MY faith in Ajax was rewarded with a couple of winners – but only just.
As they've been throughout their Europa League campaign Celtic were unlucky and in the end beaten by a mistake that led to Ajax's late clincher from a home corner.
The Dutch side's second gave me a 4.4pts return on the Ajax DNB Super Single and brought up a 5-1 goals treble – Ajax to score 2+, over 2.5 goals at Augsburg v Athletic Bilbao and both to score at Basel v Fiorentina. I lost 2pts for trying to cover it.
On the members' forum the £43.30 Betting Club money was also on Ajax to score 2+ so rolls over to £90.93.
And the Bet of the Day £10 to £100 challenge won again with a 1-2 double on Schalke and Marseille that turned £30.40 into £45.70 after a third winner in a row.
My only loser on the day was the 1pt Top Treble that was beaten early doors so the Advised Accas are back in profit and I've cut what was a substantial Super Single deficit earlier in the month to just over 1pt down – or to be exact £10.15 in my book.
Unfortunately Friday has arrived and regulars will know my time is limited with my Daily Record columns to finish and then I'm working on the sports desk at night.
I've post a separate preview on the St Johnstone v Dundee game and decided to make it a 1pt Super Single on Saints and both to score. It was 16-5 when I first mentioned it yesterday but has been cut and now Ladbrokes go a biggest 7-2.
My Saturday columns have just finished so I haven't had time to look at the rest of Friday's card. There are plenty of good tips on the site so good luck with your bets tonight.
Remember to check out welovebetting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
St Johnstone and btts (7.45pm)
(7-2, Ladbrokes)
November Super Single total
31 bets (13 winners)
Loss: 1.15pts
Advised Accas
46 bets (11 winners)
Profit: 0.9pts
Defiantly fancy st Johnstone at home @evens
Defiantly a team in form winning 4 of there last 5 (defeat against celtic) so like the look of them for tomorrow but will wait for team news
What’s your view fixit
bettingman1, Saints for me – I’ll put up a preview up in a bit.
Lads, 4 fold Acca:
BOLIVAR – Win
PUEBLA – Win
VERACRUZ vs UNAM PUMAS – BTTS Yes
A. ITALIANO – To Score
7/1
I had 2 winning accas for the Europa League, 8 fold 16/1 & 9 fold 39/1… Didn’t get a chance to post but what’s funny is when I do post my tips I don’t win lol
I hear that dude. Do my share of winning and losing but loads of my perfectly reasonable shouts on here somehow don’t happen. Very frustrating. Well done by the way.
Tonights winner and only football bet for me was Liverpool v bordeaux o2.5 and marseille o1.5 team. Much smaller odds it has to be said.
I don’t feel so alone now lol.
Superb job by the way mr f.
Whenever I post a tip it’s one goal short! Also when I don’t post a tip it’s one goal short also-:)
At first look St Johnstone to win and both teams to score at 16/5 looks good
St Johnstone winning 8 from ten with 7 of the 8 seeing both teams score and the last 7 games Dundee have played have all seen both teams score.
Plus well done on another very profitable day Mr Fixit
Good job with Spurs Sam. Think Kane played the majority. Be interesting to see how the trip and game holds up against Chelsea on the weekend.
Thanks Jordan, I was quite happy when i saw the starting 11, still i definietly need to wait for team news in the future. Yeah should be a very good game on sunday!
sam c, Saints and btts is my Super Single in Friday’s Record.
Thats good to hear Mr FixIt, ill definitely be having a bet on it then.
Lucky for us “only just” is good enough with the bookies:
great job mr f. & thank you again.
santiago wanderers over 1.5 team goals
6/5
€40 single
*****************************won************************************
starting bank €1000
balance €1088
day 12 summary
—————————————————————————–
Patronato game over 2.5 fhg 5/6 *****won*****
€27.10 single
—————————————————————————-
Patronato game over 3.5 fhg 6/5 *****lost*****
€20 single
—————————————————————————–
Santos game over 0.5 goals *****won*****
4/5
€25
——————————————————————————
sydney fc over 1.5 team goals 8/11 *****lost*****
€30
——————————————————————————
Al nasr Riyadh 1st goal before 40 mins 10/11 *****won*****
€22
——————————————————————————
fiorentina over 1.5 team goals 11/10 *****won*****
lech poznan 1st goal before 80mins 4/7 *****lost*****
tottenham over 1.5 team goals evs *****lost*****
sparta prague 1st goal before 80mins 4/6 *****won*****
€17.68 accum
——————————————————————————
napoli over 1.5 team goals 11/10
paok over 1.5 team goals 8/15
viktor fischer anytime goalscorer (ajax) 2/1
€20
*****************************lost************************************
——————————————————————————
at least 1 goal to be scored in all 8 europa games second half 5/1
€20
*****************************lost************************************
——————————————————————————-
santiago wanderers over 1.5 team goals
6/5
€40 single
*****************************won************************************
———————————————————————————
starting bank €1000
balance €1088
Well done tonight Mr F. Would have never suggested Ajax myself but they did you proud with a few bets!
Unfortunately I took the shorter price as my best bet and Villarreal never really got going until late on. Probably staked too much on the night but hey ho.
Europa League – 8:05PM
Villarreal/Rapid Vienna Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 5/6 @ Skybet – 4.14 points **LOSE**
Add;
Basel/Fiorentina Over 2.5 Match Goals – WON
Double @ 5/2 @ Skybet – 1 point **LOSE**
___________________________________________________________________________________________
November Totals
Bets 26
Points Staked 77.12
Points Returned 71.12
Profits/Loss -6
santiago wanderers over 1.5 team goals *****won*****
6/5
€40 single
bet 2:
river plate 1st goal before 80mins 4/9
€88
starting bank €1000
balance €1000
IN-PLAY…
HURACAN V RIVER PLATE…OVER 3.5 GOALS…13/8
REAL POTOSI V BOLIVAR…
Struggling for time as just in and about to kick off – Bolivar love a few goals and Potosi have picked up recently and could notch so in brief:
Over 3.5…6/5 NAP
Over 4.5…5/2
Over 1.5 1st half goals…5/4
Mr F – a great evening for anyone on your calls…good stuff!
Schalke @-1 let me down fora fourfold. Missing a late penalty (strangely enough not taken by Huntelaar who is the usual taker) really did not cheer me up.
Back to the drawing board (note to self – must stop backing greyhounds).
Potosi do indeed notch… just before h/t!
Over 1.5 1st half goals…5/4 *WON*
To start it all some stats: St Johnstone scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 games; Dundee FC scored at least one goal in each of their last 7 games; however, St Johnstone conceded at least one goal at all games at home; Dundee FC also conceded in their last 8 games…
Based on these stats I do believe, that both teams will score, so here I am torn between a draw and home sides win. Lost once, drew twice, won four at home, out of last nine games St Johnstone won seven and lost just two, Dundee FC are masters of draws, but low scoring team (avg 1 goal a game).
So my tip is St Johnstone to win and both teams to score.
Can get at least 3/1 at most of bookies.
Stephen, there’s your River Plate goal pal…nice one.
Boy took his goal well. Photos just before I logged in were awful! First glance at today’s fixtures looked like goals.
cheers stephen and hullshaker. just 1 more goal in bolivar please.
haha and there it is! got to love the night owl guys on here! recovered today’s losses and into profit with ease!
Well done on the Ajax tip Mr. F. I managed to get a cheeky 1ppts on Benteke anytime and Liverpool 2-1 @ 13/1, so happy we somehow didn’t score a couple more!
Late 2ppts single for me:
Mexico (3:00am) – Puebla v Toluca – BTTS & >2.5mg @ 2.1 – B365
santiago wanderers over 1.5 team goals *****won*****
6/5
€40 single
bet 2:
river plate 1st goal before 80mins 4/9 *****won*****
€88
bet 3:
sporting cristal 1st goal before 80mins 4/9
€127.11
starting bank €1000
balance €1000
Hull thanks for the over 3.5 goals on the bolivar game mate.. got it on evens at 1-0.. You the mannnn!!!??
No worries Lucky and Meadway – glad you got on as posted late.
There’s the Huracan game in as well:
IN-PLAY…
HURACAN V RIVER PLATE…OVER 3.5 GOALS…13/8…*WON*
great stuff again hull !!got a sneaky feeling river plate might nick another..?..
Well they ain’t gonna get another if they get red cards like that lol
…and there’s the 5th over in Bolivia for a full house!
Smash and grab Night Owl:
13/8…6/5 NAP…5/2 and 5/4
Bolivar smashed it!! Haha..and as I type more goals fly in ?
amazing hullshaker, night owl boss.
Excellent stuff mate
Arica vs italiano
Both teams to score in the 2nd half.. 5/2
Small stakes only..
And that’s me for tonight ..
CC TREBLE
SHALKE
AJAX DC
LIVERPOOL. DC
EVENS
1.5 rtns 3
GL LADS
“””WON”””.
CC NOV TIPS
+5.5 profit
Monaco not so good
Has the BTTS and win group tip moved to the members area?
Anyway, DORTMUND vs Stuttgart BTTS and win
Easy money! (Or not)
thefourteen, yes the btts and win tips and contest are for members only.
I put two members’ tips on and if it comes up they share the spoils.
Halifax vs DOVER looks like my other one.
BTTS Treble
Halifax Dover
Wrexham Macclesfield
Carlisle Crawley
O2.5 treble
Bayern Hertha
Barca Sociedad
Dortmund Hoffenheim
BTTS and Win
Halifax DOVER
ST JOHNSTONE Dundee
DORTMUND Stuttgart
Boom. Or Boo hoo.
Anyone betting on unam pumas last night? Just needed them to score as they have in the last 13 games. No goal.
santiago wanderers over 1.5 team goals *****won*****
6/5
€40 single
bet 2:
river plate 1st goal before 80mins 4/9 *****won*****
€88
bet 3:
sporting cristal 1st goal before 80mins 4/9 *****lost*****
€127.11
starting bank €1000
balance €1000
melbourne city over 1.5 team goals 8/13
melbourne city over 5.5 team corners 4/6
€30 x 2 singles
starting bank €1000
balance €940
Morning gents
Great stuff yesterday Mr F – was a no bet day for me yesterday but have a couple of games lined up tonight
The mighty and famous St Johnstone of Perth are in action tonight – whatva time it is to be a St Johnstone fan! When I think about what we’ve achived in the last 4 or 5 season it really does put other clubs to shame! 5 consecutive top 6 finishes, 4 consecutive seasons
of European qualification, beaten Rosenborg and Luzerne in those campaigns and of course Scottish win in 2014!
We are flying at the moment but Sir Tommy Wright has rightly come out and said the team need to remain grounded! 10 wins from our last 13. But the big success story this season has been our goal threat! To put it into perspective, we have scored more goals already this season than we managed in the whole of last season ( only celtic have scored more than us so far) – defensively we’ve not been great and with only one clean sheet all season it makes it even more impressive we are
Where we are!
Much of that via down to Michael O’Halloran, Steven McLean and the Greame Cummings! If I’m
Not mistaken, we are the best team to back in the UK for both teams to score and the best team to back for over 2.5 goals! We’ll be extreamly popular again tonight for BTTS and over 2.5 goals! If we turn up tonight we’ll beat Dundee, -/ always it will be a tough game! It’s live on BT sport and their will be a good crowd with it being a derby game,you won’t see many empty seats in the tv! And that’s anot often said at McDairmid
As Aberdeen know too well – one minute you can be flying the next your on a horrible 8 match run with just one win! We’ll likely start the same team that beat Dundee United last week and there’s huge incentive with 3 points taking us into 3rd and Above the Dons!
All good things must come to an end and we can’t win every week, however I really hope our run continues tonight!
BTTS is probably the bet of the day, we won’t kee a clean sheet!
We Are Perth :)
Greg, I think we all agree btts is a great bet tonight. If it doesn’t come in it’s one of those that goes against all reasoning.
HI,
1) Levante – Betis – Draw @ 12/5
2) Nimes – Tours – Draw @ 2/1
3) Evian – Laval – Draw @ 39/20
4) Petrolul – CFR – Draw HT @ 1/1
5) Lyon – Montpellier – Under 2.5 goals @ 39/50
6) Dukla – Teplice – Over 2.5 goals @ 23/25
7) Cesena – Pescara – BTTS No @ 9/10
8) Zulte – Standard – Over 2.5 goals @ 3/4
9) Darmstadt – Koln – Over 2.5 goals @ 11/8
10) St Polten – A. Salzburg – 1st Half over 1.5 goals @ 27/20 (NB)
11) Lierse – Virton – 2nd Half over 1.5 goals @ 5/3 (NAP)
GL to ALL ;)
I love the look of this selections..
am going with u tommorow..good luck to us
Thanks to johnsmith for pointing out falkirk goals in Scottish cup tomorrow on yesterday’s thread.
Jumped on over 2.5 falkirk goals at evens. No bet today as today’s stake going on falkirk
melbourne city over 1.5 team goals 8/13 *****won*****
melbourne city over 5.5 team corners 4/6 *****lost*****
€30 x 2 singles
starting bank €1000
balance €988.46
Es setif u21 game over 1.5 match goals 2/5
€48.46
starting bank €1000
balance €940
Stephen.
Nothing worse than a disallowed goal.
Bet 59: Liefering and Both Teams to Score @ 2/1 (0.50 units)
Bet 60: Austria Klagenfurt v Liefering, Over 2.5 goals @ 40/85 @ 7/10 (1 unit)
———————————
3 wipes out in a row and no full house since Salburg beat Sturm Graz 3:1 5 days ago has seen profit disappear quick. Win with BTTS is hard to get up so I’m not too concerned about the 32% win ratio this month given some winners have been as big at 16/5. The overs bets though have been poor recently as they were in the high 70% but have fallen to 68% with just 1 of those (Libertad 3:3 Capiata) coming up in the last 5. I’m hoping I can at least get the goals bet up in the remaining 3 days to cover any losses from the win/btts bet.
Today I’m on Liefering who come into the match today on the back of 3 straight wins scoring 11 times in the process and just 1 clean sheet. Their away record is not great but they are away to Klagenfurt who have now gone 6 matches without a win- conceding in all 6 an scoring in 5. Looks to have BTTS about and I think Liefering can snatch it.
Increasing stakes today because profit is covered for the month however small.
All prices McBookie
_____________________
Last bets
———–
Borussia Dortmund and Both Teams to Score @ 11/4 LOSE -0.25
Krasnodar v Borussia Dortmund, Over 2.5 goals @ 7/10 LOSE -0.50
NOVEMBER
———–—-
Bets: 58
Win: 28
Void: 2
Lose: 28
Outlay: 10 Units
Profit/Loss: +6.93 units
Aberystwyth v Camarthen – over 2.5 @1.70
St Johnstone v Dundee – btts @1.80
Lyon v Montpellier – under 9.5 Asian corners @1.950
In-play:
Ironi Nesher – O3.5 FHG – 11/10
In-play:
Ironi Nesher – O3.5 FHG – 11/10
*** LOSE ***
3 goals in the first 16 minutes then nothing!
One bet from me tonight gents
St Johnstone clean sheet NO
Hull v Derby over 1.5 match goals
Double pays 1/1 (Bet365) (NAP)
Have already identifed my NAP for tomorrow – will lost later but it will be Dundee United ober 1.5 team goals at home to Hamilton 31/20 ( coral)
Early premier league double for Saturday
Bet on both Manchester clubs to concede on Saturday. Double pays over evens.
Man United no clean sheet
Man City no clean sheet
Double 2.04.
With Hart and kompany out, Southampton should net, and Leicester at home to United will be attacking them and I think with their scoring Form will at least net, most likely vardy!
All 5 games in Austrian Erste Liga to be over2.5 mgls
Odds 13/1?
Ha!
I’ve picked two for BTTS in a treble with St Johnston that will do me
Metz v Bourg Peronnas – btts @1.83
Sparta v Helmond – ov3.5 @2.10
1 winner and 1 loser yesterday (1 Celtic corner shy)
Today it’s 3 * doubles for me again (2 is stake back + a little profit)
Levante 02 Corner Handicap 2.1
Darmstadt -0.5 Asian Handicap Corners 1.9 (NAP)
Lyon Under 9.5 Asian Total Corners 1.775 (dropping odds and line)
GL today everyone
Hello there …
I’m a fan of ur “Corner bets” but Wat is -0.5 Asian please?
I understand -1 Asian but wanna be sure with this ..
?
Hi Bluemooner
Basically with -0.5 it’s half stake back rather than full stake back if it was -1.0 and they only had 1 corner more (is this instance)
Hope that helps fella
bluemooner1984, google Asian handicaps explained and it will tell you all.
I imagine it’s Dnb?
Dutch Jupiler Acca – low stakes
Achilles
Almere
FC Emmen
GA Eagles
Telstar
Over 2.5 match goals 5 fold – Pays 9.40
All prices bet365
In-play:
Al Yarmouk to win
4/6 Bet365
nite owl
huracan o1.5mgs, potosi o2.5mgs, arica btts 5/2 LOST
needed an arica goal
nice one again hull on the potosi game……………..
main bet tonite
derby to score, Dundee to score tad over evens
greg, see my bet tonite is similar to yours GL with it
will look forward to your post on Dundee utd goals later boy in works a big arab and going to the game and fears the worst
Just a heads up for everyone who fancies BTTS in the St. Johnstone vs Dundee game; I work in Ladbrokes and we are currently doing Black Friday deals in shop and we have enhanced the price to 5/4…max stake £25.
jimmyrunacres, I should have mentioned it but forgot. Was emailed the offer yesterday but it’s the week I’m working all week at the Record and time is precious.
No worries Mr Fixit, any more offers we are doing I’ll keep everyone informed!
Es setif u21 game over 1.5 match goals 2/5 *****won*****
€48.46
starting bank €1000
balance €1007.84
Stephen, is there anyway you can dm me your bets, ie facebook or some other way. It’s just i use my phone and keep refreshing this page every 2 mins haha
In play
Qatar
Al Kharitayah v Al Gharafa
over 2.5 goals @1.83 bet365
was on my list but too short pre match. Nicely poised at half time with the underdogs leading
I tried to do a bit of research last night but didn’t have time to look at all the games but the games that I did look at I found these 2 games which I hope should have a few goals
Germany Regionlliga 6pm
Wattenschied v Koln II
BFC Dynamo v Oberlausitz
Over 1.5 Match Goals double
1/2 (Paddy Power)
Yes it’s not the worlds best odds but I didn’t want to just throw something else in to bump up the odds happy enough just to go with this. I will also add both game look decent enough shouts for over 2.5 Match Goals at around 4/5
Good luck tonight gents as always
Kerkyra game over 1.5 match goals 4/7
€67.84
starting bank €1000
balance €940
Kerkyra game over 1.5 match goals 4/7
€67.84
starting bank €1000
balance €940
Kerkyra game over 1.5 match goals 4/7 *****won*****
€67.84
starting bank €1000
balance €1046.61
In-play:
Al Yarmouk to win
4/6 Bet365
WON
In-play:
Ural Or Draw
10/11 Bet365
thanks stephen and nuctipster. that kerkyra game was a gold mine for fhgs, the away team scoring 2 helped a lot.
Apologises for the late Ural bet, they scored as i posted it
Es setif over 1.5 match goals 4/9
€106.61
starting bank €1000
balance €1040
Balance 940??
Yeah sorry hate using mobile will update on next post
ES Setif last 5 games have all been 1-0, 3 of last 10 over 1.5
Saying that, all 6 of RC arba last games have had btts
There’s 1
inplay
Qatar o2.5mgls posted earlier lost
finished 2-0 meaning the home underdogs who conceded 23 in 9 kept a clean sheet lol
onto tonight
Inter Zapresic game
Over 1.5 Match Goals
ODDS>.1.66
Last 5 H2H have had at least 2 goals.
Away side conceded 2 or more in the last 7 away games.
Al Fujairah vs Dibba Al Fujairah
BTTS
1/2 Bet365
IN-PLAY
AL Kuwait SC vs AL Salmiyah SC
BTTS yes 5/2
@bullseye – do you know something we don’t? Al Kuwait have only mustered 2 shots during first half?
Them and Al Arabi are pretty much the best teams in Kuwait. Al Kuwait have won their last five games and are the highest scorers in the league. I’d expect them to raise thier level of performance tbh. Its 2nd vs 3rd in the table and both are capable of scoring.
Love it
Now thats what you call a tipster great work bullseye
LIERSE VS. EXCELSIOR VIRTON
BTTS @ 1.72
ZULTE-WAREGEM VS. STANDARD LIÈGE
O1.5 goals @ 1.22
Double @ 2.1
GREUTHER FÜRTH VS. KAISERSLAUTERN
BTTS @ 1.8
ST. PÖLTEN VS. AUSTRIA SALZBURG
O1.5 goals @ 1.22
Double @ 2.2
Cambuur v De Graafschap BTTS & >2.5MGS 10/11
Bottom of the table battle in Holland. This came in for the last 3 H2H’s …
IN-PLAY
AL Kuwait SC vs AL Salmiyah SC
BTTS yes 5/2 **WON**
BOOM!!!!!! Bullseye Great tip
Cheers hamy45gary & stewartbiddle
Hull v Derby
Over 1.5 TMG @ 2/5
St Johnstone v Dundee BTTS @ 5/6
Levante v Real Betis
2 or 3 TMG @ 20/21
Dijon Over 1.5 TTG @ 5/4
4 Fold Returns @ 10.27/1
DOUBLE DUTCH:
Sparta-WIN
Almere v Top Oss Over 2.5 Match goals.
ODDS>>>2.28
Sparta league leaders in good form with a 100% home record.
Almere Game:7/7 on the H2H has gone over.
100% of Almere Games have gone over this season 13/13
All 6 Home games have gone over 2.5 6/6
Afternoon lads, 1 bet today.
St johnstone 5/6
Sparta rotterdam & over 1.5 mgls 4/6
Mvg most 180’s 4/6
£10 returns £50 ladbrokes (in-shop)
Not got much time to look at most of the games tonight so will just be following the super single and Greg’s goals tips but will also be having a bet on Lyon to win to nil at 6/4
Montpellier are terrible away from home where they haven’t won all season and didn’t score in 4 of their 6 games. Lyon have kept 6 clean sheets from their last 10 home games and their last 4 wins there have all been to 0.
Piast Gliwice – Ruch Chorzów over 2,5 (Poland)
St Johnstone vs Dundee… btts
good luck to all
Es setif over 1.5 match goals 4/9 *****won*****
€106.61
starting bank €1000
balance €1094
lol didnt realise it was disallowed
cesena pescara BTTS gl
Derby pre-match thoughts:
I’ve kind of already summarised derby’s last game in the My team section but i’ll clarify a little to those who don’t have access to that.
Cardiff had 1 real chance and Kenwyn Jones never capitalised. It was quite evenly matched for the first 20 mins, and then Derby upped a gear to end the half looking much more dangerous than they started.
They flew out of the blocks and it was all one was traffic. Pre-match I’d of took a 1 nil but averaging around 67% possession 20 shots at goal/10 of them on target, Derby’s 2nd half display was much more like what I know we are capable of and it ended 2 nil. It could of been higher. That clean sheet and Man Utd dropping a goal lifted Derby up to 2nd tightest defence in all tiers of English football….. behind Hull.
We are now away to Hull and its by no accident that they’re top of the league. The tightest defence in English football, but now with one BIG problem. Michael Dawson out injured for 4 weeks. I’ve no doubt that his influence is key to all of their clean sheets, and now he’s on the physio’s table, I expect they’ll start dropping a few points. Bristol gave them a game on Saturday and a late Hull equaliser salvaged a point. Its the only blip they’ve had in 7 having won the other 6. I THINK they have lost once in their last 11, possibly once all season if I’m not mistaken.
Its a similar story at Derby, we’ve lost 1 in twelve ( away to Notts Forest ), drawn away to Blackburn and we’ve lost once in our last 12.
Dawson’s absence is as big a loss to Hull as it would be if Shackell we’re to be absent for Derby. Its massive.
Martin has not been on the goals in 4 I think, so he’s due one. Bryson might get the nod in the starting 11 because of Johnson’s injury, but with so much quality in midfield, Bryson could well be the attacking threat that’s been missing of late, sadly for him, the whole team has been really picking itself with consistency – apart from the Forest loss away.
Even Derby’s new captain Baird has hardly figured because the back 4 are keeping him on the bench.
Weimann has grown with confidence with 3 goals in 4, Bent has been an unused sub in most recent games and if I’m honest, Russell’s performances have been below par.
Thorne had a great game at the weekend which was nice after such a limp performance against Forest. We have Forsyth out for probably all season now and Warnock’s experience and regular match action has started to pay dividends.
Both teams are capable of winning this game and I’m kinda expecting a 1-1. I think Derby’s attack will yield us a goal, I think we’d get one even with Dawson present, but Derbys back 4 might be on the winning side in most of their last 11 or so games, with lots of clean sheets, but they’re not perfect. Still making silly mistakes with goal line clearances and Scott Carson between the sticks doing his bit has kept Derby ahead on the goals. But it needs to improve.
This game could be a thriller, but it could be a 0-0. Pre-match I’d take a 0-0, but I do think man for man, we might well edge it with a solitary goal. Ince is also playing his former team and I can see him being the difference. So many times we’ve seen the wind on the backs of players facing their ex-employers – a point to prove.
This game does have goals in it if both teams are allowed to play, but my gut instinct says its going to be a low scoring match.
I am also not confident on conclusively tipping any outcome in this match. From a fans perspective, it could go either way, but an early Derby xmas present would be nice in the form of all 3 points.
nathanufton, good write-up. If I was having a bet it would be on Hull but I’m not.
My NAP tonight comes from the Austrian 1st division:
Wacker Innsbruck v Kapfenberger: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/6
Wacker won the away fixture 4-1 in September. The away side have been in poor form in recent weeks (L3 D2) but have found the back of the net twice in each of their last 3 games, including a 2-2 draw away to Austria Wien who are currently top of the top division. In fact they have only failed to score in 1 of their last 10 away matches, netting two or more in 7 of those games! Wacker have hit a sticky spell with 1 win in 5 but are currently top of the division with +17 goal difference, the best in the division, they are only 2 points clear though so will be looking for all 3 points. They drew their last match 3-3 at home to a side below todays visitors. If the home side are to take the 3 points, I think they’ll need to score at least 2 goals. I think over 3.5 goals has a shout here (13/8) and I’ll have something smaller on that but I’m happy to take 4/6 for a NAP
Nb St Polten v Austria Salzburg: BTTS @ 5/6
On first glance at St Polten’s home form people may disagree but Salzburg have scored at least 1 in 6 of their last 7 games and have netted 7 goals in their last 4 away fixtures so I think they’ll find the net.
I’m adding St Johnstone BTTS & WIN @ 3/1 to complete the treble. No extra reasoning needed.
£50 returns £610 – Best of luck all
This is beyond a joke, 2 disallowed now
Es setif over 1.5 match goals 4/9 *****lost*****
€106.61
starting bank €1000
balance €940
Over 2.5 double:
Zulte Waregem v Standard
Lierse v Excelsior
19.30 KO’s
103/50
Bwin
wee dabble on this
the 5 Austrian games and the cambuur game o2.5mgs 16/1
Over 2.5 in all 3 Bundesliga 2 games (5.30pm)
£100 pays £880
All to win and over 1.5 match goals:
Everton
Man City
Wolves
Burton
26.5/1
Paddy Power
Super Single for tomorrow:
Everton Over 1.5 TG
6/5
William Hill
dabble 2
hull o1.5mgs, st johnstone btts, waregem o2.5mgs, lyon btts, levanter btts 18/1
rnk split 2nd goal before 80mins 4/6
€40
starting bank €1000
balance €900
fancy the defensor game in Uruguay at 11.30 to see a few goals, will wait and see if hull has any thoughts on it first though………………..
rnk split 2nd goal before 80mins 4/6 *****won*****
€40
starting bank €1000
balance €966.67
rnk split over 2.5 team goals 1/2
€66.67
starting bank €1000
balance €900
in play st polten o7.5mgs 13/8
Don’t really fancy much tonight so a speculative double.
Hull vs Derby BTTS & Hull Win
St Johnstone vs Dundee BTTS & St Johnstone win
@23.8 – 1pt staked
Late night South American tips
Paraguay 10pm
Rubio v Libertad
over2.5 @1.85
Uruguay 11.30pm
Defensor v River Plate
btts/over 2.5 @1.95
Relegation battle in Holland tonight, it’s Cambuur v De Graafschap. It will be a full house and I think there will be goals. Cambuur have their topscorer back after injury, they should win this one and I can see him score.
Ogbeche anytime @ 2.48 with 888
Well…. Ogbeche got a headbutt in a collision with a team mate and had to leave the field
rnk split over 2.5 team goals 1/2 *****lost*****
€66.67
starting bank €1000
balance €900
fc emmen game over 1.5 fhg 6/5
€25
starting bank €1000
balance €875
fc emmen game over 1.5 fhg 6/5 *****won*****
€25
starting bank €1000
balance €930
Derby starting 11:
1 change, Out goes suspended Johnson and in comes Hendrick.
Carson
Christie,Keogh,Shackell,Warnock
Thorne
Butterfield/Hendrick
Weimann/Martin/Ince
3 weeks after the last Friday game we played, we could of gone top with a win at Forest and it never happened. Its as you were tonight. A win can take us top.
Its a tough ask and very very similar to the last team, still a bit toothless in midfield but they did exceed my expectations then. This match is way more tougher and every player will need to up their game to grab all 3 points.
There’s an old saying ” choose your battles “. I think its a smart move going with Hendrick instead of Bryson. Yes its lacking a little bite in the attack but Hendrick adds physicality and I think this match is going to be one of those matches where its needed.
Hulls top scorer is back in their line-up and so is former rams favourite Tom Huddlestone – we should never of sold him. Lets hope he has a bad game.
Hull have conceded 9 times, we’ve conceded 11, they’ve scored 27 goals, we’ve 24.
I still think this will be a low scoring match and the boss in sticking with 4-3-3 has attack options but looks quite resolute too.
Taken £10 on St Johnstons BTTS @ 1.99 on the bf exchange
FC Wacker Innsbruck v SV Kap Over 2.5 goals. 7/10
Zulte v S.Leige over 2.5 goals 7/10
And of course, Greg’s Nap!
Evening gents,
Last week I wrote about a new Night Owl goals ‘venture’ with pastures new over in NZ – that game ended 5-2 and we have another installment tonight…
HEARTLAND WAIRARAPA U20 VS. WAIBOP UNITED U20 – 11.30 KO:
The wonderfully named Waibop look good for the win after only 1 defeat in 6 but it’s goals I’m after!
Waibop themselves have seen their last 5 games go 1,5,7,6,5 goals whilst Heartland’s last 6 have featured 2,2,5,4,3,6 goals.
Not many markets up yet and although it will be worth seeing markets and prices in-play – it could be a risk as early goals are certainly a possibility.
Pre KO, I’ll take on two bets and both are on the asian gl markets:
1st half goal line 1.5…1.825
Goal line 4…2.000
Good luck lads
Kicks off at 7.30 over in Venezuela…
MINEROS DE GUAYANA II VS. ANGOSTURA FC:
These two are bitter rivals (that’s an attempt at a joke) and the away side love to concede a goal or 3.
Bit of a bank builder and short odds but Over 2.5 match goals at 7/10 looks solid.
wee dabble on this
the 5 Austrian games and the cambuur game o2.5mgs 16/1 LOST
in play st polten o7.5mgs 13/8 WON
aye hull yer a funny man…………….. :D
hull, any thoughts on the defensor v river plate game at 11.30 tar
put this atgs yankee on at wh shop when out for a pint earlier
castro, Roussillon, loy, martin
1.65pts returns 121pts max, ps castro just scored just need the other 3 now shoe in…………….. :D
Cambuur v De Graafschap BTTS & >2.5MGS 10/11
Bottom of the table battle in Holland. This came in for the last 3 H2H’s …
WON :) Nicely in before HT !!
Alright Crane old fruit…been a long week!
I’ll be honest, Uruguayan teams aren’t top of my SA ‘look for’ list but this one does look good for goals…
DEFENSOR SPORTING VS. RIVER PLATE – 11.00 KO:
Defensor have scored 2 or more in 5 of their last 8 games whilst I think River Plate have conceded 2 or more in 5 of their last 8!
Plenty more goal stats to back it up…my favourite is I’ve just seen that the last two outings for River have seen 3 goals scored in the 1st half…that pays 5/1 at Coral with Over 1.5 goals is a tasty 23/20.
Main bet of Over 3.5 goals pays 29/20.
Good luck sir!
good to see a few of us on this
See you over in Uruguay Rob.
Derby are doing all the pressing against Hull, Hull are very slow starting and lucky not to be losing. We’ve had 4 good chances in 10 mins.
BTTS at St Johnstons after 15 minutes.
I mean that’s great and all but now I have to put another bet on or I wont have footy to watch this evening
Coleraine over 1.5 team goals 4/6
€55
starting bank €1000
balance €875
main bet tonite
derby to score, Dundee to score tad over evens WON
that didnae take long gallus…………….
Derby BOOOOM 1 nil, nice weimann/martin linkage finished off my butterfield. Derby are going for this !!! More to come based on the run of play over the last 20 mins. If Hull score, it will be on the counter.
hull, cheers for your thoughts was thinking 1st half goals/2nd half goals too, will stick a few bets up later will be no more than loose change though tbh…………………
@mr-fixit
Early finish on your tip. Got nothing planed for rest of night now haha
Stephen, not my cash its yours to do with as you like but far, far too many bets in a day sir…………….. ;)
In-play:
Northern Ireland Women – O8.5 TMG
5/4 @ bet365
BOOOOM butterfield again, how on earth are Hull top of the league, they’re clueless. Derby good value for more. 2 nil and bossing this game.
MINEROS DE GUAYANA II VS. ANGOSTURA FC…over 2.5 goals in at 35 minutes *WON*…nowt to be bitter about there.
Greg and Mr-F on fire tonight.
Thank you guys!
Well done hullshaker, top form!
Well done Mr F !
warktheline, I need a Saints winner for SS but btts was the Betting Club and Bet of the Day also came up on the members forum. Both winners 4 days in a row.
Both my doubles won tonight, which was nice.
SATURDAYS BETS
Not oten i try a 6fold but on a tricky looking domestic card ive shopped around for a tasty treat…on paper anyway ;)
Northampton win..Won 5/6 homes winning last 4 losing none,lost just once last 13 lg games.
Coventry score 2+..reached this goal line 5/6 lg games & 4/5 homes including last 3 at home.Doncasters recent form shows improvement but the clean sheets they show in 3/4 recent games are against fellow teams struggling near foot of table.
Everton win/draw double chance..Only 3 defeats this season been against sides in top 4,Bournemouth without win last 8 all comps.
Falkirk win..Picked this from the welovebetting site with them tipping a win minus 1 with Falkirks impressive lg form of just 2 defeats and those against high flying Rangers & Hibs,face ahome cup tie againt Fraserburgh side sitting a lowly 9th in the Highland lg.
Crusaders win..”Banker” home win as Mr F would say ;)..won 13/17 lg games just 1 defeat and won 7/8 at home,havent tasted defeat last 16 lg games.
Borussia monchengladbach Draw no bet..Havent lost in last 11 games all comps and face bottom placed Hoffenheim with just 1 win last 14 all comps and that against 2nd bottom Augsburg.
Pays over 9/1 Skybet…GOOD LUCK.
nice yin hull wasn’t on it as bets were placed for the nite, WD ye know yer SA stuff……………
dabble 2
hull o1.5mgs, st johnstone btts, waregem o2.5mgs, lyon btts, levante btts 18/1
all in bar levante btts, any advice on a cover please, ta
Betis clean sheet 4/9 (not great odds as 75 mins gone)
FC Wacker v SV Kap over 2.5 Goals *WON*. BTTS *WON*
Zulte v S.Liege over 2.5 Goals *WON*. BTTS *WON*
And of course, Greg’s Nap!
Full House!!!!
@warktheline you’ve had some great results last couple of days well done
One bet I will be on this weekend is in the MLS Playoffs NYRB v Columbus Crew
Watched the first leg and in an intense atmosphere there were 20 corners.
Over 10 Asian Corners @ 1.9
6/8 of both teams last 4 games went over 10 corners
@wasclueless, thanks for the heads up. Great data.
hey gents am on Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline Athl btts and over 2.5 nap
Piast Gliwice – Ruch Chorzów over 2,5
(Poland)
St Johnstone vs Dundee… btts..
double..WON…
offcoure Lord Greg double makes it a full house…bring on Saturday
dabble 2
hull o1.5mgs WON, st johnstone btts WON, waregem o2.5mgs WON, lyon btts WON, levante btts LOST 18/1 LOST
dash it couldn’t see a cover and could of cashed out 60 mins for 60% profit too but hate cash outs bassa…………
Great evening of betting. Massive shout out to Greg who delivers once again. I had 5pts on Montpellier double chance at 7/5 which I thought was a great price against a struggling Lyon side who are plagued with injuries. Completely forgot to post that tip before it started, was tied down with work.
I will be looking for some more late night bets this evening and will post them in here but if anyone has got some ideas themselves then please let me know.
Hope everyone’s having a great Friday. Will post when I find something
I think Stephen may have a gambling problem…
In-play:
Northern Ireland Women – O8.5 TMG
5/4 @ bet365
*** WIN ***
put this atgs yankee on at wh shop when out for a pint earlier
castro WON, Roussillon, loy, martin LOST
returned hee haw……….
main bet won at just over evens and the in play in Austria won ay 13/8 so well pleased overall, disappointed the 18/1 was only a levante goal short would of been a cracker at 0.75pts too…………….
WD all with winners tonite………………
Late night tip from the noodle.
Deportivo Santani v Club Sol De America – Over 2.5 – 8/13
Rubio Nu v Club Libertad Asuncion – Over 2.5 – 8/11
Double – 9/5
2 points on singles. 1 point on doubles.
The stats bear this out, but I haven’t the time to elaborate.
10pm Start
Libertad To Win
8/11 bet365
Libertad in good form and find it easy scoring away from home, Rubio are anchored at the bottom of the table and conceded at home on a very regular basis. GL to those who get on.
My 3*doubles posted earlier end with 2 winners (French and Spanish corners) and 1 loser (German corners)
Bets provides good profit with the 2 winners but 3 would have been more
More tomorrow
Coleraine over 1.5 team goals 4/6 *****won*****
€55
starting bank €1000
balance €966.67
Cheers gents
Good start to the weekend
How do you spread you stakes please Gregg. It was hard, not to just cover stakes placed on your nap tonight, and go for btts st Johnston. Surely you also backed st j ,as well after such a bold write up.?
Then if so, how was it such a good start to the weekend? I wish I’d of back both teams to score, after you tipping the unfancied team to score!
the don cossack, Greg’s had a good pop back at you so fair play to him.
His nap won and that was his only tip – don’t assume he had another bet.
Anyone who knows him will be aware he rarely bets on his own team and doesn’t usually do WDW bets.
rubio nu game over 0.5fhg 4/11
€91.67
starting bank €1000
balance €966.67
rubio nu game over 0.5fhg 4/11
€91.67
starting bank €1000
balance €875
See a few have tipped the Libertad vs Rubio Nu game so not much to add as I’m on it too but I think Libertad over 1.5tg @ 1.83 is good value
Last 6 games they’ve scored 3/3/1/4/3/2 and they’ve scored 3 the last two games H2H when away
1 bet from me tonight is in Brazil in the 23.30 KO.
Luverdense v Mogo Mimi
Luverdense RT7 (inplay)
Asian corners are too high at 11.5 but they played the reverse fixture in August finishing 6 a piece on corners. Far too high for me though
nite owls
defensor win&overs 2/1
o1.5fhgs 6/4
o3.5mgs 13/8
o4.5mgs 7/2
ooops and
Bayern btts&overs 3/8
sakes……….. 13/8
sat bets
Urawa o2.5mgs 8/11
Charlton o1.5mgs, rangers o1.5tgs, red star over 1.5tgs evens
ayr btts, Falkirk o2.5mgs 2/1
Bayern btts&overs 13/8
think that’s it now wont be around sat during the day so GL all with a bet on…………..
craig, how do you hink use will do on sun v ict? btts an overs sits at a lovely 6/4 atm on 365
Always a tough away game but could go either way wi players out, should still get a win or at least a draw but that looks a decent shout. ICT to score 2+ will be a big price tae, if Griffiths is on form he could get 2 or 3
rubio nu game over 0.5fhg 4/11 *****lost*****
€91.67
starting bank €1000
balance €875
Looks like the Luverdense isny coming inplay :(
The Don Cossack, I’ll tell you how it was a good start to the weekend. . . My NAP WON!!
Dundee to score and over 1.5 goals in the hull match! 1/1
If you take the time to read my write up on the St Johnstone game you’ll see that I finished it with BTTS is probably the best shout ( and yes that won too) so not sure how you come to the conclusion I must have backed St Johnstone as well??
I never back my team to be honest. And like i said at no point did I suggest backing stjohnstone to Win! I suggested BTTS
So not really sure what you are going on abouts??
The the problem with too many punters, they get greedy! BTTS paid 4/5 and my NAP paid even money! More than acceptable prices! If you decided to thrown in St Johnstone and BTTS then that was your decision!!
It reads to me as if you have read my “bold” write up – put two and two together and got 5 and are now unhappy because St Johnstone never won!
Pop on to my thread and see what my NAP was
Cheers
Or worse it comes inplay wi nae corners ?
no corners in game so far @alves
6-0 after 30 mins…typical haha
RT7 wins but nae prices ;( one to keep an eye on