ROSS CLARK’S Cheltenham tips came good yesterday when track-specialist Bob’s Worth landed the RSA at 9-2 as Grand Crus disappointed many favourite backers. Here he previews two of Thursday’s races at the famous Festival.
A very open affair, and of course being a handicap is more open to some longer odds winners. Over the last 10-11 years winners have included 14/1, 16/1, 18/1, 20/1 and 50/1. Age looks important, tending to be 6-9 year olds favoured, though Buena Vista, winner of the race for the last two years is now 11 and can’t be ruled out. Winners have Class 3+ wins behind them, and winning experience of 20 furlongs plus. 11-2 looks to be the maximum weight ideally.
We’ve looked at the various criteria and have settled on a few double odds options. The short list is Buena Vista, Cape Tribulation, Sir Keezbah, Thehillofuisneach, Grand Vision and Sunnyhill Boy.
I’m not sure Thehillofuisneach or Cape Tribulation are quite classy enough to win this.
Grand Vision is, but is given a handicap hike of 14lb for its last win, which had Sunnyhill Boy behind it. The latter however has course winning experience which the former does not.
I also like Sir Keezbah who will prefer the going and is a CD winner, though his rating is now up.
The selections are Buena Vista, Sir Keezbah and Sunnyhill Boy, all each way.
Ross Clark’s Tips:
- Buena Vista 0.5pt each way
- Sir Keezbah 0.5pt each way
- Sunnyhill Boy 0.5pt each way
Alberta’s Run has won this the last two years and enters as officially top-rated horse. However, this is a negative as far as race trends are concerned.
He has beaten two other joint top rated, Rubi Light and Poquelin, before and I would not be fancying either of those.
There is a strong positive though to a previous course winner who is one of the leaders in the betting market. The only runner to satisfy this double criterion is Noble Prince, currently around 6-1.
A bit further out in the betting is Great Endeavour at 12-1 but he has been out of the first three in his last two races which is a negative.
Noble Prince ticks all the boxes, won last year’s Jewson and will be hard to beat. The other main potential winners are Medermit, Riverside Theatre and Somersby.
I’m not convinced Somersby will follow up on his excellent Ascot win in the Victor Chandlers in January.
I like the other two, probably preferring Riverside Theatre who beat Medermit at Ascot last month.
However there is a doubt over Riverside Theatre’s liking for Cheltenham, so my advice in this race is to back Noble Prince each way.
Ross Clark’s Tip
- Noble Prince 1pt each way