THERE was a nice double-stake winner for Johnb on Sunday with 6-4 pick Adamant first past the post at Salisbury.
He has a big-priced Nap among his Monday picks and thanks to everyone who posted a Sunday winner.
Johnb is on an excellent run of five Nap winners in a row and from his last eight there have been six winners and two seconds. Of 27 Naps in April he had 12 winners which is a 44.44 per cent success win rate.
Johnb’s Monday Tips
Diable d’Or 16-1 NAP
Potemkin 15-2 NB
Hell Yeah 13-2
Also 3 x 0.25pt eachway doubles & 1 x 0.25pt eachway treble
April Stats: -39.46pts
Diable d’Or (NAP)
I like a challenge and Bath certainly is a challenge but it’s a challenge that has served me well over the years. The racecourse is situated up high so the wind can be a problem to horses and jockeys, it can be a stiff course because of the 4f uphill finish and the wind. Bath racecourse is the only British course not to have a watering system so it’s no surprise that the course is currently fast with a going stick reading of 10.9 although rain is expected tonight and early Monday morning before drying up again. Diable d’Or is interesting as he ran a career best in the Super Sprint at Newbury but can he reproduce an effort close to that? He hasn’t in his last two runs at Nottingham but both those races he wasn’t ridden to maximum effect and actually the jockey in both those races never used his whip once, it may be the case that he isn’t meant to do anything on Monday and is being saved for better but I just feel with him on a very low handicap mark he has to be near the head of the betting and certainly not a 16-1 shot. The small field is a concern but if he was to show the early speed he showed in the sprint cup then he could burn these away early, surely connections have to take advantage of his pace at a track like this.
The pricing of this horse is strange. This German horse by New Approach is a 6yo but has only had eight runs, he won the Group 2 Prix Dollar at Chantilly where he had Monday’s race joint favourite two lengths back in third and also giving Zarak 5lb and in this race they are off level weights. The main danger should be Godolphin horse Hawkbill but I do like Potemkin a lot, he had to wait till a gap appeared and when the jockey asked him it wasn’t an immediate turn of foot but when it did kick in it was impressive. He then went on to win the Group 1 Premio Roma, he got outpaced in that race but stayed on well to win by an eased down one and a half lengths, the front two pulling clear of the rest.
Bargains in horse racing are available which is proved by this horse. Hell Yeah is an ex Godolphin horse that was bought by Godolphin as a yearling for 70,000 Guineas but sold as an unraced 3yo for £800. He won on debut 623 days ago but hasn’t been seen since. What was impressive about that win was the slow pace, Hell Yeah was always at the back but travelled well throughout. He was still last with just over two furlongs to go but on the bridle, his burst of speed was eye catching. He was so quick he nearly ran up the back of a horse having to be checked up then showing a second burst of speed to romp to victory as the commentator said, when he won that race he had also been entered in a bumper that week. He is definitely the interesting horse of the race and the best value horse of the race as everything he did on debut looked perfect, to do what he did off a slow pace was exceptional.
- 1000 Guineas 2017 – PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 Betfred (now 25-1)
- 2000 Guineas 2017 – CHURCHILL 20-1 bet365 (now 6-4)
- 2017 Derby – CHURCHILL 33-1 Racebets (now 7-1)
- 2000 Guineas 2017 – BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets (now 33-1)
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