JOHNB ended empty-handed on Thursday with his two tips unable to bring home the bacon.
Our man is now 16.95pts down for May and hoping for a fabulous Friday.
His tips have now been added and let’s hear all the picks from the usual suspects to get the thread started.
Johnb’s Friday Tips
Chester 1:50
Lat Hawill 20-1 Stan James
Ascot 6:05
Ertiyad 7-1 Stan James
7:50
Venturous 8-1 NAP Stan James
Nottingham 8:00
Lunar Jet 4-1 NB Stan James
Also 0.25pt Yankee
Antepost Tip
- 2017 Derby – CHURCHILL 33-1 Racebets (now 7-1)
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Archippos 15/2 -nb
Chester 5.05
Angel of the south 6/1-nap
Ascot 6.05
Double 58/1 e/w
Midterm Chester nap7/2
Bpg
Probably a nb in the morning Gluk all.
Wasm nb 545 nott
14/1 bpg 1 point win singles
Gluk all.
Is there anywhere that you can search to see if a trainer and/or jockey are going to a meeting just with 1 horse? For example, Rebellion Boy was the only runner for Harrington and Power at tipperary yesterday, and it won at 7/1. Then Fabulous Saga also won on the same card, and it was Mullins/Mullins combo only runner at that meeting too
Use Racing post online, search for trainer by name, when you select the trainer a pop-up will appear, click on entries.
Harrington and power only one runner tonight again flaviana 730 kilbeggan tho she does have there you go in the race as well
They also run bandana in the first bud
Landana lol
Strange one today, 3.35 chester, Gay Kellaway runs Cosmelli for first time (over here), F Norton booked. Why would you run a horse with no official rating in Gr3 ?????? Lets say it does nothing today, where does the handicapper start when he comes to giving this horse a rating? If it finishes in front of the lowest rated horses (100) surely he has to start from that mark? and if this horse is not true group class a mark of 100 would seriously hamper any chances in handicaps.
Just seems like a dangerous ploy from trainer/connections to me. ?????????
He has a rating from the Bha of 103
Thanks. Rating not listed on race card (RP) but yeah it is in the horse profile, I’ll dig a bit deeper before posting next time 😉
Fridays Tips
Chester
1:50
Lat Hawill 20/1 Stan James
Ascot
6:05
Ertiyad 7/1 Stan James
7:50
Venturous 8/1 NAP Stan James
Nottingham
8:00
Lunar Jet 4/1 NB Stan James
Also 0.25pt Yankee
Stats should say -16.95 pts
Well done yesterdays winners
One winner myself 7/2 so just – 0.5 on the day
3.55 Lingfield . Raffle King 6/1
4.15 Market R . Whitsundays 2/1
4.45 Market R . Pawn Star . 11/4
4.35 Chester . Reflektor 11/1 E/W . Put this one up the other day when it was withdrawn late sticking with it
5.05 Chester . St Marys 10/1 E/W
1 Point wins as normal and 0.5 E/W bets total 5 points
Now + 32.75 points total to just a one point stakes after 14 days.
Best of luck with your bets today guys.
Fivebaron
I’ve got my eye on reflektor too, this is the trainers comments……
REFLEKTOR
4 ch g Bahamian Bounty – Baby Bunting
Winner of two of his 10 starts and currently rated 96. Beaten a neck by Justice Angel at Chester (6f) in May of last year and by Celebration at the same course (5f) in June of last year.
“He has a preference for soft ground and is entered at Chester. He is only tiny but give his all and given the right situation he is capable of winning off 96.”
Would look like he needs some rain which there is forecast, not sure how much though so going to wait until later today before deciding.
Good luck
Also for anyone interested in Hillbilly boy in the first, here are the trainers comments…..
HILLBILLY BOY
7 b g Haafhd – Erreur
Winner of ten of his 39 starts. Completed a hat trick at Chester last Summer when beating Danzeno half a length in a six furlong listed contest in July.
“He is an amazing horse and I absolutely adore him. He always give his best and handles cut in the ground and loves Chester. He won three there last year and will probably go back there this week but we desperately need rain.”
Again it looks like this one needs rain and I’m not sure there will be enough to change the going too much, also imo he’s got too much weight anyway.
Over40 Has been stated it needs softer ground and was pulled out of the race other day probably hoping rain would appear before todays entry.Rain has not come at Chester and would be to late today.But when it was beaten by
Justice Angel at this meeting last year by a short head it was carrying 9st 7 today 9st 4 and the going that day was good anyway so the form on good is there.Still give it a good E/W CHANCE
Best of luck
Had a look at Dundalk tonight DC? I see Bottle Of Smoke is running in the 6.45 who you tipped when he bolted up last time.
Chilleden
Yes had a look. Its not a great card but will hopefully find one or two to have a go on. BOS has a good chance of going in again but is carrying a penalty and is a bit short for me. I might have a look at something at an ew price in that race
Will put them up later
GL
Cliffs of moher 2.25
Purely for my antepost Derby bet
Edward Lewis 3.20
Had a little whisper on this one
Double nap/nb
On this jimron12
Gl today pal
Also on. Good start and good luck bud !
Lovely drift too 👍👍👍
Wd sir lovely dbl
Hi johnb should Churchill not take part in the Derby who would be ur next choice ?Lets hope he does on at 20’s but there seems mixed opinion that he will how confident are u that he will take his chance.
Has to be cliffs bit special this one is
I think connections know he will run in the Derby, I have no doubt and I think he will win, my next best is between three horses, can’t make my mind up yet
Cracksman 8/1
Sir John Lavery 14/1
Tartini 33/1
I think he’ll run cliffs Venice and cracksmen should give gosden a good shout!
I don’t like doing points but I will for today
Nap/nb 100 pts win major destination 8-35 kilbeggan 7/2
Theplug how ru fella!
U seem keen on this 1 mate!
U had a wisper?
Trotters I’m grand thanks for asking and how is your good self. The reason I put up a 100 point tip is because I got him very good, I normally get a few very good tips from a local jockey and this is one he gave me for tonight but you never no with horses there’s money for him now 4/1 into 11/4 so hopefully he will do the business
Good luck theplug love your confidence
100 pts. I’ll get on lol
On, good luck guys, 100pts lol, got todays wages on it.
1.50C- Gabriels Kaka EW 12/1
Good draw always goes well at Chester, Just been in Paddy Power, they’re paying 4 places.
Also had a small EW on Subcontinent 14/1 Skybet 4 places, in the 5.05C- ex Godolphin, missed all last season, had a recent spin over hurdles, must be rare Venetia Williams runner at Chester and as good apprentice.
Good Luck everyone.
March +61.4
April -10pts
May – 8.91
Lingfield 1:40 kulu 11/10 (paddy power) 1.9pt win
Rosabelle 9/2 3.00 chester
Will hopefully make use of the low draw
Caspian Prince 10/1 ew 4.35 chester
I know hes drawn 10 but has enough early pace to get to the bend in front imo. Its just whether he can hold on to the line
Buckontupence 14/1 ew 3.45 mr
Was withdrawn yesterday. Trainers last 2 runners have both won and both times with L. Treadwell onboard with his only mount. This is also his only mount today.
Ceide Fields 10/1 ew 6.20 kill
Will be watching the previous race closely and hopefully Waitfordave can boost the form as he was behind the selection at Punch LTO in a tougher h’cap than this
BOL
Just to note on Saturday is the French 2000 Guineas as I stated Caravaggio won’t run . It’s interesting to think Adrian obrien could win every big sprinting event .
I’ve taken brametot @ 4/1 he’s now 5/2 he’s the unknown in the race and could improve beyond this field but obrien runs orderofthegarter @ 6/1 he’s the most interesting. And looks good value and can see the price dropping .
ice slice 1.50 evergate 3.00 wall of fire 3.35 highland pass 4.05 win l 15 win singles well done all winners yesterday
Off to Chester races today, any tips are welcome.
See you pick in the first race Johnb, not worried by the high draw ?
Going with this treble today
1.50 Chester Al Hayem
2.25 Cliffs of Moher
3.35 US Army Ranger (to be placed)
Just a tad under 7/1
Good luck
Chester
14-25
Bay of Poets 6/1 4 points win
15-35
Midterm 11/2 3 points win
16-05
Gymnaste 2/1. 1 point win
April plus 100 pts
May plus 15 points
Good luck everyone today 😀
Afternoon all,
Another frustrating day yesterday with nearly all my horses placing or finishing 1 place outside the places. Thankfully Fabulous Saga did give me a small return on the day. Hopefully that might spell the return to form. A very busy day for myself today and I have had no time to study the form therefore today is a no bet day.
Back tomorrow.
Many thanks and GL to all
(Points updated on Monday).
Dundalk picks
5.40 Elusive in Paris
6.45 Mountmills ew
8.25 Ma Fee Heela
9.00 Kiss the Stars ew
BOL
Thanks johnb and others for ur Derby views
Major league unlucky johnb with Lat Hawil looked like it was going to smash it and blocked off.
Great pick bad result.
That’s twice I have put up Lat Hawill, clearly something wrong with the horse last time, today was more like the horse who was finishing faster than anything, slowly away had to sit at the back but got a dream run up the rail with the cut away, only had one last horse to pass to get to the front and got absolutely slaughtered
It’s one of those things but the bad luck seems relentless as it’s happening most days but nothing gets me down, I just look to the next day
mate you owe ppl nothing amount most of us have won on the anteposts alone means it be a good year sooner or later your land one of them huge trebs again its comming
hey JB is that horse you said you was waiting on this weekend running tomoz or sunday mate do you know yet ?
Decent enough performance from cliffs nice turn of foot
Test
Boom lovely drift aswell big stake double landed 😅
Great play jimron. I’m back on evens now with rest of John b and my own selections left , cheers pal
Was on Jimron..cheers.
Early single on Snurkys pick to so thanks guys!
Onto tonight with $s in e bank and bets on already after Judicial bolts up. 😁 👍
Problem posting so quickly n last effort at it.
Afternoon Yankee..
Edward Lewis..3.20
Thaminn..3.55(wee single 2)
Gymnaste…4.05
Judicial…4.35
Typically I give the singles a buy this afternoon and 3/4 come in bar the 1 I’m on. 😂
Needing Judicial(4.35)to bring home the Kevin. ($48 for 3/4 in Yankee)
Forgot I put $s on ThePlugs shout in the last at Killbegan to…7/2.
3:45 MR – Northill
4:45 MR – Rocknrollrambo
Double.
A lot of money been put down in shops today on this double. Never a guarantee but…
Should have mentioned it was one bloke staking it all.
Meansabsokutely nothing mste, i was just in the shop and a guy put £100 on a vortual race that ‘raced’ 4 hours earlier lol.
Eve Picks
Ascot
18-05 Out of Flames 11/4
18-40 Mori 13/8
4 point win double
Trotters and peter I got him very good I missed the 4/1 on him
If he loose i may stay in for the weekend 😂
Mot raced for 400 days plug, crossing my fingers.
Wouldn’t worry about that juicing if anyone can get a horse ready Noel mead can
Money has no value to me so im not concerned inthe slightest, out him a double with my 2030 notting pham selectiom also 😀 5/2, 3/1, 50 nuggets
Hi fellow tipsters I’m off to Hexham tomorrow for the first time would appreciate any tips as looks difficult and not the classiest card thanks
Get in St Marys 14/1 great day Pawn Star as well at 11/4
back tomorrow
Best of luck with bets to come guys
Ripon 7.05
Straighttothepoint
Ascot 7.15
Original choice
Ascot 7.50
Mazzini
Treble
I am really struggling to see why Cliffs Of Moher has been cut in price after today’s performance, it was a really poor field as the ratings told us and he simply hasn’t done near enough to warrant being cut
Probably because O’Brien told everybody it was only just ready to start today and will come on a tone. The horse won that’s the reason the bookies cut it any chance they get to cut odds they take it.
The more of these Derby trials he wins less likely Churchill will step up to mile n half.
Nice first pick D.C at Dundalk. 👍
Have to go against a few as it’s staring me in the face all day. Winston on too it so should be close. Small single n best of luck with your shouts it be tight race imo hence the small stake .
Angel of The South…6.05. 11/2
👎
Unlucky again John gl with Nap.
I’m out here’s hoping ThePlug
Freddy Tylicki doesn’t think Churchill would stay the derby trip. in his column in the RP tomorrow.
Been busy woring last few days, was at -1pt, drifted back to about -8 and then posted two 5pt tips that both got bamboozled. I imagine i am approaching -20, with plug tipping 100pts, i am going to get in the spirit and try to get back into the black with a ome of my super duper loss to profit one time only mega enhanced stakes, lucky you.
10pts, 2030 notts – titus secret 5/2, not got a great rep yet, but he is goijg to be haed fo beat and my money is going down, good luck, worth a small nibble to those with a spare bluey.
All this talk about Churchill not getting 1m 4f
It was exactly the same with Golden Horn and numerous other Derby, Oaks and Guineas winners before I came on here
Epsom is one of the easiest courses to get the distance, if you get 1m 2f anywhere else then you will get it at Epsom if you have a well balanced horse which Churchill is
He may not get it, he may not try it but I firmly believe he will and I trust my own judgement over anyone’s except Tom Malone, Harold Kirk and Patrick Veitch
I don’t think AP O’Brien and the rest will take the risk and go for the Derby. I hope i’m wrong.
John your right Churchill might well be just to good for them not really stay 1m4 but still win even if it stays that still doesn’t mean connections go down that route by the looks of it they have plenty for the derby. What happens if Sir John Lavery hacks up tomorrow? It seems high up the pecking order.
I hope your right john, I’ve had my biggest ever ante post double on Churchill 1000 guineas and derby double as soon as you posted it last year.
Hi all
Wannabe Friends 4.25 Notts GL
Wild Hacked 2.50 Ascot 20/80 GL.
Wasn’t very Impressed by cliffs of moher either. Why would they want to go the Irish guineas route, surely wining the English 2000 guineas he’s already beaten the best in his age category. What would beating the likes of barney Roy and Al wukair again prove. He beat them on his debut for the season. Surely it makes sense to give the derby distance a go.
Because then they can go to Royal Ascot after Irish guineas they have so many horses that will stay mile n half for Derby if Churchill doesn’t go Derby it’s because connections already think they have the race covered by other horses.
I am happy to take johnb’s word regarding the derby.
I do so because I was not really impressed with Churchill in the guineas and I suspect given the £850,000 prize money on offer, his training has focused more on winning the derby, with O’Brien knowing his natural ability will see him take the guineas.
John Churchill has been put in the prix de larc de triumph at 20/1 by boylesports. Minding at 10/1 . Would you fancy either to run a good race john?
Shit sorry guys that’s me staying in for the weekend
I take full responsobility, there is a higher power making any horse i touch lose, 8/11 to actually be true.
Cornflakes for u tonight plug lol. Unlucky mate
No probs theplug.
Next time
BEST SOLUTION 230 L
9/1 NAP /NB SAT.
2 POINTS
nr & 1 loser today
26 up may.
Gluk all