JUNE 3: TENNIS AND OTHER SPORTS TIPS

tennisballgeneric

ANDY MURRAY will have to end his clay curse against David Ferrer if he’s to make it beyond the French Open quarter-finals on Wednesday.

The British No.1 has lost all four red-dirt meetings with the Spaniard – the last of which was three years ago at the same stage – although he leads the overall head to head 9-6 and heads into the latest clash on a 14-match winning run on clay and is 8-15 favourite at BetVictor and Boylesports.

Ferrer is 7-4 at Betway and the day’s other quarter-final is a clash of titans with top seed Novak Djokovic 2-5 at the likes of Coral and Paddy Power to knock out nine-time champ Rafa Nadal, who’s available at 23-10 at 888sport.

In the women’s last eight Serena Williams has had a few wobbles so far but is just 1-10 at Ladbrokes and Boylesports against Sara Errani, the 7-1 underdog at bet365.

Timea Bacsinszky has looked the part in wins over Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova and the Swiss ace is 2-9 at BetVictor to reach the semis at the expense of unseeded Belgian Alison van Uytvanck (4-1, William Hill).

England’s cricketers folded like a cheap seat on Tuesday to suffer a crushing 199-run defeat to New Zealand and today there’s more Test action getting under way with Australia 4-9 at Ladbrokes to win the opener against West Indies (8-1, bet365).

There’s also the likes of speedway and Stateside sport on the go so good luck with your best and post your sporting tips and thoughts here.

78 Comments
  1. jambo 2 years ago

    Djokovic v nadal

    Set 1 over 9.5 games 4/6
    Nadal to win a set 4/9

    Betfair

    I’ll be on both, I really don’t think this game will be as much in favour of djokovic as people are making out and although 4/9 odds will put many off this type of bet, 4/9 odds for nadal to win a set on clay just screams at me!

    Good luck to anyone jumping on board.

  2. Mark69 2 years ago

    Morning, I was out & about yesterday so no wifi & it doesn’t let me post on 4G but I was on Tsonga Nishikori over total games quite lucky.
    I think both men’s matches today will go over games we could be in for the long haul.

  3. Leo 2 years ago

    Mark69 you mean Djokovic and Murray game right?

  4. huggybear 2 years ago

    BEEN off a while , but tonight the NBA final is upon , post my thoughts later.

    How the guys been doing ? in profit i hope…

  5. Mark69 2 years ago

    Alright Leo, yes, I don’t think it’ll be as straight forward as the bookies make out Nadal seems to have his game back especially the forehand so should push Djokovic & Ferrer always beats Murray on clay even tho this time I think Murray will beat him but it should be close.
    I’m on 2 singles & a double.

  6. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Just the one winner last night on a day of strange results, weather playing a huge part! Altogether, I lost just over 3/4 of a unit (£17).

    The next 13 unit selections comes to an end with just 4.5 units won – That is a £54 loss from £20 unit stakes. Had I got 6 units, I would have made some profit.

    I guess I can’t complain since I am still up over 8 units (£160) thanks to results from the previous 13

    1st 13 – 11 winners
    2nd 13 – 4.5 winners
    Total – 15.5/26 is 60% (46% is the minimum target).

    Let’s see if I can get this next set of 13 off to a good start today!

  7. jamesreader01 2 years ago

    £TIP£

    BRADLEY WIGGINS TO SET THE HOUR RECORD BETWEEN 54 and 54.99K 13/8 (paddypower)

    air pressure will be key here, it is set to not be ideal and if it turns out the lower than expected on the day then go for plus 55K but it is predicted to be high which will probably reduce his effort by 500-600m metres, making between 54 and 54.99 a relatively safe bet! get on this!!!!

  8. The Raider 2 years ago

    Just re-posting this from yesterday with a couple more things in Rafa’s favour today:

    1) Conditions – The weather is set to be sunny this afternoon which will suit Rafa’s forehand.
    2) The court – Rafa loves the additional room at the back of the court on Chatrier and is far more comfortable on here than any other court worldwide.
    3) Psychology – Taking 2 sets of Rafa on clay is one thing but can Nole take 3? The slams are a different ball game to the tour events we have seen thus far.

    **Just back from the French Open and I have to say I think Rafa is worth a couple of pennies tomorrow. He is a different beast on Chatrier and I feel the price is too good to ignore. He is working his way into the tournament and is regaining some of his confidence. Novak looked a little flat against Thanasi and despite the scoreline Gasquet did have chances to break. Watching Novak warm up on both days he seems to still be a little concerned about the niggle he picked up in the second round.

    Nadal 3-2, 9-1 888Sport (low stake)
    Nadal to win, 12-5 William Hill
    Nadal to win the tournament – 4/1 Various (if Rafa does beat Nole you’d struggle to see him not winning the tournament)**

    Today will be a close match and Djokovic does have a very good chance of being the second man in 71 attempts to beat Rafa at RG, I just feel someone with his record at the tournament is way overpriced and most defo a value bet today.

    GOod luck all!

  9. The Raider 2 years ago

    Also a small treble for interest:

    Serena 2-1
    Murray
    Rafa

    27.2/1

  10. Phil 2 years ago

    Nadal +6.5 games
    Williams -5.5 games
    Baczinsky
    Murray pays 5/2

  11. Felix 2 years ago

    Sunny but not blazing hot? The temperature makes a difference

  12. The Raider 2 years ago

    The hotter the better for Rafa. The warmer it is the more topspin and zip he’ll get off that forehand…

  13. thereddevils 2 years ago

    Really hard to predict the Nadal game. I really don’t know what to bet..
    For tomorrow, i’m all over Wawrinka.

  14. Felix 2 years ago

    Definitely more his kind of weather tomorrow by the looks of it

  15. Felix 2 years ago

    This is obviously more psychological for djok. Plays like he’s been playing, then you can’t really see past him

  16. Felix 2 years ago

    Agreed with Wawrinka. Definitely won’t be as affected by tsonga’s power and will be able to fend off that massive serve a bit more consistently than nishikori.

  17. Ad 2 years ago

    Stan hasn’t been stringing good performances together this year, that’s the only worry for him. Tsonga will have crowd massively behind him and won’t be out powered like Fed was. I’d expect Stan to win the way he played yesterday, but a Frenchman in Paris is an unpredictable thing!

  18. Craig L 2 years ago

    Serena to lose first set

    4/1 with skybet

  19. Smiler 2 years ago

    Ad what’s your thoughts on the two women’s games today do you think any will go 3sets thanks

  20. Felix 2 years ago

    Errani will get broken a few times in this match. If not, then serena needs a word with herself. Errani’s serve is basically a hindrance

  21. Felix 2 years ago

    Just depends how she plays. I agree that serena is ridiculously lazy at times and often just tanks the first set at the first sign of difficulty. So weird.

  22. george 2 years ago

    craig i think thats a great bet – Serena lost her first set in her last 3 matches with Errani winning her first set in every match this tournament. Errani also went into a 1-0 lead when they last played 2 weeks ago in the fed cup.

    @ 4/1 and with serena not quite at her best i will be happy to risk a small amount on these odds!

  23. Felix 2 years ago

    Errani won the first set in their last match (also on Clay)

  24. Ad 2 years ago

    I would expect two straight sets wins in the women’s today, but you just never know. As mentioned already, Serenas capable of going walkies, and was awful for much of her last match, and that first set bet looks decent. 2-1 Serena is another option, if you think Errani could drop the first but win the second, but a slow start from Serena is her best chance

  25. thereddevils 2 years ago

    4 singles for me.

    I’m on Van Uytvanck +1,5 sets @2.20 and Errani +1,5 sets @3.20

    For the ATP : Ferrer to win @2.40 and Djokovic 3-0 @3 and 3-1 @3.6

    Small stakes on everything, just trying to find some value!

  26. Smiler 2 years ago

    Cheers lads, in the end av went with under18.5 games in Williams match and under 19.5 in timea game, good luck everyone

  27. Felix 2 years ago

    I’m sure Errani’s serve gets worse every time I see it

  28. Ad 2 years ago

    Wouldn’t back Errani + anything in this matchup, potentials always there to get blown away.

  29. Felix 2 years ago

    Just been going with serena to break on every service game. Odds aren’t great but it’s easy money

  30. Ellis 2 years ago

    Jaseos,

    Looking to follow your tips from today. What’s your staking and unit plan please mate so I can follow properly

  31. Felix 2 years ago

    Bit more competitive now. Shame

  32. thereddevils 2 years ago

    Bacsinszky lucky to win the first set 6-4 imo. Could have gone the other way!

  33. thereddevils 2 years ago

    Looks like both games are going to be straight sets wins. No upsets this time!

    I’ll put some more on Djokovic to win (only @1.35) now.

  34. Ad 2 years ago

    I have a feeling Daveed may do well today. I’m having small bets on 3-1 @ 6/1 and 3-2 at 7/1. A bit odd to see Murray favourite.

  35. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Hi Ellis,

    In a nutshell, when I see a good pick, I am staking single units on MLB underdogs, over evens. I use £20 a unit but obviously that doesn’t matter.

    I try to post regularly, between 1 and 3 picks a day but can’t guarantee I will have the time to look or find anything on some days.

    I figure that if I get 6 out of 13 correct picks (46%) I should end up in profit, albeit small. Therefore, I am measuring p/l in batches of 13. The 1st batch returned a massive 11 correct but this previous set, I won just 4.5 units.

    I am in the process of looking for any decent bets for today but I would always advise you to only follow if you agree with my findings, as it can be subjective. My strength is overall baseball history, knowledge and instinct of a team/pitcher so check Dazzler’s too as he has a much larger range of betting markets knowledge and interesting stats than I do. Cherry picking from us both I recommend!

  36. Felix 2 years ago

    Nadal is looking terrible. His head is not in the game

  37. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Braves @ D’backs
    Team to score first wins @ 1.41
    Pirates @ Giants
    Team to score first wins @ 1.37

    Double @ 1.94 *lost*

    White Sox @ Rangers
    Rangers over 8.5 hits @ 1.83 *won*

    Rolling bet (round 3)
    Bet 2
    Braves @ D’backs
    Team to score first wins @ 1.41 *lost*

    Gonna knock the rolling bet on the head and go in a different direction.

  38. Felix 2 years ago

    Weird match so far. Djokovic now making basic errors

  39. O Ado 2 years ago

    Dazz
    Let’s get them
    Any think u like for today??

  40. Dazzler 2 years ago

    My bets for tonight’s MLB-
    Mets @ Padres
    Team to score first wins @ 1.37
    Blue Jays @ Nationals
    Team to score first wins @ 1.42

    Double @ 1.95 bet365

    Yankees @ Mariners
    Yankees and over 5.5 runs @ 2.63 skybet

    Mets @ Padres
    Padres and over 4.5 @ 2.1 skybet

  41. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Dazzler – I see the Rangers bet just squeezed in for you, they should have paid you twice!!

    I am really tempted to go for the Twins in both of the games tonight, each of them @2.40, any thoughts on this mate?

  42. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Jaseos it’s always nice to see a bet sail in like that. I always look out for the hits line when Samardzija is on the mound.

    I can see Twins winning both and losing both, the second game should be good for runs but you know how I feel about these double headers.

  43. Jaseos 2 years ago

    With the Twins losing a close one last night against the best by far the Red Sox have in Buchholz, it’s hard for me to imagine them losing both against an anemic Red Sox line-up.

    @2.40 for each seems very generous, the uncertainty I have is the double header situation and this rookie, Rodriguez… But the Twins love smashing a leftie around so it could be a “welcome to the majors kid” moment for him???

    Interesting pick on the Yankees, 2 months ago I would have been all over this but are you not concerned about Tanaka’s fitness? The guy is so injury prone and six-weeks is a long time with just 6 innings pitched at AAA.

    I am also leaning towards Tampa Bay, Braves and Texas but will have to put more thought into them

  44. Ad 2 years ago

    Anyone watching Rafa v Nole? How’s the spaniard playing? Is he worth a few bob for the title @ 9/1 ?

  45. Mark69 2 years ago

    Defintly worth it Ad he’s in this.

  46. Ad 2 years ago

    Cheer Mark, I’ve got Tsonga standing as my long odds long shot, Rafa could offer a different kind of value. The longer this goes on the better his chance, surely

  47. thereddevils 2 years ago

    Such a bad tiebreak by Ferrer..

  48. Felix 2 years ago

    Ferrer: The double fault machine. Ridiculous

  49. thereddevils 2 years ago

    Indeed Felix.
    Luckily I will have one winning bet, Djokovic 3-0. Good value bet it seems!

  50. The Raider 2 years ago

    The end of the second set ripped the hear out of Rafa, up until then both sets could have gone either way. Djokovic was different class today though and absolutely clinical in the 3rd set.

  51. Dazzler 2 years ago

    It’s the doubles header thing, always puts me off and clouds my judgement, as there are too many variables to think about. Although like you say the prices are generous.

    It is a risk but Mariners have only won 1 of there last 6.
    Mariners haven’t scored more than 3 runs in their last 7 against Yankees so I don’t think they’ll win, think they’ll score 2 or 3 and hopefully Walker has another off day and gets smashed around.

    The other 3 are all 50/50 for me but the prices are good.

  52. Jaseos 2 years ago

    I’ve finally got there, here is what I am on tonight. It took me so long to make my mind up that I don’t have time for a write-up but ask me any questions and I’ll be happy to help:

    0.5 Unit on Twins GM 1 (w/Hughes) @2.40

    0.5 Unit on Twins GM 2 (w/May) @2.40

    1 Unit on Texas (w/Martinez) @2.15

    1 Unit on Giants (w/Hudson) @2.15

    1 Unit on Baltimore (w/Gonzalez) @2.15

    1 Unit on a DOUBLE – Cinci/Phils & Brewers/Cards both UNDER 8.5 Total Runs @2.06

    So 5 units in total. 3 wins out of 6 will be profit.

  53. Mark69 2 years ago

    Well the Murray v Ferrer has gone over games so covers me, big shame Nadal couldn’t nick a set he looked like he would at one point but Djokovic is on another level to say the least. Ad, the Tsonga match tomorrow should be a classic very close to call but hopefully for your bet Tsonga wins. I think I’ll go over total games in that match.

  54. Jack 2 years ago

    MLB guys, I know you sort of throw different bets around and am very grateful. Could anyone suggest a double around evens? I can’t do the team that scores first wins with William Hill either.

  55. Felix 2 years ago

    Djokovic has an extra gear to everyone else at the moment. He definitely strugged a bit at times but it was more of a psychological thing.

  56. Jordan 2 years ago

    Tomorrow night Huggy don’t get out hopes up! Nope down this week but only slightly.

  57. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Jack – Not such a good night for doubling a couple of “banker” favs tonight. The safest double I can see is San Diego RL+1.5 & Phillies RL+1.5.

    Both should win the game (let alone lose by 1) but you are relying on 2 average teams with very good pitchers at home. That should be just under evens but not worth the risk in my view, as things can go wrong with the hitting side of things with of both these teams.

    Sorry I can’t be of more help.

    • Jack 2 years ago

      Fair enough mate, I’ll have a look at the bets you and Dazzler posted later and do something a little different! Thanks though.
      Had a nightmare couple of nights on the MLB with Washington losing and the night before clicking on the Diamondbacks +1 rather than the Braves by accident!

  58. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Sorry Jack William Hill don’t have the markets I bet on.

    Best I could advise is on the run line coupon-
    MIN Twins +1.5 (game 2)
    TB Rays +1.5

    @ 2.38

    But I won’t be on it mate.

    • Jack 2 years ago

      That’s alright, cheers again. Might start doing more of my own research as I’ve started watching the odd game, but won’t be home until midnight so no time tonight!

  59. Dazzler 2 years ago

    No worries Jack. If you want to do some baseball betting I’d recommend a bet365 account as they offer the most markets so it’s easier to find ‘good’ bets.

  60. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Jaseos watching the Twins game and Rodriguez is looking pretty solid out there.

  61. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Dazzler. He looks the real deal, excellent stuff and decent control. Especially since the Twins love lefties and only have 1 hit through 5!

    Hughes on the other hand has been dreadful, considering this Boston lineup is one of the leagues weakest… terrible performance from the Twins, let’s hope for better next game!

  62. Jordan 2 years ago

    Correction Huggy. 4.3 points up now 😀

  63. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Hughes just kept throwing it in there trying to strike them out but fair play to the sox, they’ve been really aggressive in their offence.

  64. OriaZ 2 years ago

    @Jordan

    I’ve got a weird offer from my bookie and I’m wondering if I can make any profit out of it.
    The offer is :

    If I place a pre-match bet of 30£ on the Champions League Final between Juve/Barca I get a money-back in play bet of the same amount. Meaning that if my in play bet loses I get my money back.

    Any thoughts?

  65. Jordan 2 years ago

    OriaZ. This is done be a few of the regulars and there is a special thread that goes up for it which I imagine will be up shortly. I don’t do this as I don’t see the point really. A man I would recommend asking on the football thread is a guy called Alves.

  66. Jordan 2 years ago

    OriaZ. This is done be a few of the regulars and there is a special thread that goes up for it which I imagine will be up shortly. I don’t do this as I don’t see the point really. A man I would recommend asking on the football thread is a guy called Alves.

  67. OriaZ 2 years ago

    Ok thanks, will keep an eye out for the thread.

  68. huggybear 2 years ago

    HUGGY`S main bet

    No games for a while so going double stakes.

    GSW WARRIORS – 6 FT SPREAD £100

    gsw -3.5 ht spread £30 on

    tristan thompson over 10.5 rebounds £30 on

    JR SMITH over 20.5 total points £30 on

    match total over 202.5 points £50

    GOOD LUCK GUYS , this should be some match-up

  69. Jordan 2 years ago

    Huggy you rush these things too much haha, JR points are 14.5. Also you’ve basically stolen all of my pick 😀 Just kidding. Still deciding what I’m gonna go for yet. Good luck mate.

  70. Picksix 2 years ago

    Basketball bet

    This game is tomorow 16.30 start

    Zalgiris vs lietuvos rytas

    Zalgiris – 7.5 @ 17/20 **LOSE*

    I have bet zalgiris in the last two games of this series and they have covered the spread on both occasions , they seem to be much more superior than lietuvos and although I only post stateside NBA bets and euro basketball is not my speciality I feel pretty confident with this pick

    Terrible players, terrible game if the Knicks played either of these team they would win by 50 +, gonna leave the euro scene to Hunter that’s his thing

  71. Picksix 2 years ago

    back to winning ways now in the NBA fu*k euro ball I would have comparisions to lebron if I played in those leagues terrible standard

    Still going double stakes on my remaining bets but not gonna put those silly brackets after every bet I post i don’t see the point just gonna mention it

    NBA bet

    * Lebron James over 28.5 points @ 5/6

    Good luck to ALL , hope a lot of people have got into basketball this season , great sport u jus needa give it a try , drawing to an end now but what a season ay gents

    ££££

  72. Jordan 2 years ago

    So many ifs and buts for me on this game. Going to stick with somebody I’ve been on quite regularly during the playoffs. They will need this man if the Splash Brothers are hitting threes for fun. Not only does he shoot but he rebounds and assists, and I think this total is low as he could get the total in points alone.

    Main Bet

    J.R. Smith (Cavaliers) Over 20.5 Points/Rebounds & Assists @ 5/6 @ 365

    Smaller Bets

    Over 20.5 Total 3 point shots made @ 17/20 @ Ladbrokes

  73. Jordan 2 years ago

    Oddschecker are showing specials on over/under field goal % @ Ladbrokes for the series but I can’t find them on site anywhere. Anyone comes across these please let me know as it could be a gold mine.

  74. Picksix 2 years ago

    I’ve not come across it mate but there should be bets like that to that on most sites tomorow , there won’t be as many prop bets as the Superbowl has but should be a few bets simulair to what you’re looking for

    • Dazid316 2 years ago

      MLB bet
      Treble @ 7.5/1
      Philadelphia Phillies
      Toronto Blue Jays
      Minnesota Twins

      Hopefully my luck changes tonight as i have been out of it the last few nights
      Blue Jays 1 run up as I post this

  75. Jordan 2 years ago

    Not overly bothered mate if LeBrons was anything under 50 I’d be all over it.

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