AFTER a good week it was disappointing weekend for me as I finished just under 8pts down.
I will end October with a decent profit but it could have been much better. Yesterday for example I had Nice marked down as the Super Single then decided to put them in the Top Treble instead.
The biggest surprise of the day for me was Roma drawing 0-0 at Empoli to beat the treble after wins by Nice and Milan.
West Ham draw no bet was the Super Single instead and that didn't end well an my both to score treble was also a loser.
It's a pretty quiet Monday but there are some decent top-flight games to consider, the main event of course being Stoke at home to Swansea.
Stoke were superb last time out at Hull and if they can reach that level they should win especially as Joe Allen and Wilfried Bony will be out to impress against their old team.
Bony is 17-10 at Ladbrokes to net his first goal for Stoke who are 11-10 at William Hill to pick up the points.
Allen has been in decent scoring form and is 19-2 at bwin to score. And then there is Xherdan Shaqiri who hit a superb double against Hull and is 11-4 at Marathonbet to again hit the target. Also you can't ignore the claims of Marko Arnautovic who is 21-10 at bet365.
I thought about a Stoke scorer for the Super Single but in the end I couldn't choose one so I've gone to Italy instead.
There are two games in Serie A – Udinese v Torino and Cagliari v Palermo. Cagliari's 5-3 defeat at Fiorentina ended a run of three wins and both teams have scored in those four.
Cagliari and both to score is my pick against a side whose last three have brought up this market as have three of their last four visits to Sardinia. Palermo have lost their last three 3-1, 4-1 and 4-1 and Cagliari's previous three wins have been by 2-1.
There could also be goals at Udinese. Four of the home side's last six have gone that way as well as Torino's previous four and the last two meetings here have finished 1-5 and 3-2. A Serie A both to score double pays 2-1 at 10BET.
In Spain Deportivo host Valencia who have won three and been beaten by Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in their last five outings. They will fancy their chances at 11-5 with Marathonbet against a side who have conceded eight in their last two games against Celta Vigo and Barcelona.
There are four games in Sweden but all are meaningless unless you think AIK want to secure second spot ahead of Norrkoping. They will climb above them with one to play by winning at Jonkoping.
My Top Treble is Stoke, both to score at Udinese and from various comments on the site over 2.5 goals at Jong Ajax v VVV.
I'll check latest team and news and stats in the morning before trying to finish the month on a high.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
Cagliari & Btts (8pm)
(12-5, Stan James)
1pt Top Treble
Stoke (8pm)
Udinese v Torino btts (6pm)
Jong Ajax v VVV (7pm)
(21-5, bet365)
October Super Singles Total
Profit: 5pts
(35 bets, 13 winners, 1 void)
You may be familiar with Marathonbet via their partnerships with Manchester United, Hibernian and Malaga CF, well now I've teamed up with them to bring you my Top Tips. They've been making a splash in the last 12 months with hugely competitive odds and a massive range of in-play markets to rival the very best. Give Marathonbet a go by signing-up using the button below and claim a £20 welcome bonus.
After my only bet yesterday losing thanks to Anderlecht i quickly jumped on Hulls tip on Barcelona Guayaquil over 2.5 team goals, added in Warriors -4.5 and Thunder -2.5.
Warriors had me sweating until the last second.
Big thanks to Hull for the Bolivia tip, that tip along with my Rangers corners made it a profitable weekend.
Been a busy weekend for me and not been on the site much. Looking forward to a big european and domestic week ahead, going into hopefully a profitable November for everyone. Good luck gents.
P.S Well done Mr Fixit, a very nice 22pts profit.
aik will go 2nd with a draw at jonkkoping, don’t know if there is any big difference in prize money in Sweden, but if there is I expect them to at least draw.
Gothenburg v elfsborg is a dead rubber, but they should be relaxed and entertain.
both average over 3 match goals a game,
4 of elfsborgs last 5 have been btts and overs with them scoring in all 5.
Gothenburg are unbeaten in their last 11 home league games, winning 10 of them, scoring 2 or more in 9 of them, and btts in 7 of the 11.
both teams average a shade under 2 team goals per game and are the 3rd and 4th highest scorers in the league.
4 of last 5 h2h have been btts here with Gothenburg scoring in all 5, and last 2 h2h in elfsborg been 1-1, though the last 7 h2h show 6 of them under 2.5 match goals.
make of it what you will but I think it will be an entertaining end of season game between 2 relaxed teams and end with a correct score grouping of 2-1 2-2 or 3-2.
so its a 0-0 cert, hahahahahaha…..
Seattle v Dallas
All quarter final 1st leg playoff games have been under 2.5 goals with only the home team scoring. In tonights last match up i am following the trend for some late night entertainment
Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS NO
5/4
*LOST*
As i type Seattle have started the second half with three goals in 8mins!
The stats were there for recent Seattle home games low scoring along with low scoring playoff results elsewhere.
Has been cracking entertainment right enough, Seattle looking good tonight.
mel victory v wellington
wellington over 3.5 team cornets 1.90
have managed 7+ in last few games against some of the better sides this league has to offer
sorry thats ‘corners’ its too early for icecream
Good tipping!
I’ve just woke up and seen its already up within 40mins!
3.5 welly phoenix corners comes in on 32mins. Thought was more than generous
plzen u21 v dukla u21
over 3.5,4 goals 1.80
winner
later kickoffs
orebro v ostersunds btts &overs 1.72
st pauli v nurnberg 0.0ah 1.925
zag lubin v wisla btts 1.75
udinese v torino over 2.5gls 1.85
Ajax reserves over 1.5 tgs evens
As Mr Orange once said which I will never forget is the Ajax res team that plays on monday plays first teamers that didn’t play on the weekend and since that day they have won me a fair bit of money.
Add that to the fact they are smashing it this season and alway have a btts score in there locker.
Ajax win btts 3/1
Over 2.5 btts 8/11
Defensor La Bocana Vs Juan Aurich btts 4/6
Shout out to Hullshaker for getting me on this league goals goals goals and I think 3/3 have seen btts so I’m backing that.
2/3 have seen over 2.5 btts as well.
Cowdenbeath U20 vs Striling u20 Inplay
over 1.5 first half goals
Over 3.5 match goals
Good luck
I am not sure if Nouri and Cerny will start for Jong Ajax. Both played 20 minutes for the first team on Saturday and could be in the squad for the Europa League game this week. These two are quite important for the Jong Ajax team.
O 2.5 goals should come in tho right?
What about Casierra I’ll check team news before i back it but over 2.5 btts has to be on the cards
Final bets of the month for me will update monthly totals tonight hoping for a good end to October
Turkey – TFF 1. Lig 4.30pm
Giresunspor v Goztepe
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
Russia – Premier League 4.30pm
Rubin v Lokomotiv Moscow
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet365, Paddy Power)
France – Ligue 2 7.30pm
Brest v Lens
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet365, Paddy Power)
Also 3 x 0.5pt Doubles & 1 x 0.5pt Treble
Good luck today as always!
I am stealing alex_mufc83 thunder here but it is even money over 2.5 goals
in the Romania Liga 2 Luceafarul Oradea v Foresta Suceava match
The stats suggest goals. games k.o. midday.
You could also put it a treble with the two Romanian Liga 1 games this evening
Pays just over 5/1 bet365
Gubbed one goal short, great start to the day.
nite owls
millonarios overs 11/10 WON
Toronto overs, o. petrolero o1.5tgs, puebla overs 3/1 LOST goal short in Toronto game…………
Bet of the Day for me…
Stoke to Win
11/10
Can go for the safer option of 0.0 Asian for 1.450 if you want less risk
Cagliari btts & overs 21/20
Ajax over 3.5mgs
St Pauli over 2.5mgs
Valencia to score
Treble Returns 4/1
Pribram v sparta prague u21
Over 0.5 ht gls 4/6
?
Mixed 4-fold:
Udinese vs Torino – over 2.0 goal line
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia – over 2.0 goal line
Derby U23 vs Southampton U23 – over 2.5 MG’s
IFK Goteborg vs Elfsborg – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
4.87/1 Bet365
Good luck all
Udinese v Torino 18.00 KO
Torino 5+ corners 4/5 NAP BET365
Torino 2+ HT corners/Stoke DC 1.88 @PP NB
Cagliari Win and Over 2.5 MGS 6/4
Udinese v Torino BTTS, Stoke to Score Evens
Hednesford v Sutton Coldfield GL 3 @1.900
Hednesford stuck 5 past them in the away game 3 weeks ago – hope for more of the same!!
Afternoon gents, bonkers in Colo’s game last night but they couldn’t get that 4th to secure a comback-impossible!
Ecuador was better though…
BARCELONA VS. DELFIN (22.05 KO):
BARCELONA OVER 2.5 TGS…13/8
**WON**
Final score 3-0 ?
Looking at tonight and one game stands out:
HEDNESFORD TOWN VS. SUTTON COLDFIELD TOWN:
Four weeks ago ‘Hensford’ ran out 5-0 winners (away) snd have since scored 4,2,3,3 team goals in subsequent games.
Struggling for time but check this one out if unsure as can’t post a detailed write-up
I’m going for a goals/corners combo:
OVER 2.5 MGS + OVER 7 CORNERS…1.04/1
Best of luck ?
First time trying something different here:
Swansea to Win
Cagliari v Palermo – Both Teams To Score
Valencia to Win
Nurnberg to Win
odds 35.69/1
All the Best to Me
inplay
vit constanta v voluntari
over 2.5 mgls 1.72
won
Hi gents. Poor day Saturday on the football front. Basel did their job but the Grasshoppers never really got going and couldn’t score with Watford pummeling the Hull defence but only getting one goal. Nothing I fancy tonight so October will end in a loss, but still + to show for the year with two months left.
I’m posting Novembers first bet now seeing as tonight will be quiet. Nobody will be surprised that I’m heading to the Champions League. Napoli head to Besiktas where Turkey is never an easy place to go, but know three points can give them a four point gap over the Turkish club and strengthen their chances of progression to the knockout stages. Napoli despite losing 3-2 at home bossed the majority of the game and missed what was to be a vital penalty in the end. Napoli have started fast in all three group games scoring in the first half against Benfica at home, Kyiv in Ukraine, and the reverse tie against Besiktas. Dries Mertens has played a central role for Napoli for the past few weeks and has scored in their last two group games (one against Besiktas).
Napoli 1st Half Goal @ 10/11 @ Betfair – 2.2 points
Napoli Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 21/20 @ William Hill – 2 points
Dries Mertens (Napoli) Anytime @ 23/10 @ 10Bet – 0.8 of a point
___________________________________________________________________________________________
October Final Totals
Bets 20
Points Staked 58.35
Points Returned 41.03
Profit/Loss: -17.32
Loss Percentage 29.68%
___________________________________________________________________________________________
2016 Totals
Bets 437
Points Staked 984.91
Points Returned 1056.95
Profit/Loss +72.04
Profit Percentage 7.31%
STOKE win. CHAVES win. 3/1
hampy, some shout goal 90+6 :D
tellin me mate my battery died at 1-1 just plugged in and buzzin haba
Nice one Hampy ?
Udinese vs Torino
BTTS 4/5
Belotti AGS 6/4
Spotted something else I like in Italy
Spal vs Avellino
Over 2.5 MGS 21/20
Over 3.5 MGS 5/2
Spal over 1.5 TGS 5/6
Not ideal for Torino corners but should get at least 1 more before HT
Lol one more game ive found today
St Pauli vs nurnberg
Burgstaller AGS 7/5
Burgstaller FGS 5/1
Burgstaller 2 or more 15/2
Burgstaller 3 or more 33/1
Nurnbrg over 1.5 TGS 6/5
Nurnbrg over 2.5 TGS 4/1
SMH All lost apart from 7/5 AGS
Very disappointed with the iver 1.5 TGS and 2 or more!!
Torino no chance of finishing this game wi 11 men
tonite
jong ajax o2.5mgs, la coruna o1.5mgs,stoke o1.6mgs 8/5
punt
brest o1.5mgs, Nurnberg o1.5tgs, sevette o2.5mgs 5/1
shoe in
Cagliari o2.5mgs, Nurnberg o1.5tgs, serviette o2.5mgs, la coruna o2.5mgs 17/1
GL all with a bet on…………..
1 more nurnbrg goal for the 5/1 should land
cerny starts for jong ajax so hopefully goals…………..
Any body else having problems trying to log into Bet365?
yes the site is down
Cheers.
Evening chaps.
Been creeping around here for a while without posting (thought a Halloween appearance was appropriate) ?
Thought I’d share my bet for tonight:
Nurnburg DC 21/50
Stoke Win -21/20
Double – 1.9/1
Also, Burgstaller looks a shoe in for a goal for Nurnburg tonight, pretty much scores whenever he plays like Modeste, Smolov, Aguero ect
Good luck all ??
Welcome Riggsy ?
Cheers Hull, or Mr 2am as I’ve come to know you! ?
In play nurnbrg double chance 5/4
In play nurnbrg to win 5/1
Looking good for the Treble Mr F – Italian and Dutch legs home n hosed…just waiting on a sound Stoke performance (I added the Hednesford game Over 2.5 mgs as well).
Cheers and good luck ?
Yeah let’s hope Stoke can do it. I’m happy to put 1pt on draw at 45-17 with Marathonbet.
It’s not full cover – anyone wanting to do that can put just over 1pt on Swansea not to lose at just under evens.
Just a heads up – Bet 365 is not completely down as I can’t get on my laptop but it is working on my phone – who knows why
For anyone able to in-play double I fancy
Cowdenbeath u20 vs Stirling u20
Albion u20 vs QotS u20
Over 1.5fhg double pays 3.56
Cowdenbeath score 4 and conceded 6 in 3 at home while Stirling have scored 11 and conceded 9 in 3 away
Albion scored 11 and conceded 4 in 3 at home while QotS scored 8 and conceded 10 in 3 away
Ditto…use Mobile for 365 and no problems.
Gothenburg v elfsborg is a dead rubber, but they should be relaxed and entertain.
both average over 3 match goals a game,
4 of elfsborgs last 5 have been btts and overs with them scoring in all 5.
Gothenburg are unbeaten in their last 11 home league games, winning 10 of them, scoring 2 or more in 9 of them, and btts in 7 of the 11.
both teams average a shade under 2 team goals per game and are the 3rd and 4th highest scorers in the league.
4 of last 5 h2h have been btts here with Gothenburg scoring in all 5, and last 2 h2h in elfsborg been 1-1, though the last 7 h2h show 6 of them under 2.5 match goals.
make of it what you will but I think it will be an entertaining end of season game between 2 relaxed teams and end with a correct score grouping of 2-1 2-2 or 3-2.
BOSH ! FINISHED IN A DESMOND (2-2)
Well done Elvis ?
One goal short on the double which is disappointing – had high hopes for that one
Udinese vs Torino
BTTS 4/5 *WON*
Belotti AGS 6/4 *LOST*
10 minutes gone and 0-0 in the Hednesford game – I’m convinced there eill be goals once the 1st goes in!
OVER 3.5 HEDNESFORD TGS…3/1 ?
Typical the opposition score!! Might help ur bet tho
Ha…within seconds ?…helps the main bet and might give Hdnesford a kick.up the jacksy.
They were 9/2 to score the next goal as well.
WC…loving the Danny Glover gag ?
Not sure if the main striker Danny Glover started…. was an injury worry ….. may be lacking their “lethal weapon” ;)
Oh dear ??
Are you here all week ?
Same as Richard – Bet365 ok on phone, no go on computer.
Glover is on the subs bench but the keeper – Mutton – is playing.
I sincerely hope they have a former keeper name Lamb…then we could make up one about Mutton being dressed as Lamb ??
We should have a vote for best/worst gag – Mutton or Glover.
Or my sheepy squad below
Shaker
Some hednesford legends.?
Alan shearer
David bleat manager
Ewe sebio
Paolo one chop
Enzo sheepo
Paul Lambert
Demba baaaaa
Aaron Ramsay
Don’t forget:
Robert Hoof
Scott Minto
Phillipe Lahm
Adam is 16/1 next scorer tonight and has hit the woodwork twice already – might be worth a small bet
Maye grabs the equaliser for the home team and with the 8 corners required already in, anyone on the combo bet can cover at 4/1 for no 3rd goal.
2 from 3 in on my main 8/5 bet for the nite la coruna just scored before HT so covering u1.5mgs at 16/5 just incase…………
2 from 3 in on my 5/1 punt need a Nurnberg goal covers crap but ……………
Surely hitting the post or crossbar should count as 2 goals? If so my Stoke bet would be home and hosed ?
2-1 Hednesford…46 minutes ?
OVER 2.5 MGS + OVER 7 CORNERS…1.04/1
**WON**
Looks like Cagliari game not producing goals as expected so looks like ma btts & overs struggling
Just needing a goal in st Pauli game tho for ma 4/1 treble but time running out
Anyone on the Over 3.5 Hednesford Team Goals can cover at 7/4…35 minutes left and advise to leave ?
4-1!!!! HULLSHAKER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You’re the man!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Cracking stuff on the 3/1 hednesford goals Hull!!
HEDNESFORD OVER 3.5 TGS…3/1
**WON**
??
Cracking shout on hednesford goals, cheers hull
Nice one Hull was happy enough with my 3 Goal Line !!
Well done WC..
I hadn’t realised you were on the same game til just now mate sorry ?
In play nurnbrg double chance 5/4 *WON*
In play nurnbrg to win 5/1 *LOST*
Spotted something else I like in Italy
Spal vs Avellino
Over 2.5 MGS 21/20 *WON*
Over 3.5 MGS 5/2 *LOST*
Spal over 1.5 TGS 5/6 *WON*
Night Owl…
AMERICA MG VS. SAO.PAULO:
This won’t be a popular choice but I fancy America to get a goal at home here.
They scored in the last against a decent Mineiro side and before their barren 4 game run, they hit a fair few.
Sao Paulo ought to get at least one and I think this is a fair price in a league that I love for both scoring:
BTTS…EVENS
BTTS & OVER 2.5 MGS…7/4
Good luck ?
tonite
jong ajax o2.5mgs, la coruna o1.5mgs,stoke o1.6mgs 8/5 WON did give a bit back on a cover at ht in la coruna game though been caught too often………..
punt
brest o1.5mgs, Nurnberg o1.5tgs, sevette o2.5mgs 5/1 LOST Nurnberg grrrrr……….
shoe in
Cagliari o2.5mgs, Nurnberg o1.5tgs, serviette o2.5mgs, la coruna o2.5mgs 17/1 LOST
not complaining main bet comes in sees profit………… WD all with winner looks like theres been a good few……….
Cagliari btts & overs 21/20 **WON** brilliant second half
Ajax over 3.5mgs
St Pauli over 2.5mgs
Valencia to score
Treble Returns 4/1 **LOST**
Just the 1 goal short in st Pauli game looked promising aswell after 2 goals on 1st half
Well done all winners tonight
boom, two nine folds and a ten fold safely negotiated tonight, and all from free bets, £220 profit after laying unders in cagliari and cvashing out the skybet one to fund the lay! well happy with that, mostly my own picks but took ones like SPAL off this thread!
Didn’t see you tipping any of this earlier
no you’re right, every time I post before hand they bomb.
and the most annoying part was that i picked 13 games to be over 1.5 or 2.5 and they all came in tonight! the perfect storm, but i left out a swedish game after reading on here about it being a meaningless match, it ended 2-2 and my three bets all had the remaining 12 mixed up, five 2.5s and 7 1.5s, one of which had eight goals!! plus a 5 and 5 4s!
Fair enough. Wp
fully agree hull too big for me at 7/4
other early nite owl a fancy is in the 10pm in the minefield that is argentina
d. y justice btts&overs 8/5
2 singles and a double at just over 6/1
just on def y justica game btts mate gl. ive had a blinder today
POSTED TODAY
Bet of the Day for me…
Stoke to Win
11/10
Can go for the safer option of 0.0 Asian for 1.450 if you want less risk
*** WON ***
Cagliari Win and Over 2.5 MGS 6/4 WON :)
Udinese v Torino BTTS, Stoke to Score Evens WON :)
Hednesford v Sutton Coldfield GL 3 @1.900 WON :)
And well done Mr F !!
Class WC!
Full house well done wasclueless
Nurnburg DC 21/50
Stoke Win -21/20
Double – 1.9/1 *WON!!*
Also, Burgstaller looks a shoe in for a goal for Nurnburg tonight, pretty much scores whenever he plays like Modeste, Smolov, Aguero ect
Didn’t back Burgstaller, but he did net!
Tomorrow (before I look at CL games)…
Bristol v Fleetwood BTTS, Coventry to Score … Evens
Some belting winners tonight and a hats-off/cheers to Mr F for the treble which I added Hednesford match goals to ?
Defensa y justice over 3.5mgs 3/1
So close……game finished 0-0 lol
Think it might have lost
Was pushing ma luck looking for 4 goals but expected at least a few goals
main nite owl
n. potosi, lara overs 5/2
Was on this crane cheers
Unbelievable it came in with a 90+13min winner for potosi, never seen a goal so late
Just aswell as my night owl bombed
nice one wc, never mind the CL tomorrow its the BIG Renfrewshire derby tomorrow nite Morton v st Mirren am going along as off work on Wednesday going with a few saints mates for a few beers or glasses of cheap wine Eldorado etc in the Greenock pubs believe they sell it by the half pint down there still, also hear none of the local shops sell soap so taking along a few bars to hand out to the natives…………
my hearts in paisley but think my money will be in Greenock……………
São Paulo RT5 corners 10/11
Over 1.5 MGS 4/6
São Paulo win 5/6
Throw me a bone! Been on an indifferent run, had a decent sensible 5 fold tonight covering d/NB yet my main 5 points was on Calgari Btts ov 2.5, Stoke draw no bet & Ajax Vvv btts over 2.5 for nearly £300 just for Ajax to fail to score, they got 13 goals in there last 4! Well done Mr F on the Calgari tip, love Greg & Jordan, hull shaker tips, well worth the fee for the site, I’m now a Darlington follower lol good luck on your punts this week chaps
not a regular poster but an avid reader and i pick and choose what looks good at my time of day ( i need to sleep mr hull sir lol unlike yourself ) great night tonight for most by the looks of it but i must say a big well done to Mr F for the full house tonite helped me loads tonite just because i had a fiver free bet which i chucked on all his selections and also had a tenner on treble without yong ajax game, my selections lately have been crap lately so big thanks for all the effort you put in and also a big thank you to all the other regular contributors who are all quality, i wish i could follow you all espescially you mr hull all the time sir but god i dont know how you survive without sleep and i know its overrated but i need it sometimes, gl to you all and a big thanks to all your efforts and please keep up your good work.
ps sorry for the essay lol gl all
v ul montymoo but keep pick them that well and you will be fine
Big Well done to Mr F tonight!!!! Took them all in a lovely 4- fold….
Hullshaker!!!!!! I love you!!! Took AMG fg before 40 min!!!!
Cheers lads
Final bets of the month for me will update monthly totals tonight hoping for a good end to October
Turkey – TFF 1. Lig 4.30pm
Giresunspor v Goztepe
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
***WON***
Russia – Premier League 4.30pm
Rubin v Lokomotiv Moscow
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet365, Paddy Power)
***WON***
France – Ligue 2 7.30pm
Brest v Lens
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet365, Paddy Power)
***WON***
Also 3 x 0.5pt Doubles & 1 x 0.5pt Treble
October
Bets Placed: 55
Won: 24
Lost: 31
Profit/Loss: +10.26
August: +19.06pts
September: -15.22pts
October: +10.26pts
Profit/Loss: +14.10pts
Got a spare few quid in the account so going for a chancey one before I hit the hay.
Sao paolo goal before 70 minutes – 13/8