May 25: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

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JOHNB ended the day with one winner on Wednesday with his 10-3 shot proving a valuable Commodity.

Well done all who posted a winner and let’s hear all your Thursday picks to get the thread started.

Johnb’s tips have now been added.

Johnb’s Thursday Tips

Goodwood 2.0
Tathmeen 6-1 paddy power

3.45
Paradise Lake 4-1 paddy power

Sandown 8.10
Zainhom 5-4 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)

Also 3x 0.5pt doubles & 1x 0.5pt treble

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37 Comments
  1. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 month ago

    Thursday’s Tips

    Goodwood
    2:00
    Tathmeen 6/1 paddy power

    3:45
    Paradise Lake 4/1 paddy power

    Sandown
    8:10
    Zainhom 5/4 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)

    Also 3x 0.5pt doubles & 1x 0.5pt treble

  2. Profile photo of wn
    wn 1 month ago

    I assume you haven’t tipped So Mi Dar because she is odds on in places? Or am I wrong?

  3. Profile photo of drogers
    drogers 1 month ago

    Can’t see why So Mi Dar has been passed over Mr JB.

    • Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
      duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

      Because its odds on drogers GL.

    • Profile photo of errryesno
      errryesno 1 month ago

      how does 6t5[cour de lion and many more double staked tips at around evens not be short odds, but 5t6 is??]
      A grade 1 at 5t6 is short? but class 3/4/5/ at evens is ok???
      big orange is ridden by dettori today johnb, is this worth siding with today, now it has proper jockey on board.

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 1 month ago

        I have said many times that people’s perception of value is all wrong, it’s not the odds that determine value or the race or a horses rivals, it’s a combination of all
        The bookies make their odds up on the percentage chance of a horse winning, us as punters should be doing the same to find value, so with a horse for example So Mi Dar we as punters have to decide what percentage of probability she has of winning, 50% chance makes her 1/1, 66.6% chance makes her 1/2 but it’s not just that, we also have to do the same with every other horse in the race with our percentage of probability of all horses adding up to 100, we then have to compare our own odds to that of the bookmakers which in my opinion they were about right so at odds of 6/5 that would say she has a 45.5% chance of winning
        There was no value between my odds and the bookies odds so I didn’t advise her
        My NAP/NB today in my opinion was value

        As regards to Big Orange we have to remember the horse won’t be 100% today as bigger targets await this horse, taking that into account along with the fact this is a drop in grade I think he is no value, will he win? probably yes but there are dangers, other people may be of the opinion he has a better than 44.5% chance of winning and see the odds as value, I

  4. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    Under Attack 3.10 Goodwood ,20/80 GL.

  5. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 1 month ago

    Points updated tomorrow

    Well done yet again fivebarone !

    14-00 kick on kick on 5/1. 4 points win

    15-45 maghfoor 9/1 6 points win

    Good luck everyone today 😀

  6. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    7:05 sandown- Big Orange 5/4 @williamhill

  7. Profile photo of uno
    uno 1 month ago

    1745 Catterick
    Hit The Lights – 6/1 William Hill (NAP)

  8. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 month ago

    NAP Eldritch 5/1 3.45 Goodwood 3Pts
    NB Halinka 3/1 5.15 Catterick 1Pt
    Double 1pt

    May + 17.62

  9. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    so mi dar non runner!

  10. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Long wait for the nap today 9.00 shamlan change of head gear should help and a nice price 7/1

    Gossiping 2-35
    Icespire 4-20
    Veiled secret 4-05

    For a separate yankee

  11. Profile photo of generous
    generous 1 month ago

    Top of the bank 10/1
    Gluk all
    +31 may

  12. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 month ago

    hornby 2.00 burning heat 2.45 eynhallow 3.45 pour la victoria 5.25 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday

  13. Profile photo of lostboy
    lostboy 1 month ago

    Ower Fly 16/1 e/w 2.35 Good
    Lexington Grace 9/2 1.50 Catt
    Mershardal 4/1 3.30 Catt (nap)

    Good luck Lads…👍

  14. Profile photo of jamesteddy
    jamesteddy 1 month ago

    Hi all,

    I never post on here just follow, but I’ve just had a word on Hit The Lights in the 5:45 at Catterick.

    Up to you all if you follow, now 4/1 in from 14/1 yesterday. Would never say a horse is going to win with 100% certainly but that’s what I’ve been told.

    GL to all who follow.

    • Profile photo of smurf99
      smurf99 1 month ago

      Are you from skillington?? I live a couple of miles away and everyone has been talking about this horse for the last few days ssying it will go very close today. I got on at 12s yesterday

      • Profile photo of jamesteddy
        jamesteddy 1 month ago

        I’m not mate no, but there’s a very good chance that’s where it’s filtered down from. Good luck.

  15. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 1 month ago

    Evening all,

    No fancies today. Will keep checking back on Monday so will resume normal work then.

  16. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Nap is into 7/2!

  17. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 1 month ago

    Can I ask for opinions on the 8.00 and 8.40 please? I have 4 horses in win doubles, each way trebles and each way 4 fold. The first 2 have won, and my other 2 run in those races.
    Also have 4 horses in win only trebles and 4 folds. 2 of the 3 that have run have won. Last horse is in the 7.25. Thoughts on any of those 3 races would be handy.
    thank you

    • Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
      duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

      Luke If I had to ,Midhmaar 8.40 dropped 1lb for a decent first run at Nottingham,decent draw,seems to like Sandown GL with whatever you’re on .

  18. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    11/1 Winner (20p R4)and n/r ,that’ll do 😀.

  19. Profile photo of over40
    over40 1 month ago

    Luke

    In the 8.00 the three that jump out to me in order of preference are….

    Dark red
    Fanciful angel
    Qaffaal

    Looks a tricky race though so good luck

  20. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 1 month ago

    Thank you for the replies. Unfortunately my horses haven’t been mentioned 😂
    7.25 I have Alfarris. The 3 I had in the bets with this were Mighty Zip (won), Bronco Billy (won) and Mr Strutter (lost). Happy to let that run as the cash out isn’t much better than initial layout.

    8.00 I have Noble Gift. Dark Red is possibly my main concern.

    8.40 I have Makzeem. This was a close call between 3 for me. Midhmaar and Greenside were the other two I quite liked.

    The two I have in the bet with those were Gossipsing and Boycie, which have both won.

    I know what will happen now. All 3 will lose. As it seems whenever I name my picks on here they go on to do rubbish more often than not. I’d happily contribute my selections at the start of each day. It just feels as though whenever I do, my bets don’t do very well. I keep getting very good starts to my multiples, with decent cash out offers. I keep letting them run in hope I can nail the full house eventually. One day hopefully!

    Thanks again. Good luck all tonight

  21. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    Hope they win for you Luke
    3.30 Haycock Sumner Beach 11/1 win now ,will see what I can get for a place only later GL.

  22. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 month ago

    Nap/NB Camelback 11/4. 6.00 Leopardstown. 5Pts

    May+ 12.62

  23. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 1 month ago

    The thread curse strikes again. Alfarris was 1/12 in play 1.5f from home. Done on the line. Can’t catch a break when I name them on here!
    Oh well. I think I may just start posting them every day now, in hope eventually the jinx Will be broken

  24. Profile photo of aduffy
    aduffy 1 month ago

    Hi alanm is stall 12 ok for camelback stats say low best in sprints at leopardstown

  25. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Mazzini 4-55
    Dalton 3-30
    Dellguista 3-10
    Alexander m 5-10

    Yankee for tomorrow at a wedding all day not sure on single

    Nap is 3-10 bog 5/1

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