May 18: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB has high hopes for Thursday with two strong fancies.

He says: “If you have been on this thread long enough you may remember Right Of Appeal. The date was the 16th January 2014. I said bets like these don’t come around often as he was so well handicapped that he simply couldn’t get beat.

He had been raced over 6f to get a handicap mark then raised to 12f for his handicap debut, Right Of Appeal strolled to victory by 6 lengths. Fast forward over 3 years and we have another horse – Tribute Act – that is just as well handicapped. on debut she won with any amount in hand after being slowly away and running green she then idled slightly in front but won well enough.

A mark of 75 should prove to be insultingly low for what I think should be a horse that eventually goes on to Group One races. She is well bred and the step up in distance is what she needs, she is also well related and well regarded.

The 218 days off could be a concern along with the fact this yard haven’t had a winner in their last 20 runners but they have been running well and even a semi-fit Tribute Act should be winning this. But as we all know anything can happen from bad rides to horses stumbling, I have had them all.

On any other day of the year So Mi Dar would have been an easy double stake tip but not Thursday. 6-1 Tribute Act is massive.”

Johnb’s Thursday Tips

York 2:55
So Mi Dar 11-10 bet365

Newmarket 8:00
Tribute Act 6-1 NAP/NB bet365(double stake)

Double 13.7-1 bet365

 

Antepost Tip

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98 Comments
  1. Profile photo of leando
    leando 1 week ago

    3.30 york
    Benbatl

  2. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 week ago

    Nap/Nb Vanishing Point 5/4. 7.00 Clonmel 5Pts

    May +18.5Pts

  3. Profile photo of njbettor
    njbettor 1 week ago

    YORK

    2.20 – Not so sleepy (28/1 sky)
    £2 E/w
    Sky paying 1/5 on first 6 places
    ** LOST **
    Live commentary said he finished 5th meaning a winner, however commentator got it wrong and he finished 8th

    2.55 – Muntadab (7/1 sky)
    £5 win
    ** LOST **
    By a head

    3.30 – The tin man (6/1 hills)
    £5 win
    ** LOST **

    4.35 – The Chessman (9/4 paddypower)
    £20 win
    ** NON RUNNER **

    YARMOUTH

    2.10 – Rubensian (6/1 hills)
    £5 win
    ** NON RUNNER **

    3.50 – Ross Raith Rover (9/2 sky)
    £10 win
    ** WON **

    4.55 – Sailly Sunset (9/4 hills)
    £20 win
    ** LOST **
    Poor run

    WORCESTER

    2.30 – Druids Folly (9/4 hills)
    £10
    ** LOST **
    Ran at 10/11 SP too

    3.40 – Amron Kali (2/1 paddypower) *** NAP ***
    £30 win
    ** WON **

    4.45 – Muffins for tea (9/4 hills)
    £10 win
    ** LOST **
    Ran at 4/6 SP too

    BATH

    6.25 – Attain (6/4 hills) *** EVENING NAP ***
    £40 win
    ** LOST **
    Won over C+D last week in a class 4, couldn’t repeat in a class 5 today, thoroughly disappointing

    6.55 – Star of Lombardy (13/2 hills)
    £5 win
    ** LOST **
    Crapola

    7.55 – Powerful Dream (6/1 sky)
    £5 win
    ** LOST **
    Couldn’t stay on

    PERTH

    6.35 – Welcome Ben (4/1 sky)
    £10 win
    ** WON **

    9.05 – Creenytennant (5/4 sky)
    £10 win
    ** WON **

    PUNCHESTOWN

    6.45 – Stonehill Jack (7/2 hills)
    £10 win
    ** LOST **
    Terrible run from him

    7.45 – Coeur Joyeaux (9/4 hills)
    £10 win
    ** LOST **
    2nd place

    ———————————-

    Sorry if anyone followed today, very poor from me, really fancied chessman so pity he was a non runner and attain was very disappointing tonight.
    Onto tomorrow and will be re-researching before posting tips!

    Only a profit of £21.25 today!

    • Profile photo of njbettor
      njbettor 1 week ago

      Profit of £198.13 in the 3 days of posting

      • Profile photo of unicorn
        unicorn 1 week ago

        Hi NJBETTOR – I will not say anything negative against folk bashing bookies. However your system is very hard to quantify – REAL profit.

        I mean in thoery you could put £10k on a day over random bets and end up £21.25 up for the day. But margins are small (always good).

        I just wondered if you can tell me how much you put on to get your % increase? or is it just what you have in your pocket.

        Kindest Regards

        UNICORN.

        PS. Sorry for asking, just ot clear things up.

  4. Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
    jazzerbhoy 1 week ago

    JohnB I’ve not had a bet for a while as I have been saving for the right day.
    I think your selections and the confidence is the day I’ve been waiting on.
    So it’s £500 win So Mi Dar at 11/10 just can’t see it getting beat.
    £100 ew Tribute act just the fact it’s been off so long makes me play ew. 6/1.
    £50 dble. Good luck to all.

  5. Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
    jazzerbhoy 1 week ago

    Johnb they are onto you m8 tribute act as low as 11/4 now.

    • Profile photo of billy boy
      billy boy 1 week ago

      Tribute Act has thousands off owners they would have had newsletter email telling them about the horse that’s why there is money for it. Elite Racing Club

      • Profile photo of philip66
        philip66 1 week ago

        I’ve known Fanshawe been in better form. Not for me today. Would break the golden rule … No wins in last week …don’t bet.

  6. Profile photo of quazeehorses
    quazeehorses 1 week ago

    Vanishing point good spot!

  7. Profile photo of njbettor
    njbettor 1 week ago

    2 hours of research shows these…

    YORK

    3.30 – Benbatl (6/1 sky) £10 E/W
    Can get 7/1 on PP for win but sky paying extra EW place
    1/4 1-2-3-4

    4.35 – Ardad (5/2 PP) £10

    SALISBURY

    2.45 – Sans souce bay (2/1 365) £10

    4.25 – Elas Ruby (4/1 365) £10

    PERTH

    2 – Enzani (11/8 365) £25
    **** NAP ****

    3.05 – Pretty Miss Mahler (5/1 365) £10 EW
    1/4 1-2-3

    FONTWELL

    6.10 – Excitable Island (5/1 Betfred) £5 EW
    1/4 1-2

    NEWBURY

    6.20 – Hold Sway (3/1 PP) £10 win

    6.50 – Opposition (5/1 PP) £10 win

    8 – Tribute Act (7/2 PP) £10
    Johns tip be rude not to

    8.30 – Rashfords Double (16/1 365) £5 EW
    *** GREAT VALUE BET ***
    1/5 1-2-3

    CLONMEL

    6 – Ornua (7/4 sky) £10

    7 – Conna Cross (3/1 hills) £10

    BOL ALL👍

  8. Profile photo of generous
    generous 1 week ago

    2 points lost yesterday
    38 up for may
    Today’s selection
    So mi Dar york nap/nb
    2 points win (use bpg)
    Gluk all..
    Well done all winners yesterday.

  9. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 week ago

    Got some reddies to play with after a nice return on a lucky 15 without a winner

    So Di Mar
    Cracksman
    Tribute act
    alarm nap

    And another ew l15

    Poyle vinnie 2-20
    Syphax 3-30
    instant attraction 4-05
    Grumeti 5-35

    Let’s hope for another good day all

  10. Profile photo of kingkris
    kingkris 1 week ago

    So mi dar and cracksman non runners today due to soft ground

  11. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 week ago

    Cracksman and so di Mar out!!!

  12. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 1 week ago

    Well that sucks I had high hopes in cracksman so much far and tribute act treble now I almost feel as though the betting god is saying cash out lol I’ll let it run 100 quid @11-2 hope tribute act pulls it off

  13. Profile photo of jimba
    jimba 1 week ago

    Morning all, well done all winners yesterday👍, on johnbs nap/nb and small e/w punt on njbettors tip in 8.30. GL🍀🏇

  14. Profile photo of leando
    leando 1 week ago

    Tribute Act by exceed and excel wouldn’t want it too soft. Going is good to soft so might get away with it.
    Bit if it becomes drying and tacky may not be ideal.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 week ago

      Exceed and Excel has more of a preference for all weather or fir ground but as for the other going types Heavy, Soft, Good to Soft, Good, Good to Firm there isn’t a lot of difference between progeny results, also the horses action says she could handle most types of ground

  15. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 1 week ago

    York
    2.55 – Queen’s Trust– 5/2- 3 points

    Good Luck all

  16. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 week ago

    Vanity Queen ,Wolf Country,Mont Kiara GL.

  17. Profile photo of fivebarone
    fivebarone 1 week ago

    Well done yesterdays winners

    Good day yesterday myself with a 5/1 and 6/4 winners so + 3.5 on the day

    5.05 . York. Red Force One 9/1 . 0.5 points E/W

    4.25 . Salisbury . White Chocolate. 10/3

    4.15 . Perth. Caius Marcius. 9/4
    4.45 . Perth . Coopers Friend. 5/1
    5.20 . Tekthelot . 7/2

    Now + 42 points up to just one point stakes after 18 days

    Best of luck with your bets today guys

  18. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 1 week ago

    Will benbatl handle the soft ground ?

  19. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 week ago

    Hi everyone I’m putting up up garlic spirit in the 1-40 sal he was a big price last night when I got word for him again big price early this morning when I went to back him all I got was 7/2 got very good word again hopefully this one can make up for the one I gave last time who lost

  20. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 1 week ago

    Morning all,

    When your luck is out gambling can be a harsh mistress. Everything transpired against me yesterday and Speed Company forfeited ground at the start – chance gone and Willie Carson gave Swilly Sunset the strangest ride I can recall at Yarmouth in years. I can only apologise to anyone who has followed me thus far this month hopefully the tide will turn soon. Sticking with the systems that have proved me well since I started on here back in November here are my bets today:

    15.30 York – Benbatl 7/2

    With Cracksman missing the Dante Benbatl has taken over at the top of the market. He caught the eye on his debut when hacking up by 7 lengths at Donny before finishing a close third in the Craven. He stayed on late on that day and todays step up in trip should be ideal. Moreover, Pat Cosgrave has a fantastic record when riding for Saeed Bin Suroor and hopefully he can enhance that today (3 points win @ 7/2).

    16.05 York – Here Comes When 12/1 EW & Top Notch Tonto 12/1 EW (6 places)

    Two horses who will relish conditions on the Knavesmire this afternoon are Here Comes When and Top Notch Tonto. Both horses were class performers in their youth but have endured a tough time lately, but thus both look well handicapped today. With skybet paying 6 places I am happy to take them both each way – 1 point each way on both @ 12/1 + 0.10 reverse forecast (0.20 total).

    17.20 Perth – Gold Chain 3/1

    Sometimes it’s vital to know the right time to catch a horse and Gold Chain looks to have a great chance of recording a two-day double today. She loves it around Perth and last June she recorded a similar double (2 in 2 days) under near identical conditions. The promising Lorcan Murtagh takes a handy 7lbs off her back and with everything in place Gold Chain looks worthy of a bet (3 points win @ 3/1).

    17.35 York – Graceland 7/2

    Graceland looked like a horse to keep on side last time at Ascot when she relished the step up in distance. She beat a useful bunch of stayers that day and I think with further improvement to come over this trip she can win again under a 5lb penalty. She has some decent form on soft and rates as a good bet in my eyes ( 3 points win @ 7/2).

    19.25 Newmarket – Jelela 5/6

    Very rare that I back an odds on shot but I think Jelela must have an outstanding chance this evening. I backed her with an increased stake last time at Wolverhampton when she finished a close second to a horse that was massively overpriced at 25/1. Her second Wood Ditton at Newmarket is solid form and hopefully she can finally get her head in front this evening. I am glad that Frankie is back in the saddle as he has been riding out of his skin in recent weeks and the drop down to 7F shouldn’t inconvenience. With everything in place I am happy to play 7.5 points win @ 5/6.

    20.30 Newmarket – Warrior’s Spirit 2/1 & Insure 3 Place 1/1

    Warrior’s Spirit comes out of one of my races to follow, the 16.10 at Newbury on the 21st of April has seen 2 winners and a close second come out of the field and is a race to keep on side. Warrior’s Spirit finished 7th but didn’t quite get the race run to suit and there were lots of positives to take out of that run. With fitness now on his side he looks sure to go close this evening. His mark of 81 looks very generous as his maiden win last season saw him beat Crystal Ocean (short for the Dante today) on good to soft ground so conditions should be spot on tonight. I am very confident of a big run this evening from Warrior’s Spirit but given my recent form I am going to play an increased 13 points @ 1/1 on the insure 3 place market and a further 2 points on the win market @ 2/1.

    Otherbets:
    1 point win double: Jelela 5/6 & Warrior’s Spirit 2/1

    0.10 point Lucky 31 on: Jelela, Warrior’s Spirit, Graceland, Gold Chain & Benbatl (3.1 in total).

    Many thanks and GL to all

    May: -83.70

    Overall: +123.44

  21. Profile photo of generous
    generous 1 week ago

    Rn today
    Having a dabble with 3 ftouters
    Bodybuilder 140 sal
    Circulation 355 sal
    New empire 505 y
    1 point on each
    Gluk all.

  22. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 1 week ago

    Nurse nightingale 2/1 -nap
    3.55 Salisbury

    Murdad khan 14/1-nb
    4.05 York -ew

    Double

  23. Profile photo of smurf99
    smurf99 1 week ago

    Johnb do u think the main reason tribute act has been well backed is because its owned by a syndicate with lots of owners?

  24. Profile photo of barton4life
    barton4life 1 week ago

    Tribute Act has started drifting as of last night. 11/4 out to 7/2 . Wonder is it down to ground concerns, meant to be wet in Newmarket this evening.

  25. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 1 week ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Justice good 2.20y 9/1
    Madam prancealot 2.45s 10/1
    Swiss storm 3.30y 16/1
    Top notch tonto 4.05y 12/1
    Blue hussar 5.35y 14/1
    Excellent puck 6.50n 25/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63🍀Gl all

  26. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 week ago

    Not going to be on for a bit as I am going to be busy working at Newbury.

    Fridays Tip is an early one for Saturday

    Fridays Tip
    Lockinge Stakes (Newbury Saturday)
    RIBCHESTER 2/1 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)

    As for Tribute Act, She is still strong in the market as it’s the bookies now wanting to take her on, I also know from other people involved with the horse that Syndicate members haven’t been too well informed about Tribute Acts chances which doesn’t surprise me as it’s not all the same people in charge of Elite Racing as it used to be, standards have slipped and for the amount of members they have they are seriously overcharging now and the perks are pretty poor, “Johnb Racing is the only place to be 😀” as members have already found out

    As I say I will be busy working at Newbury with owners/trainers/horses while also socialising so will be back on here Saturday/Sunday if I don’t get a chance earlier

  27. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 1 week ago

    2-20 York
    Robot Boy 15/2
    6 points win

    37 points down for May 😞

    Good luck everyone today. 😀

  28. Profile photo of recoba
    recoba 1 week ago

    On Benbati in 3.30 already but as I backed it last time at 25/1 I’ll be on a wee Ew on..

    Forrest Ranger…14/1. Ew

    Hope rain doesn’t make to much a difference.

  29. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    oriental class 2.20 forest ranger 3.30 fashion queen 4.35 gaelic tigar 5.35 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday

  30. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 1 week ago

    NAP SCORCHING HEAT 2.10 sal
    NB YOU CANT CATCH ME 7.35 clonmel

    BOL

  31. Profile photo of chilleden
    chilleden 1 week ago

    Yes DC thanks for Scorching Heat – looked like the winner from a long way out.

  32. Profile photo of smurf99
    smurf99 1 week ago

    Fiverbarone would you say you prefer the flat or jumps for your tips? Just trying to work out which are your best to follow

  33. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 1 week ago

    320 s – lupin 3/1 – 2pts
    525 s – white chocolate 9/4 – 1pt
    535 y – graceland 4/1 – 3pts nap

    0.5pts trixie, 8pts staked, points up later. Bol

  34. Profile photo of recoba
    recoba 1 week ago

    Ew Trixie….

    Smart Call
    Thykriaat
    Swiss Cross.

    Already on Forest Ranger 3.30 an Benbati in my Yankee but small stakes on a tough York card imo

  35. Profile photo of fivebarone
    fivebarone 1 week ago

    Caius Marcius .Wins nicely pleased with that for a start.

    Busy rest of day now so best of luck with bets to come guys.

  36. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 week ago

    Well done D/$ and Harry great pick Gl to all tonight

  37. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 1 week ago

    17-50 Ifwecan
    10/1
    5 points win

    Good luck everyone everyone Friday and Sat.

  38. Profile photo of bertie
    bertie 1 week ago

    Harryjw great write ups keep and the good work would you not be worried about the ground for 7.25 jeljela ? Short price and no form on the going ?

  39. Profile photo of njbettor
    njbettor 1 week ago

    @unicorn

    I understand what you mean but you picked it out on a very bad day, what I post stakewise is what I place on early prices with BOG, this is my 4th day posting and it reads as follows…

    Mon
    Staked: £140
    Returned: £211.63
    Profit: £71.63
    Percentage Profit: 51.17%

    Tue
    Stake: £189
    Returned: £294.25
    Profit: £105.25
    Percentage Profit: 55.69%

    Wed
    Stake: £209
    Returned: £230.25
    Profit: £21.25
    Percentage Profit: 10.17%

    Thur
    Stake: £165
    Returned:……….
    Profit:…………
    Got £108.38 back so far with 7 selections yet to run so I’m pretty confident of coming out a nice bit of profit!

    My Naps read…
    Muckle Roe £25 @3/1 WON
    Amron Kali £30 @2/1 WON
    Attain £40 @6/4 LOST
    Enzani £25 @11/8 WON

    That’s 3/4 showing….
    Staked: £120
    Returned: £249.38
    Profit: £129.38
    Profit Percentage: 107%

    As you can see my naps are the most successful, I work for ladbrokes meaning racing is on all day and I love the enjoyment of it that’s why I back more selections than one per day.
    If you look at my actual profit of £71.63, £105.25, £21.25 the last 3 days I’d take that over a percentage any day.
    For example my first day showed a 51.17% profit, for one selection at a £10 stake that’s only £15.17 back so £5.17 profit, but the way I back my horses means I’m actually £71.63 up in one day.
    Not saying there is anything wrong with one selection a day but it’s not my style, it is better for following but I’m just posting all my bets so people can look and follow the ones they fell look good too.

    Hope this helps all👍

  40. Profile photo of chilleden
    chilleden 1 week ago

    Yes Harry – thanks for Gold Chain. He looked in trouble but stayed on beautifully.

  41. Profile photo of chilldean
    chilldean 1 week ago

    hold sway 6″20

    newmarket

    nap 4-1

  42. Profile photo of rorywhite91
    rorywhite91 1 week ago

    Had word on Peter port in the 4.15 at Newbury tomorrow, 4/1 currently, price will fall massively. Good luck

  43. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 1 week ago

    Small ew NOT TOUCH here at clonmel

  44. Profile photo of bertie
    bertie 1 week ago

    Well done harryjw on the 7.25 jeljela I was worried about the ground but just got up for the win well done again look forward to your next write up

    • Profile photo of philip66
      philip66 1 week ago

      Yeah good stuff today harry, about time you won by a nose! Usually evens itself out. Hopefully the last un wins, cut back some of this month’s losses. You deserve a bit more luck. Keep it up!

  45. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 week ago

    Well that’s one way to blow a months profit 😂😂😂

  46. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 1 week ago

    Just shows how irrelevant everything is in horse racing, SDS crushing at the minute, can do all the race studying you like but its pointless as horse racing is effectively a lottery.

  47. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    ocean air 8.30

  48. Profile photo of quazeehorses
    quazeehorses 1 week ago

    Come on warriors tale actually feeling confident🤣Nice one Alanm was on that as quick as I could what a pick even with a unusual ride!

  49. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 1 week ago

    SDS! phenominal

  50. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 1 week ago

    Looks like bad news regarding Churchill for the derby lads……https://twitter.com/aobrienfansite/status/865292605067849729/photo/1

  51. Profile photo of njbettor
    njbettor 1 week ago

    2 hours of research shows these…

    YORK

    3.30 – Benbatl (6/1 sky) £10 E/W
    ** PLACED **
    Rule 4 meant place profit was gone and a loss of £1, 2nd place

    4.35 – Ardad (5/2 PP) £10
    ** LOST **
    Don’t know what happened in that race?! 20/1 winner and 9/1 2nd

    SALISBURY

    2.45 – Sans souce bay (2/1 365) £10
    ** WON **

    4.25 – Elas Ruby (4/1 365) £10
    ** NON-RUNNER **

    PERTH

    2 – Enzani (11/8 365) £25
    **** NAP ****
    ** WON **
    NAP as easy as you like

    3.05 – Pretty Miss Mahler (5/1 365) £10 EW
    ** LOST **
    Very poor run from previous C+D winner

    FONTWELL

    6.10 – Excitable Island (5/1 Betfred) £5 EW
    1/4 1-2
    ** PLACED **
    2nd, looked comfortable and ran at 15/8 but couldn’t catch 10/1 winner, little profit

    NEWBURY

    6.20 – Hold Sway (3/1 PP) £10 win
    ** WON **

    6.50 – Opposition (5/1 PP) £10 win
    ** LOST **
    Very poor

    8 – Tribute Act (7/2 PP) £10
    Johns tip be rude not to
    ** LOST **
    Poor start didn’t help

    8.30 – Rashfords Double (16/1 365) £5 EW
    *** GREAT VALUE BET ***
    ** LOST **
    Tired 3/4 the way there

    CLONMEL

    6 – Ornua (7/4 sky) £10
    ** WON **

    7 – Conna Cross (3/1 hills) £10
    ** LOST **
    3rd

    Profit of £32.13, take it but wanted a lot more today!
    Onto tomorrow…

    Profit of £230.26 in first 4 days, will total until hit weekly figures then start afresh,

    Well done all winners

  52. Profile photo of generous
    generous 1 week ago

    +35 may
    Clever cookie york 7/1 bpg
    Gluk all nap /nb double stake.

  53. Profile photo of njbettor
    njbettor 1 week ago

    @admin why do my comments keep needing moderation???

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