JORDAN didn’t put up too much on a trick Thursday with his only tip a 1pt punt on Ashley Williams to be booked.
He says: “My tenner went down the pan with Williams’ only contribution an assist for Jamie Vardy’s goal but that was nothing compared to the money I lost behind the bar.
“Like most days the Euro fixtures are once again tough and I’m going to take a bet I wouldn’t normally do.
“Croatia play the Czech Republic which is a must-win for the Czechs as a loss will see them exit the competition. While they were only beaten 1-0 by Spain it could have been a lot worse and were never really going to offer much.
“Croatia played well against Turkey and again 1-0 probably didn’t tell the whole tale as the Croats had some good chances. It did, however, come with a bit of negative news. Captain Darijo Srna lost his father during the win but has returned to the squad after leaving for the funeral and says his dad would have wanted him to play on.
“If that isn’t enough to spur the Croats to seal a place in the next round I don’t know what is. A much deeper squad with better talent should pull through here and I like Croatia to win.”
(19-20, Paddy Power) – 2 pts
“The second game in group D sees Spain face Turkey in what could be another team exiting early. If Croatia wins the earlier game Turkey will know a Spain win will knock them out of the competition.
“While that might motivate the Turks it could play into the hands of the Spaniards who despite only winning 1-0 against the Czechs played some nice football in the process (not unusual).
“While the Spaniards will be calm and collected Turkey might be too aggressive and could get caught out. I think Spain get a win here and although I like the win to nil like Mr F it;s not a market I bet on as you just never know in football.
“Talk of Nolito being replaced by Pedro as he didn’t really fit into the style of play v the Czechs and that should bring a bit more experience and chemistry into the side. I can see Turkey getting frustrated and while over 3.5 total cards looks a decent bet at 5-6 with bet365 you might want to consider the Turkey cards of over 2.5 at evens.
“Don’t forget a straight red counts as two which if was produced in this fixture wouldn’t be the most surprising event with these nations/players on the pitch.”
Spain -1AH (8pm)
(33-40, bet 365) – 2 points
Bets 15 Points Staked 27.35
Points Returned 37.69