May 27: The Voice of Value Racing Tips

Punchestown

SOME nice racing today across the country with good cards at York, Chester and Haydock in particular. I’ve picked out a bit of value in three races, one at each of those tracks.

2.40pm York

Quite an open race where you can make a case for a few of them but the one that I think is overpriced is the filly ALYSSA from Ralph Beckett’s yard.

She battled back between horses gamely to win a listed race at the end of last season after improving remarkably right through the season.  She was a troublesome type before races at times and also didn’t settle too well during her races so if things have improved on that front over the winter she could be even better this season.

The only race she lost last season after her maiden win was a Group 2 at Doncaster when she didn’t settle well and when she did start to improve she got a bump in running that ruined her chances.  I like her chances each way in this today assuming Ralph Beckett has worked his magic over the summer.

2.55pm Haydock

RUSUMAAT is the second string for Hamdan Al Maktoum, at least on paper, but there isn’t much in it and he has been pretty consistent in his last two runs over 7 furlongs.  On both occasions he ran on near the end suggesting that an extra furlong wouldn’t be a problem.

His previous run at Musselburgh over a mile can be ignored because it was his first race of the season and probably wasn’t fit. I think a mile today will suit him perfectly and he has been underrated.

3.05pm Chester

The market for this race is governed by Fastnet Tempest, who won nicely two weeks ago at Ascot and you can understand why he is a short priced favourite today. However, today’s trip round the quirky bends of Chester is a completely different prospect to the straight 7 furlongs at Ascot and I think prices like 5-4 are very short.

That leaves some value elsewhere in the market and the one I am keen on is multiple course and distance winner SOUND ADVICE. He loves it here and although he is on a reasonably high handicap mark that’s because he won last time out (over course and distance again). He is nicely drawn from stall 6 and I can see him going really close at a nice each way price.

Recommendations:

  • 2.40 York – Alyssa – 1pt each way at 10-1 with Bet365 (1/4 odds 3 places)
  • 2.55 Haydock – Rusumaat – 1pt each way at 12-1 with William Hill and Paddy Power
  • 3.05 Chester – Sound Advice – 2pt each way at 11-1 with Ladbrokes
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