IT wasn’t my biggest Super Single winner but PSV -4 gave me great satisfaction. When picking bets you have to look at form, stats and team news but gut feeling is also important.
I put up PSV with a warning because their match with Dosko was their first pre-season friendly but the way the Dutch results went on Saturday I fancied PSV to bang in a few.
That’s how it turned as they won 6-0 after being 3-0 ahead after half an hour. At that point the bet could be easily covered and while I was monitoring the situation I didn’t believe it was necessary to act.
My second Super Single was PSV -2 and Rosenborg to score 2+ and the Norwegians let it down so overall it was 0.6pts loss on the Super Singles.
Rosenborg were also in my treble posted on Saturday night along with both to score at Aalesund v Mjondalen and over 2.5 goals at Stromsgodset v Viking so again the Norwegian leaders let me down.
There’s not too much to look at on Monday with Gefle v Hammarby in Sweden and three Finnish league matches – Lahti v SJK, leaders HJK Helsinki against HIFK Helsinki and second-placed RoPS at lowly KTP.
Lahti haven’t scored in their last four league matches so you have to fancy third-placed SJK while HJK should beat their less illustrious city rivals. RoPS are good on the road and will be worth a look at KTP.
Having looked at team news I’m sticking with in-form RoPS, whose away record mirrors their home form, at a KTP side who have won one in six.
On the Top Treble go safer with RoPS not to lose, SJK not to lose and HJK to win. That pays 6-4 with bet365.
At Wimbledon it’s manic Monday with eight last-16 men’s singles ties and eight in the women’s draw too. It’s tough to back against Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer and Andy Murray but a treble pays 1-5 at bwin so it’s only for the biggest of big hitters. Set betting or handicap is the way to go with these ones.
Best match could be Richard Gasquet v Nick Kyrgios. Gasquet’s been in superb form and I don’t think he’s dropped a set yet. Krygios can be explosive but lacks consistency. However, I like the look of the Aussie at 4-5 (various).
I’ll also be on Victor Troicki to beat Vasek Pospisil who struggled past James Ward in five sets. Troicki’s been in great form on grass and is value at 4-11 with Ladbrokes and bet365. I believe he’ll win 3-0 or 3-1 so try Troicki -1.5 sets at 4-6 with Betfred.
Highlight in the women’s last 16 is Serena Williams v Venus Williams and it’s difficult to see past the younger sister who is 5-7 at 888sport to win 2-0.
There won’t be many shocks but there is a chance for Garbine Muguruza who is 6-4 with firms such as bet365 to beat Caroline Wozniacki. Mugurazu shocked Angelique Kerber in the last round.
My Daily Double is Karlovic to win at least one set off Murray and Djokovic to win 3-0 against South African Kevin Anderson. Anderson did well to reach the Queen’s final where he lost 2-0 to Andy Murray. He’s got a good serve/volley game but not enough weapons when he comes up against top stars such as Djoko and Murray.
Karlovic is the biggest tennis player in the world with the biggest serve and it’s bound to cause Murray serious concerns. Luckily the Scot is possibly the best returner in the game so should get enough back to win the match but there’s every chance he’ll lose a set – more likely the first or second before Karlovic tires a little – and that pays 5-4 at Ladbrokes.
3pts Super Single
2pts Top Treble
RoPS not to lose
SJK not to lose (4.30pm)
2pts Daily Double
Karlovic to win a set (2.30pm)
Djokovic 3-0 (5pm)
Estimated start times
July Super Single record
9 bets (5 winners, 4 losers)
July Daily Double/Top Treble record
3 bets (3 losers)
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