I HAD four Super Singles in mind on Sunday and as fate would have it they all won. That’s typical after struggling to get on a run in recent weeks.
Celtic I fancied on the handicaps with Inverness playing a severely weakened side, I liked Preston in the play-off final and commented about backing St Johnstone at 7-2 at Aberdeen. Luckily the one I settled on – Stoke to beat Liverpool landed as easily as you’d want.
I advised 4pts on Stoke at 5-2 to half the Super Single deficit in one foul swoop. At 3-0 Stoke I advised a 0.25pt cover on draw at 16-1 but it was needed as Liverpool ended up on the end of a horror 6-1 spanking.
One point was lost on the Top Treble but it was a decent day all round and I also advised Nadir Ciftci to score first for Dundee Utd and suggested Jermaine Beckord as the likely first scorer for Preston who won very easily with a superb hat-trick from the hitman.
On Monday the big game is Norwich v Middlesbrough in the Championship play-off final and it’s tough to call.
That’s not the biggest match if you’re Italian though as Lazio and Roma meet in a titanic derby. A Roma win will clinch second spot and a Champions League group spot while a draw takes the issue to the final game but also guarantees Lazio at least third and a Champions League qualifier ahead of Napoli who they face at the weekend in Naples.
The big question is will they play out the draw that freezes out Napoli and let it go to the weekend – it’s a massive derby so I don’t know if their rivalry will allow them to do that.
Elsewhere there are Dutch play-offs and loads of games in Scandinavia where backing goals is usually the way to go. In Norway it’s second v first with Stabaek entertaining Rosenborg. Ten of the last 11 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals and the fixture promises plenty of thrills and spills.
Rosenborg have smashed 31 goals in nine, losing just once, and Stabaek have netted 12 in their last four. No wonder over 2.5 goals pays no bigger than 11-17 at Ladbrokes and it could be one for the Top Treble.
In Sweden I like Odd at Tromso and both to score at Djurgarden v AIK. There have been 20 goals with both scoring in Djurgarden’s last four and both have scored in four of the last five meetings between the teams.
I’ve posted a separate preview on the Wembley showdown and having looked at games today I’m sticking mostly with what I’d decided. Having won 10pts on the Super Single I’ll wipe out the deficit if the play-off final goes to penalties by risking 1pt on each to win the shoot-out. If you think it will be settled before then don’t back the SS – but I can see it going all the way.
For the Top Treble take over 2,5 at Stabaek, btts at Djurgarden and well tipped Hacken to beat Falkenberg.
1pt Norwich to win on pen
1pt Middlesbrough to win on pens
(both 11-1, William Hill)
1pt Top Treble
Stabaek v Rosenborg over 2.5 goals (5pm)
Djurgarden v AIK btts (6.05pm)
(5-2, McBookie, BetVictor)
May Super Single record
28 bets (10 winners, 18 losers)
May Top Treble record
21 bets (8 winners, 13 losers)
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