THE only Super Single I put up for Saturday was both to score in the Copa America final and while it was expected to come in the game finished 0-0 after 90 minutes.
My treble was both to score at Start, Bray not to lose and Germany Women to beat England in the World Cup third-place play-off. I pointed out cover was available after the first two came in but chose not to back it – and it was another 0-0.
There is no action at Wimbledon today and my tennis treble was beaten by Roger Federer who lost a bit of concentration to lose his first set of the tournament to big-serving Sam Groth.
On Sunday there are many more Scandinavian games to look at and one that stands out for both to score is Aalesund v Mjondalen in Norway. It's come up in five out of six for both teams.
Rosenborg don't need to worry about the second leg of their Europa League tie after winning away and should win at Bodo/Glimt have beaten them just once in 16. The leaders are 8-15 at BetVictor.
Other games in Norway to consider for both to score are Odd v Valerenga and Sandefjord v Tromso while Stomsgodset v Viking looks good for overs. Four of the last five meetings at Stromsgodset have gone over 2.5 goals and that's been the case in Viking's previous five matches. Over 2.5 goals pays 7-11 at 888sport.
For the Super Single I'm doing two bets and I'll warn people the PSV picks are taken without team news. I'm going to be out for the rest of the day so anyone who is able to view line-ups before having a bet should do so.
My first pick is PSV -4 at Dosko and that pays 7-5 with Coral. The second one is PSV -2 doubles with Rosenborg to score 2+ at Bodo/Glimt and they've netted at least two in their last seven away matches.
Everyone knows I don't like friendlies but for anyone able to research them and check out teams there is money to be made. The only bets on friendlies I've had this summer were winners on Aberdeen beating Brechin 8-2 and Hearts winning 2-0 at Bohemians but this pick is slightly more random.
It's PSV's first warm-up game of the summer and from what I can see they'll be given all of their available first-teamers a run out against semi-pro opposition who will have been hand-picked to give them a gentle runaround.
In matches like this it's never easy identifying the goals line but -2 should be achievable even in second gear but pays no bigger than 2-7 with Coral which is why I'm doubling up. The -4 is a much better price but of course more risky.
One reason I picked out PSV was looking at Saturday's results and noticing big wins for Dutch sides against minnows – Zevenhoven 0, Utrecht 8; Drachster Boys 0, Cambuur 7; Druetn 0, NEC 6; Laakwartier 1, Den Haag 12; Viod 0, De Graafschap 9.
Hopefully PSV will add to these big wins – but remember if you can check line-ups first that's advisable although if they go strong you could miss a price.
3pts Super Single
PSV -2 (1.30pm)
Rosenborg 2+ (7pm)
(4-5, Coral)
1.5pts Super Single
PSV -4 (1.30pm)
(7-5, Coral)
1pt Top Treble
Rosenborg (7pm)
Stromsgodset v Viking over 2.5 goals (2.30pm)
Aalesund v Mjondalen btts (5pm)
(3-1, Ladbrokes)
July Super Single record
7 bets (4 winners, 3 losers)
Profit/Loss: 4.7pts
July Top Treble record
2 bets (2 losers)
Profit/Loss -3pts
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
only bets today were Germany women to win and lots of small bets on chile vs argentine which were heavily on Argentina. Watching both games I punted a cover of single and doubles on both games with under 0.5g and draw. Cover out grossed the losses and I’ll recoup some on the Argie game for a bore draw 0-0. Bit annoyed as I also did argentina to lift cup and Germany win not realising there was extra time in cops America final and couldn’t find a matching market for Germany v England extra time/penalties.
Not sure whether I’ll take a stab at these 2 now. England women were on top and pushing hrs for the winner, I think they’ll push in extra time, so England women in extra time or over 0.5g or Germany on penalties.
The chile game… Still leaning toward Argentina who should have scored with last kick of the game..
It’s too tough really , maybe sit it out and watch and enjoy for once
Wooking looking Chile and England win
Must have overlooked a previous bet as I came out £300 profit on those 2 games. With that, small personal stakes on singles and doubles both games
0.5g extra time
England extra time
Argentina extra time
Germany penalties
Chile lift cup (no penalty market in b365?)
Hmm, cash out predicament now. Basically need Argentina to score then I’m laughing. Already being offered 2x bet, but can’t really cover on the doubles
***********************lost**************************
next bet
starting bank 100.00
bank 78.75
fc minsk 21/20 ko 5.30 won
argentina 11/10 lost
28.75 returns 123.75
***********************lost**************************
don’t believe that, had over 3 et corners and he blows it up instead of letting them take it. sums up that match for me
@Koplegends.
Blew up before 120:00 were up too.
My guess is he thought he was referring a friendly….
Sunday’s tip pays 1.4/1.
O2.5mg treble
Pumma v Arafat (Estonia B 1700)
KFUM v Finnsnes (Norway 2.1 1700)
Futura v Lahti (Finland 1630)
GL
Messi = flat track bully.
Fine scoring stack of goals against some crap leaden footed defenders in the Spanish league.
Yet another major tournament when he has failed to deliver.
Not fit to lace Maradona or Christiano Ronaldo’s boots in my opinion.
At least Ronaldo carries his club form to the international stage and always delivers when they need him to.
Thank you very much, nicely finished off by Sanchez
sickening part was if allowed take it i would have made my money back from prematch bets on it
Win haha well done lads
the watcher – your deluded if you don’t think messi is the greatest person to ever kick a football
LMP23, he’s the best I’ve seen – but like everyone else has bad games.
Copa bets down tonight but Chile to win Copa America on the anteposts is a 4-1 winner so not all bad.
Goodnight all.
messi couldni lace PELES bits ,PELE performed in every world cup he took part in
his bad games are always in international finals ,yir maw should have bought yi glesses when pele was playin or maybe you too young
GRUMPY, too young to properly remember Pele – my first football memory is 1974 World Cup and watching Scotland gub Zaire. But 1978 is the one I can remember fully – begging to stay up for the late games in Argentina then struggling to get up for school in the morning. Scotland were there again but I can’t remember seeing England.
I gauge a player at top international level, out of his comfort zone of club football with a whole nation looking to him to deliver.
Yet again Messi fails to deliver on this stage
Maradona basically won a world cup on his own in 1986.
Pele another player who is fabled for his brazil performances over his league form.
Messi wouldn’t be near my top 3 as he hasn’t cut it at the top table of international football.
Not fit to lace Maradona’s or Ronaldo’s boots?
Have a word.
Columbus Crew/NYRB BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – MLS – 12:30PM
Montreal Impact/NYCFC BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – MLS – 1:00AM
Shade over 53/20 @ 365 (2.66/1) – 1 point
Stromgodset/Viking BTTS – Norwegian Tippeligaen – 2:30PM
Odd/Valerenga BTTS – Norwegian Tippeligaen – 5:00PM
27/20 @ 888 – 2.5 points
_______________________________________________________________
July Totals
Bets 11
Staked 28.5
Returned 45.22
Profit 16.72
No Mix for NYCFC though.
Nick, nope no Diskerud but that’s it. If David Villa is playing there’s a chance of a goal. Poku starts too who I’ve been impressed by.
Poku has been the MLS equal to Yaya, just from the bench not sure why he hasn’t started up until now! Mcnamara looks really unfit but actually grabbed a goal against NYRB.
Quite disappointed that the odds for goals in the MLS has dropped pretty hard, was almost always doubles for o2.5 in every game before!
That isn’t the same Messi that just won the Champions League by any chance? :D
That’s playing for a Barcelona team who are not his national team.
His legacy will be that he failed at the top table of international football.
Unlike maradona
Japan women 10-11 to score v USA tonight.
Head to head suggests this including the last final in 2011
Btts 6-4 possible ??????
sorry but messi is on a different planet compared to anyone
hi all been away for a while. first bet tonight red bulls win 3 or 4 goals in match pays 7.00.
and both teams to score in ladies final. gl all
Anybody having problems with the bet365 app? Mine is being a monumental douche at the moment!
next bet
starting bank 100.00
bank 30.00
bate borisov game over 2.5 goals 21/20 ko 1.30
fc inter win 7/5 ko 4.30
20 returns 98.40
ldu quito live now over 1.5 tg 8/11
Congrats to chile first trophy in 99 years
So Ronaldo has succeeded at international level? I’ve lost count the amount of games i have seen Ronaldo go missing in big international games at tournaments. I said it at the start of the Copa America and i’ll say it again, Tato Martino does not have a clue tactically, which is why he failed at Barca and which is why Argentina have come up short against Chile tonight. Considering all the firepower Argentina have and Martino still cannot produce a potent team they don’t play to Messi’s strengths. I remember the game against Jamaica well and they were absolutely woeful
Chap vs vasco
Cruz vs atletico
America mg vs mogi
Crb vs boa
All o0.5g
Evens
Villa scores for NYCFC with Montreal dominating the game. Both have scored in the Columbus game so bet could be looking worse.
Fingers crossed
Should’ve just gone for Villa anytime on his recent form!
Personally I’m not a fan of goalscorer bets though, too many factors.
Dallas vs New England looks like it could be decent for goals, what do you think Jordan?
Nick it was one that I thought about adding but Dallas have a lot of players out for the Gold Cup.
Saying that I’ve just checked the line up and their top goalscorer starts. Castillo. Could be one for anytime. He’ll cause a lot of problems down the flank.
After watching him the game before he absolutely ruined them with his pace, he isn’t too greedy though and does play the ball into the box. I think Perez is the only goalscorer missing.
New England are on the back of a 4 loss streak and are the only side that aren’t missing a player to the gold cup! Could be a good chance for them!
Gone for my usual over2.5, worth a few quid on no goalscorer knowing my luck. ;)
Nick I read on ESPN that they have a starting CB suspended and their RB will play in the center.
Perez and Akindele. I did my homework mate don’t worry haha, 1-0 though.
Perez and Akindele. I did my homework mate don’t worry haha, 1-0 though.
Chap vs vasco
Cruz vs atletico
America mg vs mogi
Crb vs boa
All o0.5g
Evens
Should be easy cover as 3 games are in just need chap to score against vasco who are a man down. Waiting for market to see cover odds, should be good
How many chances do Montreal want haha, 18 so far according to stats.
Cant wait until NYCFC have Lampard and Angelino, will be able to compete with the best once Wingert is out of the team.
I think Montreal will score but don’t really want to bet on it when I already need them to score. Good price too. I’ll leave it and hope the comeback comes. Had enough chances ffs :)
Nick they will be class. Lampard playing higher up the pitch with Pirlo holding in the center. That’ll be deadly. Only problems will be stamina I imagine.
Would they be able to pay Pirlo’s wages aswell, isn’t there some sort of wage cap in the MLS?
1-1 ffs haha, come on Montreal still time!
Superb Jordan mate, some great stuff from you recently dude.
Villa double haha
VIIIIILLAAAAAAA!!!! What a free kick. That’ll do :D 2-1 NYCFC
Columbus Crew/NYRB BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – MLS – 12:30PM
Montreal Impact/NYCFC BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – MLS – 1:00AM
Shade over 53/20 @ 365 (2.66/1) – 1 point **CHICKEN DINNER**
Cheers Inter mate. USA has done me proud recently but still finding value elsewhere which is ok with me in the off season.
Real salt lakes defence has been hit hard missing Phillips, Vasquez, Beckerman and Rimando!
Jordan mate well done!!! Any more tip from you mate from australia league?
Chap vs vasco
Cruz vs atletico
America mg vs mogi
Crb vs boa
All o0.5g
Evens
Should be easy cover as 3 games are in just need chap to score against vasco who are a man down. Waiting for market to see cover odds, should be good
Won after 75 mins.
I actually had a few multiples outside the tip. Everyone comes in and literally need one goal in the damn chap v vasco who are down to 9 men. Cant complain really.
Vasca De Gama – No 2/7
Atletico Paranaense – No. 1/5
Mogi Mirim – No. 1/7
Boa – No. 1/3
4 Folds, 1 bets @ 150.00
Stake 150 Return 352.66
That would have been original tip but I left it too late to post and by doing so got similar and safer odds at o0.5g
Over 0.5 1/5
Over 0.5 1/6
Over 0.5 1/7
Over 0.5 2/9
4 Folds, 1 bet @ 150
Stake 150 Return 293.34
Adjusting bet in play after personal certainty (take that loosely)
Boa – No 4/11
Atletico Paranaense – No 2/9
Mogi Mirim – No 1/6
Trebles, 1 bet @ 150
Stake 150 Return 291.67
Also did above as over 0.5 but stake 50 return 102.15
As the last bet shows, the certainty was with the above treble with Chap letting me down on the final bet.
Over 1.5 11/10 Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama Lost
Over 1.5 6/5 CRB v Boa Won
Over 1.5 10/11 Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense Won
Trebles, 1 bets @ 25
Stake 25 Return 0
Would have been 7.82/1
Originally a 4 fold but MG scored as it was in my bet slip. So i stupidly kept Chap in instead of going o2.5 in MG game which ended up 3-1 issue being market suspended and not wanting to miss a chance with the others scoring whilst waiting.
Sorry long random post. Just proofing my own bets, you win lose and learn. I still say inplay has best value when coupling it with safety. Incase its mentioned, the stakes are linked to my running pot, please dont go crazy with your stakes.
Day 14
15 tips
14 wins
1 loss
Well done ooh cake good tipping :)
Ok guys that’s never ever the same messie were used to
Cheers oluwafemi mate. No more from me until the Norwegian games today.
Frank Lampard will make his debut for NYCFC next Sunday (8:00PM) at home against Toronto FC. As will Andoni Iraola (Atletic Bilbao) and Angelino (Man City U21). Pirlo signing to be announced soon.
Can’t wait for that match.
Castillo gets his goal also!
Nick just seen Castillo mate. Gutted. Kaka scored as well which is one that stuck out. Never mind. Going to watch the LA Galaxy game and hit the hay. Night gents.
3-0 Dallas sorted me out. ;)
Nice one Nick. I imagine someone had a punt on Over 2.5 in all MLS games tonight. Be surprised if there isn’t in the Galaxy game and need one more in the RLS/Orlando game.
Gutted I didn’t bet on the Galaxy game now, placed my stake on your bet for tomorrow instead. ;)
Before I go I’ll re post the USA to win the Gold Cup @ 7/4 @ PP – 4 points.
We have just seen Chile win the Copa America on their home turf. For me it’s between the USA and Mexico with Costa Rica the outsiders. Hernandez out for Mexico will be big in the long run and the home fans will help out once more for the US, who are well prepared having a warm up game and have been together for a few days. In comparison with Jamaica who haven’t even met up yet with the likes of Barnes who played for Houston yesterday and Mattocks who played for the Whitecaps tonight. Think this is a bet worth 4 points @ 7/4 and I don’t think that price will last before the competition starts on Wednesday morning.
chile vs argentina
chile AH +0,25 @1.98
do not see much reasons hosts be dogs here. clearly overrated argies with out of sync messi and lot of other donks
—————————
0-0 FT, HALF WIN
W38,L25,P5
—————————
Mr f! Why not try backing against what you feel on a double chance for the rest of July as a trial?
My personal thoughts for tomorrow..
None.
For many punters it’s completely Pointless betting on a league that there is little known about!
What I’ve realised recently is that you’re better off by taking a chance on an outsider, because statistically at this rate it will come in! Start v stabaek for example! Statistically Stabaek weren’t going to lose but instead they got a pasting!
I would personally go for singles on the best outsider possible until the reliable leagues start again! The hit rate of favourites recently has been shocking despite stats! It’s worth a go!
In my opinion, find the most nailed on bet, then back the opposite double chance!
I’m no pro by any chance but it seems to be working out alright!
have seen many JoeT moneybreakers here mate
JoeT1987 –
what about a combination of over 1.5 goals/team clean sheet no and lowest corner amount/yellow cards. a combination of 2 of these or maybe 3 to make evenish or above?
not sure if all bookies let you do this, bet365 does as long as the bet type doesn’t conflict, which I didn’t know about till Jordan pointed it out not long ago.
JoeT1987, like you I’m no pro tipster either and I don’t claim to be. Sounds like an interesting experiment but not one I’ll be doing because I don’t see the point of backing against something you think will win.
Jordan, top tipping. I forgot to do the over 2.5 bit but I still won and woke up to a profit. Cheers fella
I love studying football bets and trying to find that 6/4 winning single but my love for this has been replaced somewhat by the tennis. Who’d have thought the tennis could be such a money maker?
Over 3.5 sets is a market that is quite honestly a goldmine in the men’s tennis.
I’ve been selecting three or four matches for this kind of market and its been bringing in 3/1 and 4/1 winners most of the time this week. I think football is getting increasingly difficult to bet on (even as singles and not just accumulators). I think after the football season finishes I will start taking the tennis more seriously. I dread to think what winners I could pick if I actually knew a bit more in the field.
Over 2.5 goal double:
Bryne v Fredrikstad
Aalesund v Mjondalen
1.56/1
Ladbrokes
3 pts
Add for the treble:
Shangai East Asia v Shangai Shenxin
2.84/1
Ladbrokes
1 pt
Good Luck anyone having a bet today!
Craig – what criteria are you using for selecting o3.5? Is just matches where the Win prices are similar? Come week 2 I was thinking going over for all matches!
Not been on during internationals but did manage to chile to win the tournament. Now will tip Federer to win Wimbledon at a tasty 6/1 good luck if you follow. Hope everyone is well.
Japan J3 league
YSCC vs Sagamihara
YSCC sit bottom of the league losing their last 3 home games conceding 7 goals
Sagamihara are 4th and have won 2 of their last 3 away scoring 7 in the process
They have met 4 times in the last couple of years with YSCC at home – scores have been 0-4, 2-4, 2-3, 1-4
Sagamihara over 2.5tg @ 2.10
Sagamihara over 3.5tg @ 3.75
Over 1.5 fhg @ 2.50
Over 3.5 ftg @ 2.25
Thanks Richard – will have a small go on the -1AH.. @1.55
China Treble
Shanghai EA > 1.5 TGS
Guangzhou > 1.5 TGS
Hangzhou < 3.5 MGS
Just over evens
posted last nite
nite owl
America minero o1.5tgs, crb btts hair under 11/4 WON
athletico pr to win away at cruzeiro 9/2 LOST
and that’s why I rarely do wdw these days no harm done only a fiver on it…………….
well pleased with the 11/4 though had 2.5 pts on it :)
Mr Jain.Have you made an error in your Super Single + figure i make +4.7.
You however make 5.5.
I may be wrong and if i am,i say sorry in advance.
Good Luck
Will
will, sorted it already – I know what the figure should be so not sure why 5.5pts is there. I’ll blame the cider I had last night!
Sorry WasClueless – well on top but Sagamihara forgot their shooting boots today it seems
Isloch to score 1st goal inplay 1.80 their away but well on top
As soon as i go near these goals bet they just stop scoring
8pm tonite goias v Corinthians
away team on good form, home team not shy of a goal atm and have a good h2h scoring against Corinthians
btts 11/10
btts&overs 2/1
Corinthians win&overs 4/1
first bet for sunday
shanghai sipg, Guangzhou o2.5mgs double 13/10
over 4.5mgs in the sipg game 11/4
wasn’t as many goals as normal in china yesterday hopefully more today…………
F1 rosberg 9/4
Well done (again!) Jordan on the MLS double and thanks …
Will have a go at Jordan’s Nordic BTTS double and try one of my own:
Aalesund > 1.5 MGS
Sandefjord > 1.5 MGS
Rosenborg > 1.5 TGS
Just under evens
on jordans Norway btts double 13/10 on 365
yer on fire atm Jordan great stuff sir…………… ;)
Aussie Early Morning
Ipswich Knights > 1.5 MGS
Melborne Knight DNB
Monarro > 2.5 MGS
Sunshine Coast > 2.5 MGS
0.95/1
LOST :( – all delivered apart from Ipswich Knight in a goal less draw … And didn’t bet on the Glenorchy Knights GL 7.5 – so they lost 1-7 grrrr
Isloch to score first goal. Waiting for evens on BET365 then I’ll get on it
International football is a farse! Better off without it! Messi has done it in the champions league many times and that rates higher in my book than any poxy international tournament!
Get in the Air, to be honest it’s futile comparing players from different eras or trying to say who is best just now. Everyone has an opinion and while Messi’s best for me I’ve never seen him in the flesh. So my all-time top player has to be Ken Eadie – and I’m sure many will agree.
Taking the boy and his pal out for the day so check in much later.
Going for over 1.0 AGL 1 575 in the J-3 league Richard mentioned as still 0-0 on 53 mins
rosenborg o1.5tgs
sandefjord btts
11/10
and that it for today……….. GL all
Riggsy im on that too shocking how they havnt scored yet. Surely cant finish goal less
Cashed out on my -1 AH for a small profit – thanks Richard!
Fc Seoul inplay win 9/4 small bet
Fc Seoul inplay win 9/4 small bet
CC SS
BODO GLINT O 1.5 TGLS
2 points rtns 5.25
CC SS 2
HELSINBORGS D/C
2 points rtns 4.2
CC TREBLE
GOTEBORG. O1.5 MGLS
ROSENBERG. O1.5MGLS
STROMGODSET BTTS
2 points rtns 4.25
GL LADS
IN PLAY double
Jeobuk motors game – o3.5mgs
Jeannam Dragons game – o1.5mgs
2.35/1
3 points
*Jeonnam Dragons I mean, pardon my poor spelling ;)
Hampy mate I’m shocked, they’ve been all over them! 11 on target and 15 off target. Typical!!
Isloch first goal lost. 28 shots by isloch no goals. Pathetic
Hi guys, have now got stats on 100 games I have watched in last few weeks for O2.5mg in search of doubles or trebles that pay evens or over. Of these I have picked 69% winners but I haven’t bet on them all nor shared them all (this mainly to do with site issues). I am though well in profit since beginning. There are 7 criteria I measure against which are:
1. Do the sides average over 3.5mg between them for the season?
2. Are there more than 3 places between them in the leaque?
3. Do the sides average over 3.5mg between them when looking at home sides home record and away sides away record?
4. Is the top side at home?
5. Do the sides average 1.5mg for and against for the season when looking at home sides home record and away sides away record?
6. Do the sides both average 2.5mg in their last 6 games?
7. Have 66% of their H2H averaged O2.5mg?
I am now at the point where I have identified the following trends.
1.75% of games which meet 5 or more of these criteria are winners.
2. Criteria 3, 4 and 5 see the most winners, over 70% for each.
Up until now I have not been betting on games that meet 4 or more of the criteria but ring alarm bells and also betting on games that meet only 3 criteria but gut instinct tell me yes. Interstingly I have a 100% success rates in these games (only 3 so far. Bearing this in mind for the next week I am going to bet on games that have over 70% win average between all criteria they meet and/or games that meet at least 2 of the 3 top criteria.
Appreciate this is very mathemaically based in a very random sport but doing it out of interest as much as anything.
Sorry if I have bored you. Have already put up one tip for the day, one more to come now.
Sunday’s tip 1 pays 1.4/1.
O2.5mg treble
Pumma v Arafat (Estonia B 1700)
KFUM v Finnsnes (Norway 2.1 1700)
Futura v Lahti (Finland 1630)
Tip 2 1.62/1
O2.5mg treble
Huddinge v Pitea (Sweden 1 1400)
Kultsu v Mylpurro (Finland 1630)
KPV v Santa (Finland 1630)
I should have mentioned that I only ever go level stakes. I divide my bank by 12 every Monday and then that is the size of each bet through the week. I will keep track for you all from here on so you can see my success rate. No doubt now I have shared it the wheels will fall off ;-)
GL
MATTR-great stuff mate,i will be following,have a feeling over time returns will be prifitable-sorted
Stromsgodset/Viking O1.5
Rosenborg O1.5tg
Falkenbergs/Elfsborg O1.5
1.04/1 @Betfair
July
Bets 4
Wins 3
Lose 1
Good work and research Mattr …Good Luck – will try bet 2!
IN PLAY double
Jeobuk motors game – o3.5mgs
Jeannam Dragons game – o1.5mgs
2.35/1
3 points
**WIN**
stromsgodset vs stavanger
both teams score and concede freely and there is 9/10 bts & ovah record in h2h played in drammen
stromsgodset vs stavanger bts & over @1.87
PSV Starting 11
Zoet; Isimat, Maher, Schaars, Bergwijn, Laursen, Locadia, Brenet, Vloet, Ritzmaier en Hendrix
Subs
Pasveer, Koopmans; Alberto, Heesakkers, De Wijs, Leemans, Lundqvist, Boljevic, O. Rommens, en Lukovic
anyone know if this is a strong team??
4 of the starting 11 played league games regularly, no substituters mate
Last night- macea o1.5tgs *lost*
Craneguy that was shocking mate,apologies!
hi matr, great write up btw
one question, why do you divide your bank by 12 ta
Belfast, some win some loose that why its called gambling and not winning :D
a had a nice o/nite 11/4 so not complaining………
Cheers Flandroy
Worth backing the psv -4 then?
Researched corner double @ EVENS
Both over 8 corners
IFK Mariehamn v FC Ilves
Jerv v Baerum
If this double lands I will keep on researching these corner bets and see how far I can get. Starting with £5 and possibility rolling the winner’s over until £50 (luck permitting).
One bet per day.
Thanks Wasclueless and Craneguy. Good question CG. Not quite sure I just always have. Bit more margin for error than dividing by 10? Nothing more scientific than that. Obviously that is maximum bet though. So for instance let’s say the bank was £240 I’d have maximum per bet of £20. That would be my ’10 point’ bet. Other times I may go with 5. I will stipulate if this is the case. I am also not adverse to cashing out or covering whilst using the system. However even when I do this I will obviously mark a loss as a loss for the sake of the stats and system.
Cheers gents glad sit came in for us.
JoeT. Sorry mate but that comment is absolute nonsense. Finding the most nailed on bet and backing double chance against it will not profit in the long run. Besides, you don’t need to know much about any team if you’re backing goals. Just need to know what you’re looking for.
Since we havent posted a tip for a few days I thought I’d better post them here as well so nobody misses them.
Corner TIPS (HOORAY!)
Norway Div 2 Group 1 17:00
Skied v Grorud
Under 10 Asian Corners
Paraguay Division Pro – 20:00
Dep. Santani v Cerro Porteno
Under 10 Asian Corners
Paraguay Division Pro 22:30
Sport. Luqueno v Olimpia As
Under 10 Asian Corners
Campepnato Brasileiro 22:30
Flamengo v Figueirense
Under 11 Asian Corners
Good luck everybody and yes it’s all unders today (not deliberately)
Rosenborg look too strong and could cover the handicap.
Taken the >5.5 GL in the PSV game …
Rensen their best player (in my opinion) is injured mate.
Plenty of juicy games today, and theres a couple that have caught my eye but decided to plump on the Sodertalje vs Dalkurd game in the Swedish Division 1 Norra at 4pm, to kick off my July.
Its the strugglers vs high flyers at Sodertalje Idrottsplats this afternoon and the visitors are in fine form. I’ve focused on the half time market for added value and seeing as the home team have lost 4 in their last 6 home games at half time, coupled with Dalkurd winning 4 in their last 5 aways, I think 21/20 for Dalkurd to win at half time offered by 365 is sensational value.
But why are the odds so nice? Its because Sodertalje are capable of scoring, their home attacking record isnt all that bad, its just their lousy defence.
If thats not enticing enough, Sodertalje have the worst home record in the league, mustering 5 points in 18 and conceding 17 goals in 6 games. Facing one of the divisions top teams cant be all good.
So now focusing on goals, Dalkurd have scored 2+ FHG against similar placed teams, to Vasteras but more comparatively to Motala. Sodertalje dont usually leak more than one before half time, infact its only been once in their last 5 homes that they have, but Dalkurd specialise against teams like this.
Its a bonus if Sodertalje score before half time, as I cant see Dalkurd losing in that period, but I can see them grabbing a couple.
Sodertalje vs Dalkurd – Over 1.5 FHG 13/10 @Co.ral
Cashed out on the PSV game … 3-0 in 25 mins – nice little profit… focus on the Grand Prix!
Micronesia U23 have played two games in the Pacific Games and have a goal difference of -68. Why bother? Tahiti U23 won 30-0, Fiji U23 won 38-0 this morning…
Good shout on psv chief. Just cashed out at 98% profit.
Meant Mr F lol
Satoshi mate I will have some of tha!
First leg of the double up in 11 minutes. Good start.
I’m on your double today, Jordan. Nothing more satisfying then seeing BTTS come in so early. Good going, here’s hoping for the Odd game later.
Flandroy thanks for the info on the stromsgodset game.
seem to be an excellent choiceon psv mr fixit mate
stromsgodset vs stavanger bts & over @1.87
————————————–
2-1 after 25 mins, WIN
W39,L25,P5
————————————–
FLANDROY-did you tip fc inter and minsk? If so what was it both to win?
no interest here cc mate
CC TREBLE
GOTEBORG.D/C
FC INTER. D/C
ROSENBERG DNB
2 points rtns 4
GL LADS
Flandroy ok mate,another poster then sure it was minsk/fc inter
first bet for sunday
shanghai sipg, Guangzhou o2.5mgs double 13/10 LOST by 1 goal
over 4.5mgs in the sipg game 11/4 LOST chose the wrong game
F1 rosberg 9/4 LOST
My double can be covered if you followed on Odd/Valerenga BTTS No @ 13/8 @ BV.
2.5 points @ 27/20 returns 5.88
1.5 points @ 13/8 returns 4.20
4.1 points total to return 5.88 or 4.20
I’m leaving it but just putting up an option for those that think cover isn’t necessary on bets
Sorry that’s 1.6 points on BTTS No @ 13/8 but just checked and it’s shortening. Not scared. A Valerenga goal in the first half should provide better cover but I’ll be leaving it either way.
good luck jordan
cheers for the info wasn’t being nosey just dividing by 12 seemed odd
I’m trying to put together a more disciplined system for the start of the new season proper, atm I’m all over the place 1.5 pts on this 6 pts on that 1/2 point on the other……….
also my notes scattered all over the shop in various books and bits of loose paper, too many bets a day too at times
I leaning towards 4 bets per day 3 x 3 pts singles and 1 x 1 pt treble, will see………..
ps some great wins on here today only wish I was amongst them
CRANEY- tbh im the same,sometimes i go too many mainly cos’ i follow the usual lads on here.Then i will do my own bets and sometimes a mixture of everyones!!…but your right 1/2 bets a day will be more disciplined-good luck
Sodertalje vs Dalkurd – Over 1.5 FHG 13/10 @Co.ral
***OOOOHHHHHH POST*** (0-1)
Satoshi 0-1 Bookies
Craigyboy i couldn’t agree more regarding tennis and set betting in particular to be more profitable than football. I usually go in play and wait for the favourite to go a set up and then back over 3.5 sets providing its better than evens. There are usually some good opportunities in the second week but with work / family commitments its not always possible to follow the matches.
Anyone on my tip 2 can cash out for large profit now or probably cover available. Your shout.
In fact cover of 11/1 available on Kultsu game U2.5mg
Odd/Valerenga BTTS No now 7/2 for anybody wanting to cover.
If you followed my stake. 0.75 of a point (£7.50) will return £1.25 profit.
CRANEY -try this
One account for jordons tips
One for harrys
One for raal
One for your own
PROFIT most days!!!
Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg over 1.5 fhg 21/20
Good luck folks
Glad I took Tip 2 – thanks Mattr!!
BTTS NO 4/1 @ PP for cover. Never mind.
Jordan took it at 7/2 just incase……….
Centrecircle – I just have the one account with Jordan, Raal’s and Harry’s tip …. (ohh and mine!!) they more than offset my losses!!! Without them my account would resemble the Greek economy …
On a serious note – finally got the concept of covering … and cheers Jordan for putting up cover options on your tips as has definitely helped in the very slow learning process!!
cheers CC but there about a dozen or so good tipsters on here that post multiple tips would…………
Excellent Mattr. Since Puuma game was not available on William Hill I put the other games in a 5-fold. Looks like your systme is worth following :)
Bet 1 can be cashed out or above evens cover taken on U2.5mg in Pumma game now
Jordan does it again!
Odd equalizes. Good stuff Jordan.
Over 2.5 goal double:
Bryne v Fredrikstad
Aalesund v Mjondalen
1.56/1
Ladbrokes
3 pts
***WIN*** :)
Add for the treble:
Shangai East Asia v Shangai Shenxin
2.84/1
Ladbrokes
1 pt
***LOST*** :(
Good Luck anyone having a bet today!
Thanks clueless and fela. Funny thing that the only game struggling is Puuma which was my banker for the day. Could be the first game I’ve done that meets all 7 criteria but doesn’t come in. Plenty of time yet though.
cheers Jordan good stuff again…………….
Just back from my local Laddies.Stuck £30 on Usa W v Japan W BTTS & Over 2.5 match goals at 12/5.
Cannot see this being a tight game.Both girlies teams will go all out to win.
nalazus, from what I’ve seen USA could win but from Saturday results who fancies no scorer.
thank fek tromso goal in 3rd min of et my double still alive :)
Stromgodset/Viking BTTS – Norwegian Tippeligaen – 2:30PM
Odd/Valerenga BTTS – Norwegian Tippeligaen – 5:00PM
27/20 @ 888 – 2.5 points **WIN**
_______________________________________________________________
July Totals
Bets 13
Staked 32
Returned 54.76
Profit 22.76
Thnx Jordan,I added Nest Sotra (bts) and Stuttgart (over 2.5) for a four fold.Boooom.
fek -now got Raal’s tip, MrFs tip and my tip all relying on Rosenborg scoring twice …
WasClueless, if Rosenborg score you should look at the cover options. Stats suggest they will score 2+ but nothing is guaranteed.
In-Play:
Stuttgart v Vicktoria Plzen (3-1, HT, Friendly)
Stuttgart to score 2nd half
4/6 (Bet 365)
(3 pts)
Stuttgart over 4.5 TG
3/1 (Bet 365)
(1 pt)
I know its only a friendly but the prices don’t add up. May make a few changes second half…seems to be a mixed team strength wise.
CC TREBLE
GOTEBORG. O1.5 MGLS
ROSENBERG. O1.5MGLS
STROMGODSET BTTS
2 points rtns 4.25
GL LADS
Cc advice cover
.5poimt on rosenberg u 1.5 mgls
Rtns 2.75 points
Portland Timbers Over 1.5 Team Goals – MLS – 4:00AM
HJK Over 1.5 Team Goals – Finnish Veikkausliiga – 4:30PM
8/5 @ Boylesports – 2 points
My next four fold
******************
Sao Paulo – Fluminense (btts)
Portland Timbers (win)
Both Iceland Cup games (over 2.5 goals)
Cheers gents the luck continues for me.
Jordan your on fire mate, great tips as usual.
Well done craigyboy, wouldn’t have touched that random game with a bargepole but I trust the Germans have earned you a few quid
In-Play:
Stuttgart v Vicktoria Plzen (3-1, HT, Friendly)
Stuttgart to score 2nd half
4/6 (Bet365)
(3 pts)
***WIN*** :)
Stuttgart over 4.5 TG
3/1 (Bet365)
(1 pt)
***WIN*** :)
I know its only a friendly but the prices don’t add up. May make a few changes second half…seems to be a mixed team strength wise.
Oh yes Ted :)
Small bet for interest later:
Paraguayan League
Libertad over 1.5 TG (11pm)
Cerro Porteno over 1.5 TG (8pm)
1.79/1
Unibet
3 points
Sunday’s tip 1 pays 1.4/1
O2.5mg treble
Pumma v Arafat (Estonia B 1700) 1-1
KFUM v Finnsnes (Norway 2.1 1700) 5-0
Futura v Lahti (Finland 1630) 3-0
*LOST*
Tip 2 1.62/1
O2.5mg treble
Huddinge v Pitea (Sweden 1 1400)
Kultsu v Mylpurro (Finland 1630) 4-1
KPV v Santa (Finland 1630) 1-3
*WON*
Tips: 2
Won: 1
Lost: 1
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 0.62
For the sake of the system this is profit if you let all bets run their course not if you take any cash out or cover options I suggest.
Rosenborg game – at the moment they have the cutting edge of a butter knife … need them to score for cover … so glad I cashed 2 of my bets out for profit as completely over exposed on 1 game – and recalled Jordan’s comment about a key player being injured – hoping for a better second half!!
Need Rosenborg to come in. Ia anyone watching a feed is a comeback looking likely??
July bet 7:
Videoton/Rosenborg next team to score double (Videoton playing against 10 men and 2-0 down at half time). Rosenborg should score?!
5pts staked at Ht returns 12.6 pts…
Bailed on final Rosenborg bet – cashed out and put it on a draw at 11/5 ..
WasClueless, probably the right move. Disappointing they haven’t scored in nearly 80 minutes since conceding. Rosenborg or draw at 3-1 tempts for 1pt but I think I’ll leave it.
Needed a Rosenborg goal for 400 quid!! Not happy! That’s me done till the Premier League season, see ya chaps!
MrF – wrong move lol … watched the game and they had absolutely no cutting edge … about 3 “decent” chances in all.. so glad I cashed out on 2/3 bets!! learning for me is when a decent team goes down should have gone for corners RT9 would have been a good choice .. oh well move on …
July bet 7:
Videoton/Rosenborg next team to score double (Videoton playing against 10 men and 2-0 down at half time). Rosenborg should score?!
5pts staked at Ht returns 12.6 pts…
_________LOST____________________
July total:
7 bets posted (4 won, 3 lost)
Profit/Loss: +23.1 points.
CC SS
BODO GLINT O 1.5 TGLS
2 points rtns 5.25
LOST
CC SS 2
HELSINBORGS D/C
2 points rtns 4.2
LOST
CC TREBLE
GOTEBORG. O1.5 MGLS
ROSENBERG. O1.5MGLS
STROMGODSET BTTS
2 points rtns 4.25
GL LADS
LOST BUT advice cover WON +.75
Rosenborg had won 9 out of last 10 aways, scoring 33 goals. Sods law when I back em they can’t even score one:-(
CC JULY TOTALS
Bets. 10
Stake. 20.5
Rtns. 17
Profit. -3.5
(Blame rosenberg)!!
Any tips on the womens world cup final USA V Japan ?
CC W WORLD CUP
USA TO WIN EXTRA TIME 10/1
USA. ON PENS. 12/1
JAPAN ON PENS. 12/1
JAPAN. IN ET. 16/1
0.5 points x 4
Total points staked 2
Profit if game ends in a draw
GL LADS
Stromsgodset/Viking O1.5
Rosenborg O1.5tg
Falkenbergs/Elfsborg O1.5
1.04/1 @Betfair
LOSE
July
Bets 5
Wins 3
Lose 2
Cant resist when I saw this …JAPAN (over 3.5 team corners @ 1.8)
Maybe Rosenberg are an early victim of the ‘Europa league syndrome’, having played in the competition on Thursday night? Several teams seem to struggle after playing in the midweek Euro competitions. Can’t believe they didn’t even score.
Alan it was just one of those games. 11 corners and over 24 shots at goal. Didn’t watch it myself but I gather the Bodo/Glimt keeper will have a few beers bought for him tonight. I said earlier in the day that Rosenborg were missing one of their key players in Helland. Takes all their set pieces and is their second top goalscorer behind Soderlund. Also missed the 2-0 win in the Europa League midweek.
Are those questions still being asked? Thought we were past that stage!
Jordan,
Anything for tonight mate???
Rav, tomorrows bet is an early morning selection with one for the afternoon. Its on the new thread mate.