IT’S been the year of the underdog. First Leicester then Brexit and finally Donald Trump.
Bookies reported a £5 wager on that treble would have returned up to £12million … but could Scotland beating England at Wembley tonight Trump them all?
A best price of 10-1 with McBookie is bigger than Brexit was in the closing weeks and higher than Trump was as votes started to be counted.
The head says England are stick-ons, the heart says Scotland could nick a result if every player is at their best and rises to the occasion.
But we have to stop giving away cheap goals like we did against Lithuania and Slovakia. Scotland are scoring more than the English but we can’t buy a clean sheet. Not away from home, not against Malta, not even against Gibraltar.
England average 1.6 goals a game in their last 10 compared to our 1.8 but concede 0.6 while we let in 1.4.
Scotland are without Andy Robertson, Kieran Tierney and Alan Hutton but it’s in central defence where we could be exposed. Grant Hanley and Russell Martin were expected to start but it’s Hanley and Christophe Berra and Ikechi Anya is brought in at right-back with Lee Wallace on the left.
Strachan’s named a surprise team and while it has pace it looks lightweight and if the gamble comes off I’ll be first to congratulate but Scotland fans have to be worried.
Gareth Southgate’s matches in charge have been underwhelming with a 2-0 home win against Malta followed by a 0-0 draw away to Slovenia but his strikers will punish our defence if we don’t improve tenfold.
I can’t back England for obvious reasons but they could score 2+ goals and that pays 6-10 at Coral.
Scotland are as big as 23-20 just to score while over 2.5 match goals pays 42-41 at Marathonbet. A draw would be a good result without doing Scotland’s chances of qualifying much good.
As for a first scorer skipper Wayne Rooney is worth a look at 5-1 with bet365 and remember he’ll be on penalties.
Strachan has gone with Leigh Griffiths up top but best bet for a goal could be Hull’s Robert Snodgrass who is 5-1 at McBookie to net.
It should be fiery and returning midfielder Scott Brown will be in the thick of the action. The Celtic skipper is 2-1 at Unibet to be carded and Broonie’s bound to mark his presence with at least one “big hit”.
For first booking I’d consider left-back Lee Wallace who is 12-1 with McBookie or how about Hanley who is joint 8-1 favourite.
If I was choosing an Englishman in this market I’d look at John Stones at 18-1 with betfair.
Bets to Consider
England to score 2+
Over 2.5 match goals
Rooney to score first
Brown to be carded