I’M loving Wimbledon just now as I landed my second Super Single in succession and also posted a winning treble.
My treble was Viktor Troiki -1.5 sets v Aljaz Bedene and 3-0 wins for Roger Federer and Andy Murray that paid 6-4.
I broke even on the football tips after covering the Super Single. My 2pts bet on Zilina and Aberdeen was beaten by Shkendija’s late equaliser against the Dons but I advised putting 0.5pts on the draw at 9-1 – some will have covered and some won’t but when I can I will look at the options and give out advice.
My Top Treble was only beaten by AIK who were surprisingly held by VPS but it wasn’t the easiest of nights to pick value winners and well done to those who did.
On Friday there are league games in Scandinavia and Ireland and I’ll had a closer look at some of those matches. Later on it’s the Copa America third-place play-off between Peru and Paraguay and it’s always difficult to work out how sides will react in this consolation contest after losing their semi-finals.
League of Ireland leaders Dundalk travel to Drogheda for the Louth derby and having lost on their last three visits there they look a bit short at 3-10.
To make it a Super Single at just under evens I’m adding Molde not to lose at Sarpsborg. Molde were on a great run until a shock defeat at Tromso and that’s been followed by draws against Valerenga and at leaders Rosenborg.
Sarpsborg have lost three of their last four and Molde should pick up the points but I feel safer taking them on the double chance.
I prefer to back Division One leaders Wexford at home to basement boys Waterford. Wexford have netted 14 goals in their seven home matches despite losing three while Waterford have lost six of seven on the road and netted just four goals.
I’m going for three tennis Super Single wins in a row and in essence I’m going against stats with this one. The bet I wanted was a tiebreak in the match between Marin Cilic and John Isner.
There have been six in four meetings between the players – Cilic winning all of the matches – but the price pays just 1-12. That’s out and I even thought about no tiebreak at 6-1 but if it goes four or five sets there’s likely to be at least one.
However, a bet that stands out is no tiebreak in the first set at 5-4 with Ladbrokes. It’s worth backing just because of the price and in their only previous five-set meeting there wasn’t a tiebreak until the third.
For the tennis treble – and again it won’t be included in my stats – I’m in Cilic to win, Nick Krygios to take at least a set off Milos Raonic (he’s been tipped to win in place) and over 3.5 sets at Grigor Dimitrov v Richard Gasquet which looks a tough one to call.
4pts Super Single
Molde not to lose (6pm)
2pts Super Single
Cilic v Isner no tiebreak first set (5pm)
Krygios to win a set (12.30pm)
Dimitrov v Gasquet over 3.5 sets (1.15pm)
(2-1, Paddy Power)
July Super Single record
4 bets (3 winners, 1 loser)
July Top Treble record
1 bet (1 loser)
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