I DIDN’T put up any tips on Wednesday and as a result picked no losers – how good is that.
Well done to those who did have a go though including Greg whose nap once again landed.
Thursday sees the start of a run of Euro 2016 qualifers and I’ll be concentrating on those the next few days. I posted a preview of the ties earlier so check that out for full reasoning.
My focus is on Wales who travel to Cyprus and are a home to Israel on Sunday with two wins seeing them clinch their spot at the finals.
They rely so much on their one truly world-class player Gareth Bale. The Real Madrid man has netted five of his country’s eight goals and bagged a double for Real last week.
To score first he is 7-2 at William Hill and 5-4 at McBookie and BetVictor to net at any time. I’ll be on both as Super Singles – so come on and make as Bale of cash.
Wales are 4-5 with McBookie and bet365 to beat the islanders and I’m happy to take that against a side ranked 73 places below them.
Belgium are still favourites with some bookies to win the group at the expense of the Welsh and must beat Bosnia in Brussels. They are 1-2 to with Paddy Power and Coral and I expect a star-studded line-up to beat a side who have been off the pace.
Man City’s new £50m man Kevin de Bruyne is 7-1 at McBookie to score first but the likes of Romelu Lukaku and Hazard are before him in the queue.
The other game in Group B sees Israel at 1-14 with William Hill to beat Andorra. Back them -2 at 11-10 with Skybet. Andorra have conceded an average of four goals a game and lost 4-1 at home to the Israelis.
One of the best bets of the night could be both to score in the Group A encounter between Holland and Iceland at a big price. Iceland beat the Dutch 2-0 at home and have netted in their last 13 matches.
For a goals double add btts at Germany v Poland on Friday. Germany have conceded at home to Scotland and Ireland in qualifiers and two to the USA and Australia in home friendlies. The Poles beat them 2-0 in Warsaw and can at least score in Munich.
Czech Republic are a best 2-9 at BetBright to beat Kazakhstan at home and Turkey are also short at 1-4 with Paddy Power to see off Latvia.
In Group H I like Croatia -1 at 11-10 with Skybet away to Azerbaijan. The Croats beat them 6-0 at home and have attackers such as Mario Mandzukic, Ivan Rakitic and Ivan Perisic who will pose a goal threat.
Italy are unbeaten in Group H as they battle Croatia for top spot but they’ve netted just nine goals including a 1-0 win at Malta and 2-1 at home to Azerbaijan. They are no bigger than 1-18 at Ladbrokes at home to the Maltese and while they should win it’s difficult to back a side who score so few on the handicaps.
The third Group H match sees a tight one between Bulgaria and Norway and most likely outcomes could be under 2.5 goals but it pays no more than 8-15 at firms such as bet365.
With so many short prices tonight it’s difficult to find value. Taking out the Bulgaria game as well as Wales and Holland if you back all the favourites tonight the best return on a sixfold is 5-2 with McBookie and BetVictor.
Add Holland and it comes to 9-2 at Betfred and put in Wales and you have an eight-timer that pays 15-2 at Coral.
I won’t be on it but plenty will be. I’m off for a game of golf and before working tonight I’ll put up a rolling accumulator for low stakes as a few people have emailed me asking for one.
And watch out for the post on Selectabet correct scores for tonight as I know their record is good.
2pts Super Single
Bale to score (7.45pm)
(5-4, McBookie, BetVictor)
1pt Super Single
Bale to score first
(7-2, William Hill, Paddy Power)
2pts Top Treble
Israel -2 (7.45pm)
2pt Goals Treble
Holland v Iceland btts (7.45pm)
Germany v Poland btts (7.45pm, Friday)
September Super Single record
1 bet (1 winner)
1 bet (1 loser)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.