WE can’t often say Scotland WILL win a game but on Sunday that’s the case.
There’s not a lot to gain for Gordon Strachan whose side face world football’s biggest minnows in the shape of Gibraltar.
He won’t get any credit unless his side net more than seven and they’ll be slated if they succeed by fewer than four goals at Hampden.
We know the Scots aren’t great at putting away smaller nations but at least Strachan’s men are in form and have scored in their last seven games.
Gibraltar are new to all of this and started competitive football with back-to-back 7-0 defeats at home to Poland then away to Republic of Ireland.
Even goal-shy Georgia took three off them and possibly the biggest surprise was restricting Germany to a 4-0 win.
Four must be the least Strachan expects and bookies reckon we’ll win by five or six having priced the handicaps that way.
We are a biggest 1-50 at McBookie and BetVictor to win which means a £500 wager will net you a tenner. William Hill go 1-200 and have made it clear they don’t want to see any money on Scotland.
With the prices being so short it makes Scotland minus four at 4-5 with McBookie and minus five at 17-10 with Paddy Power. If you believe we can net seven look at minus six at 3-1 with bet365.
Scotland have three fine keepers in the shape of Craig Gordon, Allan McGregor and David Marshall but I could play in goals and still keep a clean sheet. We are no bigger than 1-5 to win to nil.
McBookie are offering 66-1 on Scotland recording their highest winning margin – beating the record of 11-0 set against Ireland in 1901. And William Hill go 14-1 we reach double figures.
You can have 2-1 with the Scots firm and William Hill we score in the first 10 minutes but Scotland don’t usually break teams down quickly.
Once you decide what Scotland’s magic number will be have a look at who could score first. Gordon Strachan is likely to start Steven Fletcher and Steven Naismith and both are 7-2 with Paddy Power. There is a possibility Jordan Rhodes will also play so it might be better to check the starting side before having a bet on this market. He is also 7-2 at Paddy Power.
Ikechi Anya was our most dangerous attacker against Northern Ireland last week and is 10-1 at 888sport to net first and 19-10 to score at any time. He may though be the man to set them up but he’s at least some value compared to the strikers.
Any Scot to score a hat-trick pays 2-1 at Hills and a star hitting five or more – no one’s netted more than four in Scotland colours – returns 10-1 with McBookie and Hills. If Scotland can score five or six or even more there’s every chance of one of the strikers bagging a treble.
Scotland have been enhanced from 1-150 to 5-2 with McBookie to simply score a goal against Gibraltar. Back selection at price on site and top -up winnings will be credited within 24 hours. Max £10 bet per customer – only available to the chosen people who reside in Scotland.
McBookie are also doing a £5 risk-free bet on the game. Bet £5 on any market and if it’s a loser the stake will be refunded. My fiver will be one of the defenders to score first once I see the teams – possibly Andy Robertson at 17-1.
Anya to score first
Rhodes to score
Any Scots hat-trick
(2-1, William Hill)