I catch them out with a big win one day. That would be the ultimate revenge for them restricting my bets.
Paul/Chris, 3 dutch 2nd division games getting played tonite. Have the treble onn btts and over 2.5 goals
Who are the Dutch games?
St.johnstone, Hamilton, Arsenal
Giroud on the bench !
Had to change my bet for no jason Roberts.
so now on :
Reading 2 – 2 Arsenal
Pogrebnyak 1st scorer
@ 85/1, only a tenner on for some fun !
A hope it comes up for you James don’t have it on myself.
Dart bet and Danny’s greek btts in, good night so far
I’m on mark webster win, and james wade 3-0 !
Going up to the ladbrokes shop again on saturday to do another fourfold, hope they pay out on my last one, never dealt with these big bookies before
Mr Fixit……
Looks like the morton -2 tip is coming in !!
Morton 6 Nil WIN, Nice One !
Anyone fancy east fife tomorrow?
Mat, there playing Stranraer who have improved since they sacked their manager about 6 weeks ago, so much so that they beat second placed Alloa 3 2 on satday. I think Stranny are a tempting 7/2, but in saying that i would be happier with a plus 1 on Stranny at about EVENS
Mat, I’ll put up Tuesday tips in the morning.
Mr fix it I want to ask you something I went to bookies today to collect my bet from yesterday and they paid me out extra £200 pound can they recover that money from me
Al, just back from lunch. If they paid you out in cash there is no way of them getting it back off you. The only way would be if you bet by card and they credited your winnings to your account. If you return to the shop you might be asked for the money or be barred but that’s all.
Thanks Mr fixit
Al. They cant take it back if you dont tell them. Spend it. Wish that happened to me. Would be sinin and dancin! Enjoy it mate.
Any one got answer
I think I might to that alex
I wanted I new phone so I might just buy it tommorrow
Al
How do you know they paid you extra?? (Not being funny) are you sure it want attached to a bonus? Some coupons have 20% 33%…bonus over a certain amount of teams.
Ps I wouldn’t tell them in the million years!
I wrote 4 teams on a slip over 3.5 goal and I wrote the correct prices . their was no bonus
Shot hot from arsenal what a team goal that was. Arsenal of old
That’s Arsenal of old alright, leaking goals again, are reading gonna get the 4-4 draw !!
Darts
Webster V White / Webster Win @ 1/1
Nice one Webby 3-1 WIN, Back in Business
——————————————————-
James wade to win 3-0 @ 6/5
This is it ” The Machine ” time to get back on track, 3 nil james wade coming in !!!!!
DARTS
Caven 3-0 @13/8
—————————-
A said arsenal of old before they lost the 2 goals. And the way they had been cutting reading opening. That will need to be 5 all now.
Open not opening
Rob miller…cheers for the advice but they’ve only scored 3 goals away from home n conceded somet like 16 n they’ve lost all 6 games on the road and east fife doing well since they appointed a new manager
Anyone win anything on the reading v arsenal game then ?
I only did a couple of £10 scorecasts….. I don’t lump on correct scores, or first goal scorers. Just have a few quid on now and then just for fun while i watch the games.
I only tend to lump on singles, doubles or trebles, rarely do a big accumulator, unless i do a yankee, or a Heinz.
Scorecasts, first scorers, big accumulators, even doing 5 folds on BTTS, isn’t the way to go if your trying to make a profit !
I have made a £728.00 profit on the horses today, and doing okay in the darts at the moment !
17 Dec
15:05 Plumpton – J H Builders Handicap Chase
12 Ballyman (IRE) 1st Win £300.00 2.9 £570.00
My Biggest WIN of the day !
That was until Betis just scored, GET IN THERE !!!!!!!!!!
Mr Fixit, were you on that Betis win, i got it at 11/4, BIG money coming back !
Chris, my main bet was Morton -2 and had a smaller stake at -3. Wasn’t sure about the two Spanish games so in the end did a double chance double on them plus Arsenal for a treble that paid about 7-1. Of course I backed Vermaelen but it was a speculative 22-1 chance and I don’t understand why anyone would moan that he didn’t score.
Darts
——-
Webster V White / Webster Win @ 1/1
Nice one Webby 3-1 WIN, Back in Business
—————————————————————————–
James wade to win 3-0 @ 6/5
This is it ” The Machine ” time to get back on track, 3 nil james wade coming in !!!!!
3 – 0 WADE !!!!!!!! GET IN !!
——————————————
Last bet of the day :
Caven 3-0 @13/8
Vermaelen might not have scored but the high odds on him ment I got 82 % of my stake back on a 1/3 day. If I had invested the same amount on all 3 I would have lost 39 % instead of 12 %.
The Dane.
Typical was waiting on betis draw for 240
Phew, that real betis game at very end was a nail-biter. Luckily my 11-4 came in, but it was down to huge luck, somehow celta missed all those frantic chances.
Any bankers around evens tomorrow lads?
Mat, you don’t get bankers at evens but you might get some decent tips. As I said I’ll be posting in the morning.
Forest Green to Beat Braintree Town 1/1
Chris, I’ll have a look at that. Going for a lie down after nine-hour session and will take a good look at games in the morning.
No Worries Mr Fixit, i am lumping on Forest green at 1/1 on bet365, i expect that to be a shorter price tomorrow.
My Only football bet tomorrow.
Single
Forest Green to beat Braintree Town @ 1/1
Annan to beat rangers 25/1 bet 365. You should put a 10 spot on it Chris. If you are up. you never know anything can happen.
I’m a realistic my friend…. and i don’t touch scottish football !
Anton, Annan won’t beat Rangers so don’t let your heart rule your head and save your dosh.
Good tip Paul but no use when a shoved it in treble wi Hamilton and btts in celta vigo game, had fiver on it at 8/1. Only gd thing is ma fantasy team will gain a few points wi cazorla 3 gls an assist and MOM, probably a popular pick tho
Sound Chris fair enough.
Forest green are 21/20 with hills Chris
Cheers mate….
Just got Forest Green WIN @ 11/10 on betfair !
Chris, I’ve had a look at Braintree v Forest Green and I’m leaving it alone. I don’t think Forest Green are the “banker” they’ve been tagged. It looks a tight one and in that case I’ll be leaving it out.
Okay no worries, definetly a Forest Green win then, just like Betis hahaha, only joking with ya !
Tuesday 16th December
Horse Racing
————-
Lingfield
———–
12.50
Prince of prophets 9/4
1.20
Lucky Mark 6/1
1.50
Roys Legacy 5/1
2.20
Fairyinthewind 13/8
Folkestone
———–
12.30
Tealissio
1.00
Talkonthestreet
2.00
Flowerbud 11/4
2.30
Witch’s Hat 2/1
Catterick Bridge
—————–
12.10
Saroque 7/4
12.40
Floras Pride 7/1
1.10
Tick Tocker
1.40
Ballyoliver 5/2
2.10
Royal Deal 11/4
———–
Treble tip
———–
12.50
Prince of Prophets 9/4
2.20
Fairyinthewind 13/8
1.40
Ballyoliver 5/2
£10 = £288.59
Caven beaten by Bowles !! Unbelievable, Brilliant game of Darts !!
Mario Gomez first goal tomorrow @ 3/1. Get on troops.
£50 ew Gomez first goal and £50 last goal
Brighton at home to Millwall, evens for them to score 2 or more with paddy power, i think that’s worth a tenner
Think il go with a bayern win and brentford at just under evens
chasing my loses tomorrow with a btts treb for a £100
oxford v accrington btts
schalke v mainz btts
maritimo v sporting btts
pays £513.80
Big thanks to Mr fixit for the Morton tip, thanks to Danny for Greek btts tip, thanks to Anton for betis tip (was unsure about that one) along with my darts tip a very good evening
magic Rob dont know what bookies are thinking a cant recall seing a greek game less than evens for btts tend to come up but when top teams are away to mid table the lower teams against each other mite let it down a bit
Catterick tips – 12.40 Knight valiant. 2.10 royal deal. 2.40 sacre toi.
Folkestone tips – 3.00 stravita. 3.30 landenstown star
Lingfield tips – 3.20 fortrose academy
Harris hawk 8/1 – 1.40 cat
Any given moment 9/1 – 2.10 cat
Lastkingofscotland 4/1 – 3.20 lf
Chevise 4/1 – 2.20 lf
Flowered 7/2 – 2.00 folkstone
Achieved 7/1 – 3.00 folkstone
Just 20p doubles and 10p trebles BOG @bet365 but Couldny resist after seeing horse tips up here :) here’s hoping a get suhin bak
I do the same Craig alves, 10p stakes on nags
do u think malaga can win agaist eibar tonight in copa del rey… ?
as malaga play real madrid this weekend
Jeff, I’d like to see Malaga team first. Remember this is a two-legged tie so don’t need to win tonight.
Too easy to lose large amounts of £ at bookies nowadays rob wi a race every 10 mins, sometimes less wi Irish racing, and the dogs racing all day, end up chasing money and leaving bookies skint. Placepots and quadpots are decent for low stakes and gettin decent run for your £, 70p place and 30p quads. Good luck for today
Was gonna take if in doubt in the 1st at folkstone but left it cos there was no early prices
Lee Mcculloch fs for rangers 3/1
Templeton for me don’t know the odds right enough
Ano a was just being silly in a way. But front two possibly missing . Sandaza rusty. U never know. A just thought if Chris was up a good amount would have worth a punt he’s not interested an a suppose it’s not a great surprise
my punt for today is :
Verona win or draw @ 12/5
Chris, I’ve put Milan in my treble. They are unbeaten at home in Coppa Italia since 2004 and treat it quite seriously. I might hold my bet until I see team news but they look good to me.
Freiburg/Bayern Munich double
Freiburg -1 single
In doubt replaced any given day, lost some early prices but feck it