TONIGHT it's all about the Champions League and I've posted a preview on Bayern Munich v Atletico Madrid where I tip the Spaniards to qualify.
Meanwhile, the SPFL play-offs start with Peterhead v Ayr and Clyde v Elgin and tight games are expected.
Peterhead ended the season with a run of six defeats and will be without banned top scorer Rory McAllister so I'm willing to risk Ayr at 2-1 at
William Hill. Ayr draw no bet is the safer call at 23-20 with
Ladbrokes but remember they won 4-0 at Petehead in the match McAllister saw red in a week past Saturday.
There is no doubt the Blue Toon took their foot off the gas after securing a play-off place but it's difficult to switch it back on again. Ayr's record against the Highlanders was poor until that big win – failing in seven successive meetings – but with McAllister available for the second leg at Somerset they'll be keen not to lose.
Clyde boss Barry Ferguson will have his players well prepared for a big occasion and they are 6-5 at
McBookie to take a lead into the second leg. They've beaten Elgin at home twice this season and look good to make it a hat-trick.
Last night there was a thrilling end to matches at Chelsea and Dundee. Chelsea's comeback from 2-0 down handed Leicester a fairytale title triumph and Dundee's last-gasp winner relegated Dundee United and brought up one of my Super Singles and the members only Betting Club choice – as well as Greg Browning's nap.
The other SS was a longer shot on Dundee -1 while the Top Treble was a Helsingborg goal short of landing.
I recommended three bets on the Chelsea-Spurs game and all were winners – draw,
both teams to score and Harry Kane to hit the target.
Having looked at the card in more detail my
Super Single is Ayr DNB – they should win but with it being a two-legged affair I'll keep the draw on side.
On such a quiet day I'm reluctant to put up anything else but it's a bit busier tomorrow.
Remember to check out We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
Ayr draw no bet (7.45pm)
(23-20, Ladbrokes)
May Super Singles Total
Profit: 3.4pts
(3 bets, 2 winners)
Advised Accas Final Total
Loss: 4pts
(2 bets, 2 losers)
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DOUGLAS HAIG VS. TALLERES CÓRDOBA
Argentina 2nd division game about to kick off Talleres look good for a win but Dougie usually score at home.
BTTS @ 11/10 2 points
May total B1 W0 L 1 -3 points
Congrats again to Leicester. Amazing story! Always love a good Spuds meltdown too ha ha. Onto today and I totally agree with Mr F and reckon Atlético will do the business and should qualify. Both teams to score at 6/5 does look tasty too.
Coward live longer but we die poor. I remember when i was going to place a 1 euro bet on Leicester to win premeir league coz of gut feeling but but but???.
Inplay
Shimzu s pulse goal before 80mins
Gifu no clean sheet
Evens
Lost. Shimzu was absolutely dominating when placed. Kyoto somehow turned that form round and got 2 goals while im waiting for shimzu to score.
Limerick v Galway 3 Goal Line 1.850
Bayern v Atletico < 2.5MGS 43/40
My own personal bank builder is coming along nicely, yesterday took it from £255 to £467. Have had a few successes in the early Japanese games, still keeping it simple. Up to £727 for a days profit of 55%. Have eyes on a couple of AFC champions league games which I guess I have 3hrs to pay a closer look at. I’m now on a ” bank 1, bet 1 strategy “.
Nathan is this the same strategy as before where you look for 1/10 bets and roll them over?
yep
not exclusively 1/10’s but riding out the first goaless 12-15 mins or so that on the overs in-play market. I’ve been a bit quiet on it since xmas as I’ve had other stuff to deal with but felt it was long overdue to give it another bash. Every time it fails, I learn something new. This past failure just after xmas was about staying on script and never jumping onto a 2nd goal AND never betting on teams that have 10 mins to play with a 2 or 3 goal lead. You’d be surprised at how many times it craps out. I’ve also learned to schedule my bets with specific targeted kickoffs, if theres something in-play and I have no action that takes my fancy, I had a tendancy to still trust my instinct and steal an extra match goal without doing the necessary background stats checks. So now I JUST concentrate my main method on those games on the horizon rather than betting for the sake of it.
The 2x 11am kickoffs that interest me are Suwon Bluewings and Melbourne Victory in the AFC champions league. Past that timeframe, I have nothing specific that I am looking at, I might have a closer look as and if those 2 matches deliver.
Hey Nathan, could I just ask what it is you look at betting on on the overs market? I see you’ve said you ride out the first 12-15 minutes, then get on the overs market if still at 0-0, is this correct? Do you bet on o.0.5 or o.1.5 goals? Sorry if this is confusing just interested in what it is you look at.
@shauncpfc Always 0.5 overs, the price gains momentum, lots of it in the first 0-20 mins , the longer you leave it, the better. I do often see lots of goals in the final 20 mins of the 1st half.
Not sure if you’re a member, if you are you’ll have access to all my notes/tips/mistakes and a whole host of other info, if you’re not a member and you join, take the time to read from part 1 through till maybe part 5 or 6. Its really my contribution to the site as a whole and gives us all a little sniff at relatively safe bank building, if you follow the guide.
Bayern Munich – Atletico Madrid
————————————————————-
Bayern Munich :
– Bayern Munich drew against Bourssia Monchengladbach 1-1 in the last round of Bundesliga;
– 2 rounds before the final, Bayern has five points ahead of Borussia Dortmund, ranked 2;
– Bayern Munich has seven consecutive matches without defeat at home, of which 6 were wins;
– last 4 matches played in all competitions for Bayern Munich ended with maximum 2 goals scored;
– Bayern managed to win all five matches at home this season in the Champions League;
– Bayern Munich played 10 semi-final against Spanish teams managed 7 wins;
Atletico Madrid :
– Atletico Madrid managed to win 1-0 against Rayo Vallecano last match in Primera Division;
– 2 rounds before the final, Atletico Madrid ranks 2 in Primera Division, on equal points with leader Barcelona, but with inferior goal difference;
– Atletico Madrid managed to finish without conceded in 7 of the last 9 matches in Champions League;
– Atletico Madrid have a 4 consecutive wins with the same score, 1-0;
– Team coached by Diego Simeone has a string of seven consecutive matches won, the last 6 being with no goal conceded;
– for Atletico is the 5th European Cup semi-final against a team from Germany, their record is 3 wins and one defeat;
————————————————————-
Probable teams :
– Bayern Munich: Neuer – Lahm, Martinez, Alaba, Bernat – Alonso – Costa, Muller, Vidal, Coman – Lewandowski;
– Unavailable: Badstuber and Robben (injured);
– Atletico Madrid: Oblak – Juanfran, Gimenez, Savic, Luis – Nigua, Fernandez, Gabi, Koke – Griezmann, Torres
– Unavailable: Godin and Tiago (injured)
————————————————————-
Interesting stats and betting :
– In the first leg , Bayern dominated possession with 69%, bet to succeed at least identical performance (over 68.5%) is 1.85;
– Atletico Madrid qualified in the last 6 clashes with german teams . Last time they were eliminated in ’78. 1-0 after the first leg, to pass Bayern is 1.75, 69% of teams who have won the first leg 1-0 have advanced farther in the League;
– Bayern boast 11 wins in a row at home in the Champions League. In this period they were conceded only 6 goals and scored 3.72 goals / game. 1.83 is the value that the Bavarians today to score at least 2 goals;
– Atletico won only two matches in their last seven disputes in the latter stages of the Champions League. Bayern to take their revenge after round match and winning has value 1.56 and 2.13 qualification;
– Thomas Muller managed to score 15 goals in the last 18 League matches in which has held for Bayern. Unibet offers 2.75 that the German player to be present on the scoreboard tonight;
– if Atletico will advance in the last act of the competition will be for the 3rd time in history . Each time they were defeated in both 1974 and 2014. For their triumph in this season’s League 3.25;
– Germans have earned goals in 4 of their last 5 matches played in the latter stages of the Champions League, the weakest record of in the competition. Both teams to score tonight at Munich has a value of 2.23;
– Robert Lewandowski has three games in a row without scoring for Bayern in the Champions League longest period of his transfer in Bavaria. To score and Bayern to win the match 2.80;
– Today’s match is decisive and certainly we will have many duels and sharp fragmentation of the game, especially on the wings. 1.70 is that tonight to have over 28.5 fouls;
————————————————————-
I think that Atletico will not have the luck that had in the first leg. Even in Madrid, Bayern managed to dominate his opponent on almost throughout the match, surely Bavarians will put enormous pressure at home. They will be much more focused tonight and will try to exploit every chance . The team prepared by Pep Guardiola now benefit from the audience that will try to push them from behind. Atletico is a team who make less problems in attack and rely too much on the defensive line. This time, it is hard to believe that Atletico will resist . I think Bayern is the better team and at the end of 90 minutes will achieve victory, but not at a difference of more then 1 goal;
————————————————————
Bet : Bayern Munich – Atletico Madrid :
– Bayern to win by 1 goal @ 3.45
– Muller to score & Bayern to win 2-1 @ 21.00
Unibet
radu, I think the feeling on the site is this could go either way.
If Bayern score early they’ll be in the driving but not getting the away goal could come back to haunt them.
Godin can play but Atletico may be unchanged.
DOUGLAS HAIG VS. TALLERES CÓRDOBA
Argentina 2nd division game about to kick off Talleres look good for a win but Dougie usually score at home.
BTTS @ 11/10 2 points ***LOST***
May total B2 W0 L2 -5 points
Bad start to the month, Talleres win was a better price than BTTS
Anyone got any thoughts on Asian Champions League or better just to leave alone, was thinking
Suwon No Clean Sheet
Urawa over 1.5 Team Goals
Double Pays 2/1 but no sure if worth risk any insights would me most grateful
I’ve lost a few £££ on the AFC Champs league in previous weeks mate so would caution small stakes – if I were to put anything on it I’d go with Urawa/Melbourne Victory both to win double @ around 2.08. Urawa will want top spot and Pohang have nothing to play for – Victory need to better Suwon’s result and will be fresh with the A-league ending prematurely for them – plus Gamba have nothing to play for.
Thanks waddo whatever I go for if anything will be small stakes.
Good luck pal if you do pick anything – bit of a minefield though. Personally I think I’ll dodge it myself.
19:45PM – Champions League
Bayern Munich v Ath Madrid
Fantastic win for Madrid at the Vicente Calderon last week with that sublime Saul goal – Atletico come into this game as favourites to progress, and deservedly so – however, Bayern are imperious at the Allianz having won 10 from their last 11 Champions League games there. They’ve won all 6 home games in the 2015/16 campaign scoring 19 on the way so are averaging 3 goals per game – the stats would suggest Bayern will score several here and the last time Bayern failed to score at the Allianz in europe was April 2014 v Real.
Atletico should welcome back Godin tonight which will reinforce their back line even more-so than last weeks game. They can boast the best defensive record in this seasons Champions League having conceded only 5 in 11 games. I’m extremely tempted on the unders market with under 2.5 goals @ around 8/11 but I’m never keen on putting unders on – as anything can happen in a game that can screw this up such as red cards, deflections etc. Atletico don’t need to win this and will progress with any draw result or better – or even a one goal loss, as long as they score.
I can see Bayern scoring – but may take a while to break Madrid down – and if Bayern do score then Madrid would need to go for it. Like Mr F has suggested, I do think Madrid will score tonight so I’m going with:
Both Teams To Score @ 6/5
Small Stake on 1-1 final score @ 15/2
Good luck today chaps, I have a few games today will be keeping my eye on so may post later too.
March: Bets 113 Wins 49 Losses 63 Push 1 +3.05 units
April: Bets 176 Wins 86 Losses 82 Push 8 +16.85 units
May: Bets 3 Win 2 Losses 1 Push 0 +1.1 units
Bet 4 – AFC Double
Guangzhou draw no bet
Urawa win
Odds 2.00 1.5 units
Bet 5
Urawa ht
Odds 1.95 1 unit
Bet 6
Guangzhou win
Odds 1.90 1 unit
nite owl
temperley btts, ca tigre o1.5mgs 2/1 LOST an early red possibly sealed the goal short in tigre game
Was on the same for BTTS. With all the chances and against 10, it’s pretty amazing how Tigre didn’t manage to put at least one in
Bayern Munich v Ath Madrid
I think this will be a tight match so im playing the odds
Bayern Munich win 1 – 0 = 9/2
Bayern Munich win 2 – 1 = 15/2
I’m loving the Swedish games at present. Seem to be very profitable when looking at goals. In particular I have been doing Yankees and Canadian’s on first half goals. Nearly 70% of all top tier Swedish games are seeing at least 2 first half goals so far this season and at present bookies odds are not reflecting that high percentage. For example yesterday I did a Canadian on the 5 18:00 games with 4/5 winning giving you 7 x stake back. Inidividual odds at sky bet were all around the 6/4 up to 2/1 mark. Yet the bookies are pricing the btts markets and over 2.5 all way under evens so they expect goals.
Certainly seems to be a good tactic of late and certainly worth doing small stake Yankees on for big returns. I did one on Sunday with Man Utd v Leicester @ 5/2, Southampton and Man City @ 6/4, Falkenburg at 11/10 and Salzburg (who let me down) but it gave me £100 back on a £11 stake.
Just got to pick the right games I guess!
elander whats the format for betting using yankees and Canadian bets
Yankees for 4 games, Canadian for 5. I basically do a £1 stake on a Yankee which is £11 total (11 x £1 on all possible doubles,trebles and fourfold) and then generally a 50p or £1 stake on a Canadian which is for five matches. Total stake either £13 or £26 covering all the various permutations. Depending on odds you need at least two to come in to get money back or there abouts and anything else is profit. Best to do only on individual odds around 1.8 and higher.
I’m going to do one on the four afc games this morning for interest, though not particularly confident. as odds for first half goals all quite juicy at 2.5-3 mark. They have been pretty low scoring of late, hence prices, but maybe the trend will end today! Australian and Chinese teams are good for first half goals generally. £1 Yankee returns £160. Need 3/4 to happen realistically for nice profit.
ill keep my eyes on these games good luck is it for 2+ goals in first half
Was just looking at the fixtures for next Sat – Mon … no real markets available yet but like the look of
Elfsborg > 1.5 TGS
Jonkoping BTTS
Orebro BTTS and Overs
Other games I like Rossenborg 2+, Valerenga BTTS, Sevilla BTTS, West Ham 2+, Orlando >2.5 & BTTS, Evergrande 2+ …. comments welcome …
ohh and a couple of quid on Wes Morgan ATGS 12/1 !!
Suwon v shanghai
Away side already through and expected to rest a few players.
On over 1.5 fhgls at 2.50
And over 2.5mgls 1.66
Shanghai resting conca, elkson,gyan amongst others. Suwon will be going for it as so will mel victory. On the same points but suwon on 0 goal difference and victory on -1 goal difference.
One bet lost hopefully get a couple more goals
Suwon over 2.5mgls won
Well done bud
Bet 33: Treble @ 1 unit
—————–
Spartak Nalchik v Astrakhan, Spartak Nalchik @ 2/7
Al-Ittihad Al-Sakandary v Ghazl Al Mehalla, Al-Ittihad Al-Sakandary @ 4/9
Bayern Munich v Atletico Madrid, Bayern Munich @ 1/2
*Prices from Sporting Bet
May Stats
————-
Staked: 2 units
Profit: +4.12 units
___________________________
Its a really poor card today and as such it been a real rake for 3 teams to back. In truth I would rather have left the CL game alone but really struggling for a treble. Just 4 years ago Nalchik were a in the RPL but after being relegated that season have fallen into the lower tiers, currently division 2 south. A return to the National League looks on the cards as they head the division with impressive stats. They should see off Astrakkhan today who have lost 11 in 21. Al Ittihad have been hovering above the relegation zone for some time in Egypt for for whatever reason they have hit a purple patch with 3 straight wins to boost them to 12th and today I think they will make it 4 in row as they host the bottom side with no wins and 16 defeats in 25 matches. Lastly the CL games. Normally this is a perfect scenario. When a good side loses away in a two legged match I usually back them to at least win at home. I’m not so sure about Bayern partly because of the tight Atletico defence and partly because of the mess they made against Juventus- albeit they did progress. I am backing them here though as I think they will pull out all the stops to win but not sure if that will be enough to progress.
Best of luck with your bets today
Cheers for the heads up, Hampy.
Suwon recorded 14 corners against Gamba Osaka in a previous home group match. They really need to go for this so I am hoping they will get quite a few corners.
Suwon race to 7 corners
21/20 (Bet365)
Small stakes for interest…
Small stake for me on RT5 @ 8/11 now it’s 1-0
Early goal was a bugger, but they are still going out at this point, so hopefully they pull their finger out
Firsthalf goal bet down expected abit more from them tbh but should put more effort in 2nd half. Wouldnt be surprised to see victory increase their lead. Gamba been very poor what ive seen of themthis seasonn.
Suwon RT5 *WIN* – hopefully another 2 more for you coming mate
Cheers Waddo. They made me wait for it!
Well done dt4854 – there’s your 7
I don’t think anything will ever eclipse the 5000/1 on Leicester. What a season.
3 points lost yesterday
Monthly Balance: – 3
Munich v Atletico: Red card for Munich @ 13/2 (PaddyP)
How long will it take for Munich to snap if they can’t find a way through? Look at Spurs in the final 10 minutes against Chelsea last night. They made Chelsea look like the victims! That takes some doing. Perhaps Bayern will lose their heads if the game stays even for too long.
doyleto, I think you’re right. I see most bookies are saying there won’t be another 5000-1 antepost on the Premier League but fair play to Betfred who have priced Burnley at 5000-1.
No one in their right mind would back them but Leicester were in the same position a year ago.
I wouldnt be so sure Mr F, im tempted to stick a quid on Burnley to make it two miraculous Premier League wins on the bounce if the price is right ;)
kyle b, I heard Alex Donohue of Ladbrokes on the radio today and he said antepost bets now capped at 1000-1 – no matter what.
They’ve paid out £3m but he accepted they’d won some back on the favourites.
Betfred though going 5000-1 Burnley and despite what happened with Leicester I’m not on.
Any price yet for Leicester to win champions league lol should I put lol
teggy11, the prices I’ve seen are ridiculous – 80-1 and 100-1.
If it happens I’ll write my first column after they win in my Clydebank pants.
I think you would be better of having leicester to be relegated,thats what i will be doing,there is no way leicester will be able to compete in both the champs league and the premier league,especially after the big clubs have snapped up all their best players.
maccathered, we can’t say how Leicester will do next season – depends on who goes and how comes in.
But they’ll have plenty of cash so no chance of going down if Ranieri stays.
Forest did it in 79
Lol 100/1 is stingy …. I’m a forest fan we did it in 79 . But FOOTBALL has changed a lot since . Not a chance .
teggy11, as you say not a chance but they’ll love just being in it.
Forest won it because they had some Scots in their team – Leicester don’t have any.
They’ll also do well to keep hold of their star players.
find it funny no-one picked up on the punchline “forest wonit because they had some scots in their team Leicester don’t have any” :) well forest never had any Algerians playing dilly ding dilly dong it all started in Thailand
punterpounder, as was said different days.
Thoughts on Urawa to win in play? Odds are 4/6 or is it worth waiting a little longer?
Might be worth a small stake on home win bud. With Sydney losing Urawa can grab top spot (if they want it) – they have lion share of possession, shots, attacks so far
hope you never backed them
Yeah – they obviously don’t want that top spot
Urawa score all their goals late in matches, so there’s hope still :)
hope so good luck
Got caught up with work so was unable to get on, lucky I didn’t as I just saw it ended 1-1!
CC SS
A MADRID
+0.5-+1.00 AH
EVENS
1 point
CC MAY TIPS
+0.8
Small stake in play on Sparta Prague u19 v Slovacko u19 over 2.5 goals @ 1/1
Nice, Slovacko score right away :)
*LOST* – the 3rd wasn’t for going in – at least it was only a small stake. Onto this afternoon’s games…
What was the end result?
1-1 markus
Thanks waddo. It’s really annoying how bet365 doesn’t show the result like Unibet, for instance. How hard could it be
Suwon race to 7 corners
21/20 (Bet365)
*WON*
Thanks again for the heads up, Hampy. Glad the over 2.5 came in for you.
No worries bud cheers for race to 7.
Why is this site so slow it has to be one of the slowest sites on the net.
Don’t get me started on the site again lol
no one listens anyway! it’s like being back in 1997 with a dial up 28k modem! shocking. They need to get a new host pref not a cloud based one.
CHAMPS LG DOUBLE
BAYERN V ATLETICO…H/T DRAW…Bound to be a slow burner in first half with Atletico as usual keeping it very tight and Bayern very wary of conceding early on.
REAL MADRID WIN/OVER 1.5…Real have announced Ronaldo fit to play,that’ll do for me.
Pays a small fraction over 3/1 Paddypower. Good Luck.
Draws bet
Rad Belgrade v ofk Belgrade
Fk borac v radnick nia
Fk novi pazar v javor ivanjica
Black aces v budvest wits
4 x 1pt trebles
1pt fourfold
All bets to win 215/1
Updated draws total +195.73pts
Lost
Updated draws total +190.73pts
IN-PLAY
Medyk Konin Women v Zaglebie Lubin Women – Over 2.5 goals
Odds a bit short at the minute but if it stays the same for another 5-10 mins it might be worth a small stake on over 2.5 goals. Medyk Women battering Zaglebie Women in terms of everything bar goals.
Boom, there’s the 3rd, well done if you jumped on
On this, will add the Czech game in play too as a double. Pays @ 1.79
There’s your ladies single! Well in pal
Cheers buddy
Well played bud surprised took them so long to score
Yeah same, they had something like 22 shots to Lubin’s 2 I think it was at one point. Cheers bud.
Tuesdays Bet
Antoine Griezmann (Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid)
Anytime Goalscorer
17/5
888 Sport
If Godin starts and he definitely should (Best defender on the planet in my eyes) I will have a small punt on him in the anytime goalscorer market as well.
Over 1.5mg Peterhead
Over 2.5mg Aalesund
Atleti no clean sheet
Treble pays just above evens.
Top treble
All games over 2.5 match goals
Flora tallin v tammeka tartu
Limerick v Galway
Brattvag v Aalesund
1pt @ 2.29/1
Updated trebles total -11.09pts
Daily double
Red star Belgrade to win
Fk cukaricki to win
1pt @ 1.53/1
Updated doubles total +13.79pts
Lost
Updated doubles total +12.79pts
Bayern v a madrid.
Over 4.5 fh corners. Bayern had the majority of possession and plenty of corners the 1st leg. Youd be foolish to think bayern wont fo gung ho soon as the whistle goes and be at athletico. Knowing how well they can defend i can see a fair few corners in the first half.
Over 4.5fh corners pays 1.775
Defo wouldnt want to pick a winner her. Wouldnt be surprised to see it go the distance so going to go on munich to win on pens also
Pays 23.00
Over 4.5 fh corners wins with ease. Not so sure a madrid can hold this scoreline until end of ectra time. Munich looking good
Nice one, Hampy!
Super single
Clyde to win
1 pt @ 1.25/1
Updated singles total -7.48pts
Was all over this tip big mac. Cheers had 3 points at 5/4. Keep it up sir
Mr f , both scotish play off games to go under 3.5 is even money. Thoughts please? ?
lund89, it’s a decent shout but not for me.
I expect play-off games to be tight but historically Peterhead v Ayr matches have goals.
BET 1 : Limerick v Galway – BTTS YES IN 1st HALF (13/5 Coral)
BET 2 : Limerick v Galway – Goal In Both Halves
Bayern to win
Clyde to score
Peterhead v Ayr – BTTS YES
(10/3 Coral)
BET 1 : fail
BET 2 : it came in
Treble:
Norway Cup 18:00
Brattvag vs Aalesund – HT result Aalesund
Champions League 19:45
Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid – over 2.5 MG’s & over 9 corners
5.25/1 **NAP**
Tippeligaen side Aalesund should prove too strong for their opposition Brattvag who play two divisions lower than them. So far most of the Tippeligaen teams have been knocking 3+ past these lower oppposition opponents and today shouldn’t be no different with it being very likely Aalesund head into the interval as leaders.
In the first leg at the Calderon, despite it being only 1-0, there were a host of chances; obviously the goal went in, Torres hit he woodwork, Vidal drew excellent saves, Lewandowski missed chances etc. With the stakes being high and Madrid likely to play their defensive game with possibly nine men behind the ball at times, it will invite pressure from Bayern who will try to go for the jugular over and over again and there should be goals. Madrid themselves wil be dangerous on breakaway counters throughout so over 2 goals has a fair chance tonight.
The first leg yielded 10 corners. With Bayern likely to dominate possesion and attack from the outset tonight this should at least be equalled.
Sweden U21 League: 16:00
There are a few games which should pop up in-play on Bet365 but the ones I’ll be on are
Degafors U21 vs Frej Taby U21
Gelfe U21 vs Norrkoping U21
2 x over 1.5 FHG’s singles and 1 double
Good luck all
Filipe Luis to be booked 11/8
Booked 14 times this season I fancy him to see a yellow tonight – most likely trying to deal with the pace of Douglas Costa ..
Also had a bet on Ronaldo to score from outside the box tomorrow 6/1
Worth keeping an eye on the overs markets in the Malaysian Premier League games kicking off now – high scoring league with most teams involved today in the mix with goals recently.
Goals flying in already :)
Tempted with the over 1.5 goals market in Johor Darul v UiTM game @ 5/6 – currently HT. H2H shows 5 from 6 meetings seeing two goals or more…Johor have 14 from their 6 home games and 2 from their combined last 12 games have only seen under 1.5 goals.
tonite
Bayern o1.5mgs, limerick o2.5mgs evens
Not much joy in AFC with Urawa letting it down for a 1.6 unit loss across the 3 bets.
Bet 7 in play 24 mins
Johur Darul Tazim II -1 Asian handicap
Odds 2.1 1.5 units
lund, not trying to cut in on mr f here but 4 of last 5 h2h’s between Peterhead and ayr have gone o3.5
craneguy, I’m aware of that stat but could be tighter because it’s a play-off first leg.
Only the one game i fancy today as there isn’t much on at all. It’s a obvious one and both bet’s i am putting my all my egg’s in one basket but its two bet’s i like the look of.
Bayern munich vs Atletico madrid – Both teams to score @ 2.10
and
Bayern munich vs Atletico madrid – Over 2.5mgs @ 2.15
Good luck all.
meadway great season for us so far big game is Man Utd for us maybe a euro place for us be great for our new stadium
next year
Just doubled West Ham > 1.5TGS (against Swansea) with a Dortmund Win at Frankfurt Evens….
I don’t like blowing the trumpet but if we can win all of our last 3 game’s who know’s eh?
Afternoon gents
Staying in Scotland tonight
Peterhead v Ayr
Clyde v Elgin
Peterhead have completely gone off the boil since there Cup final against Rangers in the Petrofac! They do t lose too many at home but Ayr have an experienced team and will be looking to avoid defeat! They boast probably one of the best players in the division in Ryan Stevenson and should manage at least a share of the spoils
Taking Clyde for one main reason, Elgin have been murder away from home all season! All of there good work has been done at home and a clyde are in good shape coming into this! Again taking Clyde to get at least a draw and I think Elgin will be happy with that
Ayr / Clyde – Double Chance
Double pays 11/10 (Bet365) (NAP)
IN-PLAY
Odense Reserves v Esbjerg Reserves
6 from the last 7 H2H games have seen 3 goals or more – 4 from Odense’s last 5 have gone over 2.5 goals and Esbjerg sit bottom of the league after 4 games having conceded 8 in those. Odense have a high scoring and conceding average so hoping today will be similar – bit short currently but might be worth a small stake when the over 2.5 goals prices get better.
*WINNER* with 50 mins still to play :)
tonites shoe in
Bayern o1.5tgs, limerick o3.5mgs, ayr o1.5tgs, clyde o1.5tgs 14/1
GL all with a bet on……………
Inplay:
Pakhtakor Tashkent race to 7 corners (Asian Champions League)
21/20 (Bet365)
Just like Suwon this morning, Pakhtakor have to go for it if they are going through. They are playing the basement boys of the group, so it may well be one way traffic, and hopefully corners will result.
Low stakes only for interest….
Anyone into goals betting may want to look at this match. 2-0 already and the goalkeeper is rubbish
Tempted with the 5/4 on offer for over 2.5 goals in the Sirius U21 v GIF U21 game. Currently HT – 3 from last 5 H2H gone over 2.5. Sirius’ last 5 games have all seen 3 goals minimum and GIF’s last 13 have gone over 2.5! With both teams conceding a high number of goals so far – this stands a decent chance.
Sorry gents, not much notice! Goal Sirius just as this was posted
*LOST* – Sirius couldn’t muster a 3rd against 10 man GIF.
Couple of Swedish U21 matches starting at 4PM to keep an eye out on the goals markets…
Jonkopings U21 v Kalmar U21
Kalmar’s last 5 matches have gone 3 goals or more whilst 3 from Jonkopings last 5 have too. Jonkopings have conceded 11 from 6 and Kalmar have scored 11 goals in 5 matches so far.
Djurgarden U21 v Hammarby U21
All 4 H2H games have seen a minimum of 3 goals. Hammarby’s last 4 have seen 3 goals or more and 5 from Djurgarden’s last 6 the same.
Both games are likely to go over 2.5 goals – so keeping an eye in-play on the goals markets.
Any corner tips tonight @dt4854
Hi, theboss. I just posted one for the Al Ain match kicking off in a few minutes. I have had a look at the corner markets for the Bayern match, and I am just waiting on line ups before I post.
Accidentally backed limerick. ..any thoughts anybody . obviously favourites but I wouldn’t of chose to back them, I’ve now realised they are a league below (
You should be alright with Limerick, theyll be taking the 2 cups very seriously this season, seeing as theyve already won their league lol. Galway will probably be resting players for their PL games anyway.
Bet 1
Put €5 on
Limerick win+btts
BayernMunich btts
Pays €29
Was gonna put the whole 20 quid on but I’m trying to be disciplined
GL all
Ended up putting the whole 20 on Limerick, pays34.50, not gonna get 8/11 for a Limerick win many times this season again. Lets build this sucker up to a few 100 by the weekend again.
Its like a thing the Bayern game will go 1-0 et and pens and we’ll all end up cursing that one.
Anyone else having a problem selecting different markets on games using odds checker on the mobile? Just not sure if it’s just my phone? Haven’t had a problem until very recently
Inplay:
Pakhtakor Tashkent race to 7 corners (Asian Champions League)
21/20 (Bet365)
*WON*
Jesus buddy (you, not Jesus), you rock at the corners. Carry on
Al Ain v Nasaf over 9.5 corners
8/11 (Bet365)
KO 5:30PM
The previous meeting saw 14+ corners, and both of Al Ain’s other home qualifiers have seen at least 10 corners.
Low stakes only for interest….
*LOST* (5-2)
damn missed it @dt4854
Bayern game should have corners galore i think. Bayern team corners?
Athletico over 3.5 at 5/4 or Bayern over 7.5…
I would imagine Bayern dominating most of the game and pinning atletico in their half of the pitch so Bayern team corners may be a good bet.
365 have Ayr as marginal favourites for tonight’s match now, which makes it strange how they are still going 5/6 for either to qualify. Peterhead have only scored 2 goals in their last 8 games now, pretty awful.
Ayr and Atletico both to qualify for me, double pays over 2/1.
by no means an expert on irish fitba but limerick look pretty much at full strength………… just sayin
Bet 7 push
Bet 8
Bayern to qualify
Odds 2.1 2 units
Bet 9
Over 2.5
Odds 2.35 2 units
As much as I think simeone is an incredible manager my gut just sais Bayern tonight. under is probably the sensible play as odds suggest but with Bayern chasing this I’ll take my chances on the over. If one bet hits then no harm done.
I agree with Hampy and Meadway with regard to Bayern corners. However, the line is incredibly high, so I am going for something slightly different:
Bayern race to 9 corners
7/4 (Bet365)
Low stake mainly for interest, although it has a really good chance at those odds. Obviously it relies on Atletico holding onto their advantage for as long as possible, so fingers crossed….
I’ve gone for Bayern over 7.5 hope that’s not a mistake! :(
I’m sure Athletico will be defending like there life depends on it tonight so should mean corners and hopefully they don’t score straight away lol
If your bet is a mistake, then so is mine! Good luck.
2 so far!!
Could be done by half time!
Limerick over 1.5tgs
Bayern over 1.5tgs
Ayr over 1.5tgs
Clyde over 1.5tgs
Returns just under 10/1
Also on
Bayern over 1.5mgs
Clyde over 1.5mgs
Limerick over 2.5mgs
Ayr over 1.5tgs
Returns 5/1
Good luck all
Come on Bayern. If only they had not missed penalty would have had the 10/1 winner up in first half
Evening gents,
BAYERN v ATLETICO MADRID:
Lots been said about this one already and not too much too add but that it should be a cracker and although I agree with the Bayern pressure, I can see Atletico catching one on the break.
No-one has beaten Atletico by 2 goals or more in a stonking 72 games and that gives great ammo for the Spaniards to qualify but I’m taking BTTS at 6/4…too big in my opinion
(4 Points)
Good luck ?
@hullshaker
winner winner, good picking,
have a wee 9 fold here and if this stays i will have to post it later for advice on a cover
Probably going against general feeling on Scot Play offs, but regardless of form, and Rory being suspended, I’m having a pop on the blue Toon, 7/4 is too tempting for me to resist, add to that my soft point for them, I’ll chance my arm!
Main bet-
PETERHEAD to win 7/4
Small stakes-
SUTHERLAND anytime 8/5.
Corners racking up lads! Looking like a good shout DT and Theboss.
Just hoping they get the last 2 corners and then score as much as they want after that ?
Thank God for that penalty miss. The whole momentum would have changed if that had gone in
And it ended as a corner after the second save haha
ff sakes Bayern missed penalty and limerick only at 1-0 another one of those nites me thinks…………….
Still a lot of time for you bud. Even in the limerick game.
limerick has not played under 2.5 in a long time, y tonight? onwards
Evening all. Dealing with ear infection so unfortunately missed out on all the action over the past couple of days. Extremely annoyed as Sweden looked to have churned out some expected results too yesterday. Might have something tomorrow but might leave it. Good luck with your punts.
Get well soon mate, nothing worse than ear ache.
?
Limerick please one more goal….
Bayern over 7.5 corners 11/10 – won :)
That last corner took its time to come!!
Well done on the race to 7 @dt4854!
Now I can enjoy the match lol
Well done, theboss – solid bet.
My race to 9 hasn’t quite happened yet…
Oh I thought it was race to 7! No idea why!
There ya go!! As i type lol
Also won over 13 corners only small stake when it was on 10 :)
tonite
Bayern o1.5mgs, limerick o2.5mgs evens LOST
tonites shoe in
Bayern o1.5tgs, limerick o3.5mgs, ayr o1.5tgs, clyde o1.5tgs 14/1 LOST
serves me rite for going for an irish cup game over a Scottish game with some meaning on the double……
WD all with winners………..
*WINNER* – Posted earlier today, just the 1-1 pending now
19:45PM – Champions League
Bayern Munich v Ath Madrid
Fantastic win for Madrid at the Vicente Calderon last week with that sublime Saul goal – Atletico come into this game as favourites to progress, and deservedly so – however, Bayern are imperious at the Allianz having won 10 from their last 11 Champions League games there. They’ve won all 6 home games in the 2015/16 campaign scoring 19 on the way so are averaging 3 goals per game – the stats would suggest Bayern will score several here and the last time Bayern failed to score at the Allianz in europe was April 2014 v Real.
Atletico should welcome back Godin tonight which will reinforce their back line even more-so than last weeks game. They can boast the best defensive record in this seasons Champions League having conceded only 5 in 11 games. I’m extremely tempted on the unders market with under 2.5 goals @ around 8/11 but I’m never keen on putting unders on – as anything can happen in a game that can screw this up such as red cards, deflections etc. Atletico don’t need to win this and will progress with any draw result or better – or even a one goal loss, as long as they score.
I can see Bayern scoring – but may take a while to break Madrid down – and if Bayern do score then Madrid would need to go for it. Like Mr F has suggested, I do think Madrid will score tonight so I’m going with:
Both Teams To Score @ 6/5
Small Stake on 1-1 final score @ 15/2
Good luck today chaps, I have a few games today will be keeping my eye on so may post later too.
1-1 *LOST but not too fussed as the main bet came in :)
I agree with Hampy and Meadway with regard to Bayern corners. However, the line is incredibly high, so I am going for something slightly different:
Bayern race to 9 corners
7/4 (Bet365)
*WON*
Nice one bud had to get on this as well. Wasnt sure how game was going to go was expecting 1-0 to be honest but corners were more concrete
Limerick over 1.5tgs
Bayern over 1.5tgs
Ayr over 1.5tgs
Clyde over 1.5tgs
Returns just under 10/1 **WON**
Also on
Bayern over 1.5mgs
Clyde over 1.5mgs
Limerick over 2.5mgs
Ayr over 1.5tgs
Returns 5/1 **LOST** 1 goal short in Limerick game
Well done on all winners especially corners bets excellent
Belting bet, mate!
Cheers well done on all your corner bets. Must take plenty research
Nice one john boy on that 10/1
Cheers meadway. 5/1 looked a safer bet aswell. Well done on your Bayern bet winner to.
dc john boy, some bet there mate
super picking
Cheers shortee good luck with your 9 fold
Lovely 10/1…Over 1.5 accas are a great bet – well done pal.
Cheers hull shaker any night owls tonight
Nothing mate – sketchy card and best left!
Thats a scorcher John, keep them coming!
Only the one game i fancy today as there isn’t much on at all. It’s a obvious one and both bet’s i am putting my all my egg’s in one basket but its two bet’s i like the look of.
Bayern munich vs Atletico madrid – Both teams to score @ 2.10 *Win*
and
Bayern munich vs Atletico madrid – Over 2.5mgs @ 2.15 *Win*
Good luck all.
– A little gutted i didnt go for my usual Both teams to score and Over 2.5mgs @ 3.00 but hey ho.
daft in play rescue bet
Bayern u3.5mgs, Peterhead u5.5mgs, clyde u4.5mgs 11/4
BAYERN v ATLETICO MADRID:
BTTS…6/4
(4 Points)
**WON**
Just about to put a fiver on the draw at 12/1 and then the pen is awarded. Still think it will happen at the very end. Anybody else on the draw?
wow! the tackle on torres was about a yard outside the box! deserved to miss.
Greg your NAP looks home and hosed, top stuff.
Hull i just see we were on the same bet, nice one mate.
Well done Meadway sir ?
Calling time!
That’s why I tagged the man Guru!
That’s also why ‘her in doors ‘ requested I change my username to ‘toetheline’!!!!!!!
?Hahahahaha!
PETERHEAD-blow out.
Well done all winners this evening, over and out!
Great night of footy and not talking about champions league etc. Threave rovers vs East Kilbride stole the show. Threave 3.0 up at 70 minutes and go on to lose 4.3…..
daft in play rescue bet
Bayern u3.5mgs, Peterhead u5.5mgs, clyde u4.5mgs 11/4 WON
stupid bit saved the nite…………………
Good revival in the end Crane, well done sir :)
Treble:
Norway Cup 18:00
Brattvag vs Aalesund – HT result Aalesund
Champions League 19:45
Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid – over 2.5 MG’s & over 9 corners
5.25/1 **NAP** LOST
The Champions League part won but Aalesund were utterly pathetic in the Norweigen cup and Im glad to see they were eliminated after extra time having failed to score in the 90. Well done to all winners tonight.
Tuesdays Bet
Antoine Griezmann (Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid)
Anytime Goalscorer
17/5
888 Sport
**WON**
Also had a small punt on:
Diego Godin (Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid)
Anytime Goalscorer
17/1
888 Sport
**LOST**
Top tipping tonight gents on such a narrow card, everyone hit the nail on the head in the Bayern game, some cracking winners!
evening hull, couldn’t get a bet on with my accounts on goals over in Iceland cup game tonite bersekir now 7-0 up 52 mins ggrrrrrrrr…………
Yup Crane – the eagle (pigeon ?) has flown on some of the Nordic games – bookies not daft and took a hit last year so not seeing anywhere near the value we’ve had before.
cheers K, was a stupid bet al take it but to save takin another loss tonite, cant pick hairs out my arse atm never rabbits out of a hat……………
although hull has offered to pick the hairs out meantime, hink al leave it for now tbh …………. :D
LOL, at the end of the day its not how you start but how you finish :)
??
Great tip Mr F , and on the members tip well done, just waiting on Banfield btts and win later for 4 fold treble , got 3 up so far so something back never had 4 up. So here’s hoping …
9-0 noo hull 65 mins cant get a bet anywhere bassas……………………..
10-0 now. you can have a bit of goals odd or even on betfair crane haha.
Not around until later tomorrow so will put this one up now…
HARROGATE TOWN VS. FYLDE:
First leg sees us in North Yorksire and it should be a belter – nice up there and posher locals call it ‘Harrowgate’…normal Northerners call it ‘Arrerget’ but that’s got bugger all to do with betting.
Flyde won the recent H2H 2-1 at their place and in the last two seasons we’ve seen the 2-1 as well as; 2-2 at Harrogate; 1-4 at Harrogate and a 1-2 at Fylde.
I can’t see this one being a low scorer and although HT do score well at home, I can see Fylde getting at least one to drag the Yorkies kicking and screaming back over the Pennines to their place.
Bets to consider:
BTTS & OVER 2.5 MGS…10/11
(3 Points)
OVER 3.5 MGS…13/8
(2 Points)
Good luck with all bets ?
cheers med, not got betfair only 888, pp, wh, 365, corals and wouldn’t do odds/evens either regardless tbh ………… tar
slim pickins on the nite owls tonite also, hopefully got a feather picked out of one of hull’s doo’s but :D
haha i know mate, its a crazy bet and wouldnt do it myself either.
Night owl bet
Argentinian primera
Banfield vs Sarmiento – Home win @ 2.05
nite owls
banfield, unam, ath medelin o1.5mgs treble 13/10
oooft just the 15 goals in iceland tonite then……….
looks good hull, yer not around tomorrow then sir hope the auld humber sceptre gets throo its MOT………….
Any night owls Hull or Crane?