REIGNING champ Maria Sharapova is Russian offski from Roland Garros and Serena Williams was almost following her to the exit before fighting back to beat Sloane Stephens.
Sharapova lost in straight sets to the impressive Lucie Safarova who is now in to 10-1 for the French Open title at the likes of bet365 and Skybet after being as big as 200 a couple of weeks ago.
Williams is now just 4-6 at Titanbet for glory while the joint second favourite, Garbine Muguruza (she and Ana Ivanovic are 8-1 at Paddy Power) faces Safarova today with both players available at evens to make the semi-finals.
There's also two smashing men's quarter-finals today with Kei Nishikori the 31-100 favourite in his battle with Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, a 14-5 shot at Stan James.
And Roger Federer is 4-9 at BetVictor to get the better of his Swiss Davis Cup team-mate Stan Wawrinka (21-10, Boylepsports).
In the cricket England have the rain to thank for giving them a fighting chance of salvaging a draw heading into the final day of the second Test against New Zealand at Headingley.
The hosts are a whopping 45-1 at Paddy Power to chase down the 455 needed for victory while the Black Caps are 9-4 at 888sport to bowl them out and the draw is 2-5 at bet365.
Elsewhere there's the likes of rugby and baseball if you fancy a bet so post your sporting tips and chat here and good luck with your bets.
In December 2020 we sadly 
Isle of Man TT Senior Race Winner
Michael Dunlop @ 15/8 @ PP
Bar a horrendous crash I think this is a great bet. Smashed the class record last year and looks to be the man that’ll be writing the TT history books in place of John McGuinness for years to come.
He’s the favourite for most of the races and should be as nobody got near him last year in all 1000cc races. Smallest margin was 14 seconds which some of you will know is massive in racing terms. The senior race is the main one I’m on but I’ll have smaller stakes on the other two 1000cc races.
Michael Dunlop Superbike TT Race Winner @ 6/4 @ PP
Michael Dunlop Superstock TT Race Winner @ 11/10 @ PP
Senior race 12th June
Superbike race 6th June
Superstock 8th June
Ssubject to change due to weather conditions.
Apologies the 6/4 and 11/10 are with BV.
Posted on yesterdays
MLB for tonight
Single bet
Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals
Washington ML & Over 6.5 Runs @ 6-4 VOID
Game postponed due to rain
Was going to take the Minnesota Twins but there game was postponed due to rain too @ Boston Red Sox
If I placed an in-shop bet on the Blue Jays & Twins game that were called off, will the betting slip be void?
@ tomekplnd I don’t know about how it works for in-shop as I only bet online, my slip is still open not void, I’m just a assuming it will be voided. I know the twins game will be on Wednesday in the afternoon then they are playing the original game for that evening after it but they might change the starting pitchers around so I hope its void, haven’t seen a new date for Blue Jays game.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals game has been rescheduled for Tuesday, June 2 afternoon start before they play they evening game, probably find out in the morning if its voided or not on my account.
Tom if the games are postponed then they should void it. Just go in tomorrow and check but there’s no way that your bet has lost if the matches haven’t been played.
Mine has been voided now @ Tom.
Gone for a tennis double of wawrinka and tsonga to win.
Both playing well and both games should be close.
Twins @ Red Sox
Over 6.5 runs @ 1.41
Cubs @ Marlins
Over 6.5 runs @ 1.5
(finished 5-1)
Double @ 2.12 *lost*
Brewers @ Cardinals
Cardinals
Braves @ D’backs
Braves @ 1.95
Double will be above evens *lost*
Rolling £10 bet (round 3)
Bet 1
Dodgers @ Rockies
Team scoring first win @ 1.35 *won*
Well at least I kept the rolling bet going.
I don’t know anything about tenni , so anyone with any knowledge think its worth sticking a tenner on all 4 men’s quarters over 3.5 sets @ 5.1?
Liking this for today tennis
Ana Ivanovic vs Elina Svitolina
Set Betting – Ana Ivanovic 2-0
1.95
—
—
Open
Garbine Muguruza vs Lucie Safarova
Total Sets – Three Sets
2.15
—
—
Open
Kei Nishikori vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga
Jo Wilfried Tsonga to Win a Set? – Yes
1.50
—
—
Open
Stanislas Wawrinka vs Roger Federer
Match Odds – Roger Federer
Pays about 8/1
Dazzler I would stay clear of that bet mate, there’s an upset in there somewhere, plus, I’d never back against Nadal on clay regardless of form, injuries etc
After 2 of my picks got postponed, I started to think the worst but my Braves single came in and 1/2 of my double did too (the part that wasn’t cancelled) so altogether just shy of 1.5 units profit last night… finally!
That is now 3.5/10 for this last period, meaning if I can hit 2 of the next 3, I can be at pretty much break even after a terrible start to this 13 game period.
Dazzler – By my calculations, you have hit 9/10 on the rolling bet. If we assume that average odds are around 1.38-ish that is the bookies giving you roughly 72% chance per bet (not including margins!). Your selections are showing a 90% strike rate and although the sample size is small, that is mighty impressive mate!
Marco is that the only game you think could end under 3.5? Because I think I could probably get a cover on it.
Jaseos that’s right 9/10 on the rolling bet but also I was doing the experimental double which was 5/7(14 picks and 2 wrong). So all together I’m 21/24 on that market. Maybe I should go back to the experimental double?
Tsonga to win a set 1/2
Ferrer to win a set 1/3
Double 1/1
Long shot for the quarter finals
Tsonga 11/4
Federer 2/5
Ferrer 7/4
Nadal 5/2
Safarova 1/1
5fold 103/1
Dazzler – If you can keep ahead of the bookies with your selection ability, doubles are the way forward in terms of returns on investment BUT it would require the same amount of actual selections as singles for slightly less money.
Let’s say your strike rate levels out at around 85% (still well above what the bookies want you to be), at an average @1.38 a bet. Per 20 picks, £10 staked on each, that is a profit of £34.60 – ROI is 17.3%
However, if you put those 20 picks into 10 doubles and assumed that the incorrect picks were in different bets, so 7 winners at odds of say @1.90. That would be profit of £33 – ROI is 33%
Jaseos as you say I don’t think singles are the way to go and that’s why I think the rolling bet is worth a tenner.
I think I’ll focus on a double a day and the rolling bet, see how that turns out for the next week or so.
If my maths is correct, at your current pace of 87.5% you will have a 39.27% chance of completing a challenge – Better than 1 in 3! However if that drops slightly to 80% it is a 21% chance… Still profit though!
Braves @ D’backs
Team to score first wins @ 1.41
Pirates @ Giants
Team to score first wins @ 1.37
Double @ 1.94
White Sox @ Rangers
Rangers over 8.5 hits @ 1.83
Samardzija loves giving up hits, especially on the road.
Rolling bet (round 3)
Bet 2
Braves @ D’backs
Team to score first wins @ 1.41
Hy Dazzler interested in your picks but how does “Team to score 1st wins” work?
Tickety the team who scores the first run has to win the game.
If your strike rate levels drop to 75%, then you’re not making profit with the doubles Jaseos. It only works if your strike rate is high enough. If you want less risk then singles are the way to go…
I can’t see Nishikori losing today, guys. But good luck anyway. I have some money on him to win in 3 sets, it is possible!
What I want to say is, you can have a good value bet single @1.60 and then add a single bet of 1.20 which ruins the double. So just invest in good value bet singles IMO.
Thereddevils – That is true, at that win%, you would most likely lose out in the long run on doubles but you also making very little on singles, to the point where it isn’t really worth it.
The key is the keep that edge on the bookies and get a s/r above 80% or don’t bother.
Dazzler- I think all 4 quarters are quite likely to go over 3.5 sets. That price is worth a tenner of my money but whether it’s worth a tenner of yours I can’t say! im struggling to picture any of the eight players handing out a 3-0 beat down but we will see.
Anyway, on to today’s baseball and why all the games with no odds up yet? There’s loads. I’m going to struggle to get time to pick today at this rate, which is a pity because I was hoping for a good day and the outsiders that are available, don’t look too appealing.
Have just placed a small stakes double on Fed/Novak both to win their quarter finals 3-1. This pays around 12/1.
Yeah, can see them all going 3.5 and I’ll be on that. Hoping Stan shows up this time.
Please do consider the above a tip, though it’s clearly one for low stakes and with a fairly decent chance of losing! I think 3-1 to the favourite is the likeliest result in both matches and 12/1 is enough to get me onboard.
Thoughts on tsonga today ad? Worth a bet at that price?
A quick update on my outright tips ahead of the quarter finals:
Women’s:
Serena @ 11/4 – set to play Errani in the 1/4 finals and now priced @4/6
Stosur @ 100/1 – knocked out by Maria in the 3rd round
Bacsinszky @ 150/1 – set to play Van Uytvanck in the 1/4 finals and now priced @ 14/1
Pliskova @ 150/1 – dumped out by Mitu in round 2.
Men’s:
Federer @15/1 – set to play Stan in the 1/4 finals. Now priced at 11/1.
Nishikori @ 15/1 set to play Jo in the 1/4 finals. Now priced at 11-1.
Monfils @ 70/1- sent packing my Federer in the 4th round.
Tsonga @ 220/1 – set to play Kei in the 1/4 finals. No priced at 60/1.
Kyrgios @ 315/1- taken out by Murray in the 3rd round.
Not going too badly then, with 2 of 4 women still alive and Bacsinszky and Serena big favourites to make the semi finals.
Three men of five still alive but at least one will be going home today as Jo and Kei go head to head. But going into the quarter finals with a 220/1 shot, a 150/1 shot, two 15/1s and an 11/4 favourite isn’t too shabby. Could all be in tatters by the end of the day, but fingers crossed for some luck!
England have had a wobbly morning session and are 88/4. Stokes and Cook are looking fairly settled now however, and with some rain scheduled for this afternoon, I’m backing the draw at 13/8. If they can stay in until lunch I expect this price to fall!
Posted Yesterday
Double @ 9/2 LOST
Chicago Cubs ML & Over 6.5 Runs WON 5-1, 1 run short
San Francisco ML LOST 4-3, Tight game as a expected
4 Fold @ 9.49/1 LOST
Seattle Mariners ML LOST 7-1, Felix had an off day for Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals ML LOST 1-0, Had chances in 8th/9th to get runs to win
LA Dodgers ML & Over 7.5 Runs WON 11-4
Atlanta Braves ML WON 8-1
Keep an eye on the weather in the tennis. Nadal will be hoping for hot and sunny. Think it’s a fair bit easier for novak if it’s overcast.
Ad with very little meaningful football around I think it’s worth a tenner.
Jaseos only thing I can think of is if the bookies are holding out to see what the weather is gonna do?
ivanovic is hot both in form and to look at :)
Marco- 2-0 ivanovic is looking like a good call, well done (without wanting to jinx it!)
Overs in Safarova v Muguruza would have made more sense that 3 sets though would it not, at a similar price?
Ivanovic just too strong for svitolina. Svitolina had the same problem with Venus. Can’t generate as much power and really telling on a windy day.
Just back from the French Open and I have to say I think Rafa is worth a couple of pennies tomorrow. He is a different beast on Chatrier and I feel the price is too good to ignore. He is working his way into the tournament and is regaining some of his confidence. Novak looked a little flat against Thanasi and despite the scoreline Gasquet did have chances to break. Watching Novak warm up on both days he seems to still be a little concerned about the niggle he picked up in the second round.
Nadal 3-2, 9-1 888sport (low stake)
Nadal to win, 12-5 William Hill
Nadal to win the tournament – 4/1 Various (if Rafa does beat Nole you’d struggle to see him not winning the tournament)
safarova has to be the surprise package of the tournament these types of performances will put her rankings up for sure
kei nishikori is getting hammerd
What a bad start indeed.
Ticketyboo I’m basically betting that the first team to score a run wins. Only available at bet365 as far as I know. You get the choice of yes or no and all my selections are YES (which you’d be able to tell from the odds anyway).
Historically over 66% of all MLB games end with the first team that scores winning. At the moment I’m finding a lot of days are turning out +75% of games end this way.
I did £10 to £100 rolling bet last week (if you click on my name and have a look at the blog it’s all there) but I don’t think that’s going to be sustainable.
Still trying to work out the best way to stake though.
Ok Dazzler I understand now do you know the percentage of 1st score teams to win matches?
Ad I’ve not had much time to follow the tennis lately been working well too Many hours! But I came on yesterday to see how you was doing saw the Safarova tip well done with that and I jumped on against kvitova so thanks for bringing that to my attention.
Ad I’ve not had much time to follow the tennis lately been working well too Many hours! But I came on yesterday to see how you was doing saw the Safarova tip well done with that and I jumped on against kvitova so thanks for bringing that to my attention.
All those unforced errors. Last game he played really well and now Nishikori is really struggling. Tsonga to win @2 now, i’m on that to cover my bet.
Tsonga is a sure win
can anyone seei nishikori getting back into this match?
Set 2 Tsonga @2.00
All on that now? Hehe.
Is it still windy out there? Nishikori clearly can’t cope with it
Tsonga is hammering him now. Gotta love live betting!
Stan looking very up for it, leathering the ball off both wings. Should be a good one this.
Re-invented, no problemo. This all Swiss quarter final looks like it could be a classic. Hope you get to catch some of it!
got on an inplay 4fold of
Tsonga
Federer
olivio
melzer
2.83/1 @b365
Nishikori getting slaughtered, so much for thinking the smaller quicker player would do better
Slower conditions and tsonga just smashing right through him. Didn’t see this happening to be fair
whats going on with the tsonga match ?
A metal panel has fallen from the large TV on the spectators. Hopefully no shift of momentum here!
Game will start back in 10 minutes.
hope no-ones hurt and Tsonga wins
Hi guys just jumped over from the footy thread rarely bet on tennis but took that treble from Ad at 11/2 just covered it but just wanted to post myself I will be in profit either way sensational stuff and I think I will keeping a look at you from now on with tennis . I also look at me orange when I can thanks guys
Ad I have the rest of the day and tomorrow so I’m currently flicking between the two matches. Anything you like for tomorrow?
11/8 Federer @b365….. big price is it not
Fed is 11/2 now. I’m not in as I have that treble riding on him. But not looking good anyway. Stans a man on a mission here. Struggling to see how Fed can peg him back now.
Poor old Jo on the other court couldn’t have had worse luck. In a sport all about Momentum a piece of metal falls off a scoreboard and lands in the crowd!
Phew, he still wins it. But third set could be for Nishikori. Tsonga not playing at the same level anymore.
Just realised who Wawrinka looks like, a Hyena
Haha, think that’s a decent shout Capone. A hyena who’s killing the GOAT at the moment.
Ticketyboo when a team takes the lead, statistically they have about a 66% chance of winning the from there. Obviously there’s other factors to take into consideration like the starting pitchers and the teams etc.
Dazzler I have looked at your blog before but I will have another look to see if I can get the rudiments of the game thru my thick skull.I have just got the hang of the NBA when it’s ending.Cheers and good luck mate.
Now now Danny T I know you visited during the NFL season ;)
Jordan I did indeed I have popped on for darts from the chief and nfl from you and the chief but that’s as far as I have got lol . It’s nice in here though I like what you’ve done with the place :-)
Amazing what a lick of paint can do mate haha, have to say a few of us have taken the bookies trousers clean off their ankles on the NBA this season but unfortunately that’s almost over. NFL just around the corner mate.
Jordan you know far more than me about across the pond sports but I will set aside a little amount to follow you on the America sports I think mate :-) It’s sports that a perfect if you can’t sleep as you are able to watch something competitive . It is Trafford red this paint colour by any chance haha
Haha no team colours Danny mate! Only problem with those American sports but sleep is overrated anyway. Especially when there’s money to be won.
who saw 3-0 Wawrinka coming? What a performance from Stan the Man.
Lost me a tenner Ad
Wasn’t expecting Federer to have it all his own way, but certainly wasn’t expecting the overs 4-fold to get beaten by HIM failing to get a set. Im hoping Tsonga can use his extra power to hit through the wind and pin Nishi back like Stan did to Rog. Had a little in play on the Frenchman.
The ball was moving allover the place. Horrible conditions for Fed.
Felix, I watched a bit of it – horrible conditions for both. Stan handled it better but Fed didn’t look himself.
Ticketyboo it’s pretty simple once you start watching it. There’s a lot of technical points and different stats but it’s probably best to just watch a few games.
Blue Jays @ Nationals is starting shortly on sportsnet and I’m going over 7.5 runs @ 2.0 for interest.
Big Tsonga is a broken man, Nishi is taking him to the cleaners
Mr F, very true. Stan looked in control through the entire match.
I’ve had more luck with the women’s tennis recently, which I never thought I’d be saying!
Ad
Early thoughts on djokovic v Nadal?
England have had a wobbly morning session and are 88/4. Stokes and Cook are looking fairly settled now however, and with some rain scheduled for this afternoon, I’m backing the draw at 13/8. If they can stay in until lunch I expect this price to fall!
*LOST*
Hi Scott, it’s the 2nd of June now. I’m not getting this bonus am I?
Azza, I’ve emailed you about it
Get in there 9/1 double of wawrinka and tsonga. Very close though!!!
hunter where are ya m8, miss your euro b ball tips !! :(
Daz
Jordan says u r the best in mlb
Toronto blood I hope
Toronto 2 game over
Tampa bay win
Kansas City over
Djokovic and Safarova @1.70/1
I’ll have some of that
I’ll make this quick as I’ve not got much time:
SINGLE – Twins ML (w/Pelfry) @2.55
DOUBLE – Cards ML (w/Lynn) & Dodgers ML (w/Greinke) @2.34
1/2 PT DOUBLE – Mets ML (w/Syndergaard) & Atlanta ML (w/Miller) @3.49
1/2 PT DOUBLE – Cubs ML (w/Hendricks) & Detroit ML (w/Simon) @3.13
That is 3 points in total taking me to the second set of 13… Let’s see how it pans out!!
Ado. I said Dazzler and Jaseos are the two men you want to talk to about MLB. Both as knowledgeable as each other.
Basketball bet
This game is tomorow 16.30 start
Zalgiris vs lietuvos rytas
Zalgiris – 7.5 @ 17/20
I have bet zalgiris in the last two games of this series and they have covered the spread on both occasions , they seem to be much more superior than lietuvos and although I only post stateside NBA bets and euro basketball is not my speciality I feel pretty confident with this pick
Ad your tennis tips are class and I always look out for your picks as its obvious you have great knowledge on tennis, How about old friend Fognini and Bolelli 2/1 to beat the Bryans. looks worth a small punt to me.
Gonna be on some of the baseball guys picks tonight
Jordan/Huggy just 2 more nights
Ado I wouldn’t be backing Blue Jays in game 2 after watching game 1. Dickey should have been smacked around but Nationals offence couldn’t convert. Blue Jays offence was awful.
Rays @ Angels is 50/50 for me. I like Acher but not Rays offence is inconsistent and weather they provide the run support required is up for debate, the price is a bit low @ 1.86 for the risk.
Indians @ Royals as long as both teams bring their bats there should at least be 8 runs, which would be a push. It wouldn’t surprise me if there was double figures in this one.
That wouldn’t happen to be a Lithuania team would it Picksix?
I’m going cold turkey without these NBA fixtures mate haha
Dazzler what game would you recommend me tuning into tonight?
murray vs ferrer and djokivic v nadal
over even money on the murray/djokovic double
any opinions folks????
frenaldo, I’d go over 3.5 sets on both. Murray’s never beaten Ferrer on clay so will be tough – you could almost toss a coin for the other one.
Agreed
Going with my Jays over
Kc over
Thank u
it is mate , I’m with you on that one seems like forever since my last NBA bet lol
Depends what you can get and what you’d like to see Jordan.
Personally I think the most interesting game for me will be –
Dodgers game 2, to watch Grenkie, Rockies could take game 1 but Rockies still trying to recover their rotation from the epic 17 innings game from 2 nights ago.
A brake down of a few others depending on what you might want to see.
Indians @ Royals should see runs.
White Sox @ Rangers should have runs too.
Rays @ Angels should be a coin toss.
A’s @ Tigers should be close
Pirates @ Giants should be team to score first wins
murray, joker and basinsky for 1.45/1 seems decent
think murray is the weakest pick tbh, nadal has started to look his old self as well..
thoughts ?
I’ll stream it mate so I can watch whatever game is on. Just didn’t know if it was like football or NBA etc when you have two teams that you know will produce a good game for spectators.
^scrap that this looks better.
zalgaris -5 (picksx)
basingszky
villareal dc
evens.
Picksix I thought so as I had had a few bets on the Zalgaris football team recently. If they’re anything like the football team then it should be a good bet but one I won’t be on but good luck mate.
I hate saying this but as each day goes by I’m getting less and less certain on the Warriors winning hahaha
If you’re new to the game you’d probably like to watch runs, so Indians @ Royals or White Sox @ Rangers will most likely see some action.
Cheers mate.
Cubs @ Marlins is on bt sport 2
Blue Jays @ Nationals on Sportsnet
MLB TV game of the day Reds @ Phillies
All three start around midnight.
All games available on bet365 if you have a funded account or have placed a bet within 24 hours, not the best way to watch though
Dazzler I have my own illegal means of watching any sporting event I want but thanks mate.
Andy- thanks mate. And I think you could be on to something with fognini/bolelli. They are world class on their day and the surface obviously gives them a slightly better chance than a faster court would. Might have a wee go on that.
Where’s your confidence gone buddy? Haha
Tbh I’m not as confident as its drawing nearer too but fingers crossed they pull through
Sounds interesting Jordan. Give us a clue, I’m looking for something a bit more reliable.
Google chrome browser, an extension called Adblock and a website called first row sports.
Picksix sorry mate it’s that gut of mine haha
And I think Mr f could be right about over 3.5 in both quarters being the way to go. Ferrer beat Murray relatively easily the last time they met here so should be competitive if not victorious. If Novak starts really fast it’s possible hell brush Rafa aside in 3, but I think 4 of 5 is more likely. Rafa can’t be underestimated at Rolland Garros but I find t very hard though tell just how good he’s going to be on the day.. hopefully we’re in for a couple of long, high quality crackers
I’ll have a look in to that then, cheers.
The odds on djok are just silly. Definitely one for inplay.