IT didn't look good after four minutes but under 2.5 goals somehow came in at Hamburg v Karlsruhe to give me another Super Single success – this time at a smaller than normal price of 8-11.
I make no apology for that as I've worked hard to turn a 20pt loss into a profit this month and that takes me to +1.7pts.
One part of the treble was fine – both to score at Heerenveen – but I'm not sure what happened with the Romanian games although it looks Steaua played for the draw they needed to clinch the title.
I've had plenty of time to do research this week but as usual on a Friday I've been concentrating on my Saturday column in the Daily Record which will be focusing on finals – the Scottish, English, Spanish, French, German and Premiership play-off second leg.
On Friday there are two more Italian promotion play-offs and Pescara must be worth a look at home to Vincenza after their superb win at Perugia on Monday. Avellino face Bologna in another match.
In Sweden Hacken go to Gefle going for a fourth win in five while in Norway Odd should make it five victories in six at home to Aalesund. Finnish champions HJK tackle KPS and ROPS face VPS.
There are nine Irish Cup ties including Dundalk v Shelbourne and St Pat's v Shamrock Rovers and I'm sure we'll get an insight into some of these matches on the comments section.
And there are plenty of league matches in Austria and Switzerland as well as Turkish Super League contests but Galatasaray have clinched the title and there's nothing to play for throughout the division.
There's a friendly this morning between Houston Dynamo and Man City (1.30am) so watch for teams before considering a punt on that one. Adelaide and Villarreal (11am) also meet and reports suggest the Spaniards are fielding a full-strength side – probably part of the terms and conditions.
I'm not that keen on betting on friendlies but of they're interested Villarreal will win and are 1-2 at Paddy Power to do so. To score 2+ they are 4-11 at Paddy Power and it's one worth watching (Villarreal won 3-2 from 2-0 down so well done anyone who backed them).
I've had half an hour or so to look at Friday's card so apologies for lack of reasoning and insightfulness. I've decided to put up two Super Singles and hopefully at least one will win.
First up I'm on Pescara who have won two out of two since Massimo Oddo was appointed boss. Vicenza finished seven points above them in third but won just one of their last five to miss automatic promotion. Pescara are unbeaten at home against their rivals in seven meetings (4 wins, 3 draws) going back to 2003 and are worth a look at 6-5 with BetVictor.
My second pick is Bray to beat Limerick. The Irish Cup games are interesting but there are only two all top-flight games – the other being St Pat's v Shamrock which is tough to call.
Bray v Limerick is second bottom v bottom but while Bray have won three their visitors are yet to get off the mark. Bray have won three and draw one of the last four meetings at home and having beaten St Pat's recently – as well as suffering a couple of doings – they are worth chancing at 23-20 with boylesports.
For a 1pt Top Treble I've taken three hot favourites on the handicaps. Back Benfica -1 in the Portuguese League Cup Final against a Maritimo side they recently beat 4-1. Add France U-20s in the Toulon Tournament as they try to follow up their 3-1 defeat of USA with good win against Qatar.
Complete the treble with Finnish champs HJK Helsinki who should beat KuPS with something to spare.
Super Singles
2pts Pescara (5.30pm)
(6-5, BetVictor)
2pts Bray (7.45pm)
(23-20, boylesports)
1pt Top Treble
Benfica -1 (7.45pm)
France U-20s -1 (6pm)
HJK Helsinki -1 (4.30pm)
(11-2, Paddy Power)
May Super Single record
34 bets (14 winners, 20 losers)
Profit: +1.7pts
May Top Treble record
24 bets (8 winners, 16 losers)
Profit: 9pts
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.r
A profit is a profit, nice work Mr F
Here are my morning bets (new on here so advise to research well and not blindly follow!!) all small stakes:
Aussie All Over 2.5 MGS Treble
Bentleigh v Dandenong
South Melbourne v North Greelong
Box Hill Women v Boorandara Eagles Women
Aussie Over 3, 3.5
Modbury Jets v Adelaide Blue Eagles
South America Double
Racing v Guarani >1.5mgs
Santos Lugano v Quertaro btts
Friendly Special Double >2.5 MGS
Houston v Man City
Adelaide v Villarreal
GL all … I will probably need it !!!
Mr fixer.
Hacken lost to nil last Monday bud.
I know because they lost my treble and hackened me off you could say.
bad jaspers, they did and I was on them too – that’s one downside to using the RFO for stats. Monday games are not included.
Night fever bet
Racing Avellaneda/Guarani Over 1.5 Match Goals
Deportivo Cali to score
Santos Laguna to score
11/10 @ 365 – 1 point
Jordan – you’re pinching my Racing tip ;). I was braver (or more stupid) on the Santos game lol
Did your mother not teach you to share WC? :D
I fancy Racing to get 2 but I’m being ‘safe’, Santos Laguna are a decent outfit at home and should edge a win but its a two legged final and Queretaro are better at home. Deportivo Cali is the one I’m not sure of but they’re being backed and have scored 25 goals in their last 10 away games in Columbia, 9 in their last 3.
CC DOUBLE
YOUNG BOYS
ODD
EVENS
GL LADS
BESIKTAS V GENCLERBIRLIGI 18.00
Besiktas have been opposed since last night in this meaningless fixture and are 10/11 from 1/2 in places. Genclerbirligi are 3/1 from 6/1 which would indicate a very much weakened Besiktas side.
raaljaca, as I said none of the Turkish games mean anything – I might leave them alone.
Jordan … your knowledge is admirable…I just looked at the stats and was unsure on Cali so left them out. Saw the last Santos game was 2-2 so went BTTS as better odds – didn’t even know it was a 2 legged final … ho humm fingers crossed and GL with yours !!
nite owl
libertad o2.5, racing o1.5 mgs double evens
And after all that the Racing game will probably end up 0-0 !!!
Haha – glad you got some back there Crane.
Well in on the SS Mr F…cannot stand backing unders for the very reason of early goals but paid off tonight.
My late double (posted after KO) stands 2 goals needed in the second half for both games to come in…Libertad Asuncion and National Asuncion.
Good write up and call for the latter of the two Richard!
Just the one goal needed for the double now…Libertad game sits 2-0 and 15 minutes to go – would be a nice end to the day.
Turks equals goals at the moment for some reason
My mr f bank builder has now gone up to 4.12 from 20p
However I was wreckless today n lost other silly little bets.
Imagine if some of you guys did the level stakes with 20quid you would be on 412 now
*NAP*
Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5tgs
RNK Split over 0.5tgs
Double 9/10 bet365
Overnight Double:
RACING AVELLANEDA 4/9 William Hill
BARCELONA GUAYAQUIL OR DRAW 11/20 William Hill
1.26/1 William Hill
Apparently the Barcelona game is celebrating 90 years of the club and is a special friendly. Espanyol have only travelled with a 16 man squad and did not take key players Stuani, Héctor Moreno, Colotto, Mattioni and Abraham.
Double comes in with a late goal…Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals….paid 4/1.
Last one for tonight and game covered by a few already…going to stick my neck out and take 21/10 for Over 3.5 match goals in the Racing game.
Card market may be worth a look?
Good luck
Hull, if there is any card markets in that game I’ll be extremely surprised.
hull, well done also sir……….
Bentleigh Greens -1.5AH
Basel o1.5tgs
3PT Double 29/20 Bet365
Add
Cracovia Krakow o1.5tgs
Brisbane Olympic/Moreton Bay o2.5mgs
1PT Acca 36/5 Bet365
heerenveen vs arnheim
heerenveen AH +0.25 @1.95
cant see heerenveen as dogs here, no reason for it
————————————–
2-2 FT, HALF WIN
W16,L6,P0
————————————–
Evening Jordan…yep, funnily enough no card markets anywhere…can’t see why as these game are very tame affairs…
Cheers Crane, good luck with bets tonight all.
Overnite BTTS treble:-
Millonarios v Dep Cali
Racing Club v Guarani
Barcelona SC v Espanyol
~~~~Treble pays 5.76/1~~~~
Anyone know if the Man City game has just been postponed or called off?
Read something about floods in Houston earlier, could be that.
Meant delayed not postponed. :D
Jordan, what sites do you use for stats?
Again, not something you see from me, but games are getting far and few between with little to play for in most. So I’m going for what should be quite a comfortable win (he says).
The Portugese champions Benfica play in the league cup final against Maritimo in Coimbra. Benfica beat Maritimo 4-1 only 6 days at home to lift their 34th Portugese title, and in consecutive seasons. Can’t see them resting too much talent as this is their last game of the season until their first friendly against Derby in July.
Benfica have won by -1 in 6 of the last 8 h2h and winning by an aggregate of 8-1 in this seasons two league games (4-1 and 4-0). I’m caught in two minds here as although I think they could score three, I’d rather take the -1 and cover in play if necessary (if it’s possible) Just because its a cup tie and they might sit back if its 2-0 late in the day.
NAP – Benfica -1 @ 5/6 @ PP – 12 points (Don’t stake the same points, I can afford to lose it this month)
_______________________________________________________________
NB – Benfica Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 7/5 @ Boyles – 4 points
_______________________________________________________________
Over 1.5 Team Goal Double
Benfica
HJK
Just under 11/10 @ WillHill (1.08/1) – 4 points
_______________________________________________________________
Weekly points staked 30, returned 7.20.
May profit, +40.2 points.
Honeymonster a variety mate. Flash Scores, Soccerway, Whoscored.
Last night shift of the week plus payday :) so digging out wknds bets out RFO
Over 2.5 gls 7fold pays 31/1
Friday
Helsinki v KPS
Odd Greenland v Aalesund
Saturday
Haugesand v Start
Sunday
Malmo v Atvidabergs
Rosenborg v Tromso
Sarpsborg v Stabaek
BTTS 12/1+ @Betvictor wi free bet if miss out by 1 game
Friday
Helsinki v KPS
Sunday
Atlanta v Milan
Inter v Empoli
Sassulo v Genoa
AIK v Helsingborg
Trixie
Lazio v Roma
Higuain anytime 13/10 – scored 6 in 5 v Lazio
Helsinki v KPS
BTTS 7/5 – last H2H’s in same fixture have bn 2-2, 3-1, 4-2, 1-2, 4-1.
AIK v Helsingborgs
BTTS 17/20 – AIK scored at least 2 in last 5 home games, Helsingborgs scored at least once in last 8 games. Last H2H’s 2-1, 2-1, 2-1, 2-1 & 2-3.
Helsinki over 2.5/BTTS is 2/1 and that looks decent value, stick AIK to score 2+ on Sunday for a 4/1 double
7 team acca
Benfica
Cork
Dundalk
Bohemians
HJK
Villareal
Hacken
8.40/1
Worth a shot if villareal has a decent enough team on the pitch!
Alves AIK to score twice are my NAP for Sunday. Got 39/50 @ 888 midweek and said it will shorten. Now best @ 5/7 @ 888.
In-Play. Santos Laguna to score before the 80th minute @ 4/5 @ 365 – 5 points
3-0 35th minute.
In-Play. Santos Laguna to score before the 80th minute @ 4/5 @ 365 – 5 points
3-0 35th minute.
**WIN**
4-0 63rd minute.
Aw ma wknd bets could be doon the pan by half 6 the night haha, may join you on Sunday for that one depending how the wknd goes, it’s bn 2-1 the last 4 h2h at home so maybe chuck a quid or 2 on that tae
Early corner match went down with a flurry from the home side.
The day was a minus 1 day putting the week at plus 1 and overall for myself at plus 5
On to the next day
Congrats those with winners in the early hours
Night fever bet
Racing Avellaneda/Guarani Over 1.5 Match Goals
Deportivo Cali to score
Santos Laguna to score
11/10 @ 365 – 1 point **LOSE**
I thought about chucking a few pounds on the 2-1 myself but thought the price was decent enough for two AIK goals. Threw Stabaek to score with it for a 13/10 treble.
Double even :D
Left all my notes at work so be back later but two Am on
Benfica portugal cup final. Theyve beaten maritimo scoring 4 goals in each of the last 2 h2hs. One was the previous game to this where jonas and lima scored a brace each.
Most likely these 2 should be on the scoresheet again so going to get on both anytime.
Also dnipro yth playing awau today could see an avalanche of goals. Hoverla are getting romped at the moment
Morning all.
As Dave Wiseman said yesterday delivered 1 winner and 2 loses so -1 for the day.
Your overall +- position will depend on when or if you followed. If yesterday then you will be +1, if last week then you will be at +5
Anyway- 4 games today. 2 overs and 2 Unders
Overs
Croatia 16:00 RNK Split
Poland 19:30 Korona Kielce
Unders
FAI Cup 19:45 St Patricks
Romania 19:00 Dinamo Bucharest
Thanks all
REPOST
DYNAMO ZAGREB OVER 1.5 TG
GEFLE TO SCORE
BASEL V ST GALLEN BTTS
YOUNG BOYS V FC VALDUZ BTTS
4.78/1 Betfair
OVER 2.5 MG DOUBLE
BASEL
DYNAMO ZAGREB
1.2/1 Bet365
Lima (benfica) anytime 2.05
jonas (benfica) anytime 2.05
dnipro reserves goal lines Not up yet
marienlyst v varde over 3.5 match goals
Hanacka v prostejov over 2.5 1.57 ( will be waiting inplay for more value)
Cant make mind up on pribram u19s after last performance.
Bet 5 £52.38
Motherwell – no clean sheet
Herrenveen – no clean sheet
VNFD Zalgaris – win
Returns £86.67 **WON**
Jordan
Thanks. Was nice to see my Nap land aswell as your tip. Losing streak well and truly over now all being well. Wasn’t been rude yesterday, was at work and can’t post on my phone now for some reason unless connected to WiFi.
Last year on FA Cup Final day there was also numerous other big games going on. The Scottish Cup Final, La Liga matches and an English play-off match.
One thing i noticed was the amount of defenders scoring that day. In the FA Cup final, Curtis Davies, James Chester and Laurent Koscielny all scored. Diego Godin scored for Atletico Madrid against Barcelona. In the Scottish Cup Final Steven Anderson scored for St Johnstone and i’m pretty sure a defender scored in the English play-off that day too.
Tomorrow is of course FA Cup Final day with other big matches on aswell so if anyone is unsure what/whom to bet on it may well be worth looking at defenders in the first/anytime goalscorer markets in tomorrow’s matches for a speculative bet/s.
I like the look of…
Laurent Koscielny (Arsenal) 12/1 @ Bet365
Gerard Pique (Barcelona) 8/1 @ Coral
Mats Hummels (Dortmund) 8/1 @ Coral
David Raven (Inverness) 15/1 @ BetVictor
Bank at 125 at the mo Dave and Simon so +0.5 if I’m rIght?
@The Boss
It’s +1 but as the odds are not always exactly evens you may need slightly more than +12 to double your initial bank. It’s just a very rough guide.
All will make sense as we reach +12 and we see the bank building mate :)
Czech u19
PŘÍBRAM U19 VS. OPAVA U19
O1.5, 2.0 fhg @ 1.9
In play
Russian Reserves
11.00
DYNAMO KYIV U21 VS. METALURH ZAPORIZHYA U21
Over 2.5 goals (not sure if this will be available if it’s o3.5 it’s no bet)
14.00
HOVERLA U21 VS. DNIPRO U21
O1.5 fhg
Good luck everyone
Btts in the pescara game evens on W Hill
Overnight Double:
RACING AVELLANEDA 4/9 William Hill
BARCELONA GUAYAQUIL OR DRAW 11/20 William Hill
1.26/1 William Hill
*LOST*
Racing Avellaneda just couldn’t get the job done! Guarani are definitely this year’s suprise in the Copa Libertadores, already knocked out Corinthians and didn’t concede in the away leg there either!
Could be the team who go all the way to the final
Day 2 Round-Up for the ‘Simon Wright / GillsRob system’
As promised, to try and give a “show and tell” approach I’m running a hypothetical model of Simon Wright and GillsRob’s much talked about system. Hopefully the practical example will help people understand if there is any confusion.
So, on Day 2 (for the purpose of this example) they posted 3 bets. Each had a 1pt stake which I valued at £10 (total bank was 12pts, ie £120).
The results were as follows:
Over 10.5 Asian Corners
Holland – DE GRAAFSCHAP – 17:30
Odds (at 11:15hrs on Bet365 – 1.975)
Lost. £0 return (i.e. £10 loss made)
Outcome -1
Under 9.5 Asian Corners
Denmark Div 2 – BRABRAND IF – 17:00
Odds (at 11:15hrs on Bet365 – 1.9)
Win. £19 return (ie £9 profit made)
Outcome +1
Under 9.5 Asian Corners
Copa Libertadores – RACING CLUB – 01:00
Odds (at 11:15hrs on Bet365 – 1.85)
Lost. £0 return (i.e. £10 loss made)
Outcome -1
Overall result was -1
So 1 out of 3 bets won which means the running totals are now
7 bets placed
4 bets won (57% win rate to date)
This leaves us on +1 (add up all the outcomes). The target is to get to +12
This means that the stats now stand at:
Starting bank : £120
New bank : £127.50 (6.3% increase so far – the target is to get a 100% increase)
In a way I’m glad that we had a small loss yesterday as it shows that with all bets you get ups and downs and re-iterates Simon’s comments yesterday about not ‘lumping’ on just because it seems like things are going well. Consistent level stakes until you reach level 2 means the profits might be smaller but critically so are the losses!
Simon’s posted 4 bets today – so lets hope for a nett increase today. I’ll post the worked example for today shortly.
Pete 120 to 127.5 is not 15 % increase….i thought you were a mathematician.
Actually legend I’m a statistician who copy and pasted from word-pad and edited the previous days post.
You, however sir, could be a proof reader and thank you for highlighting the mistake.
**Mr F or Scott – if you read this maybe you could edit the post for me to say 6.3% not 15% please? Thank you**
Pete, sorted
Day 3 of of the ‘Simon Wright / GillsRob system’
So yesterday turned a small loss however our hypothetical £120 bank is still up and stands at £127.50
Today we have been given 4 bets by GillsRob and the plan is to stake another 1 pt (£10) on each bet as follows:
CORNER BETS
Overs 10.5 Asian Corners
Croatia 16:00 RNK Split
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.85)
Over 11 Asian Corners
Poland 19:30 Korona Kielce
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.95)
Under 9 Asian Corners
FAI Cup 19:45 St Patricks
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.9)
Under 10 Asian Corners
Romania 19:00 Dinamo Bucharest
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.9)
Stats to date:
Initial Bank : £120
Current Bank (before today’s bets placed £127.50)
Number of Bets : 8
Winning Bets : 4
Losing Bets : 3
Void Bets : 1
Win Rate : 4 from 7 (58%)
Good Luck to everyone today
Anyone having issues with bet365 online. Mobile app seems ok but can’t load website through computer.
It’s slow today Lee Doc. I thought I might need a flash update but if you’re having problems too maybe it’s more widespread.
adelaide vs villareal
friendly in adelaide, kickoff 11.00
villareal will field relatively strong squad and shoudl handle australians with ease. adelaide lost last july similar home friendly vs malaga 1-5…
adelaide vs villareal
villareal AH -0,75 @2.0
I don’t have the energy to lay it out as beautifully as Pete but following from what I said yesterday with recalculating the bank at the start of every day I’ve got an update. Yesterday morning the bank was at 138.50 so the stake for each of the 3 bets was £11.54, and after 1 win and 2 losses the bank is now at £125.80. Making the stake for each of today’s 4 bets £10.48
Rangers to win 5pts
LOST
Motherwell Red Card 1pts
LOST
Bentleigh Greens
Modbury Jets/Blue Eagles BTTS
2pt Double 5/4 bet365
modbury jets vs blue eagles
BTTS
4/5 bet365
DIN ZAGREB -1 ASIAN HANDICAP @EVENS
Modbury Jets 1-1 Adelaide Blue Eagles 34mins :D
Bentleigh Greens
Modbury Jets/Blue Eagles BTTS
2pt Double 5/4 Bet365
CAN COVER WITH DANDENONG THUNDER DC 11/2
Good morning all :-)
will be posting my BTTS bet up for tonight and I have a beauty in mind !!!
Morning Harpreet ,,,, We await with interest
Harpreet, I noticed your favourite Irish team are playing – is that the one?
Anyone watching the adelaide vs villareal game and know how its shaping up? Didnt see adelaide having a chance but the bookie hadnt written them off and they are 1-0 up at HT.
incredibly lazy Villarreal display. absolute disgrace how unprofessional approach they perform…
adelaide poor as expected.
been a long season do you really think villareal players are bothered if they win or lose,the players are just doing there duties.
Thanks Pete yea mine is at 125.50. But after todays bets 85.50
Also got free £5 bet from 356 so stuck it on Harry’s NAP :).
Possible both to score bets at odds against tonight at Galway, Drogheda and Wexford in the Irish Cup ties.
raaljaca, Drogheda v Cabinteely – I thought Harpeet would be on that one but I’m going to look into it. Dundalk will put out a weakened team as usual for cups so could concede.
Who we on Harpreet…?
BENFICA
DUNDALK
HJK HELSINKI
SPAIN U19
1.04/1 William Hill
Mr fix it –
As you have mentioned it and was very close I’m posting it up right now.
Bohemians v Firhouse Clover – Irish FAI Cup. Kick off: 7:45pm
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE: 2/1 @ Sky Bet
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
I am on thi BIG TIME guys !!!! Good luck if you follow – Let’s get the weekend started.
Mr fix it – Make sure your on this ;-)
Well done – you always get it right on a Friday- sorry I didn’t have more on but I’d never heard of one of those teams.
Heading into the weekend guys and a word of warning around our corner system.
Over the next three days, a lot of selections are likely to be posted. Due to the volume of games this means that an extra bet or two may be posted after the intial bulk in the morning.
Dont worry though it wont ever be more than 12 but just a heads up so you don’t miss out.
Also Simon and I will be piloting a tweak (dry run) which if successful will raise the number of bets on occasion
DOUBLE BTTS: 2ND BET:
Bohemians v Firhouse Clover
Dundalk v Shelbourne FC
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE DOUBLE – 5/1 @ Sky Bet (Various prices available)
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
Let’s do this !!! :-) Good luck if you follow
Harpreet, ambitious indeed – what happened to Cabinteely?
Harpreet
whats your thinking behind these 2 bets
Bohemians looks good Harpreet and 2/1 still available with Betway. I took Firhouse to score at 2/1 with Corals this morning in a single and doubled them with Cabinteely at 11/10 and added North End at Evens for a small treble.
2-0 adelaide oh dear
James, that’s why we hate friendlies. My Record articles are all written so taking the dug a walk then will look to put up some tips for today.
Ok we are all thinking it so I’ll say it
Bert and Ernie , that’s just the best thing I’ve seen all day
Adelaide United 0.0ah in-play 2/1 (30mins left)
D. Zagreb v Rijkaard. .. Dynamo zagreb to win…
Aarau v Thun- Over 2.5 Goals.
Toulon Cup (in France)
Qatar vs France U22
You can get 10/11 for France -1 on Paddy Power (much shorter elsewhere).
France are producing some fantastic youth talent and should be far too strong for Qatar. They covered the handicap in their first game against the US.
Mr fix it – I only fancy the two selections I have posted.
Raal – Thanks matey.
Bad jasper – Go to sleep
Harpreet, if you back both to score YES at 2/1 with Betway you can also back both to score NO at 13/18 with Betbright and guarantee a profit.
UNBELIEVEABLE game! from 2-0 down Villareal have done it!
No bet Today
Ha, was kicking myself for taking villareal to win after the 1st half! How did they pull that one out of the bag!! Nice little pot to play with now for the rest of the day :)
What a roller coaster I was waiting on villareal for a decent return from a overnight bet. Kicking myself I didn’t cash out. Then a last gasp winner from 2 nil Down finally it goes my way :)
CHINESE SUPER LEAGUE
SHANGHAI EAST ASIA v SHANGDONG LEUNG
over 2.5 goals (IN PLAY) EVENS William Hill
Shandong Luneng are involved in the most games where there are over 2.5 goals in the China Super League. There are over 2.5 goals in 72.73% of games involving Shandong Luneng
Raal thanks matey ;-)
According to soccerway firehouse have only ever played 1 game and Don’t play in a league.
How can you back them to score based on this ?
bad jasper, the stats are inaccurate mate and only list games at higher levels, Firhouse play in a Leinster League. Bohemians are not fielding a full strength side so it is the prices that have attracted money since early morning and not any form etc. I back smaller sides in the Irish Cups to score in matches like this as basically a lot of the top teams do not care about this competition.
http://lsl.ie/league-table/
Cheers for the info raal.
Odd that teams don’t care about their national cup.
i hate early goals! 3 times already today ive gone to put my bet on as soon as it comes inplay and they’ve scored is im doing it
Mr Fixit.
Any tips for Benfica game tonight
Richie, I don’t have much time to look at anything on a Friday but of course Benfica should win. They take the League Cup seriously but are a short price so I’d be looking at Benfica -1.
I like Maritimo to score 6-5
Btts 6-4
Benfica Btts and win
Harp
Good to see u mate
WIN & BTTS
Basel
Erciyesspor
Eskisehirspor
1PT Trixie (Treble 37/1 888Sport)
Bentleigh Greens
Modbury Jets/Blue Eagles BTTS
2pt Double 5/4 Bet365
*WON*
Always lovely when a bet lands in the 1st Half!
CHINESE SUPER LEAGUE
SHANGHAI EAST ASIA v SHANGDONG LEUNG
over 2.5 goals (IN PLAY) EVENS William Hill
*WON*
Hope some of you got on ;)
Great tipping James Slater, got on at 6/5!
LAOS U23 v THAILAND U23
Over 1.5 1st Half Goals EVENS William Hill
Thanks Joey mate glad you got on :)
Zagreb 0/1.5 TG
Benfica win/over 1.5 MG
2.2
Bad Jasper may heckle this harpreet dude,but does make a valid point.Why be so sure on a team with no form.
adelaide vs villareal
friendly in adelaide, kickoff 11.00
villareal AH -0,75 @2.0
villareal will field relatively strong squad and shoudl handle australians with ease. adelaide lost last july similar home friendly vs malaga 1-5…
—————————–
2-3 FT, HALF WIN, terrible lazy spaniards smehow won it at the end…
W18-L6,P0
—————————–
Benfica – Maritimo
Basel – St Gallen
Odd – Aalesund
all Over 2.5 mg
RoPS -VPS Vaasa, RoPs win.
Arau – Thun, Thun win.
Small stake on Gefle. Hacken is missing 4 key players.
Afternoon gents,
I see the Racing game crashed and burned last night…shame can’t find anyone to offer the card markets in some of these SA games…another red but not a single goal…OVER 3.5 goals LOST.
Quick afternoon fancy:
SpainU19 v Georgia U19…Over 3.5 goals and Spain to win pays 13/10 at SJ….might be worth a look and good luck.
On Fire This Afternoon, Lands after 20 minutes!
LAOS U23 v THAILAND U23
Over 1.5 1st Half Goals EVENS William Hill
*WON*
cheers james slater got on those,u on fire matey
Well done James
UEFA U19 EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP
SPAIN U19 v GEORGIA U19
over 1.5 1st Half Goals 11/10 William Hill
Slightly off topic. Looking at checking out a few football betting strategy books over the summer. Anybody got any good recommendations? “Successful Football Betting” by Geoff Harvey seems to get good reviews….?
Super Single should be Rnk Split @ 5/4 ( 10 Bet )
Just read that Hajduk Split will field reserve and young players in the game.
Jasper just be careful with Benfica mate. Haven’t conceded a league cup goal since January 2013
i still think matt their duty is play football on standard level, not such shite as tonite
3 out of 3 so far today, yet another winner!
UEFA U19 EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP
SPAIN U19 v GEORGIA U19
over 1.5 1st Half Goals 11/10 William Hill
*WON*
Posted my views on Benfica and you can still get -1 @ 5/6 @ PP. My NAP. But good luck Jasp lets hope its a 3-1 win.
Hull shaker, got on Spain game over 3.5mgs at 29/20, £20 win. 2-0 after half hour, what would you do in this position now? Is there any point attempting a cover? Cheers mate
I’m off to our neighboring island this weekend and won’t be back until Sunday morning so I won’t have anything posted up tomorrow. Probably won’t be able to repost todays bets either so good luck to everybody this weekend. I posted Sundays bets midweek so will repost now but prices have probably changed as I said the AIK goals will shorten by Sunday.
‘The early bird catches the worm. Sunday NAP.
Swedish Allsvenskan.
AIK Stockholm Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 39/50 @ 888 – 7.5 points
Will go off a lot shorter (I think).
Double with Stabaek to score @ just over 13/10 @ 888 (1.32/1) – 2.5 points’
Have a good weekend all and bash those bookies.
nite owl
libertad o2.5, racing o1.5 mgs double evens LOST
red card and a missed penalty in the racing game ruined it……………
Dnipro reserves goal lines advised this morning. Absolutely stormed it.
im not gonna be on most of sat but found a few peaches that should have a few goals.
will post in morning but goal lines probably wont be available at the time
Covered under 3.5 in Spain game ht, £5 at 19/5, worse off £1 loss or £24 profit…
France u21 vs Qatar u23 over 2.5mg
Young Boys vs Vaduz over 2.5mg
Drogheda vs Cabinteely over 2.5 mg
Carla Suarez Navarro
3.10/1
Cheers hullshaker, glad I covered lol expected the 4th goal before 79′ considering 2-1 ht.. My recovery from steaming into Rangers last night begins, and I’m a Celtic fan! ;)
USA u22 vs Holland u22
Holland is playing with their reserves there might be value in backing USA.
Bet 6 £86.67
Benfica -win
FC Liefering/SV Mattersburg – O1.5mg
Odd BK/Aalesund – O1.5mg
Returns £139.30
Nice wee sweat seville 10/3
Al ahli jeddah 11/4
Motherwell 13/2
Basel17/10
Luzern 2/1
2g for 2$ potentially
MrF that treble is 5/2. Never been nowhere near 11/2
Charles 6.42 on paddy power just now for Mr F ‘s treble
**NAP**
Grasshoppers – no clean sheet
SV Horn – no clean sheet
France U20/Qatar U23 – O2.5mg
1.05/1 bet365
HJK just started, what’s the chances of a 0-0, 1-0 or 2-0 :)
early ko’s punt 1.5 pts
liefering btts
odd o2.5mgs
gefle o1.5mgs
7/4
:)
Nb
BTTS Double
FC Liefering/SV Mattersburg
Basel/St Gallen
1.16/1 bet365
Over 1.5 team goals fourfold (0.5points)
SV Mattersburg
Odd BK
BK Hacken
St Gallen
13.82/1 bet365
Bit of long shot but think it has a good chance of landing.
Inplay
IFK GoteBorg U19/Falkenbergs U19
O1.5fhg
O3.5mg
Small stakes on KUPS rt5 4/1 & rt7 14/1
One corner in the first game we should have went under lol!
I’ve been doing the corners 4 days now and none of the over have come in I don’t think lol
Harpreet, you can get Bohemians no clean sheet at 11/4 at Bet365. Little less risk and better price!
Just my two cents.
no worries guys about the overs. it is a line which has been profitable over testing and in recent weeks.
In the last few days there have been voids and not all losses. In the first three weeks of May the overs line produced 66% winners
Stick with it
Will do Gill :)
I mean Rob lol! Is the Gills mean anything it’s not Gillingham is it? :P
@THEBOSS @PHILLIS
Yep, overs is my least favourite but actually comes in more that the unders do.
We have had some voids in there also remember and also remember you should both still be in profit regardless.
Finally. Remember a few days isn’t long, the 70% is over a month not a few days or a week
Not a lot catching the eye tonight – gone for a highly dubious / speculative fivefold on over 1.5fhg in the Austrian regionalliga mitte league – last game of the season and last year was a goalfest
Cheers Simon I trust you guys :) as long as my current bank doesn’t all go eek!!
@TheBoss
most certainly is Gillingham FC lol
Glad theres a couple of us on here Rob. Enjoying the corners bets.
@THEBOSS
It won’t, but the weekend will require some trust as the number of bets will increase for those 2 days.
stuck a £5 free bet on
dynamo kiev
beskitas
£5 returns £15.71 @betfair
still 3 bets to go today – plenty of time for a good day
Haha Where do you live Rob? I’m in Kent too in Medway
odd grenland vs aalesund
grenland to win & over 2.5 @2.0
inplay, just started
odd grenland are quite clear favorites they are traditionally powerful hosts. aalesund concede many but are able shoot goals. h2h W9-D2-L0 at home, all wins were overs
Small stake on Odd RT9 corners 21/10
Not a single shot on target first half pescara game..
Evening all,
Been working last few hours and can’t use phone to post…wasn’t trying to make you sweat on the in-play Sean haha.
Looks like your cover worked out well…well done pal.
The young Spaniards left it late but won alongside Over 3.5 goals at 13/10 so a good start to the day.
Going to go for an Irish BTTS double tonight:
Bray and St.Pats games pays around 2/1 and I’ll be on that.
Good luck if you have a go.
Inplay
IFK GoteBorg U19/Falkenbergs U19
O1.5fhg **WIN**
O3.5mg **WIN**
*NAP*
Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5tgs
RNK Split over 0.5tgs
Double 9/10 Bet365
*WON*
fc zurich vs grasshoppers
grasshoppers AH +0.25 @1.85
swiss league final round, kickoff 19.30
fcz secured europa league ticket thanks to away 1-0 win in luzern on monday but that was just theie 2nd win in last 13… grasshoppers are W3,D1 in las 4.
both team play just for pride, fcz won all 4 h2h this season and it would be the very first sweep in 130y history if they win tonight. dont think so. fcz have several missings – Alesevic, Kecojevic, Raphael Koch, Schönbächler und Yapi (alle verletzt / rekonvaleszent). Fraglich: Etoundi.
Swedish Junior games good for goals, definately one for the diary!
Harry your a WIZARD mate nice double!
;)
Harry
Top stuff from you as always.
Dissapointed wi no 3rd gl after BTTS up in 16 mins, ah well 7/5 and that was the dodgy yin, 4 more tae go now
Nice one Harry! Going to use that win and use it on your challenges or naps now.
Marienelyst v varde ht.
over 1.5 home team goals 1.80
Was keeping a eye on the balikesirspor game there as it come up on the in-play menu. I’ve noticed recently how many goals their games feature, looked into it further and seen they’ve had btts in both halves in their last 3 games. Obviously bottled putting anything on it and just seen 1-1 before half time. Balikesirspor are relegated, I wonder if their games have been fixed for btts both halves….will be keeping a eye on it2nd half to see if both scored 2nd half. Not betting on it but wouldn’t be surprised if it happens!
todays bets summarised, 4.5pts down so far with nite bet and Croatia rnk game, bit more than normal days stakes todays total will be 12.5pts
genclebirgli win 3/1 1pt
lief btts, odd o2.5mgs, gefle o1.5mgs 7/4 1.5pts
benfica -2 15/8 1.5pt
basel, y boys btts 11/8 2pts
galway, Drogheda, tolka btts Trixie 6/1 2pts
meant to do raals irish mentions but hit Waterford game instead of wexford game by mistake
GL all with a bet on…………
don’t know if anyone else is watching the Liefering game but their defending is chronic – Mattersburg are gonna score as many as they want
nice nap harry
Richard
I have tipped Mattersburg in a couple of my bets today. Regretting not having o1.5tgs as a single @7/4
That little gremlin Suarez Navarro, ya bet against her she’s a world beater, put a bet on her an she turns into a troll with a tennis racket
Brazil Paulista women
Audax SP vs Francana women
This is a 7 team league – the top 4 have conceded 13 between them in 7 matches while 5th has conceded 22 in 7 games by themself so there’s a clear divide
Tonight is 1st vs 5th
Audax’s only home game against a team in 5th,6th or 7th ended 10-0 and they beat this side 8-0 away last month.
Francana have conceded 10 in 2 away games vs the top 4 sides (7 against 3rd and 3 against 4th)
Francana have taken the lead while I was typing and are still 21.0 to win so that tells you what the bookies think
Over 2.5,3.0 fhg @ 1.775
Over 6.5ftg @ 2.10
Audax to be winning by half time @ 1.83
Apologies Richard odds were 5/6 and 7/4 was for St Gallen team goals.
Danish west league
bet inplay
Marinelyst to win
4/5 bet365
Hmmm the odds on that game have dramatically shortened and Audax up to 4.00 to be winning by HT – I’d maybe leave it alone
7 corners in the first 16 mins Damn!! Shame it’s unders
Stand out bet for me!
Dundalk -2 @11/10
They should cover this with ease if their in the mood.Playing a team a div below them and their is a gap between the two divisions.
While Benfica are playing their Cup final, the young second string travel to play Fc Utd of Manchester who just got promoted as champions. Bookies seem to think the guys from Portugal can just turn up and win at the opening of the new ground. I dont and i think the English nonleague side will at least get a draw.
FC Utd Manchester Double chance EVENS, to win 11/4
This is a genuine question for any more experienced gamblers – can you think of a legitimate reason why a team that were 1-0 after 3 mins would be 1.071 to win then and after 25 mins are 1.90? No red cards
1-0 down that should read
Dundalk ~2
St pats v sham rovers btts
Dbl pays about 3.5/1 Ladbrokes
Czech u19
PŘÍBRAM U19 VS. OPAVA U19
O1.5, 2.0 fhg @ 1.9 *lost*
In play
Russian Reserves
11.00
DYNAMO KYIV U21 VS. METALURH ZAPORIZHYA U21
Over 2.5 goals *no bet* ended 4-0 to Dynamo.
14.00
HOVERLA U21 VS. DNIPRO U21
O1.5 fhg *won*
A win, a lose and a no bet. So an even day.
@THEBOSS
We once had one that had 8 and no more corners for the rest of the day – it happens
If it loses it loses , the day may end 2/2 or even 1/3 – even then at +2 up you end the day on 0. No money made but no money lost either .
Remember there are days we lose and this is not a quick win system.
It’s slow, boring but will deliver 60-70% winners over a single calendar month and therefore profit.
Look at last weeks forums. We lost on Thursday and Friday (Dave wiseman started on the Thursday) and only broke even on the Saturday but Sunday posted 7 winners and 1 loser and a void
Sometimes we find the winners are stacked on a single day or over two days.
Worst case today is all 4 lose, unlikely but it could happen, so you go into Saturday at -1.
Remember this is why we say you need a
Liability of 12 bets because at times you will go into minus – the worst for us was -3, but at even -1 after 3 days betting is better than what many people would have achieved
It’ll all become clearer after and if you continue for a full month.
For those of you following my challenge. If you like you can stake £10 on Maritimo double chance @3/1. This would be bet 1 of new challenge providing the the original challenge fails which is currently waiting on Benfica win.
Marienelyst ht over 1.5 team goals 1.80
won
Was also on over 3.5 match goals tipped this morning also won albeit very late
Thanks Simon I should just bet and forget! And just check at nigbt after all bets ate settled.
On we go!!
Hacken going on my sh*t list for a while. Give them the benefit of doubt today as they appear better away but I was wrong.
Jimmyr like the look of that!
Just need basel for a good return on an acca, St fallen are decent odds at 13/8 double chance, should I cover now or wait and see if basel take the lead, suppose that’s greedy?
Also massive thanks Harry for the Zagreb tip, always a relief when theyre in nice and early!
@THE BOSS
yep , doesn’t help watching them lol
Of out now so Robs about now as I can’t post without Wifi.
The other 2 have kicked off and both looking decent so a 0 day is on the cards
Disappointing, but if you look at it, if you a disappointing day is a day when you haven’t lost any money you are on the right track.
Personally I’ve always found the weekend determines for week for us.
Tmrw I am on
£5 CSD
ICT 2 Falkirk 0@6/1
Villa 2 arsenal 2@18/1
2 x£5 singles
£5 double benteke/ofore 1st goal 7/1 and 4/1
And 2 x £5 singles
2x£1 scorecasts
£10 benteke/ofore anytime
And various silly wee ,£1 bets for a bit of interest
I am waiting on villa to win aet fir £250 in a double that had Norwich to win play offs!!
A lot of eggs in one basket it cld payoff or go pear shaped!
Villa overpriced
Benteke overpriced
Arsenal failed to beat
Birmingham
Wigan
Reading
Hull all at Wembley in 90 mins.
Evening gents
horrid first two corner bets but the Poles have started well and the Irish looks ok too
Best we can hope for is a level day but we’ve had much worse days than 0 or -1. Weekend will produce a lot of opportunity
@Simon / @Rob
A quick question for you. Why do you find unders are more successful (is it just that teams that get corners tend to be less attacking etc). I’ve always looked at overs for corners but it’s clear you’re quite successful with the unders bets – just wondered if you could isolate any factors which I might overlook.
@TheBoss
Completely echo what Simon and Rob say mate. Dont worry – any system has winning or losing days. Simon’s analogy of the FTSE is a great one (underlying upward trend) and remember you have 12 slices just for this reason.
Any in play ideas/tips?? Thanks for the SS Mr.F
jbthatsme, working so nothing from me but hopefully Bray bounce back for two Super Singles.
Before today just on corners I am plus 5 (been -2 in that time)
Its not just about today win or lose its the longer game over a much longer period of time.
The fun starts tom with a large card :-)
FC Utd of Mancsville v Benfica B
0-0 16 mins
Seems like the non league side are full of nerves, new ground, Benfica kids bossing and getting corners. Wait til the non league side get a set piece, they have been offside 6 times.
odd grenland vs aalesund
grenland to win & over 2.5 @2.0
inplay, just started
odd grenland are quite clear favorites they are traditionally powerful hosts. aalesund concede many but are able shoot goals. h2h W9-D2-L0 at home, all wins were overs
——————————–
1-1 FT, LOSS
W18,L8,P0
——————————–
Well that’s one half of the double up…BTTS comes in after 15 minutes Bray v Limerick.
St Pat game sits at 0-0…
Pete T – although recent days will allude to the opinion unders are more successful, overall it’s been quite balanced and as I stated earlier, 66% overs bets have won.
I’m not concerned but of course I will review data for the whole of May and previous two months to ensure we are backing the best lines
@Rob,
My apologies – I’ve just re-read Simon’s comment. He said “overs is my least favourite but actually comes in more that the unders do
I read the “overs is my least favourite part” and for some reason assumed that meant he preferred under because they were more successful.
It’s been a long week! My bad reading – apologies! :)
Could do with these two coming home though to finish today level
but very worst 1/3 lick the wounds and move on
Do not deliver a 0/3 lol but if it does the show goes on
There’s the St Pats goal…Just a goal from Shamrock for the 2-1 double…worries me a bit and cover is there for St Pats clean sheet for anyone following…only evens though.
With 55 minutes left I’ll be leaving it but with a bit of caution haha.
Jonas (benfica) score anytime won Evens
Just need lima now to make a profit out of that game.
Firhouse and Cabinteely scoring so North End would be a huge bonus.
raaljaca, I did Cabinteely game – had to.
Harpreet does it again!
Bohemians v Firhouse 1:1
harp hats of
Pete T – no worries
Amazing harps well done. What a great find
Rob are you in kent then Bud?
FC Utd of Mancsville v Benfica B
Half time 0-0
It was billed up as versus the famous Benfica, but they are elsewhere playing in a cup final.
Someone should tell the Manchester lads that its Benfica B, 20 year olds that should be peeed off their 600 miles from the cup final.
Benfica B dominated but double chance is 10/11 for the Mancs, i think theyll wake up 2nd half.
Manchester DC 10/11 to win 9/2
Goals over 1.5 10/11
Benfica B to win 4/5
Harry well done on the 36/5 acca was onit mate ! Thanks alot
Bentleigh Greens -1.5AH
Basel o1.5tgs
3PT Double 29/20 Bet365
*WON*
Bentleigh Greens -1.5AH
Basel o1.5tgs
Cracovia Krakow o1.5tgs
Olympic FC/Moreton o2.5mgs
1PT Acca 36/5 Bet365
*WON*
HARRY-cheers mate,kept me in profit this week !
BET WON: 1-1 :-) – ££££££££££££££££££££ :-)
As you have mentioned it and was very close I’m posting it up right now.
Bohemians v Firhouse Clover – Irish FAI Cup.
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE: 2/1 @ Skybet
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
Cheers harpreet, i managed to get on that bet! Small stakes but a win is a win!
I also have it as a DOUBLE like I posted earlier and I’m confident that Shelbourne will score.
Let’s get this 5/1 DOUBLE WINNER tonight also !!!! :-)
CC DOUBLE
YOUNG BOYS
ODD
EVENS
GL LADS
LOST
:(
Sweet harpreet, I got 11/4 for btts to score, just waiting on shelbourne, for the double.
Thx Mate.
Mr fix it – Hope you got my 2/1 BEAUTY ??? :-)
Ok harpreet we have gathered u have a winner
Harpreet, I tend not to back without reasoning but I did Cabinteely, your old favourites.
Maritimo down to 10 men now
Top Buzzer – I don’t care what u have gathered to be quite honest. I have smashed a 2/1 winner and I’m waiting for 1 more goal on a 5/1 DOUBLE.
Bye now
harps I got just over 7-1 for your double on Wilfred dunhills
Maritimo rt9 7/4:- 7-3 up on 58 mins
Nice one Mr Fix it – Today I didn’t fancy them but either way we are both HAPPY !!! :-)
Harpreet, I didn’t really have time to look at it but they always seem to score.
Cheers guys you’re welcome
Harry was on yours as well, thx mate. Reliable tipping as ever
Calacoe – Good luck mate
Get in Bray!!
Cheers Harpreet, needed that win!
Bray take the lead Mr F…looking good for a double SS.
Well done Harry on a smashing Acca, Harpeet on a good priced BTTS and any on the smaller Irish clubs for goals!
Womder if anyone had a pop at over 0.5 goals in all Irish games?
Still awaiting a Shamrock goal…
Mr fix it –
So glad u got on :-) – like you always say though, to be honest with a BTTS bet any team can score.
I’m just glad I have a few winners after my bad run but thanks to you – I’m back on it.
HARPS….well done mate,back to winning ways!
Benfica missing chance after chance here, surely they’ll get a 2nd soon
BASELLLLLL!
Never in doubt haha.
70 mins Utd of Mancs 0-0 Benfica kids
Surprised by serious lack of quality attacking wise from the non-league outfit, Benfica kids controlled the game but cant score.
Drifting to a sad 0-0, unless benfica B can score
Benfica 2-1
Get in Benfica 2-1
MARK-come on benfica !!!
Posting now, cos’ crap day at work 9 till 9 tmrw :(
CC FA CUP TIPS
ARSENAL WIN. 4/7
O 1.5. F H GOALS 13/8
CC O 1.5 TGLS TREBLE
PSG.
SPARTA PRAGUE
V.PLZEN
11/10
GL LADS
Are you on it CC?
MR F well done with the SS
Oh my days benfinca miss tap in last kick of the game
Great day .. increased my betting bank by over 60% … didn’t have much time to research so quickly checked and followed tips by a few on here – MrF, Raal, Harry + went for a few goals in Ireland / BTTS which all came in. Know very little about horse racing but if you follow JohnB and a few tipsters on his post eg Double carpet, Rookie, Alan M you will be amazed at how many winners they pick!! So my recommendation on this great site for people who are struggling is to follow these guys because they all pick plenty of winners. Thanks to all and another donation tonight to Raal’s worthy causes.
Bet 6 £86.67
Benfica -win
FC Liefering/SV Mattersburg – O1.5mg
Odd BK/Aalesund – O1.5mg
Returns £139.30 **WON**
Only just, no nails left.
A little disappointed my main tips failed, shame u didn’t switch some of them around. Won’t post them again to save space. Glad to see challenge bet still alive.
REPOST
DYNAMO ZAGREB OVER 1.5 TG
GEFLE TO SCORE
BASEL V ST GALLEN BTTS
YOUNG BOYS V FC VALDUZ BTTS
4.78/1 Betfair
OVER 2.5 MG DOUBLE
BASEL
DYNAMO ZAGREB
1.2/1 Bet365
WON
FULL HOUSE
any more tips for tonight gents…? Just won an 8 fold accumulator thanks to you guys!!
last corner bet comes in thankfully to avoid a washout.
tomorrow’s tips up in the morning probably.
well done to all of today’s winners
MARK..no missed it,crap day at work,and by the time
I saw it too late cos odd had score :( im on £78 after taking my £10 out
Non League Mancs 0-1 Benfica Kids FT
Shocking game, at least i got on 1st goal Benfica 2/1
More of these type of oddsbending games ahead. Friendlies ahoy.
Anyone fancying a gamble could put a quid on
Alftanes to score first in play
Kfr v alftanes currently 13/8
Luke nice one looks like weve had some winners today
fc zurich vs grasshoppers
grasshoppers AH +0.25 @1.85
swiss league final round, kickoff 19.30
fcz secured europa league ticket thanks to away 1-0 win in luzern on monday but that was just theie 2nd win in last 13… grasshoppers are W3,D1 in las 4.
both team play just for pride, fcz won all 4 h2h this season and it would be the very first sweep in 130y history if they win tonight. dont think so. fcz have several missings – Alesevic, Kecojevic, Raphael Koch, Schönbächler und Yapi (alle verletzt / rekonvaleszent). Fraglich: Etoundi.
—————————-
4-3 FT, LOSS
W18,L9,P0
—————————-
Get in Shamrock you beauties!
That brings up the double at 2/1 with Bray and St Pat’s games BTTS.
Last one tonight then and another BTTS double…both in Paraguay:
Dep. Santani game kicks off at 10.15 – that sits in the double alongside the Sportivo Luqueno game which kicks off at 11.00.
Double pays just under 2/1 and has a fair old chance.
Good luck if you have a go
CC
That’s ok mate, will try to post in time. Not working tonight so will have more time.
todays bets summarised, 4.5pts down so far with nite bet and Croatia rnk game, bit more than normal days stakes todays total will be 12.5pts
genclebirgli win 3/1 1pt LOST
lief btts, odd o2.5mgs, gefle o1.5mgs 7/4 1.5pts LOST
benfica -2 15/8 1.5pt LOST
basel, y boys btts 11/8 2pts WON
galway, Drogheda, tolka btts Trixie 6/1 2pts LOST but ret 1.8
meant to do raals irish mentions but hit Waterford game instead of wexford game by mistake
GL all with a bet on…………
poor day 12.5 out 6.4 in
well done all with winners tonite…………….
Fair to say we have had better days, could easily have been 2/2 today but we take 1/3 and move on.
Since starting 3 wins up (remember it is not a race and in it for the long game)
Current level 4 at 4 point bets until Sunday and then I will divide my bank by 12 and go again from Monday, Level 5 will be achieved only when bank reaches 60 points
Current bank 39.7 points
Overall still minus 60.3 but this was down to bets prior to this system.
Finn harps to score at Longford 8-11.
They sit top of first division, are unbeaten, scored in last 11 games.
Would go Btts but Longford don’t score many at home
Winner !!!!!
like Maritimo to score 6-5
Btts 6-4
Benfica Btts and win.
Triple winner !!!!
And an apology to harpeet for doubting your sanity on the firhouse btts.
Hats off my son. Great shout.
Deserves a mega boom.
Club general diaz on the asians 10.5
HEy mr f
MIssEd your tip today as it wasnt on when I was on.
GOing solo on corners
SMalL bet on over 14 too
PRob be 3 or summit
Also important to add -2 within level 4 with 10 more slices left.
The aim is to get to plus 3 at level 4 so need 5 more wins please :-)
I got a suggestion ..not touching it myself….but Paraguay double btts score should come in. Hope u were on the 4.5/1 and double
Santa Cruz v Futebol — over 1.5
Bragantino v Amèrica-MG — over 1.5
Deportivo Santani v General Diaz — over 2.5
Sportivo Luqeño v Deportivo Capiata — over 2.5
4 fold accumulator
5.6/1 on skybet
Last bet of the night for me, just a cheeky one!
thanks mr fix it for the bray tip . harpreet i wish i followed your tip but i doubted. its a good day my bet won.
Stand out bet for me
Dundalk-2 @11/10
They should cover this with ease if their in the mood.Playing a team a div below them and there is a gap between them.
Winner!
Paraguay Division Profesional
Deportivo Santani vs General Diaz 10:15pm
Deportivo Santani have seen btts in 5 of their last 7 home games and have conceded at least twice in their last 5
General Diaz have seen btts in 6 of their last 7 away and have scored in all 7
Btts @ 1.83
General Diaz over 1.5 tg @ 2.50
Hi everyone after being showed this brilliant tipping site by a good friend and following it for a couple of weeks i would like to start sharing my bets if thats ok as i seem to be lucky enough to do rather well out of betting ! I much prefer a goals bet rather than a wdw or a handicap bet just like ur harrys, raals and harrys that iv noticed and a few more to name ! Not being big headed or nothing or trying to bull**** people but out of 5 months iv had one negative month of -8.6points ! I was going to wait till monday but seeing that its saturday and a decent card especially the early games in austrailia i reckon i can give out some winners so i hopefully make some of you abit of money ! I will post my first tip shortly on here and on raals thread ! Thanks lads lets beat these bookies ☺
Sorry ment to say jordans instead of harrys twice lol !
nite owl bets
santani btts, luqueno o2.5mgs 11/4 0.75pts
san Lorenzo o1.5tgs 6/4 1.5pts
Nice one cc. Had blinding day. Smashed on RUBIO youth inplay earler an all. 5/6 nx goal 5/6 nx goal. Love days like this. Todays card looked great and it obliged
Welcome aboard sgt. We await your input. Good luck. Mr. Fix it, do you have super single tips for the weekend. What is your thoughts on the german cup final as well.
mr. boofle, all tips will be up as usual.
All my fringe bets I left came in to. Feel bit greedy…wishing I added lol
Aussie overnight ( well early morning) small stakes:
Melbourne Victory Yth >2.5mgs
Perth SC >3.5mgs
Campbelltown City >3.5mgs
Odds about 3/1 … but these Aussie leagues love their goals even more than their Sheila’s … here’s hoping they can score as many as the ladies !!
Just looking through tomorrow’s card for my next challenge bet and have noticed what could be a hidden gem.
This in my opinion is worth the gamble as the home team need at least a draw to avoid relegation provided team below them wins.
Wil v Lausanne (Swiss) KO 1645
Wil are without a win in their last 15 games and I see only one reason for them to pull one off today, to survive. Trouble is I don’t think they can, in the last 5 h2h with Lausanne they have lost them all, hopefully that trend will continue.
1 point split
Lausanne – win 17/4 bet365 0.5 points
Lausanne – double chance 11/8 0.5 points
-2 for today which for most of you will put you on 0, which means the same number of winners and losers at the moment.
For those that started earlier in the week you will be either +1 or +2.
This is about right and please remember what I said at the start of all this. This is slow and boring betting but it doesn’t lose money , it’s a slow builder especially when you start, but each week as the week ends and you pick up +1 or +2 you eventually get to double your stake then the profits start to go up quicker and quicker. Rob and I are 6 months in now so we can attest to this.
Right into tomorrow and the weekend is when we normally pick up the + points . It’s more bets which means you need to place these staggered throughout the day.
Our advise is first to only back the first 7 which are a the games up to an including the 16:15s, this because we have a few more in the morning to add.
Once a few of those games have finished then back the rest.
10 bets in total, so 6/4 (+2) would be seen as a decent day
GL
UNDER
Russia 11:30 Rostov
Russia 11:30 Terek
Denmark 15:00 Skive
Denmark 15:00 HB Køge
Hungary 18:00 Budapest Honved
OVERS
Slovakia 16:15 Dukla Banska
Czech 16:15 Sparta Prague
Czech 16:15 Slovan Liberec
Italy 19:45 Atalanta
USA 22:00 Toronto FC
@Pete I Was thinking bout this corner system earlier. And jus now when I saw ur post from earler added to it. If i was to do it…I’d prob pick games and do unders for all. Keep an eye out…more games r unders than overs..Full stop..
As promised, to try and give a “show and tell” approach I’m running a hypothetical model of Simon Wright and GillsRob’s much talked about system. Hopefully the practical example will help people understand if there is any confusion.
So, on Day 3 (for the purpose of this example) they posted 4 bets. Each had a 1pt stake which I valued at £10 (total bank was 12pts, ie £120).
The results were as follows:
Overs 10.5 Asian Corners
Croatia 16:00 RNK Split
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.85)
Lost. £0 return (i.e. £10 loss made)
Outcome -1
Over 11 Asian Corners
Poland 19:30 Korona Kielce
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.95)
Lost. £0 return (i.e. £10 loss made)
Outcome -1
Under 9 Asian Corners
FAI Cup 19:45 St Patricks
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.9)
Win. £19 return (ie £9 profit made)
Outcome +1
Under 10 Asian Corners
Romania 19:00 Dinamo Bucharest
Odds (at 10:10hrs on Bet365 – 1.9)
Lost. £0 return (i.e. £10 loss made)
Outcome -1
Overall result was -2
So 1 out of 4 bets won which means the running totals are now
11 bets placed
5 bets won (45% win rate to date)
This leaves us on -1 (add up all the outcomes). The target is to get to +12
This means that the stats now stand at:
Starting bank : £120
New bank : £106.50 (11% decrease so far – the target is to get a 100% increase)
Whilst it’s a shame we ended up on -2 it’s not a disaster as this is a marathon not a sprint and leaves us at -1 overall after 3 days. Onwards to tomorrow where we can hopefully take a step forward again.
Well done Harpreet I didn’t follow your BTTS but I did get on Bohemians NCS at 11/4 on 365 – GET IN
Santini BTTS in, well done all who tipped this one as I really fancied it too. Also on over 2.5, and small one over 3.5 :-)
Dep. Santani game kicks off at 10.15 – that sits in the double alongside the Sportivo Luqueno game which kicks off at 11.00.
Double pays just under 2/1 and has a fair old chance.
Good luck if you have a go
…first part of the double in before HT…could still be a couple of goals to come in that one but I will be leaving it alone.
That’s one of the btts in at ht
Thanks Pete for your continued analysis and Luke for your hypothesis. As stated earlier of you were to take the last few days as ground for research then I absolutely understand the conclusion you’ve come to.
However, months of testing and reams of stats have shown overs to be equally prolific as unders otherwise we’d had ditched them a long way back.
Anyway, looking forward to a big card tomorrow
Rob – as I said earlier, it’s a marathon not a sprint! ;o)
Think there could be more goals Hull-seeing 2-2 or even 3-2???
On corners markets if you look hard enough mainly in Chile lately you’ll find most go over, well certain teams anyway huachipato palestino uni de catolica/conception, and before that argentina was good for asians and RT7 on certain teams, at rafaela defensa but thats all changed wi new league set up. Even Gremio were getting RT7 and 9 up regularly then last i had it on no teams even got RT3 haha, I’d stay away fi SA cup games tae and watch out for copa lib teams
Bragantino v America MG
BTTS
5/6 bet365 (inplay)
omg harpeet, what a laugh, ma kid can do better spitting on tne copan, grow up soft la ur a laugh, look at ur tips to go against, gets me winners lol
1st boom in 2nd boom train left. 1-0
Luqueno go 1-0 up early doors – anyone following the double can cover at 6/4….Capiata not to score.
Good luck
SANTA CRUZ V ABC
BTTS NO
4/5
Nice call hull.
Like I said Davros, I will be leaving the second half alone – have what I needed from that game.
Could well be a couple left in it…my recommendation would be a red or two – let me know if you find that market…but you won’t…good luck bud
General Diaz 2-1 after 56 mins to bring up second bet
Btts @ 1.83 WIN
General Diaz over 1.5 tg @ 2.50 WIN
Both brasil games should be low scoring..Mabe both btts no
Ok so done the 7 bets.
Bank left: 29.50 eeeeeek!
Bragantino RT7 5/2
Lol! They like a card or two in Sth America for sure :-D
Cool gills rob. I can’t argue with the masters of the trade. But pick out 5 games tomorrow..Even away from ur picks…I bet 3 out 5 come under
Earlier tip I put up
DIaz over 10.5 asian corners
SMall bet over 14 13/2
2 wins . Hope some got on but im doing the slow burner accumulation so
MY 20p starting balance is now 5.50
Haha…a very very late goal in the Santani match goes Over 3.5…did you do the overs in the end Davros?
ABC can u defend for 45?
Either way low for goals in both as expected so far
By the way tomorrow aston villa are 5/6 to get 4 corners. I think thats great vakue. Might hv to put 50p on that haha.
Awww nice treble btts tomorrow
Yes Hull, did BTTS, over 2.5, over 3.5……… :-)
VERONA V JUVE
ATLANTA V AC MILAN
DORTMUND V WOLFSBURG
BTTS TREBLE
3.45/1 betfair
Goong for nae 1st gl at 12/5 at Bragantino, 0-0 all over it ;)
5-2 up on corners so RT7 at 5/2 looking good
OTTAWA V EDMUNTON
OVER 1.5 MG
5/6
Bragantino RT7 5/2 WIN :)
Still no gl either but Bragantino onto 9 corners so every chance they’ll get 1
nite owl bets
santani btts, luqueno o2.5mgs 11/4 0.75pts WON
san Lorenzo o1.5tgs 6/4 1.5pts PENDING
0-1 :(
How’s deportivo not scored…judging by states. Overs in both…..says hindsight lol. Like I said only judgement. Unders/ low scoring in other 2 so far. Not sure btts no will hold out tho
please someone advise on Sydney vs tottenham
Bad jasper – Your welcome mate. Thank you