COPA AMERICA was billed as a four-team shootout between hosts Chile and big guns Argentina, Brazil and Colombia.
It’s proved anything but so far with all of those sides surprisingly shedding points.
After two games none of the 12 sides have maximum points and that’s made it tough for punters.
Outright favourites Argentina blew a 2-0 lead to draw with Paraguay, Brazil lost to a Colombia side who had crashed to Venezuela in their opener.
And Chile were held 3-3 by a second-string Mexico side despite two goals from Arturo Vidal. After that game Vidal pranged his Ferrari after having a drink in a casino but has escaped jail and was back in the team for the match with Bolivia.
Neymar hasn’t been so lucky and Brazil’s star striker is out of the tournament after being handed a four-match ban although his nation could appeal.
Meanwhile, Argentina should give punters a break tonight when they face guest entrants Jamaica. Argentina beat the Caribbean nation 5-1 last time out and should win well to clinch their place in the last eight.
Bookies know it of course so bet365 and McBookie offer no bigger than 1-6. The big question is: How many will Argentina win by?
Argentina looks a safe bet at 8-15 with Skybet minus one and for the more ambitious look at 10-11 minus two Asian Handicap with McBookie and BetVictor.
That’s my best bet for the game with your stake being returned if Argentina win by two. Jamaica haven’t netted in this tournament and despite Argentina’s defensive lapses against Paraguay I’m on the favourites to win to nil at 7-10 with McBookie.
Sergio Aguero has netted both of Argentina’s openers and is 10-3 at bet365 to make it three in a row. Lionel Messi is as usual 9-4 favourite at Betfred and for me it’s his turn to do the business.
Tonight’s other match sees Uruguay tackle Paraguay and I’m on Uruguay at 23-20 with bet365 and McBookie simply because their defence is stronger than Argentina’s.
Paraguay were gifted their goals in the opener then struggled to a 1-0 defeat against Jamaica.
Tomorrow Brazil will have to manage without Neymar against Venezuela and it’s a massive blow to the samba stars who rely so much on the Barcelona star. They should still win and are 1-2 with William Hill and Ladbrokes to do so.
In Neymar’s absence consider Hoffenheim striker Roberto Firmino, set for a move to Man United, to score first at 5-1 with bet365.
Colombia can follow their win against Brazil with another when they face Peru. They are 11-20 at sportingbet and if he starts I’d try Jackson Martinez at 5-1 with Paddy Power to score first.
Argentina -2 AH (10.30pm)
(10-11, McBookie, BetVictor)
Messi to score first