Oct 31: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB was out of luck on Sunday on Sunday, losing 3pts after his Nap blew the chance of victory.

Our man, now 0.23pts up heading into the final day of the month, says: “All it takes is one mistake for a horse to lose all chance of winning over the jumps and Sunday’s Nap Keppel Isle made a huge mistake 3 out and I can’t believe he managed to stay up.

“He was cruising at that point but had nothing left after that mistake, the jockey asked for another big jump but the horse decided he wanted to put in another half stride, but jumping is the name of the game.”

Johnb’s Monday Tips

Wexford 1:25
Light That 10-3 NAP bet365

Galway 2:25
Hash Brown 7-2 NB bet365

Double 18.5-1 bet365

Early NAP for next week

Tuesday: Melbourne Cup
Big Orange 14-1 NAP/NB bet365

Antepost Tips

1000 Guineas 2017

PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 betfred

2000 Guineas 2017

CHURCHILL 20-1 (now 8-1) bet365

2017 Derby

CHURCHILL 33-1 (now 20-1) racebets

2000 Guineas 2017

BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets

Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

56 Comments
  1. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Maybe the red wine but just put a tenner on big o and the two guinaes tips why not!

  2. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 month ago

    Ryan Moore says Big Orange has no chance,
    I say he doesn’t know what he’s talking about,

    Only 30 hours till we find out

  3. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 1 month ago

    What did you make of today’s run from promise to be true john

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 1 month ago

      hash brown won all 4 of his races between august and October and won this very race last year, carries only 1 pound more today with same jockey at a similar price. geraghty won on him last year and is on him for the 1st time since today.
      in fact he has ran twice before in October and won both so this could be a nice October hat trick
      horse had a nice run out last month when 3rd of 13 at navan.

      aranhill chief was 3rd in this last year and might scrape a place again as he goes ok at this track, winning twice here at 14-1

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      The ground didn’t help Promise To Be True but even before the race I did expect her to be far better next year

  4. Profile photo of townie
    townie 1 month ago

    galway 2.25 he rocks 7/2

    galway 2.55 fiddlers bow 9/2

    double 24/1 gl

  5. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    L15

    1.40 plumpton – Graasten 11/10

    2.30 Hereford – Kilronan High 15/8

    3.00 Hereford – Some Kinda Lama 13/8

    3.10 plumpton – Red Orator 2/1

    good luck to all

  6. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    Trying a Fanshaw patent at Kempton ,fly in the ointment could be Red Rannagh 4.50 GL

  7. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Leg lock Luke 2.40 nap NB into 7/4 this morning after being 11/4 last night

    Good luck all come on big o!!!

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 1 month ago

      I’m at Hereford today.
      Any tips would be most welcome.
      Scoured the net for tips and most tipped are
      Abbrastos.
      Whataknight 2-7 way too short for me.
      Jenny’s day
      Kilronan high.
      Some kinda lama just ahead of west torr.
      Barton rose and moulin rouge equally tipped.
      On demand across the board

      • Profile photo of elvis parsley
        elvis parsley 1 month ago

        I Can see a lot of the odds on shots losing at Wexford. None seem bombproof to me

      • Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
        duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

        Elvis Interesting if any more money for Profoundly in the 3.30, last 3 runs 2 chases and a hurdle over a trip too short ran well at Roscommon before that over today’s trip but 0/19 doesn’t inspire confidence GL

    • Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 1 month ago

      Jimron
      My only bet today. Took the 3s with boyles last night.
      BOL

  8. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 1 month ago

    Morning all Having a decent bet on my nap today smaller wins on the others and a yank.

    Plumpton

    15.10 RED ORATOR .. **** NAP **** .. 9/4

    15.40 MISS FORTYWINKS ..**.. 4/1

    Hereford

    14.30 KASSIS .. ** NB ** .. 5/2

    15.00 MIGHTY LEADER.. * .. 4/1

    gl all

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Mount Vesuvius looks a decent price in red orator race and might be an ew shout at 8-1.
      3 pound better off for neck defeat to red orator in august.
      Saying that mount Vesuvius hasn’t exactly erupted in his 3 races since !

  9. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 1 month ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Killabraher cross 3.40p 10/1
    Danecase 3.50k 12/1
    Inke 4.20k 14/1
    Sennockian star 4.50k 9/1
    Three gracez 5.20k 20/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky 31
    GL all

  10. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 1 month ago

    Not like me to bypass G Baker and with HT putting one up the 11/4 for Sixties Grove 4.50 Kempton is my Nap/Nb today.still see him gifting Poet’s Word at Goodwood but good luck today.

  11. Profile photo of sheldy365
    sheldy365 1 month ago

    Really fancied that nap myself bus stop already backed it fingers crossed
    My NAP today some kinda lama 3:00 Hereford 11/8

    Nb Sam missile 4:50 kempton 9/2

    On demand 4:00 Hereford 4/5 will complete the trixie

  12. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    mrfixit keppels isle would not have that race even if he did not make that mistake

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      The comment is nothing to do with mr f, it was me johnb that posted it and no offence but I respect my own judgment at the horses and although nobody will ever know what would have happened my expert opinion puts me on the side of Keppel Isle but as I say we will never know

  13. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 month ago

    NAP Madame Butterfly 100/30 3.20 Kempton
    NB Rousayan 5/2 4.20 Kempton GL

  14. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Germany John 1.55 tawseef 2.45sShane billy 2.55 Lisa legacy 3.55 e.w l15

  15. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    would not have won that race

  16. Profile photo of ryanbelfast
    ryanbelfast 1 month ago

    My only bet today is going to be an each way bet. I have been told that red rannagh is a real danger in this race.. Jamie Spencer tried his usual hold him up tactics but made a meal out of it and the owners asked for Shane Kelly to ride the horse this time as he has one of the best hands in the business according to Richard Hughes. At 8/1 it’s worth a dabble.

    I have a 2 dogs running this afternoon both at Monmore they are both trap 1 dogs in the 2.07 and the 3.08.

    I have a massive bet on tonight’s dog it runs in the 7.48 at Notts it’s trap 2 and get evens or above take it.

  17. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 1 month ago

    Bit of rain forcast 2 hours before the big orange race is that a concern JB has I’ve read he needs the ground bone dry to get most out of him ?

  18. Profile photo of leando
    leando 1 month ago

    3.40 plumpton

    In a trappy race I’d give broughtons bandit an each way chance at 11/1

  19. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 1 month ago

    awful day for me . well done any winners,onto tomorrow

    gl all

  20. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 1 month ago

    racing incident at kempton !!!

    anybody know if it will be cancelled?

    whats the incident

  21. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    ffs Nina !!

  22. Profile photo of heartstopper22
    heartstopper22 1 month ago

    Two injured Jockeys i believe?

  23. Profile photo of lady gee
    lady gee 1 month ago

    Jim Crowley seriously injured plus horse

  24. Profile photo of lady gee
    lady gee 1 month ago

    Kempton may resume at 4.45 but no certainty

  25. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 1 month ago

    thx for your replies

    my best wishes for everyone involved

  26. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    sorry i thought it was mrf ,but in my opinion he did not loose a whole lot of momentum when he hit the flight,. horse was not good enough johnb.

    • Profile photo of thehawk
      thehawk 1 month ago

      Best wishes to jockeys involved in accident today fingers crossed they make full recovery. Racing can be dangerous sport these guys risk there lives every day.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      It was only the horses quick reactions that stopped him from falling, not many horses could have survived a mistake like that, it was only the second last flight and Keppel Isle had taken a length lead going into the flight and was still travelling well, we see how much that mistake took out of the horse because the jockey was having to push the horse just after the jump, my view is that the horse would only have gone further clear but we will never know

      • Profile photo of elvis parsley
        elvis parsley 1 month ago

        Does it really matter.
        Records will show the winner won, and bookies don’t pay out on hard luck stories.
        Pointless debate if you ask me.
        Though if the runner up was unlucky its something to bear in mind for future reference if it was possibly a false result.

  27. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    i second everything you said thehawk

  28. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    Kempton abandoned must be bad I pray for the jockeys Crowley and freddy t and the horses

  29. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    had a good day cashed most of my winnings out and so fancy a shot at the big time :)

    23:40 Flemington Madeenaty @ 8/11

    04:00 Flemington Big Orange @ 15/2

    14:20 Exeter Garde La Victoire @ 15/8

    14:50 Exeter Emerging Force @ 11/10

    16:30 Wolverhampton Protest @ 100/30

    £5 Each Way returns £1975.16 ( if all win) or £54.60 if all place @betway

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 1 month ago

      I think garde le victoire is over priced at 2-1, should be about evens for me and when I get back from Hereford will be having a dabble at that price.
      Good luck punterpounder and good stuff today with your 3 from 4 winners

  30. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 month ago

    1.5pt profit Monday
    October 1.73pts profit

    Tuesdays Tips

    Already Advised
    Melbourne Cup
    Flemington
    4:00am
    Big Orange 14/1 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)

    Wolverhampton
    2:30
    Galahad 7/2 skybet

    0.5pt eachway Double 51/1 bet365

    The money has come for a few horses in the Melbourne Cup with Big Orange one of them, now a best price 11/1 bet365 and as low as 7/1
    He wouldn’t want too much rain and although it’s to rain most of the day it’s not meant to get that heavy and the track should be able to take it.
    Also the best horses can still win when things don’t go their way,
    Expect Big Orange to try and make all, yes even with Jamie “hold up” Spencer onboard,
    Last year he also tried to make all and gave the horse a breather down the back straight which he won’t do this year,
    Michael Bell says that now they know this horse needs a strongly run two mile race they don’t need to give the horse a breather and can also kick for home a lot earlier,

    My top 4 horses

    1st Big Orange
    2nd Almandin
    3rd Bondi Beach
    4th Hartnell

    • Profile photo of shauncpfc
      shauncpfc 1 month ago

      Looking forward to seeing how this one goes.

      In regards to the tips are you just tipping a single on Galahad and the each way double? So 2 points staked, or are you re-staking Big Orange? Cheers

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 1 month ago

        No just the two points advised on Big Orange last week and 1pt Galahad and 1pt on the double so yes just the 2pts advised tonight

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