AFTER a wonderful Wednesday I managed to wipe out my monthly Super Single record by putting faith in Napoli.
Form suggested the Champions League contenders would win at Empoli but of course it was never a gimme although the manner of their 4-2 defeat was shocking.
Five points was lost on the Napoli plus Valencia not to lose punt and 0.85 on Gonzalo Higuain to score first to leave my April balance at zero.
That’s disappointing when it was over 20pts up a week or so ago but my choice often comes down to a toss of a coin and even yesterday my bet was close to being Espanyol to win at Granada at a tidy 21-10.
The 2-1 Top Treble I put up was a winner thanks to Rosenborg, Espanyol not to lose and btts at Valerenga. I accept the copy suggested Valerenga to win – but no one reads the words do they?
So we start another month and I’m hoping not to break even with the Super Single but to show a decent profit.
Today’s Super Single in the Daily Record is Leigh Griffiths to score for Celtic at home to Dundee at 5-6 with Betfred and might be the choice on the site.
As usual on a Friday my full focus is on my Saturday newspaper column and I’ll only look at tonight’s card in detail once that’s out of the way.
In La Liga Real Sociedad entertain Levante and there are loads of lower-league games in the likes of Holland, France and Italy to consider.
I’ve not had much time to look at the card so for the Super Single I’m going for Celtic to win at a short price but doubled with both to score at Metz it pays just under evens at Ladbrokes.
Metz are fighting for their lives to avoid the drop and face a Marseille side who have still have hopes of a Champions League place but have lost their last four including a shocking 5-3 defeat at home to Lorient last time out.
Amazingly, Marseille have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 away games while five out of six of Metz’s last six have seen both to score. I’ve even seen Metz tipped to win at a best 7-2.
For the Top Treble I’m on Celtic -1 plus over 2.5 goals at NEC v Jong Ajax and Helmond v Achilles. Champions NEC have hit 98 goals and are aiming for 100 and there’s no sign of them taking their foot off the gas after five wins in a row.
Helmond are an old goals favourite and six of their last seven have gone over 2.5 goals. Since losing 7-0 to NEC they’ve won four out of five in the league and I thought about taking them at 4-5 to win but the goals bet looks the safer option.
4pts Super Single
Metz v Marseille btts (7.30pm)
3pts Top Treble
NEC v Jong Ajax over 2.5 goals (7pm)
Helmond v Achilles over 2.5 goals (7pm)
April Super Single Record
31 bets (13 winners, 17 losers, 1 void)
Remember to check our friends at We Love Betting for all their video tips and chat.
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