MY discipline is beginning to surprise me. There were a few bets I liked on Monday but on the site only one was advised and the double won at 13-10.
On the forum my Bet of the Day and Betting Club both won while Greg and Jordan also had successful nights.
So that’s a little money in the bank for what could be a tricky Tuesday. There are two Champions League return legs – Real Madrid v Roma and Wolfsburg v Gent – and I’m on two homes even though both lead from the away fixtures. I’ve posted a separate Champions League preview.
There’s almost a full Championship card and games in League One and Two and Hull and Arsenal meet in their FA Cup replay. Both sides will be weakened with line-ups similar to those in the 0-0 draw at the Emirates.
Arsenal will probably edge it in a low scorer and they are a best 4-5 at Paddy Power but I can see me leaving this one alone.
In Scotland Aberdeen try to pile the pressure on Celtic by winning at Partick Thistle and there also games in League One and Two – so it’s a busy night but one that should be played carefully and focused on goals as midweek results can be pretty dodgy.
I’ve studied stats, form and team news all morning and it still looks a difficult card. For the Super Single I’m standing by Ipswich at Bolton. Neil Lennon’s men are back at the bottom after a brief improvement and having lost their last three looked doomed.
Ipswich are just one point of the play-offs after back-to-back wins without conceding and if they have serious promotion ambitions this is a must-win game.
In the Championship I considered Cardiff at home to Leeds, Charlton at home to MK Dons and Preston at Nottm Forest but for the Top Treble I’m on Cardiff to score 2+ and leaders Burnley not to lose at Fulham.
Cardiff have netted 11 in their last four as they target the play-offs while Burnley should win at Fulham as they go for five in a row but I’m keeping the draw on side.
Complete the treble in Scotland with Dumbarton who beat Alloa 5-0 in the Scottish Cup when they last met. Alloa are 11 points adrift of Livingston at the foot and virtually down while Dumbarton are just one clear of second-bottom Livingston after losing to them at the weekend so it’s a big game for them.
My only other bet on a night where I’d be happy to break even is a goals treble – starting with both to score at Wolfsburg v Gent which is explained on the Champions League preview.
Add over 2.5 goals at Dunfermline v Albion Rovers. Dunfermline have returned to the free-scoring side we loved at the start of the season with 19 goals in five games and could cover the overs on their own. However, they have conceded in four of their last six and Rovers held second-placed Peterhead to a 1-1 draw at the weekend.
I’m completing the treble with a stats-based pick. Huddersfield and Reading have met three times this season – two 2-2 draws and a 5-2 FA Cup replay win for Reading in January.
Huddersfield haven’t scored in their last two so that’s a concern but three of Reading’s last four have gone over 3.5 goals including a 4-3 win at Charlton on their last road trip.
2pts Super Single
(6-4, William Hill)
1pt Top Treble
Cardiff to score 2+
Burnley not to lose
1pt Goals Treble
Wolfsburg v Gent btts
Dunfermline v Albion Rovs over 2.5 goals
Huddersfield v Reading btts
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March Super Singles Total
8 bets (4 winners, 4 losers)
March Advised Accas Total
10 bets (3 winners, 7 losers)