IT looked a good card on paper but we don’t bet on paper anymore (most of us don’t anyway).
I once again avoided the Capital One Cup games but there were just two shocks – Sheffield Wednesday at Newcastle and Carlisle drawing at Anfield – and I hope people backed Chelsea, Man United and Southampton on the handicaps after line-ups were revealed.
It was Rennes who done me big time as they inexplicably drew at bottom of the table Ajaccio. That beat my Super Single and Aways Treble although the latter was advised as a Trixie so I landed a 5-1 double thanks to St Etienne and Villarreal.
Such are the margins in betting if Rennes had scored one more goal both my Super Single and Advised Accas for September would be in a combined profit (well almost) – instead I have a loss of 25pts but still hope to wipe that out before the end of the month.
Last night most people would have struggled with the likes of Juventus, Barcelona, Dortmund and Aberdeen being short-priced flops.
Maybe it was a night for goals but even then only one game went over 2.5 and two saw both scoring in the usually lucrative Serie A while Germany and Spain fared a bit better.
So it’s not been the best of weeks and I’m limiting myself to a Daily Double tonight.
There is a Championship game between Huddersfield and Nottm Forest while in Serie A Empoli meet Atalanta. Real Betis entertain Deportivo in La Liga, Montpellier face Monaco in France and there are plenty of matches in Scandinavia.
Betis-Deportivo isn’t an easy call while h2h suggests a low scorer at Montpellier with the last four meetings being 0-1, 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0. Montpellier have collected just one point in six games and Monaco, who have picked up seven of their eight points away, should win but I thought that about Rennes.
However, here’s a key stat – Montpellier have not beaten Monaco in their last 27 meetings and have conceded 49 goals against them in that period.
Monaco look slightly overpriced at 6-4 with the likes of BetVictor so I’m taking them at 4-11 not to lose. I was close to picking Monaco as the Super Single but have decided to leave it out.
We talked a lot about goals stats this week and Huddersfield have conceded in every game this season. Forest have won their last two away at Birmingham and QPR so both to score could be a shout at 3-4 with 888sport.
Empoli’s last five in Serie A have seen both score but last season it was 0-0 against Atalanta and last night there weren’t many goals in the league.
2pts Daily Double
Huddersfield v Nottm Forest btts (7.45pm)
Monaco not to lose (5.55pm)
September Super Single record
26 bets (10 winners, 16 losers)
43 bets (7 winners, 37 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.