MY Super Single was beaten early but I wasn’t too bothered as Barcelona’s win in the Champions League Final brought up my first Top Treble in June and Neymar’s late goal landed my 3-1 correct-score prediction at 14-1.
Lionel Messi to break the deadlock was the SS but I know the risk when backing a first scorer and not many would have picked Ivan Rakitic when you consider the top-class strikers on the pitch.
The 3-1 Top Treble was both to score at Valerenga v Rosenborg as well as victories for Helsingborgs and Barcelona and I’ve deducted 0.5pts from the winnings after I covered Juve double chance early on at 4-1.
On Sunday there are some international friendlies including Ireland v England, Brazil v Mexico and France v Belgium. As everyone knows I’m not that keen on betting on them and have decided against putting up any real tips.
In comments before the Ireland-England I said the bet for me was under 2.5 goals and it was drab 0-0 draw. The only side I’d consider backing tonight is Brazil at home to Mexico as they warm up for Copa America but I’d like to see the line-ups first.
I’ve posted a separate preview and tips from McBookie and William Hill on the Scottish Junior Cup Final between Auchinleck and Musselburgh. I can’t see past favourites Auchinleck who are just under 1-2 with most firms to win in 90 minutes.
My focus for Sunday is on the Scandinavian matches and teams that have caught my eye include Norrkoping (8-15, Ladbrokes) who are going for four wins in a row at home to lowly Falkenbergs and Elfsborg at home to Gefle.
Elfsborg (4-11, bet365) have hit exactly two goals in five of their last six matches so over 1.5 team goals at 2-5 with Coral is an alternative for anyone who doesn’t want to back them to win. They have a great h2h record against Gefle with four wins out of five at home and no goals conceded.
In Norway we know all about the stats surrounding Start v Stromsgodset with raaljaca putting the game on his goals thread days ago. The last four meetings at Start have finished 2-3, 0-6, 5-1 and 4-2 so overs looks a no-brainer.
Start have started the season superbly and are expected to win despite that 6-1 loss but best bet here is to focus on goals with over 2.5 goals paying 4-6 at Ladbrokes.
Another Norwegian game that promises goals is Mjondalen v Sarpsborg with the home side’s 11 league games this season producing 42 goals. After a steady start to the season they’ve conceded 12 in losing their last three while four of Sarpsborg’s previous five have gone over 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is nicely priced at 4-5 with bet365 and Ladbrokes.
Stabaek (3-5, Betway) are another side impressing this season and sit second. They tackle second-bottom Bodo Glimt who mauled Mjondalen 5-1 at home last time out. Stabaek’s only recent defeat was to Rosenborg and they should pick up the points here.
Another match has caught my eye is the Swiss Cup Final between Basel and Sion. Champions Basel are 1-2 to win in 90 minutes but expect a tough match against a club who have won their previous 12 finals.
Paulo Sousa’s Basel lost their last two finals in 2013 and in 2014 and are highly motivated to avoid a third loss and I reckon they’ll triumph but both to score could be the better bet.
Matches between the sides this season have been close with three out of four seeing both score – 3-2 Basel, two 1-1 draws and a 1-0 for Basel.
I saw some comments about Real Betis being a great price at about 3-1 at home to Sporting Gijon in Segunda B. What needs to be remembered is Betis have not only clinched promotion they have won the title because if their h2h record against second-placed Girona.
Sporting can still finish second if Girona (2-7, BetVictor) slip up at home to Lugo and that’s unlikely but it’s why Gijon are odds on.
Best bet in Segunda B could be Real Zaragoza at 4-6 with William Hill away to Leganes as they need a win to clinch a promotion play-off place.
From the games I’ve researched here are my top tips for today and the Super Single’s based purely on stats so let’s hope it lands – or I’ve got a lot to work to do to recover.
I’ve added a second Super Single and it’s over 3.5 sets in the French Open Final. Novak Djokovic is tough to oppose as the hot favourite but he showed flaws in his five-set semi-final win against Andy Murray that will have taken more out of him than he wanted.
Opponent Stan Wawrinka has bulldozed his way through his half, beating Roger Federer in straight sets and home favourite Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in four in the semi-finals. I’d be amazed if he didn’t win a set so over 3.5 at 5-6 with Paddy Power looks a good offer.
3pts Super Single
Start v Stromsgodset over 3.5 goals (5pm)
3pts Super Single
Djokovic v Wawrinka over 3.5 sets (2pm)
(5-6, Paddy Power)
2pts Top Treble
Start v Stromsgodsent btts (5pm)
Elfsborg to score 2+ (4.30pm)
June Super Single record
6 bets (1 winner, 5 losers)
June Daily Double/Top Treble record
5 bets (1 winner, 4 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
And don’t miss their excellent guide to Copa America with contributions from Tim Vickery.
Meanwhile, Raaljaca’s goals thread started recently and he’s asking for donations to two cancer charities. In June we’re supporting another cause in the shape of Projects Abroad who send volunteers to work in poor countries all over the world.
My student daughter is raising money for a trip to a Romanian orphanage and this month all Buy a Beer donations (£3 minimum) will be passed on to Projects Abroad so click the button if you want to help.