IT was one winning single and one losing one a Europa League night that threw up its usual surprises.
After a good comeback on the Super Single this week I was disappointed with Besiktas who took the lead but ended up losing at home to Bruges.
Over 2.5 goals came up in Sevilla-Villarreal to land the goals single while it was a case if one win, one draw and one loser on my attempt to land a darts treble.
On Friday there is a Lanarkshire derby in the Scottish Premiership with Motherwell entertaining Hamilton and in the English Championship there’s another big gamer at the top as Wolves take on derby.
Hamilton have loved playing Well this season – smashing them 4-0 and 5-0. Those results came in the glory days of Alex Neil but successor Martin Canning has zero wins in 10 matches since replacing the man who left for Norwich.
So while anyone looking at the head to heads will lump on Accies at 7-5 with BetVictor McBookie caution must be advised.
Canning’s picked up just three draws since taking the reins and at the weekend was furious as his side blew a 2-0 lead at home to Ross County.
Well will be looking to avenge those heavy losses and their form has improved under Ian Baraclough.
They led at Aberdeen last week before gifting the Dons two goals after the break. I don’t expect a Friday night thriller and it could be a draw at 2-1 with Ladbrokes. Under 2.5 goals is likely at 4-5 with McBookie.
Scott McDonald has netted in his last two games since returning to Well and is my first-scorer pick at 13-2 with McBookie and BetVictor. To net at any time he is 9-4 (bet365).
The Championship crunch games keep coming. Wolves and Derby played on Tuesday with Wolves winning and Derby’s wobbles continuing with a home defeat to Middlesbrough.
Steve McClaren’s men are now winless in five and in danger of dropping out the race for automatic promotion. If there’s a winner it could be Wolves but I wouldn’t write off the visitors and again it could be draw with best bet being both to score at 13-15 with 888sport.
On the continent the highlights are Elche v Valencia, PSG v Lorient, Hamburg v Hertha Berlin and Braga v Academica. There were goals galore in the Jupiler games on Monday but not last Friday – but I won’t have time to research them as I did last time out.
I’ve had a little time to look at Friday’s card and for the Super Single I’m on Valencia at Elche. Valencia have won five out of six and are playing well without conceding too easily. It’s more professional than dynamic from them and as a result they move dup to third ahead of Atletico Madrid who now have a Champions League quarter-final against Real Madrid to engage their minds.
Elche are just two points above the drop zone after a heavy 3-0 defeat at Sevilla last week and went down 3-1 when they clashed in Valencia earlier in the season. Valencia look worth backing at 10-11 with BetVictor and William Hill.
For the goals single it’s actually an over 2,5 goals double paying just over evens. We all know the chances of picking overs in the Dutch lower league are good and I put up stats last week. I’ve picked on-form duo NEC and Top Oss to win their away matches with more than two goals in the game.
NEC and also feature in the Top Treble. The runaway leaders are 21 points clear at the top and should win well at MVV. Add a similarly-priced Emmen at relegated RKC and take Utrecht to beat NAC Breda in the top flight for a Dutch treble.
NAC have won four of their previous five at home to Breda and in their last three homes games have thrashed AZ 6-2, drew 0-0 with Feyenoord and hammered Dordrecht 6-1. Breda lost 5-1 at home to Utrecht earlier in the season so this should come in – and also looks good for overs.
Friday’s the day I have least time to do research and other teams I like include PSG but at a small price, Bristol Rovers to beat Aldershot in the Conference and Dijon at home to Valenciennes in French Ligue 2.
3pts Super Single
(10-11, BetVictor, William Hill)
4pts Goals Single
MVV v NEC over 2.5 goals (7pm)
Jonge Twente v Top Oss over 2.5 goals (7pm)
2.5pts Top Treble
Super Single March record
20 bets (7 winners, 11 losers, 2 void)
March goals record
16 bets (8 winners, 8 losers)
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