MAN UNITED cruised to Europa League glory last night and it was easier than most people expected.
I called the Final correctly but didn't post any tips with points on them.
Well done to all the winners including HullShaker who predicted Marouane Fellaini to be booked.
Tonight's big game is the first leg of the Premiership promotion/relegation play-off between Dundee United and Hamilton. It's not easy to call and I don't think it will be settled on the night but at a push I'd back Accies to qualify and I've posted a separate preview.
Elsewhere there is a Bundesliga promotion/relegation play-off between former big guns Wolfsburg and Braunschweig.
Six out of seven top-flight teams have won the play-off and Wolfsburg should follow suit. They are 8-13 at Betway to take a first-leg lead to their Bundesliga B opponents who recently lost 6-0 to Arminia and it was that defeat that ultimately cost them automatic promotion.
Wolfsburg's fall from grace has been spectacular but they have some decent players and Mario Gomez has been in form with 11 in his last 13 matches. He is 6-5 at Ladbrokes to score again.
In France the play-off is between Troyes and Lorient – two teams who finished the season strongly but suffered final-day agonies.
Troyes were promoted until Amiens netted a last-gasp winner at Reims so despite taking 16 points from their last six games has to settle for third in Ligue 2.
Lorient were demoted to third bottom on the last day when they were held 1-1 at Bordeaux.
Troyes will be desperate for a first-leg lead and I'd favour them at 47-20 with Marathonbet but best bet could be both to score at 5-6 with 10Bet.
Remember to check out Welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
And if you're having your first bet with 888sport you'll get treble the odds.
2pts Super Single
Hamilton to qualify (7.45pm)
(11-10, Skybet)
2pts Daily Double
Wolfsburg (7.30pm)
Troyes v Lorient btts (7.45pm)
(2-1, 10Bet)
*2pts Cup Final Fivefold
Celtic (Sat, 3pm)
Chelsea (Sat, 5.30pm)
Borussia Dortmund (Sat, 7pm)
Barcelona (Sat, 8.30pm)
Benfica (Sun, 5pm)
(13-2, Marathonbet)
*Stake back for 1 wrong
May Super Singles Total
Profit: +9.8pts (16 bets, 9 winners)
May Advised Accas Total
Profit: -15.25pts (29 bets, 7 winners)
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Iceland Premier League Women 19:15
Valur Reykjavik Women vs UMF Grindavik Women – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
France Ligue 1 Play-offs 19:45
Troyes vs Lorient – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Holland Eredivisie Play-offs 19:45
AZ vs FC Utrecht – over 1.5 second half goals
AZ vs FC Utrecht – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
4-Fold 9.78/1 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
Mr Fixit how did you get the odds of Cup Final Fivefold (13-2, Marathonbet) ?
So far the prices are as below…
Chelsea Cup Winner: Price @ 1.39
Borussia Dortmund Cup Winner: Price @ 1.23
Barcelona Cup Winner: Price @ 1.06
Benfica Cup Winner: Price @ 1.166
Celtic Cup Winner: Price @ 1.25
(Total odds 2.642 Marathonbet)
Thats because you’ve used to win the cup. Mr Fixit is doing to win the game in 90 mins which is currently 5.37/1.
Even if you do to win in 90 mins, the total odds isn’t 13/2.
It was when mr Fixit first mentioned it a couple of days ago.
Cheers, I don’t make up prices – every price quoted is correct at the time.
It was a couple of days ago when posted and if you read the post I say the price will drop.
Someone else put up a fourfold at 11-2 so it’s pretty clear odds are falling.
As has been said you’re doing outright prices which are safer but my bets are all over 90 minutes.
Night owl
Palmerias over 3.5mgs 13/8 **WON**
U20 World Cup
Ecuador v Saudia Arabia
Ecuador ht/ft
1.83 @ bet366
GL if you follow
Always great to find an angle that the bookies have missed – Capiata win 0-1 ?
LIBERTAD VS. DEPORTIVO CAPIATÁ (00.10 KO):
Been looking at this Paraguayan game and it’s an interesting one.
My initial thoughts were a solid Libertad win; they are possibly the strongest outfit in the Primera and have been consistent during the last few seasons when following the Paraguayan leagues.
Having spent a good deal of time looking at this one though, I’m not sure there is too much value in backing the table-toppers.
It has been 10 game since Libertad have nailed a truly convincing win and throw into that mix, a heavy schedule including Copa Libertadores travels – in my experience, these inter-continental games genuinely impact upon Paraguayan teams.
If we take H2H’s into consideration – there have been 14 in the last 3 seasons alone – it confirms the notion that Libertad lack value even on the handicap market which, again, I considered.
In 10 of those last 14 most recent H2Hs, there has been just a one goal margin between the two sides – 5 of the last 12 have ended in stalemate.
It’s not the tack I intended to take but I’ll stick to what my reasoning tells me and Capiata would have pulled off a blinder if you’d backed this market in 8 of their last 11 away games!
Bit of a gamble here and certaily taking the bookies on:
CAPIATA +1 H/CAP…11/8
??
***WON***
??
Well played Hull lad,washout from me yesterday should turn it round with this one (hopefully).
Copenhagan v Bronby
Under 2.5 goals at 8/11 (NAP)
Under 1.5 goals at 9/4 (nb)
good luck folks!!
Cheers Macca
Combo Footbal + Tennis @ 6.41 – 2u
– Basel – Sion – over 2.5 goals @ 1.61
– Gremio – Zamora – Gremio to score in both halves @ 1.55
– Suarez – Stosur – Stosur + 1.5 set @ 1.36
– Bertens – Riske – Bertens to win @ 1.40
– Rogers – Peng – Rogers + 1.5 set @ 1.35
===============================================
Tennis
Ana Bogdan – Eraydin Basak
– Ana Bogdan to win @ 1.78 – 5u
===============================================
GL
Giro Stage 18
H2H :
– Mollema – Jungels – Jungels to win @ 2.10 – 2u
– Quintana – Nibali – Nibali to win @ 2.15 – 2u
=================================
To win :
– Zakarin @ 11.00 – 1u
– Pinot @ 26.00 – 0.5u
AZ ALKMAAR VS FC UTRECHT 19:45
UTRECHT DOUBLE CHANCE 5/6 ⭐️
Utrecht are in brilliant form, and they haven’t lost any of their last four visits to this ground. The were far and away the best side, apart from the traditional big three. Utrecht are in great scoring form, and they’ve hit eight goals in their last three trips to Alkmaar.
It’s worth backing another win for the in form visitors, who have won nine of their last ten matches, only losing to champions Feyenoord.
Utrecht are 5/6 on the double chance market, and that looks like great value given their form.
dreadful again yesterday so surprised watching ajax, Mourinho got it spot on to be fair. Viva Manchester.
2017 Bets 170 W78 L86 P6 +0.05 unit
Bet 171 in play 79 minutes
Over 1.5 mgs Saudi v Ecuador u20s (1-0)
odds 2.00 1 unit
Paraguay – Apertura – 12.10am
Libertad v Deportivo Capiata
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
INPLAY
FC Zirka U19 v Dynamo Kiev U19;
Over 1.5 1HMGS @1.8
GL
WIN
Romania – Liga 1 – 6.30pm
FC Botosani v CSMS lasi
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
Hadn’t planned to take anything on today but I have been attracted to the cup final in Switzerland.
Basel face Sion and I, like I’m sure most would’ve, assumed Basel had won this trophy as often as they win the league title. The reality is, Basel have not won the trophy since beating Luzern on penalties in the 2011-12 season. Since then, they have been runners-up on three consecutive occasions before being dumped out on penalties in the quarter finals last season to, you guessed it, Sion.
In fact, one of those final defeats was to Sion (0-3 in 2014-15) at Basel’s home ground (though of course they would have had allocated ticket share, there is still the familiarity of one’s own turf). It appears that Basel have a bit of a troubled record in the cup of late, and Sion in particular are to blame for that for their defeats in these past two seasons. In fact, historically, Sion have lost just one of eight cup ties against Basel.
Basel have had the league title sewn up for some time and, since, have played out a number of score draws as they rotated their line up. One of those was a 2-2 draw at home to Sion. The Basel side wasn’t their best, with Die, Doumbia and Elyounoussi all benched, but it was certainly a decent side. What interests me is that Basel have not been consistently tight at the back all season, even when they did have something to play for. On their way to the cup final, they conceded in defeats of lower tier Zurich, Winteruhr and Tuggen.
Cup finals are renowned for being tighter affairs, but with the slight hoodoo over their cup form, a good month of football that has not been particularly competitive (and lacking in clean sheets), and a rotating starting XI suggest that Basel might not have it all their own way. This may mean either a tight affair that heads to extra time or penalties, or a goal for either side leading to more.
At a reasonable price, I’m chancing goals.
Basel vs Sion BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 21/20 (Bet365)
__________________________________________________
For disclosure, I’ve not got a big stake on this one despite the big write-up. That is more due to having the time to write one! :)
Good luck.
@Leroy
I agree with what you’ve written. I’ve backed Basel a few times recently and been let down. Their defence has been calamitous and wouldn’t expect a clean sheet tonight. However the 2-2 was a nothing game for them and I expect them to be up for this tonight. I can only see one winner within the 90 and expect Basel to triumph 3-1
I placed a double with Copenhagen and got 1.88/1
Both Basel and Copenhagen are currently priced at 4/6 with skybet (1.78)
GL tonight
Basel won 3-0
Copenhagen 1-0 up on 60 mins.
Cashed out at 1.25 profit and as it was a decent chunk, it puts me back to almost breakeven after a bad few days.
Also had Basel o1.5tgs which was never really in doubt even at 0-0 HT.
GL on tonight’s games. Going to have a look at the German encounter
SPARTA PRAHA U21 VS. TŘINEC U21
Looking at the H2H in this game and in 7 match ups over the last 3 to 4 years there hasn’t been a single game over 2.5 not has there been a BTTS which is quite incredible.
Now Sparta’s recent home form indicates they will bang a few in but I can’t ignore the trend and maybe this is their bogey team.
Bets:
Under 3.5 13/8 2 points
Under 2.5 7/2 1 point
Good Luck
BTTS no is 6/4
Lost – Form trumps history again and I didn’t put the other advised Bet of BTTS no on (which was a winner)
Wolfsburg v Eintracht Braunschweig
Mario Gomez to score anytime 21/20 (various)
Braunschweig conceded 6 in their last away match at lowly Bielefeld and were lucky to only concede 1 at home to
already relegated Karlsruhe in their last match so a player with Gomez’s quality should find the net here.
Also as this is a local derby and with so much at stake I’ll be on over 3.5 yellow cards 7/10 (bwin) and number
of penalties awarded 1 3/1 (bwin)
Just spotted this one:
Singapore: Home united 7 nil up, 6 before ht, 1 straight after the break, its about 49 mins in, bookies offering 8/15 for over 8.5 goals. the visitors just scored making it 7-1, they’re now doing same price on over 9.5 goals.
Jump on it folks.
8-1 Lol
9-1 Lol
9-2 Omfgg, hope some of you guys have grabbed a slice of this, I dare not go any further, there’s still over 25 mins left.
Am on it. Seems like attack is a goal. Sweet money. Haha
Been on skybets overs by a certain time bets since 3-0, loving it.
Unibet was removed from supply when it was 9-1. :D
you gotta laugh, its 9-3 now with 7 + ( injurytime – which equates to time spent pulling the ball out of the back of the net ). I grabbed it twice, bailed when the over 8.5 and 10.5 went in. Still time maybe for 1 last goal.
its looking like just the 12 goals then. How disappointing. Hope you guys struck the right bets at the right time.
*every
Basel
Austria Vienna
Over 2.5mgs Double Returns 9/5
Dundee Utd btts
Alkmaar over 2.5mgs
Troyes over 1.5mgs
Treble Returns 11/4
Good luck all
nite owl 7/2 treble LOST goal short in penarol game…………..
wee dabble on this
basel win btts 9/4
no had much luck in cup hopefully tide will turn today
Austrian Bundesliga
Sturm Graz 2+
St. Polten to score
Double @ 2.00
Any thoughts on the AZ game Mr O??
I was thinking about tipping Utrecht +0.50
Can’t see them losing, only lost 4 away this season. Against top 3 and Heracles
Thanks for the reply Mr O much appreciated.
Pleased with the result last night, some good news in what’s been an awful week.
After having a few days off i’m back on a few bets today, on the following;
Austrian League (3:30PM)
All 5 Austria games to see over 1.5 mgls
2.93
2 POINTS
Small stake on the following BTTS 7-fold acca;
FC Basel v Sion
Asker v Stabaek
PEPO v Mikkelin Kissat
FC Copenhagen v Brondby
Thisted FC v Bronshoj Boldklub
Austria Vienna v Red Bull Salzburg
Mattersburg v Rapid Vienna
24.91
0.5 POINT
Over 2.5 mgls double;
Austria Vienna v Red Bull Salzburg
Mattersburg v Rapid Vienna
2.78
1 POINT
Over 2.5 mgls 5-fold;
Austria Vienna v Red Bull Salzburg
Mattersburg v Rapid Vienna
PEPO v Mikkelin Kissat
FC Basel v Sion
Aarhus v Kolding IF
11.88
0.5 POINT
Bet 172 over 0.5 1h goals double
Basel v Sion (in play 5 minutes)
Vienna v Salzburg
Odds 1.85 1.5 units
€50 ac oulu game over 0.5 fhg returns €78.57
€50 ac oulu game over 0.5 fhg returns €78.57
My favourite picks for today. 6 fold pays just under 10/1 at present @Bet365
Troyes v Lorient Over 2.0 Goal Line
Wolfsburg WIN
FC Copenhagen WIN
AZ v Utrecht O2.5Mgls
Stabaek WIN
Viking WIN
0-0 HT
Altach – Ried
– over 1.5 goals @ 2.28 – 2u
– BTTS @ 3.75 – 1u
Afternoon gents
Just one bet from me tonight
Dundee United v Tannadice KO 7.45pm
This is a really intriguing affair and really tough to call! I do fancy goals though! Hamilton went goal crazy at the end of the season. To ensure they battled off the relegation spot and 4 of Uniteds play off games have seen over 2.5 goals!
Back over 2.5 match goals 1/1 (Bet365) (NAP)
BTTS DOUBLE:
DUNDEE
SELFOSS
GL
Basel
Austria Vienna
Over 2.5mgs Double Returns 9/5 **WON**
well in dc!
wee dabble on this
basel win btts 9/4 LOST
3-0 not a single shot on target from sion…………….
Good afternoon all
In play bet365
Copenhagen gm btts 2nd half 12/5
Best of luck all ?
A double for tonight small odds
Orgryte is gm btts
AZ gm overs
Bet365 1.59/1
Good luck ?
Copenhagen gm btts
2nd half in fast wish they
All was like DAT ?
In play 12/5 won ?
well in dc…………….
Afternoon gents – nice write-up for Icelandic game I thought was tonight but is on the 28th…one for the notebook…taxiiiii ?
HK VS. FYLKIR (18.00)
After 3 games it’s 3rd versus 1st – HK have a 1-3 and 3-2 win alongside a 1-2 loss whilst Fylkir have played out a 1-1 draw coupled wifh a 1-2 and 3-1 win.
Urvalsdeild dropouts Fylkir have won the previous 2 H2Hs 0-3 and 1-5 but worth noting that 80% of the last 5 saw both teams net witj 7% of the last 4 saw BTTS/Over 2.5 MGS.
BTTS 1ST HALF well worth a look!
Copenhagen to win trophy 8/13. 12 mins to play and 1-1 v Brondby
Well played Alves!
?
1-0 HT
Egersund – Viking
– Viking not to lose @ 2.40 – 2u
– Viking over 1.5 goals @ 4.20 – 1u
€60 FC Rosengard Women game over 1.5 fhg returns €110
16 * 30p RAB doubles on Dundee United v Hamilton & Wolfsburg v Braunschweig. Odds on left for SPL playoff.
BTTS 4+corners & 20+ booking points each team – 13/2 & 12/1
Penalty/Red card – 12/1 & 16/1
Goal & 4+ corners each half – 2/1 & 3/1
BTTS both halves – 18/1 & 25/1
Smallest payout £3.60
Highest payout £148.20
KEFLAVÍK VS. SELFOSS (20.15):
Won’t try another write up just in case ? but both teams to net is a really attractive price with both more than capable of scoring (and conceding!)
BTTS…3/4
???
Good luck!
double over 0.5 1h goals
Dundee united v hamilton
Az Alkmar v Utrecht
Odds 1.85 2 units
double over 0.5 1h goals
Mastricht v Roda
Wolfsburg v Braunshweig
Odds 1.90 2 units
tonite, for half stakes only
Dundee utd o1.5mgs, Alkmaar&wolfsburg o1.5tgs 3/1
may keep an eye out in play GL all with a bet on………………..
Just in from work. Ging for a ‘Goliath’ on these…
6.45 Maastricht v Roda >1.5
6.45 Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Yehuda >1.5
7.30 Wolfsburg v Braunschweig >1.5
7.30 Goztepe v Boluspor >1.5
7.45 Dundee Utd v Hamilton >2.5
7.45 Alkmaar v Utrecht >2.5
7.45 Troyes v Lorient >2.5
8.15 Keflavic v Selfoss >2.5
Good luck with your bets…
Sorry, should have said match goals…
Cheers crane & maccathered
It’s easy really lol ?
€50 2 iceland women game just kicked of over 1.5 fhg in both returns €158.32
Utrecht having a nightmare for being the form team there getn a drubbing.
French game no shots on target
Dundee utd game no much better.
No lookn guid for goals as per usual .
Should have been a couple at Tannadice but not the best of games.
15 minutes gone in the Icelandic Ladies game and a bit of value with the score pegged at 0-0….won’t stay goaless for long!
FH VS. STJARNAN LADIES:
OVER 3.5 MGS…5/4
??
Goals on ’29, ’31, ’33 and ’41 ?
***WON***
365 go 1/2 for another 2+ goals in the second half and I’ll have some of that for a potential 50% return:
OVER 5.5 MGS…1/2
????
Easy come, easy go – 1st half profit cancelled out by a rubbish 2nd half ?
€158.32 dundee utd game over 14 corners returns €237.48
2 quick corners
No luck on thr RAB doubles, needing a red card at Wolfsburg to stand a wee chance of a return
AZ > 2.5 MGS, Wolfsburg / Copenhagen DC 1.1/1 WON :) :)
Wolfsburg v Eintracht Braunschweig
Mario Gomez to score anytime 21/20 (various)
Braunschweig conceded 6 in their last away match at lowly Bielefeld and were lucky to only concede 1 at home to
already relegated Karlsruhe in their last match so a player with Gomez’s quality should find the net here.
Also as this is a local derby and with so much at stake I’ll be on over 3.5 yellow cards 7/10 (bwin) and number
of penalties awarded 1 3/1 (bwin)
**WON** 3/3 bit lucky with the penalty tho but who cares Gomez scores from the spot..
Nice work!
cheers mate.. well done on your over 5.5 MGS and BTTS.. Happy Days
A double for tonight small odds
Orgryte is gm btts
Az gm overs
Bet365 1.59/1
Good luck?
1 away goal short lost ?
Looks like Dundee Utd gona let treble down….10mins left for btts
United boy sent off for diving but should been a penalty.
Never knew that as not been watching game……things like that certainly don’t help
€237.48 valur reykjavik women race to 9 corners returns €410.19
KEFLAVÍK VS. SELFOSS (20.15):
Won’t try another write up just in case ? but both teams to net is a really attractive price with both more than capable of scoring (and conceding!)
BTTS…3/4
???
***WON***
Dundee Utd btts
Alkmaar over 2.5mgs
Troyes over 1.5mgs
Treble Returns 11/4 **LOST** Dundee Utd game finished 0-0
Copa Libertadores
Atletico Nacional-Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC Double Chance
Barcelona SC to score
Barcelona SC to score…. after 4 minutes WON :D
Dunno what was the most embarrassing the finishing of both teams in Dundee utd game or the linesman’s crazy decision to get united player sent off when it was a clear penalty.the penalty if given would have been ballooned 20 foot over bar no doubt anyway as like every Uther shot was.
I’d say both were bad.
tonite, for half stakes only
Dundee utd o1.5mgs, Alkmaar&wolfsburg o1.5tgs 3/1 LOST
WD all with winners…………..
MLS
Chicago Fire-FC Dallas
Nemanja Nikolic to score
3 minutes…WON
Most likely be snoring like a stuck pig come kick off so put this up for any Night Owls out there…
EMELEC VS. MELGAR (23.30 KO):
Emelec red hot favourites here and a win will secure their passage through to the next Copa Libertadores stage.
Yes, they ought to win but Melgar have put in some decent shifts in the tournament and I don’t wonder if the bookies favouritism of the Ecuadoreans might just open up a side door of value with the Peruvian side who have scored in the majority of their CL games?
The travelling side are as fit as butcher’s dogs and won’t relent in their style of play here.
Two selections for me:
BTTS…EVENS
???
BTTS 1ST HALF
?
Good luck.
Night owl
River plate btts
Guarani over 2.5mgs
Double returns 7/4
Romania – Liga 1 – 6.30pm
FC Botosani v CSMS lasi
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
nite owl
patriotas btts&overs 2/1
Going for Score n Wins in Copa Liberat tonight again. Trebles,4fold n 5 fold(Canadian style bet)
Emelec
A.Nacional Med
Estudiantes
Guarni Asuncion
River Plate.
Small stakes obviously but for big return.
Close to glory a few times and it’s last round of group games so here’s hoping.
GL all
Also on over 2.5 and btts.
Big long shots but happy if 3 land even 2 in score n wins. ;)