IT’S a big day of international football dominated by the final two Euro 2016 play-offs even if the eyes of the world will be on Wembley where England host France just four days after the Paris atrocities.
Denmark gave themselves hope with a late goal in the first leg that means they trail Sweden 2-1 but I’m on the visitors and Zlatan Ibrahimovic to edge through. They were much better than the Danes for most of the match and will be kicking themselves for conceding.
The presence of Ibrahimovic is huge – the on truly world-class player in either line-up – and he is 15-8 at Coral to add to the penalty he netted in Copenhagen.
One stat the Swedes will like is in the their last 14 games the Danes have broken the deadlock just once and if Sweden score first it’s unlikely they will be stopped.
Sweden are 27-10 at Coral to win on the night and 4-6 at Coral to qualify with the Danes 6-4 with BetVictor to make it through. It should be a cracker and I said yesterday best bet could be both to score at 1-1 with firms incuding Coral and bet365.
The other tie looks over with Ukraine easing to a 2-0 win in Lviv which should have been many more. Ukraine kept four clean sheets out of five on their travels in Group C and will hope of doing so again.
Slovenia had netted six in a row before drawing a blank in the first leg and will have to score first to have any chance and put a bit if pressure on their visitors.
On the friendly front England v France is a tough one to call. With what’s happened you can’t predict how the French will react and looking at it from the outside a draw will be the ideal result as two nations unite in grief. France look the better of the sides at the moment and if you think they’ll be fighting hard as a result of what happened then consider them at 9-5 with Betfred and Paddy Power.
Another game that looks pretty to close to call is Germany v Holland. Again how will the German players perform after having to spend the night in the Stade de France following the Paris attacks.
Holland notched a morale-boosting 3-2 win in Wales inspired by comeback man Arjen Robben and will be keen to show the world they should be at Euro 2016.
Unless Italy (3-4, bet365) make loads of changes they should beat Romania and if Graziano Pelle starts back him to score at 9-4 with betVictor. The one worry with anytime scorers is that many players will be hauled off after an hour.
Austria look a good shout at 5-4 with boylesports to beat Switzerland while and for a scorer consider Marc Janko at 40-17 with 888sport – he netted seven in the qualifiers and is in great form for Basel.
For Slovakia v Iceland the shout has to be both to score and both have been involved in matches with plenty of goals recently. That pays 39-40 at 888sport and the only two previous meetings between the sides have brought up the bet.
Russia tackle Croatia on a run of five wins in a row including last week’s 1-0 victory over Portugal and are 13-10 with Betfred to make it a super six. And Turkey look good value at 17-20 with Ladbrokes to see off a Greek side that went down to Luxembourg last week after losing home and away to the Faroes in a failed qualifying campaign.
Most of my tips are based on stats and form and while I have some team news I’ll add to this post is anything key pops up.
I’ve had a quick look at the African World Cup qualifiers and some of the sides that stand out include Nigeria -1 at 4-9 with Coral at home to Swaziland. To win they are short at a best 1-7.
Cameroon are equally short at 2-9 with William Hill at home to Niger who have recorded one away win in 10 years. Over 2.5 goals at 11-10 with Paddy Power looks the call with Cameroon having so much attacking talent at their disposal.
Tunisia, Ivory Coast and Senegal are other nations who can be considered and later there are South American qualifiers including struggling Venezuela against Ecuador and flying Chile at Uruguay. And Argentina, again without Carlos Tevez, Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero, visit Colombia.
My top tips are on the main thread but here is a summary of the ones I like best.
Bets to Consider
Denmark v Sweden btts
Slovakia v Iceland btts
Janko to score
Cameroon v Niger over 2.5 goals