IT was a fairly quiet Monday night unless you were in the Olympic Stadium in Rome. I suggested with card-happy ref Daniele Orsato in charge there could be loads of bookings and he didn’t let us down with 11 yellows and a red.
William Hill offered 17-10 for seven or more while a red card was 21-10 at Ladbrokes at hope some got on. Mr Orsato’s one to look out for – that’s 71 yellows and four reds he’s shown this season.
I predicted Juventus not to lose but my Super Single (double) was beaten by Elche’s late penalty equaliser at Celta Vigo. However, my goals single of under 2.5 goals in the La Liga match came in at evens.
Bookies were battered last Tuesday to the tune of £50 million with almost all the favourites winning and just two draws on the cards. It was a night to remember for punters, especially followers of big accas, and it was the second time in two months when a full card has gone our way. Last time was on Boxing Day – so could there be hat-trick tonight?
Last midweek all the Championship games went to form but there wasn’t a repeat at the weekend as some losses were clawed back. Tonight there are three odds-on home favourites and I’d leave out Bournemouth at home to Wolves. Eddie Howe’s men are winless in five while their visitors have won four out of five and are scoring for fun. Not to lose Wolves are 11-10 at McBookie.
Middlesbrough should be taken at home to Millwall while Watford should see off Fulham in front of their own fans.
In League two more favourites look good – Sheffield Utd at home to Peterborough and MK Dons against Chesterfield while Swindon will have supporters as they entertain Gillingham. Bradford could be one to leave out ahead of their FA Cup quarter-final at the weekend.
There are three matches in the Premier League with Aston Villa facing West Brom, Stoke taking on Hull and Crystal Palace travelling to Southampton. New Villa boss Tim Sherwood is pointless.
It’s two defeats out of two since replacing Paul Lambert and seven in a row for Villa. But get this – they are favourites to beat Midlands rival West Brom who haven’t conceded a goal in seven hours.
The only thing putting me off the Baggies is injury concerns for strikers Saido Berahino and Brown Ideye. If either or both start back Tony Pulis’s men at 9-4 with 888sport. Hull should edge out Sunderland while Crystal Palace should at least avoid defeat at St Mary’s.
There are several lower-league games in Scotland with Brechin fancied at home to off-form Dunfermline and Stranraer expected to win at Stenny. Morton are a short price at Cappielow against lowly Stirling while in League Two there should be home wins for Clyde and Elgin. There’s a lot of snow in Scotland today so some of these games may be under threat.
Hopefully Brechin’s match will go ahead because they are my Super Single. The Glebe Park side are unbeaten in 15 and are just two games short of setting a club record. They have won three in a row – including a 1-0 victory at Dunfermline last midweek.
The Pars have struggled since boss Jim Jefferies left and was replaced by the inexperienced John Potter. After being title favourites they are now nine points outside the play-offs and down in no-man’s land. They have lost three in a row and Saturday’s 5-1 thrashing at Stranraer was their worst display of the season.
Other sides I looked at included Port Vale at home to Oldham, Wolves at Bournemouth and Clyde at home to Annan.
For the Top Treble I’m starting with Middlesbrough at home to Millwall. Boro went down 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday at the weekend but tend to follow a defeat with a win. Millwall have lost three of their last four and Saturday’s result at Rotherham leaves them six points adrift of safety. The Lions crashed 5-1 at home to Boro earlier in the season.
Add another Championship promotion chaser Brentford at home to Huddersfield. The Bees also lost at the weekend – to Birmingham – but are stronger at home and have netted seven in their last two outings at Griffin Park. Huddersfield have lost two of their last three away matches by three goals including 3-0 at Charlton at the weekend.
I could have completed the treble with Watford or Sheffield Utd but I’ve decided to go with Preston at home to Doncaster. Preston lie just outside an automatic promotion place after five successive wins – all to nil – and while Donny have a bit of a reputation as away-day specialists they did lose their last trip 3-0 at Port Vale.
I didn’t get much chance to look at the European games but expect St Etienne to beat third-tier Boulogne in the last eight of the French Cup. They are 4-5 at William Hill.
In the German Cup best bets look to be Borussia Dortmund at second division Dynamo Dresden. Dortmund are 2-7 at William Hill and should win by at least two.
3.5pts Super Single
(6-5, Paddy Power)
2pts Top Treble
(9-2, BetVictor, McBookie)
3pts Goals Single
Charlton v Nottm Forest over 2.5 goals (7.45pm)
(21-20, BetVictor, bet365)
1pt Long-Shot Trixie
Perm any 2 and all 3 (4 bets)
Treble pays 28-1, Betfred, bet365
Super Single March record:
2 bets (1 win, 1 loss)
2 bets (1 win, 1 loss)
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