I EXPECTED Saturday to be a good day but it wasn’t. Too many of my accumulators missed by one – including the English and Scottish btts with Crewe and Stranraer beign the culprits – and there were a few shock results.
All week on the site teams such as Middlesbrough, Walsall, Bury, Blackburn and Peterborough were talked up and then of course there was St Johnstone.
They were a confident Super Single pick based on form and stats but both went out of the window as Partick Thistle notched their first away win of the season.
I’ll blame Greg for that one although he says it was “two wonder goals from Thistle”. Anyone on short-priced faves such as Man City, Chelsea, Arsenal, Reading, Celtic and Rangers would have done OK – as long they weren’t all backed on the handicaps.
Even Bayern Munich only won 1-0 and Robert Lewandowski failed to score at something like 1-2 it was that kind of day.
Well done to everyone who posted winners – it just didn’t happen for me today. I like to go for value and sides such as Walsall, Peterborough and St Johnstone looked great value.
Greg landed one of hi sover 2.5 goals trebles at 12-5 but myself, Desmond and Scott Allott are going to Sunday Tipping School.
My first tip for Sunday is an over 2.5 goals bet. The game that stands out from any other is Napoli v Fiorentina and I’m surprised to see William Hill going 10-11.
Napoli have netted 23 in nine games including a 4-0 and two 5-0 successes and their clash with leaders Fiorentina, six league wins out of seven, could be a cracker. Fiorentina’s three away games have totalled 10 games so everything points to this going over.
Marseille v Lorient also looks good on paper. Lorient won 5-3 last time they visited the Velodrome and while that was a surprise a win on this occasion wouldn’t raise too many eyebrows with Marseille struggling. Five of Lorient’s last six have gone over 2.5 goals while Marseille’s five home games have produced 17 goals.
Complete the treble with Den Haag v De Graafschap. The last two meetings have finished 3-5 and 2-2 and while De Graafschap’s last five have gone over 2.5 goals there have been 15 goals in Den Haag’s previous three matches.
The Super Single deficit is almost 13 points and while there’s plenty of time left in October to address that I’m putting up one long shot for 2pts that could drastically reduce it.
The Newcastle v Norwich Premier League clash has been winking at me all week and I believe the Canaries are worth chancing at 2-1 with William Hill, bet365 and Betfred. However, for the SS I’m going a step further with Norwich and both to score at 9-2.
Newcastle have won one in 19 and lie bottom three after a disastrous start under Steve McClaren. If the manner of their 6-1 defeat at Man City wasn’t bad enough they have lost keeper Tim Krul who is out for the season after being injured playing for Holland. No.2 Karl Darlow is sidelined so third choice Rob Elliott will play.
McClaren’s men have picked up surprise points at Man United and home to Chelsea so they can play but lost at home to Watford and Norwich are at least on a par with the side they came up with. The Canaries will go north trying to win and play with a bit of freedom and passion under Alex Neil.
They have a chance of adding to the Toon Army’s misery but having not kept a clean sheet the call is Norwich and btts. It’s a big risk so anyone who doesn’t like it should maybe do over 2.5 goals at Napoli as their nap.
I had a Top Treble in mine but it included some early games. So instead it’s Bordeaux to beat Montpellier and plenty has been written about that one as well as Cologne at home to Hannover on the back of their 3-0 win at Schalke last time out.
Complete the treble with Atletico Madrid who should win at Real Socieded but I’m taking DNB at a lower price. I also looked at Bilbao at a Deportivo side without their two first-choice keepers, Napoli at home to Fiorentina and Lazio at Sassuolo.
2pts Over 2.5 Goals Treble
Napoli v Fiorentina (2pm)
Marseille v Lorient (1pm)
Den Haag v De Graafschap (11.30am)
2pts Super Single
Norwich and btts (4pm)
(9-2, bet365, Betfred, William Hill)
2pts Top Treble
Atletico Madrid DNB (3pm)
(7-2, Betfred, BetVictor)
2pts Team to Score Treble
(33-10, William Hill)
October Super Single stats
17 bets (5 winners)
28 bets (4 winners)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.