I BOUNCED back from the Aston Villa DNB nightmare by landing a 7pt Super Single as Barcelona clinched the Spanish title with a 1-0 win at Atletico Madrid.
It was almost a full house with my 3-1 both teams to score treble winning easily – there were 15 goals in my three picks at Sassuolo, Den Haag and Atalanta – but Valencia beat the too Treble when they were surprisingly held at home to Celta and give Sevilla a chance of pipping them to a Champions League spot.
I’ve taken 1pt off my profit on Barca after covering the draw at 9-2 and I’ve no regrets about doing so.
It looked to have been a good enough day on the site and again it was mainly about goals so maybe when I sit down discuss our plans for next season (and changes are guaranteed) there will be more goals tips.
On Monday there’s a dead game between West Brom and Chelsea and with Jose Mourinho putting out a strong side I’m adding a late Super Single of Chelsea to win. Mourinho must mean business with that line up – and it worked today for Johnb with his 16-1 tip.
There are two matches in Serie A with Champions League chasers Napoli – a team we always worry about trusting – trying to recover from their Europa League exit in Ukraine by beating relegated Cesena at home.
Surely they won’t let us down this time but both Napoli and Fiorentina, at home to relegated Parma, are short prices so we really need them to win by at least two.
Besiktas must win at home to Konyaspor to have a chance of staying in the Turkish title hunt and there are some Scandinavian games to look at.
Many people will throw Napoli, Fiorentina and Besiktas together on a line and the treble pays about 4-5 with Ladbrokes but I’m not sure that’s value with both Italian clubs out of form and in Besiktas feeling the pressure too.
Matches come thick and fast in the Ireland and champions and unbeaten league leaders Dundalk travel to non-league UCC in the League Cup after letting us down on Friday by only beating Derry 1-0.
They are generally available at 1-4 – although I noticed William Hill coupons have 1-14 – and boss Stephen Kenny has confirmed he will rotate his squad with youth players Georgie Poynton, Anton Reilly, Paul Finnegan and Ciaran O’Connor getting a run-out.
This is the first meeting between the sides so there is no h2h history but Dundalk are the holders and will keen to progress to the semi-finals. They’re likely to win but by how much would just be a guess because while UCC have taken some decent scalps in the tournament I don’t know how good they are.
In Sweden Djurgarden can go top with a win at Halmstad and are a best 11-10 with bet365 and Ladbrokes. Djurgarden have won five in a row and face a second-bottom side with just one win in the entire campaign – although it was a decent one against Elfsborg.
Djurgarden have netted 17 goals in their eight games – 13 in their last four – and striker Nyasha Mushekwi is the league’s top scorer with seven goals in six starts. He is 5-1 at bet365 to break the deadlock and 8-5 to net at any time.
I thought about taking Djurgarden to score 2+ as the Super Single but it’s just 21-20 at Coral so with Halmstad unlikely to net two – they’ve bagged just four all season – I’m going with the straight win. Djurgarden lost this fixture last season but won on their two previous visits.
Instead of taking Napoli, Fiorentina and Besiktas to win I’m doing a 1pt treble on both to score in all three matches and the odds reflect the chances so be careful.
Napoli have kept just one clean sheet in seven and face a side who have been playing with a bit of freedom since being relegated with six goals in four games. Fiorentina have conceded 14 in six so although they tackle a poor Parma outfit their defence is fragile and Parma have netted five on their last five visits to Florence – although on three occasions they drew a blank.
Konyaspor are tricky opponents and their last five meetings with Besiktas have seen both score so it’s worth taking. Odds are on the treble are so good a Trixie can be done but I’m sticking with the 1pt treble.
3pts Super Single
(11-10, bet365, Ladbrokes)
6pts Late Super Single
(4-5, Stan James)
1pt Top Treble
Napoli v Cesena btts (8pm)
Fiorentina v Parma btts (6pm)
Besiktas v Konyaspor btts (6pm)
May Super Single record
18 bets (6 winners, 12 losers)
May Top Treble record
15 bets (7 winners, 78losers)
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