GREG’S been on a cracking run and let’s hope he’s painting the town red on Tuesday night.
He’s had a good look at the card and has spotted some big prices for over 2.5 goals or both to score in the Johnstone Paints Trophy but for now he’s glossing over that tournament and looking at youth games. Watch out for markets coming on inplay.
Greg says: “Most teams will play weakened sides in the JP Trophy so I’d strongly advise against backing anyone to win – as always stick to goals. I’m unlikely to post a nap on Tuesday but going to put small stakes on the following.
Morton U-20s v Stranraer U-20s (7.45pm)
It’s a case here of how many Morton will win by – they have been hammering teams and should manage at least four against a Stranraer side who have been way out of their depth in this legaue.
To put it into perspective Stranraer travelled away to Queen’s Park last Monday and were thumped 5-0, two weeks previous to that Morton hammered Queen’s 5-1.
Prior to that the Blues lost 4-0 at Ayr and this is tougher so should be a four or five-goal demolition job.
Not sure what markets we’ll get for this so keep an eye out on it coming inplay!
First half goals total goals and potentially team goals if bet365 are feeling generous.
Over 1.5 FHG
Over 4.5 match goals
Over 3.5 Morton team goals
Brentford U-21s v Barnsley U21-s (2pm)
Another match I like the look of comes from the England Development League. I’ve been keeping an eye on Barnsley this season as they keep on getting beat and conceding goals. They travel south to Brentford and it looks like another tough ask the Yorkshire men.
Again not sure what markets will appear but over 2.5 match goals and over 2.5 team goals are the two I’ll be on.
Greg Browning
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Hi Greg, – great looking games there. Can’t find a site to put some dollar on the brentford game though..any recommendations?
StonedSocrates, he says in the post they’ll come on inplay.
Apologies…I blame the herbal cigarette.
Haha
Greg Morton are 2/7 to win @PP going by your post i thought they would be a lot shorter
What do you think about over 1.5mg for all of Tuesday’s jp trophy games?
Morton are 1/9 and Over 4.5 mg is 4/5 at McBookie GL.
Morning Greg, which of these would you describe as your NAP?
“I’m unlikely to post a nap on Tuesday but going to put small stakes on the following.”
Cheers Alrx, missed that bit!
Morton HT/FT 8/15 365
12pm Ararat II v Mika II (Armenian First League)
This is a league I’ve been following for a little while, mainly thanks to people posting on this site. This is obviously a sensible stake bet due to unknowns compared to more familiar leagues.
Ararat last 4 (0-4, 2-1, 3-3, 2-2), Mika last 4 (1-2, 1-3, 3-3, 1-3). Both teams scoring and conceding plenty. I thought over 3.5 goals would be odds on, but surprisingly it’s 13/10 and that seems a good value bet to me. H2H is more mixed (last 4, 2-0, 2-2, 3-0, 2-3) with their meeting 8 weeks ago ending 2-0 to Mika.
I feel this still has value and therefore, small stakes and fingers crossed!
Over 3.5 goals – 13/10
Greg seen your write up about the Morton game found mcbookie are 7/10 for ht/ft how confident would you be In this considering you think it’s a case of how many, and taking a chance on over 3.5 Morton goals
Cheers joe
Joe, I can’t talk for Greg but that looks half decent.
Can anyone explain why 365 have removed the Morton game? It was there an hour ago (:
Brentford v barnsley as been postponed to my understanding lads
Ha a think b 365 r watching ovr gregs column.
Morton game just appeared again, gone from Morton 1.16 to 1.083, gutted.
Alex, fantastic tip mate cheers!!!!
Brentford U21s play QPR u21s tonight in cup. So guessing barnsley game called off
Cheers Alex.
I took the over 2.5 mg in a Treble with Luton over 1.5 mg and Northampton over 1.5 mg @5.0
1st part home
Wish I was braver and took the over 3.5 single as well now
David – Cheers mate. Thought those two reds were gonna ruin it. Ended 2-3 in the end, comfortable 😉
Tom – Cheers mate, glad you profited!
Cheers for reply Mr f
morton ht/ft has changed to 4/7 with mcbookie
Rubbish odds for the morton game now. Better to wait until in play?
Yeah Barnsley match postponed gents, cheers for highlighting!
Will post an over 2.5 goals singlea and doubles from the johnstone paint in a bit
Joe, would agree that 7/10 looks a cracking price
Morton u20 are 5/6 to win both halves at mcbookie.
365 have set the GL at 5 (FHGL 2) Maybe slighty too high? Inplay would seem to be the best bet and hope for a quiet first 5 / 10 mins
My Bets for tonight with no reasoning, stats, figures or logic other than they all score regularly.
Gillingham vs Luton
Crewe vs Wigan
Sheff Utd vs Notts county
Millwall vs Northampton
Over 2.5 mtgls accum pays over 9/1
Please people this is not a tip merely an opinion.
Keep up the good work Greg
You’ve done me proud in the past
Gl All
Where are Morton priced at 7/10 ht/ft?
It’s 1/4 on bet365
It was on mcbookie till about 1pm but changed down to 1/2 now
Got on with odds at 1.9 for both O4.5 and 1.5fhg with 10 mins played
1 point on each
One shot on target and four off target so far in Morton game. 29 mins gone. Over 0.5 first half goals avaliable at bet365 at odds of 8/11. Over 3.5 match goals avaliable at 5/6
Just Jumped on Morton at 6/4 to win first half. In 33rd min. Hopefuly get another.
Unlucky Greg, best of luck for the next one
6/1 for Stranraer right now doesn’t seem too mental. Draw at evens too
Knew that would happen hahaha that’s why I typed it
Yesssss backed 2-1 and the draw cashed the 2-1 out for almost full amount then the equaliser comes. Thank god for that at least it’s some return. Can see why u never napped it Greg. So unpredictable
Scotland v poland over 2.5 goals 7/5 with coral.
Rookie
Not bad odds but could see a 1-1 draw on Thursday so will pass.
Evening gents, was playing football tonight and ended up missing kick off by 20 mins so don’t even know what markets where set?
Was small stakes so no harm done to anyone who backed – surprised at the score given how both teams have performed this season but sometimes these matches can be unpredictable as you never really know who’s playing!
Hopefully put a NAP up for tomorrow and try and make it 6 NAPS on the spin
Ah was -3 -3.5, 1.925
Fh ah -1.5, 1.8
Fh goalline was 2 greg
Cheers Sean, glad you didn’t have too bad night afteral
Your right about it being unpredictable
I backed Stranraer +3 at 11/10 in play as I saw the team lines.
Under 20’s games are so unpredictable.
Recently Morton had players coming back from injury, Tidser, McKee, O’Ware, Russell and others, and were played in these matches to get game time.
Hence the reason they are top of the League and scoring for fun.
Even the loan boy from Swansea Samuel, who got two against Motherwell in the cup played a half one night.
So if first team players are getting a run out against young boys, it’s an advantage.
Not sure the ruling of how many over 20’s you can play.
Anyway, most of these guys are back in the 16 on a Saturday now, so not playing in the 20’s.
It was almost all under 20’s tonight, that’s why I backed Stranraer +3
PS. I’m a Morton man.
Keep the tips coming Greg, you have been doing well mate.
Looking forward to the next one.
Oozie ur s bit late wi that am sure punters on here wlda preferred to read that before the game started not after it finishes.
Sorry Jim, I only checked the teams on twitter when picking my boy up from training right on kick off.
Most people would have punted before then or I would have.
I only backed Stranraer +3 a good bit into the game.