THE day started badly with Sampdoria’s match with Bologna postponed due to stormy weather and it progressed with some near misses.
I changed the Super Single from damp Samp to Harry Kane to score and that proved a bit of a damp squib as they Spurs striker failed to net with a couple of chances ay Sunderland.
It was two out of three on the over 2.5 goals treble and two out of three on the Top Treble. Fine if you do singles but not for the accumulators.
The Top Treble was the sorest one with Celta Vigo twice losing two-goal leads to 10-man visitors Celta Vigo.
Greg Browning was spot on again with his nap thanks to loads of goals at Lucerne and there were good tips from loads of sources. There was also a bit of spat between Jordan and Ryan and that’s disappointing to see as we’re all trying to beat the bookies and should be supporting each other.
The Sampdoria game has been rescheduled for tonight so bets with most bookies will stand and I see no reason not to take them as the Super Single having been confident to do so on Sunday.
Samp have started the season well scoring plenty of goals while Bologna have struggled have suffered defeats to Sassuolo and Lazio and a cup loss to lower-league Pavia. I quoted the home win at 17-20 on Sunday but good news is today it’s slightly better at 20-21 with McBookie and BetVictor I’ve just taken that.
The Premier League match sees West Ham entertain Newcastle and lots of people will be supporting the Geordies just to see Chelsea drop into the relegation zone.
I not sure how to call it as it’s been a strange start for the Hammers who have won at Arsenal and Liverpool but been beaten at home by Bournemouth and Leicester.
Newcastle started by drawing 2-2 with Southampton but haven’t scored since in defeats to Swansea and Arsenal and a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford. So to summarise the Hammers are struggling at home and Newcastle have failed to score in seven of their last eight trips. It’s a no bet for me but I’d be tempted by unders.
Another game that cries out unders is Rayo v Deportivo in La Liga tonight. Six of Rayo’s last seven games in La Liga have gone under 2.5 goals as have five of Depor’s previous six. On top of that the visitors have drawn five of their last six away and this could be a 0-0 or 1-1.
I’m not a massive fan of unders because an early goal can change the whole complexion but McBookie and BetVictor are offering 20-23 which seems fair.
Double this with St Pauli to score over 1.5 goals at home to Duisburg. It’s been some time since I visited Bundesliga 2 but a glance at the table shows promoted Duisburg sitting bottom with two points from five games and 12 goals conceded – in fact they’ve let in at least two a game as the draws were both 2-2.
St Pauli on the other hand have started well with three wins and a draw in their last four and should notch another here. The win is a best 8-11 at boylesports but over 1.5 home goals is a better price at 20-23.
In the international break they played two friendlies – losing just 2-1 to Dortmund and horsing Horst 15-0 so they should be ready. I noticed Horst have conceded 41 goals in recent friendlies to St Pauli, Hamburg and Feyenoord so they really are whipping boys and ones to watch for potential goals betting in future match-ups with the big boys.
In today’s Daily Record my colleague Craig Swan flags up Ajax to beat Celtic in their first-leg tie on Thursday and I couldn’t agree more.
Celtic are in a bit of disarray at the moment with their Champions League exit followed by a defeat at Aberdeen and boss Ronny Deila is under increasing pressure to produce results.
An Ajax side packed with quality should win in Amsterdam against an outfit who have been conceding too many goals and I’m putting them up now in expectation of a price drop. Ajax are just under evens with McBookie and BetVictor.
Hitmen Anwar El-Ghazi and Arkadiusz Milik will be eyeing up a shot at the Scots defence which has Dedryck Boyata struggling and Tyler Blackett and Jozo Simunociv settling in and both Dutch stars are 7-4 with Skybet to score. Over 1.5 Ajax goals also tempts at 10-11 with Ladbrokes.
I’ve written my Aberdeen v Hamilton preview for tomorrow’s Record and it’s difficult to see past the leaders at 4-9 on Tuesday. I’ll have a full preview on this game tonight.
And talking of Scottish football – we made plenty of money on Rangers -2 at the weekend although one more goal would have been beautiful.
The Ibrox men go to Dumbarton looking for 11 wins in a row and while it’s a tougher match they should still win with something to spare. Interestingly the Gers players were full of criticism of their own display and that’s good to hear after a 3-0 win – it suggests they’ll want to do better at the CID Stadium and let’s hope Dumbarton cop a doing.
Early prices show Ladbrokes offering 5-6 on over 2.5 Rangers goals and I’d expect that to come in. Also tempting is Rangers to be leading at half-time at 4-7 with Ladbrokes.
3pts Super Single
2pts Daily Double
St Pauli over 1.5 goals (7.15pm)
Rayo-Deportivo under 2.5 goals (7.30pm)
3pts Super Single
Ajax (6pm, Thursday)
(9-10, McBookie, BetVictor)
September Super Single record
16 bets (5 winners, 13 losers)
21 bets (2 winners, 19 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.