LAST night I hinted at the sides I was looking at for my treble and I've decided to go with Liverpool, Napoli and Valencia.
Liverpool are pretty short but I've explained my reasons for backing them elsewhere. Napoli are in a fight for second place in Serie A and should beat Genoa after netting eight in their last two games while Valencia can't afford a slip-up at home to Valladolid as they chase a Champions League spot.
Other sides I looked included Inter, but they have striking problems for their home clash against Atalanta, and St Etienne but site regulars will know my feelings on French football.
Having said that after much deliveration I'm going with Stade de Reims as my Super SIngle as they take on faltering Lyon. Reims are a best 3-1 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power against a side who have slumped 11 points behind leaders PSG after a winless March that included two draws and two defeats.
Reims have lost once in four and have won their last two home games 1-0 against Rennes and PSG. That 3-1 on Reims is tempting but for the single I'm playing safer with Reims draw no bet at 7-4 with Ladbrokes.
Top Treble
Liverpool (1.30pm)
Napoli (7.45pm)
Valencia (8pm)
Pays £26.13 to a £10 stake at Titanbet
Super Single
Reims draw no bet (4pm)
(7-4, Ladbrokes)
QPR v Wigan (4.10pm)
Napoli v Genoa (7.45pm)
QoS v Partick Th (4.05pm)
Pays a biggest £79.70 to a £10 stake at Betway
STAKING PLAN DEMONSTRATION.
GAME 7/10.
St. Etienne – Evian (1.00 UK)
St. Etienne -0.75 ( half odds if win by one goal)
Odds: 1,65
Stake: 10.50 units (or 5.25% of the fixed 200 units bankroll for ten games in this series)
Next bet (Ajax) at the end of the above game.
The Dane.
BET OF THE DAY
————–
In Transylvania, 11 of Gloria Bistrita’s last 15 Romanian Liga 1 home games have produced Under 2.5 Goals and this season so have 10/12 Rapid Bucharest away matches.
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.6 in Gloria Bistrita v Rapid Bucharest
2 super singles QOS going to xtra time in previous 3 rounds being my reason,Partick win extra time 10/1,QOS win extra time 11/1,both are quoted @ 12/1 win on pens.Take 2 picks add 1 each to a double or treble line you fancy and for a small sum you may get a huge return,good luck.
I hope there was someone that noted what id suggested above and cleaned up :)
Gutted!!! my thinking was proven correct in te stats id found but id backed Partick on xtra time and pens,wish id also covered QOS…im now looking for a wee midweek treble wit Basle my 1st pick at a massive 8/5 home to spurs minus bale….would you consider that ”buying money?”
Sean, you can never “buy money”. I’d always back both when betting on a shoot-out winner just because it’s a lottery.
I’ve never posted tips on here before but after having won 8/10 over 2.5 goals treble in the past two weeks, I thought I would share my tips. All I go off is the stats. My treble for today is :
Liverpool v West Ham
We all know how Liverpool like to score over 2.5 goals at home and with West Hams recent form so poor, I can;t see how it wont be over 2.5.
NEC Nijmegen v AZ Alkmaar – Dutch Eridivise
Quite simply, 13 out of 14 AZ Alkmaars away league games this season have finished over 2.5 goals. NEC’s last 5 home league games have been over 2.5.
Aarau v Wil – Swiss Challenge League
Wil are a hidden gem that I haven’t seen anyone else tip. Every single one of Wil’s away games has been over 2.5 goals which is a good enough reason to have it in any treble. Their opponents are table toppers Aarau who have a 3.3 goals per a game average when they play at home.
A £10 bet returns 41.16 with SkyBet.
Have to admit im liking the cut of your jib matt :)
DENMARK.
Three games today from Denmark and nice value to be found in all three.
Randers have beaten struggling Brondby twice all ready this season where the last meeting in Brondby are a month old and was won 2-0 by Randers. Brondby had a lucky win last time out but will not be as lucky against a Randers side who have conceded just one goal in their last six games.
I’m on Randers at a very high odds.
Horsens – FC Nordsjalland (1.00 UK)
FC Nordsjalland
Odds: 2,00
Stake: €13.00 (or 2.6% of the fixed €500.00 bankroll for this Superliga only series)
Randers – Brondby (4.00 UK)
Randers
Odds: 2,30
Stake: €11.00 (2.2%)
FC Copenhagen – OB Odense (6.00 UK)
Odense to score
Odds: 1,50
Stake: €17.00 (3.4%)
29.05% interest on the €500.00 so far.
The Dane.
I’ve been building up a pot for a Sunday lump, I’m thinking of going for the following:-
Liverpool – West Ham – Liv to score 2+
Chelsea – Sunderland – Chelsea to score 2+
QPR – Wigan – over 2.5
The stats say a resounding yes to all 3 but we all know how stats can work out….
I’m pretty confident but keep doubting myself when I go to press the button.
Anyone got any good reasons why they think this won’t happen? :D
unders in greece, heaps of them, will post my thoughts in a few minutes
sochaux let me down yest, 12/13, damned 00 draw
Ht liverpool…tot v everton 2nd half most goals…molotof 2.30 ascot. Treble pays over 5/1.
greek super leage
Panthrakikos v OFI
Asteras Tripolis v Xanthi
Platanias v Olympiakos Piraeus
all under or possibly first two with olympiakos away won
greek etniki b
after a bizarre goal fest last match day, one game had 7 goals in it ffs!!, things should hopefully settle back down to the boring normality of greek 2nd tier football
9 games on this afternoon
i’d recommend picking 7/9 of these today as being under 2.5 or individual bets:-
Panaitolikos win
Olympiakos Volos win
Pierikos v Kavala draw and under
Iraklis v Kallonis most likely to be over and draw
Apollon Smirnis v Vyzas 2nd most likely overs
i’d leave out the iraklis psachna game from unders bet too but the other three fixtures all look brain numbingly tedious low scoring games
Bixie, all look like good bets except for Iraklis v Kallonis. Its going to be under 2.5. Iraklis have an average of 1.8 home goals and Kollonis have an average of 0.9 away goals.
Kollonis, 13/14 away games under 2.5 goals. Also, they have only scored one and conceded 1 in the last 5 games, four of them being 0-0 draws.
kallonis involved in that 7 goaler last week and iraklis scored two away from home, we shall see mate, couldnt find a price for it anyway!!
matt, you were right about the unders in the iraklis-kallonis game, we’ll have to get our heads together for the next round of games next saturday ok??
Just hope that liverpool turn up at home today. Looks like every man his dog is on them to win by a hatful. Am waiting on them to by 2 goals for 768 return. Good luck guys.
Clippy looks good to me mate, very good chance of that happening.
Cheers Cam! I’ve gone for it as I know how annoyed I get when I pick something and then change it, only for the original thought to come in!
Might be worth sticking a couple of shekels on 3 0-0’s just in case though…… :)
Let’s not forget the last time we all lumped on Liverpool v West Brom!
my most regular bookies, skybet and bet365 seem to have stopped offering unders odds on etniki b, or limiting the games, the swines!
Mr.f `why dont you post up your strike rate and losses along with your terrible tips? where r u getting all the money to keep losing,or do you even back half of the tips you put up?
Mikie, why don’t you follow someone else. I’ve posted wins all week, including a 35-1 or so draws treble yesterday and a 10-1 aways treble. If you haven’t been on that’s your tough luck.
UHT. Your right there. But if liverpool gdt a early goal today can see the floodgates open up! Plus they dont have carroll up front today. Big reds win for me! I HOPE!
just a wee acca for interest when I was down gettin the papers. 300/1
spurs v everton draw
newcastle v fulham draw
qpr v wigan draw
sampdoria
valencia
basle
I’m trying not to think about that UHT!
I’m going for the optimistic ‘lightning generally doesn’t strike twice’ approach! :D
I’m just basing it on stats –
Liverpool last homes scored 3/3/5/0/5/3
West Ham last aways conceded 2/0/2/0/5/1
And, I can’t be wrong ALL the time. Right?
I had a tenner last night on Deportivo (won 3-2), Maccabi Tel Aviv (won 2-0), Sligo -1 (won 2-0) and Bologna who went 2-1 up in 86 mins and conceded a last kick of the ball equaliser to gub me for £130… Today I’m looking for a bit of value. I like the look of Newcastle 23/20, Sampdoria 10/11, Basel 21/20 and Randers 11/10. Tenner on they 4 returns £176. Good luck to everyone having a punt.
Newell’s old boys (10/11)
in the Argentinian Premier league look a good price tonight K.O 22.10.
Having landed my treble super single rugby and E/W selections in the national its fair to say ive had worse Saturdays. My super single was going to be Fulham but having slept on it, Im still going to back them but for no other reason then a gut instinct.
TOP TREBLE
Liverpool
Napoli
Partick
SUPER SINGLE
Remy to score anytime 17/10
BONKERS BET 1
QPR 3 WIGAN 2 PAYS 33/1
BONKERS BET 2
QPR 2 WIGAN 3 PAYS 40/1
Also kone looks well worth supporting to score anytime 12/5.
Good luck if your having a bet
The chief, just back from the football, Super Single and other tips up soon.
I Greek bet down after 27 mins,I think that’s a new personal best!
Tonight, WrestleMania 29 is live from midnight on Sky Sports Box Office.
For anyone who may be interested, you can have 1/12 with Paddy Power on The Undertaker defeating CM Punk.
The Undertaker is undefeated at WWE’s WrestleMania event and has a winning streak of 20-0.
It’s inevitable that The Undertaker’s winning streak will continue and a price of 1/12 is surely lump on material, even for those punters who may not have the slightest knowledge of WWE.
Surely lumping on a known fixed pantomime wrestling match has got to be a joke?
1/12 on the undertaker ,hahahhaha
I would say Undertaker will either get beaten or disqualified, bound to be some match interference from someone
Is this ”fight” your lumping on WWE for the xbox360 or playstation?
hahahah that is all!!!
Id want to know some stats for the 2 guys with the pads before i considered ”lumping on”
James are you for real? Who actually bets on wrestling surely that’s the equivalent of betting on eastenders etc strange
Rory, actually it’s pretty big business, laods of money on the ufc events. At the end of the day a win’s a win whether it’s on football, tiddlywinks or even curling.
I have just joined Titan Bet and I think they have a very good offer:
Who says you don’t get a second chance? Now you can with Titan Bet!
Second Chance Scorer is the fantastic and completely EXCLUSIVE Titan Bet offer, where you can place a bet on Correct Score, First, Last or Anytime goalscorer and if you lose, we will a refund your bet up to £/€/$10! Why place your bets anywhere else?!
Also William Hill regularly give £5, £7 & £10 free bets on casino & slots.
(with both bookies, make sure you read the terms and conditions, also probably best to make a few other bets to keep them sweet!!!)
James c, it’s a decent offer. The thing is when opening accounts look at the offers, markets, prices etc then decide. I don’t understand why people open an account then criticise the bookie.
Ditto, though I do have gripes with most bookies due to closures and restrictions. I follow certain tipsters and I reckon they think I’m into arbitrage. But, who can resist NO LOSE bets, LOL!!!!
Il Tell you who I do think win will The Rock to pin John Cena 123 @ 4/1 paddy power
STAKING PLAN DEMONSTRATION.
GAME 8/10.
Ajax – Heracles (3.30 UK)
Ajax -1.5
Odds: 1.42
Stake: 9.40 units (or 4.7% of the fixed 200 units bankroll for the ten games in this series)
Next bet (FC Copenhagen) at the end of the above game.
The Dane.
Anzhi mugs dun ma treble
A knew it mate a had a feeling earlier said to myself he will add a stupid team in that he likes the look off and they will waste him
A had zenit, nordsjelland, anzhi. 5 returned 15.95.
Cunts at home. Thought they would have won at home an went on a good run. But they have been rotten for weeks. Ajax at 1/8 left out and a forgot about olympialos. Was going to lump 10.95 on qpr Lyon, Rosenborg, Valencia, napoli
QPR too get me off to a flyer :)
Mr.F I think you know your stuff but i fail to see the logic in your backing of Liverpool at such short odds. Time and time again they fail as short priced favourites. Anything less than even money and they simply arent worth the risk!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I reckon that Mr Fixit has quite a decent record when it comes to tipping and I think I have made a bit of profit by following him for the last couple of years, but the team who has definitely let me down most over the last 30 years is Liverpool, hence I bet them to draw today!
Hank, I might have missed it but I didn’t notice your West Ham draw bet before the game. Unfortunately Liverpool let me own but if you’re looking at logic then logically they should have won.
Mr.F you didnt see my west ham draw tip because it was a game i wouldnt have touched with a barge pole. i actually done 20 pound on spurs, newcastle and qpr all to draw :(
James C, did you tip up the draw on here? As I said I don’t like Liverpool at that price but on current form they should have won.
No Mr Fixit, I did not tip them, as you can probably see I very rarely tip anything! I know we all have different reasons but I don’t like to inflict my tips on anyone else, cos they are no more valid than yours or Mileseys or anybody else! My point was that I laid Liverpool due to 30 years of letting me down, but your analysis on current form was accurate, so fair play to you!!! Maybe in another 30 years you’ll agree with me!!!!
James C, if you read my piece you’ll see I probably agree with you now!
Yes, I can see where you are coming from! My analysis was based on 30 years of Liverpool letting me down, but your analysis was on current form, which is the way to go!!!
Girona Futbol Club @ 1.727
(Match Betting – 90 Mins)
CD Santa Clara @ 1.800
(Match Betting – 90 Mins)
Multiple Type: Double
Stake: 10.00
Possible Return: 31.09
Ive just come from behind the couch point could be good especially if Chelsea lose, a wwe tip if 1/12 can be considered a tip, surely the wrestlers/actors know the outcome already.
the chief, I’m not sure about whether some bouts are pre-determined and don’t bet on it but it’s big business whether you’re a fan or not. And if I put up a 1-12 tip I’d be shot.
1/12 shots Mr F..BANG! BANG! BANG!;-)
Remy Anytime @ 2.5 seems pretty Decent
Hank, the logic was simple. Liverpool had won 5 out of their last win home games, and West Ham had lost 5 of their 6 away games. I can understand why you would be reluctant to take a short price on the Liverpool win, but the stats all pointed to a home win. Personally I took the -1.5 Asian Handicap as Loverpool had won by more than two goals in four of their last five home victories as I believed this offered better value, but unfortunately these results happen, and I don’t believe it is fair to point figures, as it is by no means anyone’s fault.
In hindsight, I wished I took the Liverpool clean sheet, but to be honest if I went down that road, I would have taken the Win to Nil anyway so would still have lost.
Dean, exactly. Logically Liverpool were the bet so anyone who questions the logic knows nothing about betting. 2-1 Chelsea now.
Logic would be to completely avoid Liverpool when they are heavily expected to win. Stats and form count for nothing with Liverpool who for years have consistently showed ‘top 4’ form in patches which is then usually followed up with a result such as todays or Southampton a few weeks back. How many times do they have to let down before people say enough is enough and stop taken them as a banker??
I was also on Liverpool, despite remembering West Brom!
Meanwhile, in Germany, Nurnberg have ruined my day by grabbing a winner. Not often I’m sitting with flashscores in a corner of the computer begging an equaliser to go in late in the match, but… tipping draws isn’t easy!
For anyone looking at a good shot shortly, I still think Hannover will have enough to see off Stuttgart – it kicks off in 5 minutes, but my double is already blown!
Hannover – VfB Stuttgart H2.30 D3.34 A3.01
Hannover are 5th best home side in Bundesliga after the four you’d expect – Bayern, Dortmund, Leverkusen and Schalke – their home record is W8 D3 L2 F28 A15. The last tine they lost at home was 17th November. Since then, home record is 5 wins and a draw. The draw was last time out against Freiburg, who are fourth best away side in the Bundesliga.
Stuttgart are fifth best away side over the season, W6 D2 L6 F15 A23, but a large proportion of the winning part of that record was achieved early doors. Recent results in all games are lost seven of last ten and three of last four. Two wins and one draw in the others. The two wins have been away at decent mid-table-ish sides, Eintracht and Hoffenheim, but Hannover are a step up at home.
Home win Hannover.
The UHT, I mentioned Nurnberg as a possible Super Single last night and quite fancied them but equally Mainz have drawn a lot of games recently so I went with the Stade pick.
Easy money after 30minutes!
Girona 2-0 up with Murcia down to 10 men, and Santa Clara up 1-0. Small in-play bet on Maritimo Double Chance win/draw to hedge stake. Happy Days!
Good Luck UHT with Hannover, I think they are a great value bet. I may get on them in-play, but I’ll see how the opening 10, 15 minutes go, providing there isn’t a goal
Ha ha Mr f I missed the IF a 1/12 tip can be considered a tip on my last comment, qpr down to ten men, gonna keep my eyes on in play odds. la liga tonight Getafe v atletico do u fancy it as a Btts, Mr F maybe in a double with Valencia
greek etniki b
after a bizarre goal fest last match day, one game had 7 goals in it ffs!!, **(there was another 2-5 today!!)** things should hopefully settle back down to the boring normality of greek 2nd tier football
9 games on this afternoon
i’d recommend picking 7/9 **(there were 8/9 unders)** of these today as being under 2.5 or individual bets:-
Panaitolikos win **WON**
Olympiakos Volos win **WON**
Pierikos v Kavala draw and under **WON** **WON**
Iraklis v Kallonis most likely to be over and draw **LOST**
Apollon Smirnis v Vyzas 2nd most likely overs
i’d leave out the iraklis psachna game from unders bet too but the other three fixtures all look brain numbingly tedious low scoring games
so there were 8/9 under in etniki b, some serious studying of this league necessary to work out which will be high scoring, i picked the wrong one, and interestingly the two online bookies i use have recently stopped offering odds on a lot of these being either under or BTNTS, they’re like kids at school, i’m taking my ball home with me, they spot a bet where we win often and they stop offering prices
oh well. i won nowt, but i was close
liverpool game my main gripe, 0-0, who’d have thought it!!
and as for sampdoria!! i guess palermo buoyed up by beating roma and pretty much need to win all games to stay in serie a
ps you were right about the unders in the iraklis-kallonis game, we’ll have to get our heads together for the next round of games next saturday ok??
Get on Wigan 11/10 in play playing against 10 men gunna be a long 2nd half for qpr I reckon
Our good friends Videoton playing at 5.30pm gents
Over 2.5 goals 17/20
Videoton -1 6/5
Videoton over 2.5 goals 2/1
Done 3 draws newcastle scored 93minute let me down for €400 for €10 bet do your head in wankers
STAKING PLAN DEMONSTRATION.
GAME 9/10.
FC Copenhagen – OB Odense (6.00 UK)
Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.70
Stake: 7.70 units (or 2.85% of the fixed 200 units bankroll for the ten games in this series)
Next bet (Benfica) at the end of the above game.
The Dane.
really surprised no one has mentioned Shakthar Donetsk, played 22 won 21, 10 away wins and 1 loss, they also beat Dynamo Kiev by at least 2 goals in there last 3 meetings, 7-5 seems great value.
Good spot Sean Ur a man in form..think Mr F should ask you to do a special piece under Big Jock psudonym? :-)
‘arry Wednapp be rrrrippin….”hez a twwwwiffffic laaaaaad…a top laaaaaaad….QPRr a twwwwiffffffic club” :-) Queens English at all times
spotted it Sean but didn’t bet, nice one tho, or nice one from four I should say!?
haha i didnt know u could bet on wrestling not watched it since i was 17 but just looked at the odds on paddypower and i know the likes of brock lesnar, mark henry and chris jericho and if you put all them three in a treble it pays 42/1 on 3 guys to win surley worth a punt
Anyone know if Soldado’s back for tonight?
Nice one, Sean.
That would have made up for the stinker I’m having today…!
That said, I like the look of Atlanta as suggested by Milesey – I’m taking them +1, and I’m going for Valencia and Napoli (both -1) on a glorious small-stakes treble to get back about half the stake I lumped on Liverpool.
Maybe the lesson of this is not to rub your hands together like Michael Owen scoring at Wembley while placing a bet, but rather to wait until the game’s actually been played.
I’ll think about that at the pub while these games are playing!
soccerway have it down as no players sidelined for valencia so he should play
Thanks Eddy
Spurs, Chelsea -1.5, Fulham/draw double chance and Wigan… That is the best coupon I’ve put on in ages!!!
But… I don’t care because Rodney Cisse is a Legend (and a donkey)!!!
Well, made a huge profit of £11 on the Videoton game, haha! Only one of my three singles came in but luckily it was the one I had most on!
Not sure if any of you saw the stats but f**k me, Videton had 18 shots on target and 14 off target ( and they missed a late penalty)
Greg, sounds unlucky. I was happy to get my Super Single up after much debate although in the end all the ones I had on my final shortlist came in – Nurnberg and Wigan draw no bet who I mentioned. I also fancied Crewe in 90 minutes and Queen of the South to win the Ramsdens Cup. Tipped those two in the Record but didn’t have time to write-ups this morning.
STAKING PLAN DEMONSTRATION.
GAME 10/10.
Olhanense – Benfica (8.15 UK)
Olhanense +2
Odds: 1,50
Stake: 13.60 units (or 6.8% of the fixed 200 units bankroll for the ten games in this series)
The Dane.
Titou, I’ve backed Soldado anytime and was waiting for team news, and he does start, I’ve also done Jonas anytime at 6/4 and Valencia-1 at 13/5, Valencia have pretty good record against valladolid.
Good luck with your bets
The Chief, i decided not to take Soldado tonight i did back Valencia however, Jonas you little legend Get in son Nice Call on the Anytime aswell.
Just been informed that Newcastle stoppage time winner burst ma burds 4 draws in the daily record betrescue tipster, she was aw excited tae haha. others were watford, qpr and spurs games. shocker wi Liverpool tho, suarez and rvp ma 2 strikers in fantasy team gonna cost me my 2nd place ig they finny pull their fingers oot. Manchester and Rome derby tomorrow, red cards in both looks likely as do 2 draws
Craig, I’m sure that would have won it for her.
Newels old boys 11/10 to win at home tonight. Won 4/5 games and 1 draw .colon lost all 3 of there away games . letting in a average of 2 goals a game…home win must be a banker.
.
probably would, my mistake on it is always going for 6 teams at evens or thereabouts and never been close, gotta change ma strategy next season and stop chasing the big win….its a marathon not a sprint :)
seen a few folk talking about Martin laird on here and he’s top of the leader board at texas open wi the best round of the wk apparently. anyone onto a winner??
Craig, don’t think anyone would have backed Laird the form he was in. Beat McIlroy by two shots to book his Augusta place. Just hope Milesey didn’t lay Rory too much.
2 footy bets this weekend and both won. Both put on with only briefly looking at recent form too. My new approach seems to be working at the moment. I used to spend so long looking at all sorts and to not much success. Now I focus on certain leagues and don’t look for long. 38/1 6fold yesterday, 10/1 4fold today. Unfortunately only £3 and £8 staked
Anyone fancy boca tonight?
I don’t fancy them one bit. Haven’t started the season well, wand Lanus are sitting at the top at the moment, albeit early stages of their season. I would fancy Lanus to win, or draw at worst
Small stake on Lanus half time/full time at 29/10
Gone for in pkay draw boca 4/1
Not bad value. Even first half based on statistics so far