THE only online bookie that lists SPFL and Scottish Cup first-scorer prices for every game are McBookie.
McBookie‘s Damian Walker is back with his first-scorer tips and he’s also challenging punters to pick their own. Every week one person with a correct prediction will be chosen at random to win a £10 bet. Last week’s winner was William McFarlane who tipped Airdrie’s Iain Russell at 5-1.
You can comment with your pick here and give any reasoning but to enter the contest you have to email [email protected] Bonus excluders don’t qualify for the prize.
Quote player’s club and first-scorer price with McBookie – Scottish league and cup games only – for a chance to win.
Here is Damian with this weekend’s selections.
He says: I always try to sniff out the value in the search for first scorers and the first process is pricing up all the games myself and comparing my tissue prices with the bookmakers’ real prices.
Peterhead are currently 11-2 to win away at League One leaders Livingston but I’d have them much shorter more like 7-2 or 10-3.
The Blue Toon made a staggeringly bad start to the season and didn’t register their first league win until September 10. And even then they had to wait over a month to register their second one but since that have picked up 10 points from a maximum of 15 and recorded wins over fourth and fifth-placed sides Airdrie and Albion Rovers.
In fact, Peterhead ran out comfortable 3-1 winners away to Airdrie, who sit just four points behind Livingston.
Livi have won their last three games in the league but previously lost at home to Albion so there really isn’t a lot between the teams in League One.
Certainly not enough to make sixth-placed Peterhead a dismissive 11-2. And anyone who had to sit through Livi’s 3-0 defeat to TNS in the Challenge Cup (I did) wouldn’t be leaping to back them at 4-7 this weekend.
As I always say here there’s no point trying to be clever when going for a big-priced outsider, simply go for the most likely man to get the goals.
And when it comes to Peterhead there’s only one option: Rory McAllister who is 13-2 with McBookie to score the opener.
The other side that jumped out at me were Arbroath in League Two. Arbroath have lost just once in the league all season in 12 matches while their opponents this weekend, Stirling Albion, have lost seven in 12.
So you’d expect the Smokies to be strong favourites to win at Stirling, yes? Not a bit of it. Arbroath are 0.1 of point favourites at 6-4 over the Binos at 8-5. So 2.5 versus 2.6 in decimal odds terms.
It would appear bookies have fallen for the new-boss syndrome and assumed Dave MacKay is the messiah after just one game in charge. It is worth bearing in mind that had the Binos lost away to Elgin and not won they would now be sitting bottom of the table.
But here we are and they are challenging third-placed Arbroath for favouritism whose last league defeat was on September 10.
Martin Scott has been banging in the goals from midfield for the Smokies this season and has five league goals from just nine appearances. That is some going and just one short of the six he scored in the previous three years bigger clubs.
Scott bagged a double last weekend in Arbroath’s 4-0 thrashing of Clyde and is 7-1 with McBookie to grab the opener on Saturday.
Finally, it is not often I venture into the Premiership but I’m going to take a dart at a Dundee first scorer for their trip to Ibrox on Saturday.
After six straights defeats Dee registered back-to-back wins and their odds of 15-2 are too big given Rangers have won just five of their 12 Premiership games this season and scored just 16 goals, conceding 13.
Canadian striker Marcus Haber joined Dundee at the end of October and grabbed his first goal in last weekend’s 2-0 win over Motherwell. Haber had a good strike rate of goals-per-games at Crewe and is 10-1 with McBookie to double his tally with the opener on Saturday.
Can you find a winner this weekend? Email your entry to [email protected]
McAllister (Peterhead) 13-2
Scott (Arbroath) 7-1
Haber (Dundee) 10-1