My Super Single was a toss-up between over 2.5 goals at Wycombe and over 2.5 at Fiorentina.
Luckily I picked the former at 11-10 because I’d have been gutted at taking the other after the Italians missed a penalty in their 2-0 defeat to Sevilla.
And that terrible spot-kick over the bar would have beaten my 1pt top treble if I’d put it up. I was pleased with Carlos Bacca scoring but Fiorentina should have been on target and made it tougher for the holders.
Tonight Scottish champions Celtic travel to St Johnstone and I’ve posted a separate preview on a match where team news will be vital with the visitors resting a few.
And in England the big match sees Middlesbrough start at home to Brentford in the Championship play-off semi-final with a 2-1 lead. Boro are no bigger than 1-6 at Ladbrokes and William Hill to qualify but I reckon they’ll increase their advantage and are 21-20 at McBookie and BetVictor.
In the League of Ireland much focus will be on unbeaten duo Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers. Dundalk tackle Derry at home and Rovers take on Longford Town. The double pays 7-10 at Paddy Power and Ladbrokes.
We made a few quid backing Dundalk on the handicaps as they won their last home game 8-1 against Bray and while they should beat Derry comfortably it will be nothing like that score.
Dundalk have won four five of their last five at home to Derry – and those scores were 5-0, 3-0, 3-0 and 4-0. So Dundalk -2 has to be considered at 12-5 with Paddy Power and -1 is value at 5-6 with bet365.
And after thinking about it a bit more I’m putting those up as a split Super Single.
Rovers have won their last four against Longford with the last two at home finishing 3-0 and 4-0. They are 11-10 with Paddy Power -1 but it’s worth noting they have netted just 15 goals in their 12 games – half Dundalk’s tally.
On the continent Serie B champions Carpi head to a Perugia side who will just about seal a promotion play-off spot with a win. I’ll need to look into this a bit more but with something at stake the home men are interesting at 11-13 with 888sport.
Perugia are unbeaten in 11 although six of them have been draws while Carpi were held 0-0 at home to relegation-threatened Virtus last week having already clinched top spot. I’ve read Carpi are missing several key players so if that’s the case Perugia look a good bet.
Elsewhere there are Dutch play-offs, French lower-league matches (many of which mean nothing) and plenty of games across the continent.
As usual on a Friday my focus is on my Saturday Daily Record column but I’ve taken a little time to have another look at tonight’s games and have come up with a treble. I was tempted to St Johnstone +2 on there but confirmation of team line-ups is needed before parting with our hard-earned although it’s good to respected tipster and St Johnstone fan Greg Browning is also backing the +2.
It looks to me like everyone and my dug is on Dundalk so as they say in for a penny in for a pound. Dundalk -1 kicks off the Top Treble and I’m adding Perugia and over 2.5 goals in the Dutch play-off quarter-final second leg between VVV and Top Oss.
VVV won the first leg 2-1 so Oss will have to attack them and with the last 10 meetings between the sides seeing over 2.5 goals and both to score there should be plenty of action.
Perugia is the risky for sure and alternatives include Orleans at Arles in French Ligue 2, Shamrock v Longford and Sparta Prague -1 at home to Slovacko. Good luck with whatever you decide to do.
4pts Dundalk -1 (7.45pm)
2pts Dundalk -2
(12-5, Paddy Power)
2pt Top Treble
VVV v Top Oss over 2.5 goals (5.30pm)
May Super Single record
14 bets (5 winners, 9 losers)
May Top Treble record
12 bets (6 winners, 6 losers)
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