JHON MURILLO – remember the name and don't send him a Christmas card.
After a rollercoaster month it took a goal in the final minute of my last match to end hopes of wiping out Super Single losses.
Murillo's late strike sunk Pacos Ferreira and I ended with a 3.5pts loss. It was doubly disappointing since it was a toss-up between Pacos dnb and Romelu Lukaku to score for Everton.
But I can't really grumble because a week ago I faced my worst month on the site but have ended in profit overall.
Choosing Pacos ahead of Lukaku proved to me how big a part gut feeling plays in betting. In fact it's just as important as looking at stats and form.
Hopefully my gut instinct is correct today but right at the outset today's card is really tough especially if you are looking for value. After hours of studying this week I nearly threw in the towel and took the easy relatively easy option of Celtic, Rangers, Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City.
There's no doubt that fivefold will be popular at 5-1 with Marathonbet and some of those sides feature among my tips.
Most of the reasoning will be covered in my Scottish and English betting previews.
Scott Allot has posted European tips, Desmond's put up goals tips, Jordan's gone to Mexico and Greg will add to the nap he's revealed.
And if you're member check out Selectabet's goals bets and look out for my Bet of the Day in the morning.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
Liverpool & Btts (12.30pm)
(15-8, bet365)
3pts Top Treble
Liverpool to score 2+ (12.30pm)
Newcastle to score 2+
Forfar
(5-2, Marathonbet)
2pts Scots Both to Score
St Mirren v Falkirk (5.15pm)
East Fife v Stenhousemuir
Peterhead v Livingston
(17-5, 888sport)
2pts English Both to Score
Bury v Scunthorpe
Carlisle v Colchester
Notts County v Morecambe
(11-2, Coral)
0.5pt Homes
Brentford
Rangers
Alloa
Cowdenbeath
Forfar
(16-1, Marathonbet)
September Super Singles Final Total
Loss: 3.5pts
(33 bets, 8 winners, 4 void)
September Advised Accas Final Total
Profit: 11.4pts
(58 bets, 14 winners)
You may be familiar with Marathonbet via their partnerships with Manchester United, Hibernian and Malaga CF, well now I've teamed up with them to bring you my Top Tips. They've been making a splash in the last 12 months with hugely competitive odds and a massive range of in-play markets to rival the very best. Give Marathonbet a go by signing-up using the button below and claim a £20 welcome bonus.
> Join GentingBet today!
In December 2020 we sadly 
Port Vale look good value at 5/4 to me. They have the best home form in the league with 5 wins from 5 and are playing a managerless Coventry side who are yet to find a win from 10 attempts! Port Vale are without midfielder Grant due to suspension but have a few players that can replace him and I don’t think this should affect them.
Port Vale WIN 5/4 – 2 points
Port Vale and over 2.5 5/2 – 0.5 Points
September totals update: brackets is last months totals
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
mr fixits tips
original bank €400
bank after today €1050 (€908)
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Greg brownings tips
original bank €400
bank after today €1238 (€1221)
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Kelly’s bets
Original bank €800
bank after today €4450 (€4550)
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
overall combined
original bank €1600
updated bank €6738(€6629)
Growing nicely.
Do you follow all of Greg Browning’s tips or just NAPs
all except the goals he does in 10 20 30 mins as im not always able to get on them so just leave them out.
nice figures kelly – how long have you been at it? (ooer mrs) :-)
since jan 1st this year going better than i thought it would but still 3 months left and anything can happen in them months. but mr f and greg are top top tipsters
great stuff kelly – keep it up.
i’d say the first month of the season is probably the most unpredictable (hence your break even figs), so all looks good going forward. keep your discipline & all should be fine.
some of the bets you put on are eye watering tho, lol :-) i get a sweat on if i stake £20!
i’d be tempted to pocket a bit rather than stake it all sometimes on the bigger challenge bets – but you do ok lass. v pleased for you.
Night Owl
MLS (01:00)
Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC – BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s
Ecuador Campeonato Nacional (01:45)
Barcelona Guayaquil vs El Nacional – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
4.82/1 Bet365
Good luck all
The above is a treble
LOST absolutely rancid FH in Texas
Will put a bit more substance to the post closer to KO when team news is finalised but I’ll be looking at Bury’s game as we taken on Scunny at fortress Gigg ?.
BTTS (3/4) and Over 2.5 MGS (evens) are both up there but I’m most likely going to go for a bit of cheeky value…BURY to score 2+ pays 13/8 and I’m on it!
Also looking at the usual suspects TNS, Newcastle and Liverpool to add for a possible team goal quad.
Best of luck ?
Looked at the FA Cup this weekend and found a nice treble.
Ebbsfleet (4th in National League South) and on the back of three impressive league wins entertain Havant and Waterlooville (2nd in the league below). Fleet should progress at the first time of asking.
Weymouth lie in mid table of the Evo Stik Southern League but their only recent defeat was a narrow reverse at home to top of the table Slough Town. Visitors Brimscombe and Thrupp are huge underdogs being mid table in the Hellenic League, two divisions lower than their opponents.
The treble is completed by Halifax Town who host divisional rivals Stalybridge Celtic. Town have had a mixed start but are only two points off 5th with three wins in their last five starts. Celtic have lost ten out of twelve in the league, including a 0-1 loss at The Shay three games ago.
The treble pays just shy of 13/8 with bet365.
One additional non league offering is the anomaly of a price on offer in the Evo Stik Northern Premier League this afternoon. Seventh placed Ashton Utd are at home to struggling Coalville Town (20th).
Neither side has been in scintillating form of late but at least the home side’s recent narrow defeats have come against sides above them. The visitors are on a losing run of 5, including a concession of four goals and twice and five last time out against fellow strugglers Grantham.
Unbelievably the home side are outsiders at 11/4 with the away side a mind blowing 8/11. These prices must be round the wrong way. That is the only explanation. I am about to check Twitter for any other info but this looks like an early Christmas present.
Get on Ashton United at 11/4
Rob, good write-ups – the Ashton price stood out to me too…be interesting to see if the price sticks or is fluid during the morning.
doesnt seem to be a price offered on skybet?
ashton to win 2-0 is priced @ 23/1 on betfair??
Coalville concede 2+ per game this season.
v strange odds on this game – bookies obv know something we don’t.
Hills go 14/5 on Ashton so maybe not an error after all. Twitter feed suggests they have a few injuries and caretaker managers but they only lost narrowly to second placed Whitby in midweek so a small single looks the play.
all stats point toward ashton – have all bookies got it the wrong way round??
yes, they’re on a bad run, however all recent fixtures are vs teams above them & prior to this poor recent run must have played well to still be 8th in table.
small wager on ashton, agreed @robf
3-0 ashton i see, a rare mistake from the bookies, hopefully a few of us got some money back, i didnt unfortunately!
JHON MURILLO – remember the name and don’t send him a Christmas card. !!!
mibby i will mr f
had a rollercoaster of a ride with paco
i had them single dc then a treble with gregs french bet so was up b4 game started
so covered with tondel to win .
cashed out treble with a profit when down 1-0
then cashed out single dc when equalised
and u guessed .. caught the tondel win
ps watched the game , home side looked bit better side, paco had goal disallowed for offside
I thought about a cover bet but in the end it was a 1.2pts bet on draw no bet so I left it.
Uni Catolica v Huachipato 22.00
Over 10.0 asian corners 1.900
Sunday
Empoli v Juventus 11.30
Over 8.5 asian corners 1.950
Torino v Fiorentina 17.00
Over 9.5 asian corners 1.900
inplay suva v labassa
over 2.5mgls
currently 1.66 looks worth keeping eye on
won 0-3 so far
Decided to give the accas a rest for this week and instead putting my strongest selections into doubles and singles:
English Premier League (12:30)
Swansea vs Liverpool – Liverpool -2.5 Asian handicap corners
Belgium First Division A (19:00)
Eupen vs Mouscron Peruwelz – over 2.5 MG’s
double 11/5 **NAP**
La Liga (12:00)
Granada vs Leganes – BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 6/4 **NB**
English Premier League (12:30)
Swansea vs Liverpool – Liverpool – Liverpool team performance over 80 pts 13/10
Win the match = 25 pts
Draw the match = 10 pts
Each goal scored = 15 pts
Each corner gained and taken = 3 pts
Keep a clean sheet = 10 pts
Score before the 20th minute = 10 pts extra (maximum 10 points per team)
Each yellow or red card received = 5 pts and 15 pts deducted respectively (maximum 20 points per player)
La Liga (17:30)
Osasuna vs Las Palmas – over 2.5 MG’s 1/1
Italy Serie B (14:00)
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza – Virtus Entella win 1/1
Sweden Allsvenskan (15:00)
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF – over 1.5 2nd half goals
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF – over 9 match corners
double 7/4
Sweden Superettan (15:00)
Atvidabergs FF vs Dalkurd FF – over 2.5 MG’s 9/10
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
This is for small stakes only..
-Swansea over 1.5 team goals
-Swansea Win
I feel people have underestimated Swansea here..on their day they will beat anyone in the premier league..and after the Burnley game I feel Liverpool will be found out today
Yeah liverpool will be found out,whatever that means,either you mean found out that this liverpool team are a good side (which after watching every game there is no doubt about that)or you mean beating arsenal chelsea leicester etc have all been flukes,if you mean the latter then you really should look at stats and that should tell you about liverpools play thus far this season.
I mean that they give oponents too many chances in every game..and today they may concede a goal or two
They give opponents to many chances,ok but they also create a lot of chances and score lots of goals.
Both bets LOST!! Well done Mr.F and everybody who was on Liverpool and BTTS
@kpoothegreatest swansea were the better side in the first half no doubts there,game of two halves liverpool rampant in the second half and this is the difference between been found out and not being found out.what we did find out though was liverpool have character.
Fair enough..they still will be found out soon
Can’t help but feel your either a man utd fan or everton whichever way your bitter,liverpool are not the greatest at defending but what they lack in defence they make up in attack,as long as you outscore opponents then you will win games and thats why they are where they are in the league.This found out soon business is funny.
Too much is made of liverpools defeat at Burnley. Liverpool battered them for 90 mins but couldn’t find the net. I wouldn’t read too much into that result however Swansea are a decent side and the early kick off should be a great start to the weekend.
Swansea would have a chance if this was a new managers first game with that new manager bounce teams get, think its happening in Germany and Spain with new managers(or caretakers) at the moment.
MrF’s bet looks spot on Liv +btts
lol
inplay
kashima v omiya over 2.5mgls
urawa over 1.5 team goals
pays 1.90
won
National League.
MACCLESFIELD h/t 4/5.
MACCLESFIELD -1 4/5.
MACCLESFIELD goal before 32 mins 5/6.
SUMMARY: Macclesfield have led at half time in all bar one game on home turf thus far this season. On the other hand the ‘villagers’ have trailed in all bar one on their travels. At present they’ve struggled since promotion, and I can’t see any different today.
BARROW goal before 78 mins 5/6.
SUMMARY: Really looking forward to this match up! Complete contrasting styles, will Forest Green keep a clean sheet against a team of ‘Giants’, I’m hoping not, and a goal before 78 mins was extremely tempting for a team bang in form!
BOREHAM WOOD goal before 52 mins 5/6.
SUMMARY : The Wood are far from prolific in front of goal, but they are a very difficult outfit to play against. Today they entertain Wrexham , manager Mills is in the last chance salon, heaping pressure on his players, and demanding nowt other than 3 pts! Away from home they’ve been conceding far to many, early first half goals have been a constant theme, WOOD will look to continue this!
DAGGERS to WIN 13/10.
DAGGERS over 1.5 TGS 6/5.
DAGGERS goal before 51 mins 5/6.
SUMMARY : Tranmere’s caretaker boss promises to take the game to John Still’s boys, please do! If they play as open as they did against Woking last weekend goals may flow. Tranmere’s squad is somewhat depleted through suspensions and injuries, I believe the Daggers will exploit this in the late k/o.
Been one result off in previous 3 attempts so still going level stakes on a 2nd half highest scoring 5-fold and still convinced I’ll land at least one before season end. Today’s choices are games at:
Hull, Sunderland, Birmingham, Leeds, Bristol City
Pays circa 35/1
Have a good day. Peace
I’ll join you on this one mattr!
Best of luck
Mattr so close mate was hoping for a late goal in the sunderland game!! Will keep following these when u post. So close each time
…one day mate
Super Single
Bayern v Cologne 2:30pm kick off.
Bayern -1 handicap 2.05 (BetVictor)
80% confidence.
Scratch that! The Bayern handicap was for the first half only. Apologies!
Cheers for the update Kelly ??
return to my tactic that served me so well over the past month or so selecting 3 games each for overs from England & Scotland
Wimbledon
Bury
Portsmouth
All over 2.5mgs 5.84/1
Alloa
East fife
Peterhead
All over 2.5mgs 2.79/1
6 fold returns 25/1
@nazalus took your advice from last week if it ain’t broke
Good luck today all
Glad to hear lol…you’ve been on fire with 3 & 3 so im on it as usual.Good luck mate :)
A booking before 34 min in the Dundee v Celtic match pays 5/6 @365
4 or over pays 11/10 at sky bet. good odds I think.
I would also like to express my condolences to the family of Dundee boxer Mike Towell who died last night.
RIP
Echo your thoughts re Mike Towell. Terrible tragedy. We had 2 reporters at the fight and both said they feared the worst when it happened and how shocking it was.
Yes Paul very sad.
I was actually visiting a relative in the Queen Elizabeth when Mike Towell was brought in.
Sitting in the waiting room with his family and friends – it was sad as I got the impression he had little chance of pulling through.
nice one am going for a win swansea win
Various bets on – really like Mr F’s top treble …
Main Bet
Basel, Newcastle > 1.5 TGS Evens
Jon Stead ATGS 6/5
Has 121 goals in 512 games across 12 clubs. Leading the line for Notts County this season with 9 goals. Fancy him to net against Morecombe who have conceded 18 goals in 10 games.
Cracking over1.5tgs double wasclueless i have added Liverpool for a treble pays 1.9/1
Good luck today mate
Will be if it wins dc … GL as well !!
Morning gents, Lens /Reims 7/4 double ensured it was a profitable night and for the third time this week it was 2 out 3 on the overs treble with Den Bosh the latest culprits!
It’s a tough card today – good luck to everyone with their bets ??⚽️
Rotherham v Newcastle
Was a bit surprised when I saw the price for goals in this match, Rotherham have been the goal Kings so far in the championship with 9 of their 10 games seeing over 2.5 goals and you can almost gaurentee they’ll concede here! They are at home though and will take solace from the fact Norwich put three past them
Before an almighty collapse! That was a huge win for Rafa’s men and they’ll certainly fancy their chances here! Should see goals with both sides getting in on the act!
Back over 2.5 goals 4/5 (NAP)
Scottish goals treble:
Stranraer v Brechin
Alloa v Airdrie
Ayr v Dunfermline
Over 2.5 goals treble pays 7/2
English goals treble:
Afc Wimbeldon v Gillingham
Bury v Scunthorpe
Portsmouth v Doncaster
Over 2.5 goals treble pays 6/1
Loving your English overs treble exact same as me Greg
If you have picked it then it’s made think I’m doing something right in picking these games hope they land for us mate
Good luck today
Dc ***AND***Greg on same treble…Got to be a winner..Get on it ppl :) :)
Dc ***AND***Greg on same treble…Got to be a winner..Get on it ppl :) :)
Perm any 4
Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals and win
Chelsea not to lose and over 1.5 total match goals
ChievoVerona not to lose
Sevila not to lose and over 1.5 total match goals
Hannover 96 not to lose and over 1.5 total goals
whats every1 think of Chelsea they got to be beating hull … Chelsea & man u double evens
…………………………………………………………………………
Port Vale win
Yes And Over 2.5 Goals Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals
Bury v Scunthorpe
Over @ 1.60 (1.5) Newcastle Under/Over 1.5
Rotherham v Newcastle
Both Teams To Score
Wimbledon v Gillingham
Portsmouth v Doncaster
acca – 20.7/1
In my opinion the 2/1 for a wolves win at home to Norwich is decent…
I can see us taking something out of the game…. stats show us alternating between winning and losing so following the pattern it’s a win today ??
Not backing the Wdw market here but 5/4 on BTTS and Overs looks tasty.
2.5 points
Morning gents – interesting card and hope it’s one that throws plenty of goals our way…
BTTS 4-FOLD:
BURY
HULL
FH HAFNARFJORDUR
THROTTUR REYKJAVIC
PAYS 7.75/1
OVER 2.5 MATCH GOAL 4-FOLD:
LIVERPOOL
HULL
ROTHERHAM
BURY
ABERYSTWYTH
PAYS 11.83/1
There’s one match that will be bringing the country to a standstill at 15.00 as the club wth the shortest name takes on the club with potentially the rudest…that’s right folks, the team that put the ‘B’ into Bury take on the team that put the ‘C’ into Scunthorpe…
It should be a belter and as good as Scunny are, we are just finding that bit more in the tank than any other team – very similar to last season’s autumnal success.
We now have a record of 6 unbeaten games and look to make this a seventh – interestingly, I read a fact that our run is a week ‘older’ than Scunny’s and has also harvested many more points than The Iron.
Jones and Maher are doubts having come off in the midweek win at MK Dons and star man Danny Major is still out with a crocked knee.
The battle for goals continues upfront with Vaughan now needing 1 more to pip Tom Pope for top goalscorer and he’s 11/2 to net first.
Numbers are up this season but as ever Bury will always struggle to attract huge crowds as there’s such a big pull on the town’s fanbase towards either City or Utd (for those with no pride or class ?) and It’s good to see we are putting on reduced prices for today’s match entry in order to swell numbers and the all important voice of the home support. Tenner for an adult, fiver for OAPs and a quid for U11’s!
I mentioned last night on another thread that BTTS (3/4) and Over 2.5 (now 21/20) both look good but I really fancy two here:
BURY OVER 1.5 TGS…13/8
VAUGHAN ATGS…7/4
Best of luck with all bets snd teams today ?
Good luck today – should be a cracker. Let’s hope it’s not a 0-0 though.
lol, will risk a quid on that gloomy afterthought :-)
i remember it being ian botham that put the c in scunthorpe (i’m obviously getting old)
Nice one Hull, I’m on your Over 2.5 goals acca
Reckon there will be goals at the Molineux in the late kick off
Over 2.5 at evens looks great
Back of the net!!
IN-PLAY
Spal U19 vs AC Milan U19 – BTTS in 2nd half 7/4 Bet365
Currently 4-0 to Spal U19 on the stroke of HT but AC Milan U19 have finished the half strongly.
LOST
Port Vale
Luton
Plymouth
8/1 treble at B365
Good Luck ppl
In pub waiting for bus to rangers game & saw advert for spurs v Man City game could be a cracker tomorrow with plenty goals
Btts in both halves 11/1
Over 3.5mgs 7/4
Over 4.5mgs 9/2
Will probably be on these tomorrow
Enjoy ur day people & good luck & hoping come home tonight to some winners
Just a plain homes treble from me today
Birmingham
Port Vale
Crewe
12/1 bet 365.
Good luck all.
several nice looking aways dotted around europe today
best value ones in my eyes
las palmas (drew with madrid versus the bottom team (13/8)
kortijk (4/5 wins and scoring regularly 9/5)
eastleigh (revolutuinised by ronnie moore 21/20)
q of south (pimped up by someone above me)
falkirk (five wins on the trot 5/4)
mk dons (top of the league one away form table 13/10)
toulouse (9/5 after three wins on the bounce inc PSG?)
norwich (speculative but a great price at 6/4)
WBA (surely 2/1 is too big given sunderlands predicament, DC then?)
cittadella (18th v 1st and 19/10, whats all that about?, lost their last game but before that win afer win after win!!)
8863/1, worth a quid!
less good value
liverpool
celtic
aberdeen
newcastle
linfield
Nice write up pal, I’m going to sling a quid on that mad one too… love a crazy return bet haha
Good luck with all your bets today :D
nowhere near i’m afaid, altho the five ‘less good value’ ones did all come in! i think of the ten value games four won, there were four draws, falkirk were ahead, and eastleigh drew from 1-3 up! but kortijk and toulouse lost
Coutinho ATGS 5/4
Some overpriced teams today in my opinion. Port Vale have won all 5 home games against Coventry who haven’t won all season.
My bet of the day Port Vale to win 11/10
Brentford Birmingham Leeds Bury and Plymouth all over priced to in my opinion
Totally agree m8 . I’ve done 2 out of your picks with a slightly riskier 1 in Crewe.
I really fancy Leeds to win they are in good form and Barnsley slipping a bit and had to sack their assistant with alleged transfer bungs etc. Tough to predict derby games though. Don’t understand why Plymouth are 4/5 against Yeovil they should win comfortbaly
I always stay away from derby games if I can help it. At the risk of upsetting Hullshaker I think Scunthorpe are quite big away to Bury @ 31/20.
Scunthorpe have let me down a couple of times lately I was on both of their draws. I usually avoid derby games too but feel there is some value in Leeds today.
I agree Leeds should win but their not a team I really trust.
Liverpool been poor – need Klopp to work his magic at HT.
At least we have the Swansea goal.
You’ll not upset me ged pal – I’m nothing but impartial when it comes to betting – especially on my own team! It’s a game in the balance as reflected in the odds.
Good luck sir ?
Coventry boss has resigned of course but don’t know if it will affect things too much.
Off to see Bankies v Blantyre Vics and we could do with a win.
Good luck to everyone with all of their bets today.
Looks like the players weren’t playing for Mowbray
Fancy a little punt on James Milner to get a card 15/4. Had Gareth Barry to get a card yesterday at 11/5
Insure 5 fold acca
Liverpool, NewcastleUtd, BayernMunich, ManU, RealMadrid
Just under 19/5
GL all
Two bookings 21 min into Dundee V Celtic game
One bet up and half way to the other one, hope some of you had it on .
Celtic RT7 & to score before 80 mins EVENS
Lose
Shocking 1st half from Liverpool, have to improve in 2nd
RT9 and to score @1.60/1
Today I’ve gone for :
Brentford
Port Vale
Northampton
East fife
All to score @ evens.
Absolute tosh from me yesterday, so can only apologise for that. Still, September ended with a good bit of profit tied up so I can’t complain. Today looks a goals card to me more than ever – actually had trouble picking out what I like most. Usually that spells trouble but hopefully October can start with some bookie bashing. I’ve come on to find most of you picking out much of the same games as me for goals. Again, usually that spells trouble, but fingers crossed it’s a case of great minds thinking alike.
Basel O1.5 Team Goals
Rotherham v Newcastle O1.5 Match Goals
East Fife v Stenhousemuir O1.5 Match Goals
Treble @ 19/20 (Bet365)
A bit of a hodge-podge of selections there but they’re the ones that stood out to me from the shortlist.
Wimbledon v Gillingham
Bury v Scunthorpe
Portsmouth v Doncaster
O1.5 Match Goals Treble @ 11/10 (Stan James)
Correct me if I’m wrong but I’m pretty sure these 3 games are on the radar of all the goals enthusiasts today. DC and Greg I think put them for O2.5… That’s enough justification alone for me to take the 1.5 treble I’d highlighted this morning.
Brentford
Alloa
O1.5 Team Goals Double @ 43/20 (Betfair) /Smaller Stake/
Good luck today fellas and females.
Quite a tough card today but picked out the following:
Main bet
Chelsea 9/20
Newcastle 8/15
Rangers 1/3
Treble pays just shy of 2/1
All to have 2 or 3 match goals
Hull 1/1
Sunderland 20/21
Watford 20/21
West Ham 20/21
Perm any 3 and all 4, minimum treble pays around 13/2 and the 4-fold pays around 14/1 (plus all the trebles)
All to win
Birmingham 21/20
Bolton 23/20
Port Vale 5/4
Carlisle 10/11
Plymouth 4/5
Perm any 4 and all 5, minimum 4-fold pays 14/1 and the acca pays 33/1 (plus all the 4-folds)
Saturday goals bets
Over 2.5 goals singles 3pts
Rotherham v Newcastle 4/5
Wimbledon v Gillingham 3/4
Crawley v Blackpool 19/20
Notts Co v Morecambe 8/13
Over 1.5 goals fourfold
3pts staked Pays 7/5
BEYERN MUNICH VS COLOGNE
BEYERN MUNICH OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS @ 10/11 – 5 POINTS (NAP)
OVER 3.5 MATCH GOALS @ 11/8- 4 POINTS (NB)
Over 2.5 goals treble @ 8.5/1- 1 point
Burton Albion Vs Cardiff
Preston vs Aston Villa
Chesterfield vs Bradford
Good Luck
Reading v Derby pre-match summary and bits and bobs.
What a difference a number makes. I’m talking of 4-3-3 and not 4-4-2. It sounds stupid and a bit ” Mike Bassett ” – ( my hero – maybe the FA can give him the nod to fill big Sam’s vacant parking space – or is it a short stay visitors only space?? ) but that’s what happened on Tuesday. Well, it was a bit more than just the formation change, Pearson didn’t travel down to Cardiff with the squad and former derby player ( head coach ) Chris Powell took the helm. He duly obliged with the formation change and the Rams gave us a competitive 2 nil win. Well deserved. The first time I’ve said it this season. I saw the highlights and we played with purpose and closed every single ball down.
The changes at the Ipro do not appear temporary. Something cracked off at the training ground which saw Mel Morris turn up with his latest bank statement. Anyway, handbags at 10 paces. No doubt the owner used Mrs Morris’s best handbag for the showdown. I’m guessing Mrs Morris packed it full of bricks or maybe receipts for players brought since he took ownership. It resulted in Pearson not travelling with the team to Cardiff AND now his assistant manager Inigo Idiakez being shown the door too. The latest news is that Pearson has NO contact from any member of the team or backroom staff. I sense another number – ” P45 “. If Carlsberg did late team news !!!!
It is possible that it could be a false start, but for two reasons, I’m going to suggest otherwise:
1. October/November for as long as I can remember has always been a purple patch for the rams, sometimes it starts a month early, sometimes it ends as late as January or February, but for the sake of the current point in the calendar, statistically, we have a fabulous 2 months of results. And what a shot in the arms it would be if we can back up Tuesdays result with another win.
2. The 4-3-3 and wrong players in wrong positions. Pearson was adamant of making that 4-4-2 work, new players coming in, a few outgoings, but kept the wingbacks in play leaving an exposed central defence pairing. Since Thorne’s injury and releasing Eustace, we’ve nobody that can do that job effectively. So if the players are not there to fill the right slots, then the formation needs changing.
Powell has gone back to the spine of the old team and style we know so well. For the sake of ensuring that the problem was always with the manager and his formation, Derby have to make this 4-3-3 work. Nobody in a Derby shirt will want this to fail. IF we do, then Pearson will be walking out the door with a big payoff singing ” told you so “. Let’s not give him the satisfaction.
Reading have had some good scalps this past 7 or so games apart from an away loss to Brentford 4-1. That suggests that if they have a team show up and have a go, their back-line could collapse. Derby’s back 4 isn’t that great but we have a couple of terrific midfielders in Bryson and Hughes and a front 3 more than capable of bursting the Reading net.
We know what its like to be on the receiving end of a Reading hiding. They stuffed us 3 nil on the final game of the season 2014/15 to see us drop out of the top 6 for the first time in the final half of the season. We only needed a 0-0 for a playoff slot.
I think Derby WILL score, but the key is to get the first one. Blackburn came from behind to beat us and that was the 2nd time in 38 competitive games we’ve lost a match from a leading position.
Derby Double result is 4/9 with bet365, but since it’s still very early days, I can’t be totally confident in tipping that. I need more form/stats to back up that, BUT a very tiny Reading NO CLEAN SHEET with the same bookie is priced at 4/11. Way more confident on that.
How Derby have managed to pick their chins off the floor, I have no idea, but they have and with Bent being slapped back on the bench, we have a front-line to take off from where we left.
Derby team:
Just one change for the rams, Max Lowe ( academy left back ) has been swapped out for the returning Olsson.
Derby County: Carson, Christie, Keogh (C), Pearce, Olsson; Johnson, Butterfield, Hughes; Ince, Anya, Vydra
Substitutes: Mitchell, Russell, Bent, Baird, Wilson, Blackman, Weimann
5 of Derby’s 7 subs are attack minded ( 4 if you don’t count Bent )
Hertha Berlin to win EVENS
Hertha over 1.5 TGS 6/5
Ibisevic AGS 7/4
Shocking 1st half from Liverpool, have to improve in 2nd
RT9 and to score @1.60/1 Won
Just need a winner here :D
Get in!!!!!
Grinning like a Cheshire cat here….
I begrudgingly fell into Ladbrokes and dropped a £10 on an acca. 4 way. Liverpool had already kicked off so I asked the shop to take the prices off the computer and the in-play price for Liverpool last.
my selections were: Man Utd, Celtic, Liverpool, Newcastle.
just as he was about to give me 4/9 for Liverpool, Swansea scored. I got in-play @ 11/10. Man Utd @ 3/10, Celtic @ 2/9 ( 15 mins in-play price at 0-0 ) then I look at my slip. stupid stupid people went and gave me 9/2 for the Newcastle win price. Just seen Liverpool equalise, then grab a 83rd min penalty – boom 2-1. Celtic win 1 nil. Liverpool just seen the game out.
Correct me if I’m wrong but since it was them that did the in-play prices, any mistake on prices is their problem should Newcastle and Man U win? Since its written down by their member of staff, it’s technically a written contract or sale of goods and services act.
Get in there the Toon!!
Sorry but most people know if you’re mistakenly given a wrong price they will pay you at correct odds if it’s spotted.
Sale of goods etc doesn’t come into it.
It’s also an urban myth that if for example they put £100 on the price of a £1000 telly they must give it to you for a ton. They don’t.
Going for an early team goals treble in Germany – not the most insghtful granted but hopefully has a chance
Munich over 2.5tg @ 1.90
Managed at least 3 in every home game so far and although Cologne are no mugs, Munich will be looking to bonce back from the midweek Champs League loss
Hoffenheim over 1.5tg @ 3.00
Hoffenheim have scored 5 in 2 away games and they are away to an Ingolstadt who have conceded twice in both home games so far and at least twice in their last 4 in a row
Darmstadt over 1.5tg @ 2.50
This is the risky one as Darmstadt have only scored once in each of their opening two home games but they face a Werder Bremen side who have conceded 10 in 2 away games. Even though they faced Munich and Moenchengladbach in conceding these goals, I still reckon this has a chance
Treble pays about 14.0
My bets today;
Middlesborough or draw
West Brom or draw
Chelsea
Newcastle
Las Palmas or draw
Sevilla
PSG
Monaco or draw
Bayern Munich Asian Handicap -0.5, 1.0
23.4
£5 returns £117
Al’s Madhead goals acca
Sevilla game – Over 1.5 goals
PSG game – Over 1.5 goals
Hull v Chelsea – Over 2.5 goals
Heerenveen v PSV – Over 2.5 goals
Rotherham v Newcastle – Over 2.5 goals
FC United of Manchester v Harrogate – Over 2.5 goals
Reading v Derby – Over 1.5 goals
Kilmarnock v Aberdeen – Over 1.5 goals
Brentford v Wigan – Over 1.5 goals
Bury v Scunthorpe – Over 1.5 goals
Northampton v Bristol Rovers – Over 1.5 goals
Port Vale v Coventry – Over 1.5 goals
Cheltenham v Luton – Over 1.5 goals
67.0
£5 returns £335
Hi gents. Moreno was no good overnight in Mexico so start October with a loss. Originally I wasn’t going to post today as I hadn’t done much research, but after seeing line ups I’m going to take West Brom DNB on the road in Sunderland. I’ve been on the Baggies a bit this season whether it being to score once or twice, but today I think they have a chance at 3 points. I can’t believe David Moyes is able to work in the Premier League again and right now its showing. Sunderland have plenty of injuries and if this isn’t a stalemate, I think the Baggies could knick it.
West Brom DNB @ 123/100 @ Marathon Bet – 2.5 points
If like me you think West Brom could win without a goal fest, West Brom Win/Under 4.5 Total Goals pays 12/5 @ Betfair, even the West Brom Win/Under 2.5 could be safe as big as 5/1 @ Betstars.
Anyone know why Forfar have went from 4/9 to 8/11?
Josh Peters is out
I saw that and it worried me. Someone knew something but I don’t know what.
This is for small stakes only..
-Swansea over 1.5 team goals
-Swansea Win
Sorry for those who were on the bets..Both bets LOST!! Well done Mr.F and everybody who was on Liverpool and BTTS
James Mcclean to get booked at 3/1 today he will gets dogs abuse today from our fans and he is easily wound up
awful day every bet so close but at least this came in
Over 2.5 MGS treble pays 4.7/1
Portsmouth vs Doncaster
Brentford vs Wigan
Rotherham vs Newcastle
Sorry no time for reasoning – UK over 1.5 tg treble
AFC Wimbledon, Grimsby & Walsall pays 12.10
For anyone who may consider getting stuck.into any Bury bets in-play…note of caution…we have no Vaughan up front or on the bench today.
ASHTON 1-0 ALREADY
2-0 NOW
Notts county play suspended due to waterlogged pitch.
called off
Damn, red card for the silkmen!!!!!
Omar bogle next goal in Grimsby game 4/1 bet365 . Great price.
Scrap that
Ipswich game over 1.5 gls EVENS
Lose
Wow, a touch lucky that! Silkmen down to 10 men, but hang on till half time to bring two out of the three bets in!
MACCLESFIELD to score before 32 mins 5/6✔️.
MACCLESFIELD h/t 4/5✔️.
In play bayern to win 5/6
LOST
/
Brentford to win in play is 13/8, im not backing it but they are dominating
Shop bets actually looking alright at HT for a change, 2 btts 5folds plus 10 in a line with only 1 0-0 at Southend. 1 up in each acca with 1 team scoring on the rest. Waiting on Norwich to score in the late game
Hertha Berlin to win EVENS
Hertha over 1.5 TGS 6/5
Ibisevic AGS 7/4
*ALL WON!!!*
took Berlin to win,cheers.
No problem mate those odds were too generous
Basel, Newcastle > 1.5 TGS Evens LOST – 24 corners in the game and 1 Newcastle goal
Jon Stead ATGS 6/5 VOID – flood
Not a good day
You can say that again.
It went to the dogs. All of it :(
Reading/Derby, after reading dominated possession for about 35 mins, Derby start to eek out the better chances and Duly obliged with an opener on 61 mins. We’ve had enough opportunities to create more clearcut chances but the passes were just too long, but we’d done enough to win the game.
With the corners count up ( 5-4 to reading ) and cards at 2 a piece, Derby absorb a bit a pressure in the last ten minutes, possibly Keogh lucky not to concede a penalty, but Derby shoot ourselves in the foot and concede 10 seconds from the 90 minute mark.
With 2 minutes left of injurytime and at 1-1 , I can’t help but feel that we’ve been robbed of 2 points. A shame because we’ve done enough for all 3 points. It has to be seen as a good point away BUT I still feel shortchanged.
We’ve just had an injurytime shot at their goal cleared off the line too…. aaarrgh.
On a plus point when Mr F was looking for a winner in the championship, I felt Barnsley could be ripe for the taking – and cue Leeds 2-1.
On another plus point, Newcastle won 1 nil, with ladcrooks writing out the wrong price of 9/2 !!! lmfao. Just Man U to do the biz for my 4 fold to cha-ching them since Liverpool and Celtic won earlier doors.
Baggies couldn’t hold on but money back for the draw. Well done any winners. Card was a tough one today. Tomorrow similar at first glance.
Not a great day all round. I said it was a tough card but even goals were in short supply.
The rogue price on Ashton United was indeed manna from heaven. They were 11/4 on Bet365 and won 3-0 against a side without a win in 6 and much lower in the table.
I also posted a winning FA Cup treble with Ebbsfleet, Weymouth and Halifax obliging at around 13/8.
Always good to make a profit on a Saturday.
It was indeed a great spot rob – well done pal ?
nice work pal, x ray specs working a treat.
Well done all winners – mine were close calls and disapointing to see us losing 1-2 to Scunthorpe…no doubt Vaughan’s late absence from the squad made a difference in terms of firepower but well done Scunny.
BTTS 4-FOLD:
BURY ?
FH HAFNARFJORDUR?
THROTTUR REYKJAVIC?
HULL…1 short
PAYS 7.75/1
OVER 2.5 MATCH GOAL 4-FOLD:
LIVERPOOL?
BURY?
ABERYSTWYTH?
HULL…1 short
ROTHERHAM…2 short
PAYS 11.83/1
Onto the Night Owl and a few on the shortlist – will pop them up if yhink they have a chance.
Wolves vs Norwich
Over 2.5 MGS EVENS
Jacob Murphy AGS 11/4
Norwich over 1.5 TGS 6/5
Gone for cameron jeromone first goalscorer for Norwich at 7/2,tough card today well done all winners
Nicely done lol
Thanks,for once i followed my gut instinct?
Webber – biting you nails for all.of 100 seconds thete ??
2 weeks in a row 2 btts 5folds let down by 1 gl, Gillingham and Cardiff, plus £1 on all 10 for £188. Stuck a daft 50p 6fold on btts/no draw and only the Sutton game let that down for £166 :(
NYRB, Columbus Crew > 1.5 TGS Evens
Ola Kamara ATGS 21/20.
15 this season – didn’t score in the last game but had 5 in the previous 3
Metz over 2.5mg
Lazio to score
Basle over 1.5tg
Returns over 2/1
On bus on way home from gers game all bets today lost but were not far away
Lost only let down by basle who some how could only manage 1 goal & even that was late on
Luuk de Jong ATGS 4/5
PSV striker back in the goals and likes a goal against Heerenveen with 4 in the last 3 H2H’s
l will join you on that bet, all the best@wasclueless
I’m going BTTS 8/13
I like ghoochannejhad to score @ 11/5 but not risking it
Cyprus division 1 in play HT currently 4-2
Ethnikos vs Deryneia over 7.5 MGS 11/10
5-3
*WON*
In play Morocco cup
FAR Rabat to score in 2bd half EVENS
*LOST*
Other team scored even tho they were battered ??
charleroi game inplay over 2.5mgls doubled with Norwich to still win their game is just over even money
normal service resumed lol LOST
Basel O1.5 Team Goals, Rotherham v Newcastle O1.5 Match Goals, East Fife v Stenhousemuir O1.5 Match Goals
Treble @ 19/20 (Bet365) ///LOST///
Wimbledon v Gillingham, Bury v Scunthorpe, Portsmouth v Doncaster
O1.5 Match Goals Treble @ 11/10 (Stan James) ///WIN///
Brentford, Alloa
O1.5 Team Goals Double @ 43/20 (Betfair) ///LOST///
Not the greatest of starts. 1/2 of the main bets and a small stake loser wouldn’t always be a bad day, but I had a much higher stake on the first treble. Still, there’s a long way to go in October yet. ;)
Massive South American card tonight and I initially narrowed it down to 8 games for closer inspection.
From those 8, I’ve now picked out the 3 I’m most confident in and have cross-reffed stats, H2Hs, etc to come up with 2 bets for each: ‘A’ being a really solid chance, with ‘B’ offering slightly more value but still solid claims!
Here’s the 3 final picks and a condensed reasoning behind each…hope it makes some form of sense!
COBRESOL v O HIGGINS (19.00 KO):
Of the 7 recent H2Hs over the past 3 seasons, O Higgins have score 2 or more goals in all but 1 game. The away side have also scored 2+ in their last 2 league fixtures.
A. O H OVER 1.5 TGS…EVENS
B. O H OVER 2.5 TGS…10/3
CATOLICA v HUACHIPATO (22.00):
4 out of the most recent H2Hs have seen BTTS come in and both teams gsmes are littered with similar results.
A. BTTS…8/13
B. BTTS & OVERS…10/11
GUARANI ASUNCION v GENERAL CABALLERO (22.00 KO):
Top side Guarani welcome joint 2nd bottom team Caballero and will be looking to make it an impressive 7 wins on the bounce.
Caballero, for their part, have conceded 2-5-4 goals in their last 3 outings.
A. GUARANI OVER 1.5 TGS…4/6
B. GUARANI OVER 2.5 TGS…9/4
I’ll be on each of these as singles but also 2 trebles: ‘A’ and ‘B’
‘TREBLE A’ PAYS 4.38/1
‘TREBLE B’ PAYS 25.8/1
Good luck all on late ones ?
Wolves vs Norwich
Over 2.5 MGS EVENS *WON*
Jacob Murphy AGS 11/4 *LOST*
Norwich over 1.5 TGS 6/5 *WON*
Great day today!!!
I guess it’s a first day for me here. Hard a full house of winners
Perm any 4
Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals and win
Chelsea not to lose and over 1.5 total match goals
ChievoVerona not to lose
Sevila not to lose and over 1.5 total match goals
Hannover 96 not to lose and over 1.5 total goals
Well done Alexcee…not a bad call on a tough gig!
English Premier League (12:30)
Swansea vs Liverpool – Liverpool -2.5 Asian handicap corners
Belgium First Division A (19:00)
Eupen vs Mouscron Peruwelz – over 2.5 MG’s
double 11/5 **NAP** WON :)
La Liga (12:00)
Granada vs Leganes – BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s 6/4 **NB** LOST
English Premier League (12:30)
Swansea vs Liverpool – Liverpool – Liverpool team performance over 80 pts 13/10 LOST
La Liga (17:30)
Osasuna vs Las Palmas – over 2.5 MG’s 1/1 WON :)
Italy Serie B (14:00)
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza – Virtus Entella win 1/1 WON :)
Sweden Allsvenskan (15:00)
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF – over 1.5 2nd half goals
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF – over 9 match corners
double 7/4 LOST
Sweden Superettan (15:00)
Atvidabergs FF vs Dalkurd FF – over 2.5 MG’s 9/10 WON :)
Quite a decent day day all in all, it could’ve been it 5 from 7 bets but bookings for Henderson and Sturridge meant I finished on a Liverpool team performance score of 75 pts instead of the required 81 or greater so just missed out. Well done all winners.
Can’t believe Bayern drew, should have known not to bet on them when it was champion league week, all overs landed :-/
Middlesborough or draw *won
West Brom or draw *won
Chelsea *won
Newcastle*won
Las Palmas or draw *won
Sevilla*won
PSG *won
Monaco or draw *inplay but 3-0 up at 75 mins
Bayern Munich Asian Handicap -0.5, 1.0 *lost
23.4
£5 returns £117
Lost only because of Bayern. Onto the next!
Way out my comfort zone on this one but Queretaro look a good bet tonight in Mexico. Look decent at home but their opponents Santos have an awful away record with no wins in the last 10, losing 8 of them. Home win is 5/4. Hopefully somebody will tell me to steer clear of this if it is a bad un.
Uni Catolica v Huachipato 22.00
Over 10.0 asian corners 1.900
Lazio RT9 8-11
Looked at 5+ corners for Lazio at 8/11 but decided against it, 2 corners needed in 35+ mins and they lead 0-2
Win ?
Over 1.5/2.5 O’Higgin’s tgs…fail ?…final s ore 2-1 to Cobresol.
Been having a natter with the old fella in ward with me tonight – he’s 78 and been telling me about his playing days up at Hamilton where he’s from.
Don’t know wether it’ll ring any bells with any fans but he’s called Eddie Martin – played in late 50’s early 60’s and talking about playing alongside Wally Ferlie, Charley Tollie and Bobbie Collins.
Top lad but cannae understand a word he’s saying ?
I’ll ask the Record historian about him.
The other three guys I’ve heard of although I don’t think the names are quite right.
Haha sorry Mr F – just reported your comment ?…names won’t be right as combination of Eddie’s accent and my spelling!
Kendog – been in for a wee bit but hoping to get out soon enough – you know what these penis reduction ops are like.
Hope you’re all right – you haven’t been coming across as a patient.
Bobby Collins is a famous ex-Scotland international as was Willie Fernie.
The other name is probably Charlie Tully, another famous ex-Celt.
Hullshaker I hope your not in hospital? Defo one of my favourites here dude. Keep up the good work!
I thought he was just visiting!
Oh that’s ok then ?
Catolica v Hauchipato…BTTS
**WON**
If anyone’s after an in-play have a look at the Paraguayan game – Caballero went 1 up on the stroke of ht but I’d fully expect Guarani to have plenty to day anout that in the second 45 – you can have them at 3/1 for the win ?