THE only online bookie that list SPFL first-scorer prices for every game are McBookie. It’s a fantastic service but of course there is a limited card this weekend.
McBookie‘s Damian Walker gives his first-scorer tips every weekend and challenges punters to pick their own. One winner is picked at random every week to win a £10 free bet and Bingo is the latest to be drawn out of the hat after he backed Aberdeen’s Adam Rooney against Dundee United.
Leave your tip as a comment and quote player’s club and first-scorer price with McBookie – Scottish games only.
Here is Damian with this week’s selections. He says: I had to rub my eyes this week when bookies chalked up Dunfermline at odds against in League One for the first time since the beginning of August.
Two 0-0 draws for the Pars and they can now be backed at 5-4 for their trip to face third-placed Airdrie. Prior to these two shut-outs Dunfermline had been the highest-scoring side in all of the SPFL but have now relinquished that honour to Celtic and Rangers. Nothing changes does it?
I suspect there may now be a “park the bus” mentality for sides like Cowdenbeath and Peterhead when they face Dunfermline. However, I’d expect Airdrie – being at home and just seven points behind – to play a more open game and offer the Pars a chance to return to their free-scoring best.
Now at this point regular readers of this column (my mum) will be saying “hang on last week you suggested a Peterhead first scorer might be value against Dunfermline and now you are tipping the Pars for the first goal away at Airdrie”.
True. But Peterhead were a ridiculous 9-1 (borne out by the 0-0 draw) while Airdrie (just five points ahead of Peterhead) are just 2-1. Those odds simply don’t add up. Just as 9-1 was too big for Peterhead, 2-1 is too short for Airdrie.
It’s been a long time since Dunfermline’s eight-goal striker Faissal El Bakhtaoui has been chalked up as big as 4-1 by McBookie to score the first goal and can reward punters who have patiently waited for Dunfermline to offer a bit of value of late.
In the Championship the bookies reckon it is a real toss-of-the-coin game between Morton and Queen of the South. The Doonhamers have posted back-to-back wins over the bottom two clubs in the Championship both by a single goal while Morton have beaten the same two sides plus Livingston in their last three games – again all by the odd goal.
McBookie have visitors Queen of the South as slight favourites but given the similar form profile of both sides added to the fact Morton have home advantage I tend to think the ’Ton ought to be slight favourites.
We have previously flagged up 20-year-old striker Denny Johnstone as a player who could have a decent future in the game and he is making the most of his loan period at Cappielow from Birmingham.
Johnstone has scored in his last three starts and has five goals from his last 11 games. McBookie have him at 11-2 to make it four in a row with the game’s first goal.
I just can’t get my head around what is going on in League Two. I did think a month or so ago that Queen’s Park might be the most likely winners but since then they’ve taken just one point from four league games and even lost 2-1 to bottom side East Stirling last weekend.
So how come you can back League One side Peterhead at 1-1 in their Challenge Cup semi-final against the Spiders, especially after Peterhead held Dunfermline last weekend?
For my money they should be more like 4-7 or 8-15 shots and I would expect their price to move that way as the 4pm Saturday kick-off approaches.
We tipped up goal machine Rory McAllister last weekend at 13-2 to score first against the Pars and looks the bet again this weekend at 16-5 with McBookie against an out-of-form League Two side.
Can you find a winner this weekend?
El Bakhtaoui (Dunfermline) 4-1
Johnstone (Morton) 11-2
McAllister (Peterhead) 13-2