THERE wasn't much for me to look at on Monday but I picked out a winning 6-5 double on junior football.
I backed wins for Girvan and Petershill against Maryhill and Irvine Meadow in the West Super League and it was 2-0 and 3-0 respectively.
It's rare for me to put up junior tips and I'll keep it that way as I know not everyone will have accounts that allow them to do these bets.
Tuesday's another quiet one with three more League of Ireland games and I've picked out two bets for a double. Take Bray to score 2+ at struggling Drogheda who have conceded nine in three games.
Second-placed Dundalk face fourth-placed Derry and it should be a good one. Dundalk are desperate to close the gap on leaders Cork but won't get it easy against a side returning to form. I like the look of both to score.
Remember to check out Welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
And if you're having your first bet with 888sport you'll get treble the odds.
2pts Daily Double
Bray to score 2+ (7.45pm)
Dundalk v Derry btts (7.45pm)
(11-5, bet365)
May Super Singles Total
Profit: +9.8pts (16 bets, 9 winners)
May Advised Accas Total
Profit: -13.25pts (28 bets, 7 winners)
One of the best sign-up offers around at the moment is that from 888Sport where you can get TREBLE the odds on your first bet giving you chance to boost your winnings no matter what you're betting on. Click on the button below to claim your opening offer from 888Sport today.
> Join 888Sport today!
England U20 v Guinea U20 (9am, U20s WC)
England U20 Over 1.5 Team Goals @1.4
Not the largest odds but nice to bank build or combine with something else that takes your fancy.
Gl all and keep up the cracking vibe on here at the moment.
Lumping on the win @ 1.28. This is Guinea we’re talking about here.
Wow! Thats now 1.16 now down from last night.
Unbelievable!! 1-1. Who knew guinea are a world force in football.
@williams1993 @baggio
There are THREE things guaranteed in life guys, taxes, death, and British teams coming unstuck against the minnows of world football, at ALL levels of the game, and in ALL competitions.
I learned years ago that if you want to keep your betting funds in the black, DON’T bet on kids’ or women’s football. It’s hard enough trying to predict the senior men’s game, but it’s a wee bit easier than gambling with inexperienced weans or women…
Don’t be sexist please – I’ve edited the comment.
If you haven’t seen the Guinea goal have a look – a crazy OG from almost the halfway line.
Ha ha. It wasn’t meant to be a sexist comment Mr F.
Just watched it Mr F. Ooops….
Feel sorry for anyone who lost money on that one. Although, the fact that an England U20s team can’t beat a Guinean U20s team is more laughable…
Repost from October 2016
————————————
I have noticed this season that the top sides are struggling to keep clean sheets (frustrating millions of fantasy football managers in the process!). Despite recording some comfortable wins, many have failed to keep even the weakest opposition out at the other end.
I decided to study the results more closely and found an angle that I feel could be profitable in the long term. The area I am interested in is the BTTS & match winner market.
Each gameweek I shall be placing a 0.5 point Yankee (11 individual bets comprising doubles, trebles and a 4-way accumulator) in which I back 4 of the ‘big 6′ teams to win whilst conceding at least once. In cases where 2 of the teams face each other I shall back the other 4 unless there are unusual circumstances like an injury crisis or an important upcoming European game. In this scenario I shall select a ‘next best’ team for my bet.
Looking at the next couple of gameweeks (unfortunately I could not find historical odds for this market anywhere), these sides are typically priced up at a minimum of around 2/1. Using these odds I have calculated the following:
2 winners = 0.5pts returns 4.5pts
3 winners = 0.5pts returns 27pts
4 winners = 0.5pts returns 121.5pts
With a total of 5.5pts staked each gameweek, you are looking at a small loss for 2 winners but once you get another winner on board the profits shoot up. 4/4 and you’re looking at a big return.
I then applied these figures to this season’s matches by selecting a ‘typical’ set of 4 teams each gameweek. Of course this is open to speculation but I tried to select them as realistically as possible. The results were impressive…
Week 1: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 27pts
Week 2: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 4.5pts
Week 3: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 4.5pts
Week 4: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 4.5pts
Week 5: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 0pts
Week 6: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 121.5pts
Week 7: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 0pts
Week 8: Staked 5.5pts, Returned 0pts
Totals: Staked 44pts, Returned 162pts
Profit: 118pts
Whilst I am aware this could have been due to an unusually open start to the season and that the results may settle down into something more familiar I am happy to take a chance on this trend continuing and hopefully I will select the right 4 teams more often than not!
—————————–
Final totals:
Staked 165pts, Returned 207.2pts
Profit 42.2pts
This experiment turned out to be an enjoyable one, with a fairly decent return over the course of the season. Out of the remaining 30 gameweeks, 4 produced 3 winning selections averaging a 40pt return, whilst 9 produced 2 winners returning a small loss or profit. Although there were no ‘perfect’ gameweeks, I came close on a couple of occasions (most memorably when Palace couldn’t manage a consolation v Arsenal in GW19). Other close calls included an Ibrahimovic penalty miss v Bournemouth and Otamendi clearing off the line at Watford when 5-0 up on Sunday! Goals in each of these cases would have boosted profits considerably.
I have decided to continue with the system for next season as it provides additional interest in games over the course of the weekend, whilst (hopefully) adding to the annual profit figures…
Thanks for reading!
Look forward to it – I’ll also try to do more win & btts tips as they’re extremely popular.
I’ve been doing it for a while now mrf (btts & win) usually by looking at yours, hulls, Greg and Scott’s weekend btts selections. Looking at the price of the fav, if it’s low I usually make a double or treble out of it. Done alright out of it.
Like tonight, mind I didn’t back it as bar a few cup matches I’m done for the season.
Your selection of Dundalk Btts is In running Dundalk are 1.72 to win, yet 5.50 btts win.
Been a good season too :)
You certainly get great prices – no joy with Dundalk tonight though.
An excellent read.
Well put tisico, but as you incur a small loss or win if you get two winners, would you not be better going for trebles and an acca and leaving the doubles out ?
Thanks for the response @cockerspaniel. Although the overall stake would obviously be a lot lower, the returns during winning weeks would be lower (typically around half for 3 winners) as they wouldn’t include the winning doubles. I applied it to this season’s results and only came out with an 11pt profit.
I done the same on 4 big games on the weekend for a corner in the first 9mins all priced at 5/6 you would be surprised on how long them 9 minutes are
Sorry for the delay getting back to you fisico, your bet is well worth considering, good luck with it next season
Olimpo vs Estudiantes
Second half BTTS – 13/5
Just went 1-1 in the first half right after posting this. Not ideal!
Half time 2-1 Olimpo. Plenty of first half goals, hope they keep coming
Tuesday
poli overs, Drogheda o1.5mgs, paris fc o1.5mgs 5/2
Trixie
poli o3.5mgs, Dundalk btts&overs, benvenito o1.5tgs all 3 returns just under 10/1
poli overs, Dundalk btts&overs, paris o1.5tgs 6/1
shoe in…………….
poli overs, Dundalk btts&overs, benvenito o1.5tgs, paris o1.5mgs 16/1
Last bet for tonight:
Gimnasia La Plata – River Plate
O2.5mgs @2.10
River Plate O2.5 tgs @4.00
Good luck.
Well done with those Mythos! – I enjoyed a good few of those when I was away at Malia last year, not a bad pint. Went down quite well with the Ouzo and the 2 Litre fish bowls :D
Thank you kyle.
FIFA U20 World Cup 12:00
South Korea U20 vs Argentina U20 – Argentina U20 win
South Korea U20 vs Argentina U20 – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Sweden Superettan 18:00
GAIS vs Gefle IF – over 2.5 MG’s
Italy Serie B Play Offs 19:30
Benevento vs Spezia – Spezia goal before 74:00
4-Fold 13.89/1 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
2017 Bets 156 W76 L76 P4 +11.05 units
yesterday = 5-4 and +2.6 units
Bet 157 – double
Argentina u20 draw no bet
England u 20 win
Odds 1.90 2 units
Guangzhou
Persepolis
Over 2.5mgs Double Returns 11/5
Just a £5 on this as AFC again & not been kind to me recently (should really give it a miss)
Lost….called it should have gave it a miss
G Evergrande v Kashima Antlers BTTS & Overs Evens (half stake)
Kashima usually good for a goal – only concern is they have lost last 2 J League games. Hopefully will show up for this ACL game
Morning all. Anyone know which on-line bookie covers the Aussie leagues more extensively than others? Any help appreciated. Thanks
Bet365 has more Aussie games than most I’ve seen and the have fairly extensive markets too esp on A league
Hombre 3000, Yes, thanks mate. Was mulling through the 365 range of leagues. Plenty enough to go at. Just didn’t see league 1 divisions but too many can be too much, eh. Cheers
Gaz Metan Medias – Concordia Chiajna
==================================
Gaz Metan :
– was defeated with the score 0-1 against CSM, in the last play-out round
– as a result of this defeat, they remain in second place in the standings with 34 points
– scored not less than 7 goals in the last two games played home, 3 against Pandurii, and 4 against FC Voluntari
– only 3 of the 11 games played in play-out ended with more than 2.5 goals scored
– won 4 from last 5 games against Chiajna
Chiajna :
– lost dramatically in the last round of the championship, score 2-3 on the field of Pandurii, one of the opponents in the fight to avoid relegation
– As a result of this defeat, Concordia Chiajna fell back to 6th place in the standings, being equal to points with Poli Timisoara and Pandurii Targu-Jiu
– did not have any victory on away games in this play-off, recording only two draws in the 5 away games played
===================================
– 6 of the last seven direct meetings between the two teams ended with the hosts victory, whether it was Gaz Metan or Concordia Chiajna
– Concordia Chiajna is the more motivated team in this game and will probably win a victory in this match, even if they have only one victory on Medias field in their entire history
– So I count on a positive result of the guests, and I think the holiday atmosphere of the host will mark the final result of this game
====================================
Bet :
– Concordia not to lose @ 1.63
– Concordia Chiajna DNB @ 2.35 – 4u
====================================
Combo @ 2.90 – 3u
– Gaz Metan – Chiajna – Chiajna not to lose @ 1.63
– Poli Timisoara – Pandurii – under 2.5 goals @ 1.78
=====================================
GL
No joy earlier with England u20 drawing…
Looking at afc games and clearly bookies leaning under in muangthong game. Going against this as stats suggest otherwise.
Over 2.5 odds 2.25 1 unit
Both score yes odds 2.00 1 unit
Also taking Argentina to score first v South Korea odds 1.9 1 unit
U20 World Cup
Ouch. Small 0.5 unit Argentina win
Odds 4.00.
In play bet,
Sigma Olomouc U19 – Karvina U19
72min score 2-3
Bet1 : O7.5mgs@6.75
Bet2: final score 4-4@20.5
Its just a hunch but who knows :)
Well, not a good hunch. Bets lost.
FIFA U20 World Cup 12:00
South Korea U20 vs Argentina U20 – Argentina U20 win (lost)
South Korea U20 vs Argentina U20 – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
Sweden Superettan 18:00
GAIS vs Gefle IF – over 2.5 MG’s
Italy Serie B Play Offs 19:30
Benevento vs Spezia – Spezia goal before 74:00
4-Fold 13.89/1 Bet365 **NAP** LOST
Decided to have a dabble on the U20 World Cup and it backfired. I’ll have to put together a redemption bet before work and hopefully I’ll come back to a winner.
Norway Division 3 Group 1 17:30
Odd 3 vs Sarpsborg 2 – over 1.5 first half goal line
Sweden Superettan 18:00
GAIS vs Gefle IF – over 2.5 MG’s
Italy Serie B 19:30
Benevento vs Spezia – Spezia to score in 2nd half
Benevento vs Spezia – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
4-Fold 12.61/1 Bet365
Regarding Spezia, they have to score and win tonight I believe as Benevento finished higher in the table than them so if its a draw at 90 mins Benevento would be the ones to progress. Benevento have conceded second half goals in four of their last five home games so the 11/10 available for Spezia on that market, who need to score, makes sense. Also Benevento’s last four homes saw at least five corners at the interval and in addition yesterday’s first preliminary match surpassed the 4.5 line.
GAIS have just come off conceding seven in the Sweden Superettan whilst Gefle are routed to the bottom with the worst goal difference and their last four matches all saw over scorelines.
Four of Odd 3’s last five matches saw at least two goals before the interval.
Three of Sarpborg 2’s last five matches saw at least two goals before the interval.
Good luck all
Inter Turku v PS Kemi (Finland)
I have a small bet today on Inter Turku -1 asian handicap @ 1.74
Turku have some good options going forward. Kemi only scored 4 goals in in 6 games, conceding 12.
Kemi lost both of their away games this season (3-0 and 3-1)
I am also on BTTS in the Dundalk game.
nite owls
river plate, sao Paulo o1.5tgs 23/10 WON
sao Paulo o2.5tgs 7/4 LOST
river plate o2.5tgs 7/2 WON
SP/RP o2.5tgls just over 11/1 LOST
home goal away in brazil for the full house tbf it was an ET 2nd that brought in the o1.5tgs……………
Estonia Meistriliiga
Paide vs Flora (16:00UK time)
Bet: Flora -2 @2.20
Seems reasonable after Flora’s win against Narva with 0-2 last away game.
Narva is in a better form than Paide i think.
Good luck.
Final score: 1 – 3
Bet lost.
Kawasaki give some redemption and money back after the under 20 debacle earlier.
I’m on over 2.5 Mgs in the Persepolis game odds 1.9 2 units
Afternoon gents,
Icelandic Youth back in action tonight and this particular aspect of the Nordic football scene has been superb in recent seasons when on the prowl for goals.
No reason each of the 4 games won’t match the goal line and I’ll be on the following quad:
(Excuse the abbreviations but I’m not typing out the full combined youth collaboratives ?)
A/H/A VS. KR (19.00)
I/K/K VS. S/H/A/A (19.00)
THROTTUR VS. VIKINGUR (19.00)
F/E VS. F/U (21.00)
OVER 2.5 MGS…1.89/1
???
Best of luck.
A/H/A VS. KR
I/K/K VS. S/H/A/A
F/E VS. F/U
Is this some sort of Klingon speak shaker ??
I did leave a klingon hand signal in response Parsley – been deleted so maybe it came out as a different hand signal ?
Was just a blank.
About sums up my brain today Mr F – sorry.
Leave it to the last second eh kids.
Going for 2 L15’s…
5.00 Levadia v Tulevik >1.5mgs
5.00 Sillamae v Tammeka >1.5mgs
5.00 Kalju v Narva >1.5mgs
6.00 GAIS v Gefle >2.5mgs
5.00 Levadia v Tulevik >2.5mgs
5.00 Sillamae v Tammeka >2.5mgs
5.00 Kalju v Narva >2.5mgs
6.00 GAIS v Gefle >2.5mgs
Good luck with your bets this evening all…
Inter turku vs kemi——————-over 1.5 fhgs
Inter turku vs kemi——————-over 1.5 fhgs **WON**
ODDS WAS 3.00
Nice work ?
Nice one, unfortunately the goals were not scored by the right team for me.
Hello guys,
is anyone here find also The Strongest under estimated?
I can see btts to this game, also X2 double chance but …
Where i can check for closer team news? Help please…
Drogheda over 2.5mgs
Paris over 2gl
Double returns 2/1
Paris should be 1.5,2 GL
Done similar to Mr fix it but can’t see Derry netting.
Dundalk won last 3 homes to nil and are returning to form.
Derry blanked in 3 of last five away, 2 at galway who are rubbish, and scored just one in the other two games.
Bray over 1.5 tg
Dundalk win to nil
I’m no expert on Irish football and like to be guided by Sean Ireland.
I can see Derry scoring though – they are unbeaten in 7 and the last 4 meetings between the sides have gone over 2.5 goals with both scoring.
Good thing is one of us will be right.
persepolis draw a blank
tonights bets
double
drogheda v bray over 2.5
dundalk v derry over 1.5 mgs
odds 2.00 2.5 units
double
drogheda v bray over 1.5 mgs
dundalk v derry over 1.5 mgs
odds 2.00 2.5 units
@barman I tend to use the clubs twitter for news in SA also a couple of other websites that I cant post up as carry links and ads to other tipsters/forums etc………….
as far I can see the strongest have taken a full squad to Colombia for the game and have no major injuries or suspensions, I will be on the game in some shape or form later but only just in from work and not had a proper look yet, I don’t put up reasoning though just put up my bets @hullshaker is the man to follow in SA as always gives good reasoning
Thank you very much
Al Merreikh – Etoile (started 5min ago)
Btts in 1st half @4.00
O2.5 fhgs @6.25
Small bets. Good luck. :)
Benevento calcio too win
Paris vs Orleans btts
Bohemians vs limerick over 2.5 gls
Drogheda vs bray wanderers over 2.5 gls
Nacional de football vs athletic lands btts
30/1
ps not sure which websites hull uses for research and don’t really wish to know which websites he frequents either……………..
Orleans – Draw No Bet @ 11/10 ????
@barman – like Crane says, club twitter feeds for team news. Re the game itself, could be a tight game with The Strongest just needing to avoid defeat to go through…they could well park the bus!
Benevento RT9 corners 21/10. 5-2 up
The Night Owl sees me swerving the bright lights of the Copa Libertadores in favour of the more humble pull of the Argentinian Cup…
TALLERES CÓRDOBA VS. DEFENSORES DE BELGRANO (22.00 KO):
Not much of a write-up as have some business to attend to – cue Craneguy’s invitation to make copius jokes about ‘trouble at mill’/’escaped ferrets’ ?
I think the price for Cordoba team goals is tempting and am also taking both teams to score in the opening ’45 simply because it is too big for any SA game and Cordoba have kept just one clean sheet in 8 (which ironically reflects Crane’s ‘dry sleep-through’ personal best)
OVER 1.5 CORDOBA TGS…10/11
??
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/2
?
Best of luck!
No joy – but the 11/2 btts 1st half was close with an away goal chalked off in the opening 5 minutes.
business to attend to hull eh………… a wasn’t even going to mention t’mill or t’ferrets………… just hope james herriot is able tae sort oot yer prize hare coursing whippet…………….
Tuesday
poli overs, Drogheda o1.5mgs, paris fc o1.5mgs 5/2
Trixie
poli o3.5mgs, Dundalk btts&overs, benvenito o1.5tgs all 3 returns just under 10/1
poli overs, Dundalk btts&overs, paris o1.5tgs 6/1
shoe in…………….
poli overs, Dundalk btts&overs, benvenito o1.5tgs, paris o1.5mgs 16/1
total wipeoot severe lack of goals…………. WD all with winners…………..
INPLAY – 77 mins
Dundalk WIN
12/5
Bet365 – 1 Point
Double was no where near as lack of goals tonight
Night owl
Chapecoense
Club nacional
Over 1.5tgs double returns 23/10
Well done any winnners & good luck all on a late one
Nacional btts & overs 8/5
Might have a chance also
INPLAY – 77 mins
Dundalk WIN
12/5
Bet365 – 1 Point
**LOST** – Fancied a late goal, never mind.
May Profit/Loss: +49.85 Points
nite owls
santa fe btts&overs 17/10
chapecoense o1.5tgs, club nacional o1.5mgs, santos o1.5tgs 5/2
all 4 just over 9/1
Orleans – Draw No Bet @ 11/10 ????
* WON * ?
nice one vishal WD sir……………