SCOTLAND fans have a stark choice tonight – back your team or win some money.
I fear the worst for Gordon Strachan’s men after suffering 90 minutes of torture watching a woeful 1-0 defeat in Georgia on Friday night.
Scotland often play better against top sides but world champions Germany look set to hammer a nail into Euro 2016 qualification hopes.
Strachan’s side played well in a 2-1 defeat in Dortmund last year but the Germans were suffering a Rio hangover.
On the evidence of Friday’s 3-1 defeat of Poland they’ve found the cure.
After their plane-crazy journey home from Tbilisi – when they didn’t arrive in Glasgow until breakfast time on Friday – the Scots stars will have had one full day’s rest and while changes will be made tiredness could play a part.
So it’s Germany for me and as they’re no bigger than 1-2 at Stan James let’s consider them minus one at 13-10 with Paddy Power. A 2-0 or 3-1 German win looks the shout.
Thomas Muller hit two against the Scots last year and bagged the opener against the Poles. He’ll be well backed at 9-2 with Coral to score first. Even more of a threat could be Mario Gotze – hit netted a double last week – who is 5-1 at Ladbrokes.
Scotland didn’t have a shot on target in Tbilisi and Strachan looked more likely to score than the likes of Steven Fletcher.
His options up front are limited but suggestions are he’ll go with Derby’s powerful hitman Chris Martin and Scotland are 8-11 with bet365 to score, 15-2 with McBookie to win and 19-10 not to lose.
Germany to win and both to score has been boosted to 5-2 at Ladbrokes.
It looks between Scotland and Ireland for third spot and the Irish should complete the double in Georgia in Dublin.
They are a biggest 8-15 with bookies such as Ladbrokes and under 2.5 goals looks on at 3-5 with BetVictor.
I tipped Robbie Keane to score in Gibraltar and the record Irish scorer is 13-10 at bwin to add to the two he claimed in Faro.
The final match in Group D will see Poland picking up three points at home to Gibraltar. They should score at least six and are 10-11 at Ladbrokes -5.
All the main strikers are odds on to score but Robert Lewandowski could be worth a look at 9-10 with BetVictor to score two or more.
Wales failed to clinch their place in France yesterday but will still make as they have Andorra at home in their final match. Tonight’s it’s the turn of Northern Ireland who will be in the finals if they beat Hungary at home.
As it was in Cardiff it’s likely to be tight and tense and again under 2.5 goals looks the best bet. The Irish won 2-1 in Budapest but Hungary have conceded just one other goal in Group F and while a draw won’t suit them in terms of automatic qualification it should just about seal third place.
The Irish don’t give much away and rely heavily on Kyle Lafferty up front. He scored in the 3-1 win over the Faroes last week but that was heading for a draw until the minnows lost a man.
I can see a draw here, possibly 0-0, but under 2.5 goals is most likely although bookies know it and have priced it at 1-2 (Stan James). Muck riskier but still with a chance is under 1.5 at 6-4 with bet365.
It’s Finland who are in fourth place and needing a win at home to the Faroes tonight to keep their hopes alive. They are 1-3 at Coral and Betfred to get it and again unders is the call with five of their last six matches going that way. Under 2.5 goals this time is a better price at 9-10 with BetVictor.
In fact all of the Group F games could go under and Romania v Greece is the most likely. Romania sit second but have netted just seven goals in seven games. They remain unbeaten though and face a side without a win and just two goals.
Romania are 3-4 at bet365 to pick up the points and the unders is shorter than 1-2. The Group F unders treble pays 3-1 at Stan James.
There are two matches in Group I with Portugal travelling to Albania side who sit just one point them and Denmark heading to Armenia. Portugal are looking to avenge their shock 1-0 home defeat to the Albanians but look a bit short at 8-11 with the likes of Ladbrokes and Betfred.
Cristiano Ronaldo missed that loss but will play tonight and is 3-1 at Paddy Power to score first and 13-10 with BetBright to net.
Denmark simply have to win at an Armenia outfit with just one point to their name and are decently priced at 19-20 with Coral. They beat the Armenians 2-1 at home and their rivals only points has come against fellow strugglers Serbia.
The Danes were held 0-0 at home to the stuffy Albanians at the weekend but should edge a win in the one early 5pm kick-off.
Germany -1 (7.45pm)
(13-10, Paddy Power)
Muller to score first
Keane to score (7.45pm)
Poland -5 (7.45pm)
Finland v Faroes under 2.5 goals (7.45pm)
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