JULY 28: TENNIS AND OTHER SPORTS TIPS

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tennisballgeneric

RAFA NADAL begins his Hamburg Open title bid today as he tries to find from after an awful first half of the year.

The former world No.1 – now languishing at No.10 following his Wimbledon woe – has accepted a wildcard to the clay-court event and faces a tricky opener against fellow Spaniard Fernando Verdasco.

Nadal leads the head-to-head 14-2 but has lost the last two and on current form is unbackable at best odds 1-5 with Boylesports. Some punters might be tempted by the 9-2 offered by BetVictor for a Verdasco win.

Three of the pair’s last four meetings have gone to a deciding set and over 2.5 sets pays 25-11 at 10bet.

There’s plenty more action from Hamburg and also the Atlanta Open – where big-serving John Isner is the 5-2 title favourite at Betfair – as well as WTA matches.

In the cricket one-day Cup, Glamorgan host Kent and  the Major League Baseball has its usual batch of fixtures.

Good luck with your bets and let’s hear your sporting tips and thoughts.

 

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48 Comments
  1. DK 2 years ago

    Royal London ODI

    Yorkshire 1/2
    Surrey 4/6

    Double 6/4 – 5 points **WON**

    Both teams out of the t20 cup so will have full focus on this now. Surrey made a slow start in the t20 and wil not want to make the same mistake twice. Yorkshire playing derbyshire, yorkshire have a much better side on paper and are rightfully 1/2 in my opinion.

    Also advised a large bet on yorkshire as a single which won so a very good day.

    One game tomorow

    Kent 10/11 – 3 points

    Looks a steal to me as. However only 3 points because they have a t20 quarter final this week and they may have their eyes on that.

  2. Ad 2 years ago

    Young’s woeful Atlanta form continues!

    6-2, 6-1 Muller!

    A nice start to the morning 😀

    • De Niro 2 years ago

      Donald Young – Donald duck more like 😉

      Perfect analysis Ad right on the money and my mystic feeling about Young and his American revival LOL!

  3. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Money line Single
    Royals @ Indians
    Royals @ 1.95 *won*

    Add
    Ml Cardinals @ 1.5
    Ml Giants @ 1.6

    Treble @ 4.7 (25% stake) *won*

    Team to score first wins double
    Brewers @ Giants @ 1.4 *won*
    Red @ Cardinals @ 1.4 *lost*

    Double @ 1.97 *lost*

    2/3 will do.

  4. De Niro 2 years ago

    12-30 Gstaad
    M Granollers 2-0 v R Haase 3/1 william hill

    10-00 Hamburg
    M Klizan 2-0 v A Seppi 2/1 william hill

    13-00 Hamburg
    Haider Maurer 2-0 v Y Vesely 7/2 william hill

    1 point trixie (4 points)

  5. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Tonight’s mlb
    Tigers @ Rays
    Tigers @ 1.87
    Reds @ Cardinals
    Cards & u7.5 runs @ 3.0

    Double @ 5.61 (50% stake)

  6. De Niro 2 years ago

    ATP Hamburg
    Fognini 14/1 2 points win

    ATP Gstaad
    Delbonis 18/1 2 points win

  7. punterpounder 2 years ago

    tennis 4 fold

    savchuk (inplay)

    flipkens

    nadal

    robredo

    £5 returns £20.88 @betfair

  8. Juan 2 years ago

    Considering Nadal’s recent bad run and the fact Verdasco has won the last two would anyone recommend Verdasco +5.5 games as a nice bet? Good stuff with Muller AD, never in doubt

    • Ad 2 years ago

      Juan- what price is Verdasco + 5.5? I’m expecting him to come closer than that, if all goes to plan!

  9. Ad 2 years ago

    Delbonis looks a good shout De Niro, I’ll have a small go on that. The draw could open up very nicely for him indeed. Carreno busta @ 20/1 is the other I’m considering a small flutter on, but they’re in the same quarter so nieut an ideal combo. One of them can take down a slightly hungover Thiem though hopefully. But he recovers well Thiem could be looking at consecutive titles.

  10. Ad 2 years ago

    IF he recovers well*

  11. Ad 2 years ago

    On Reister -3.5 in play @ 10/11. Looks to have the handle on this matchup after dropping first game. Should get at least a break in each set. I’d be v surprised if he didn’t.

  12. Ad 2 years ago

    The commentators curse! Come on Reister, i know you’ve got this. Should’ve waited and taken 2-0 @ 5/2. Maybe I will!

  13. Mark69 2 years ago

    Great research & tip Ad even tho my over bet lost :(
    Young is a joke!!

  14. Ad 2 years ago

    Thanks Mark and others. Nice when a prediction along with the reasoning comes off, a rare thing!

    Got away with one slightly there on Reister -3.5. Voided after Kavcic retirement.

  15. GAZ B 2 years ago

    3 sets is good price at 21/10 if you think will take him close. +4.5 is evens at sky bet

  16. Dazid316 2 years ago

    ***Posted Yesterday***
    MLB Bets For Tonight

    Underdog Treble
    Treble @ 9/1 (£5) LOST
    Chicago White Sox ML (Win 10-8)
    Texas Rangers ML (Lost 6-2) after leading 2-0
    Arizona Diamondbacks ML (Win 4-3)
    3 out of last 4 nights 1 team lets me down again

    Fav’s Double
    Double @ 2.55/1 (£10) WON
    St Louis Cardinals ML (Win 4-1)
    San Francisco Giants & Over 5.5 Runs (Win 4-2)

    Nice 2 out 3 profit @ Dazzler
    2 close games going to extra innings on your underdogs with 1 winner @ Jaseos

  17. Felix 2 years ago

    GGL just retired against Munar. Wonder if Nadal had a word in his ear haha.

  18. Ad 2 years ago

    Okay so I know I tipped Kohli in my acca, but Gavin seem how relaxed and on it Paire looks I have to take him @ 2/1. And 2-0 @ 7/2. Might all change quickly but looks like he’s carrying his form forward so far

  19. Ad 2 years ago

    Just broken right on cue. A few quid going on Paire outright @ 40/1 too! Egg on face in half an hours time for sure….this is Benoit!

  20. Felix 2 years ago

    It was so obvious that Benoit was half tanking that second set. Totally ramped it up again now.

  21. JamesB81 2 years ago

    Sometimes you know that the tennis Gods are trying to tell you something………

    Took Garcia-Lopez at 33/1 for a small interest bet (to win Hamburg ATP) and he retires after 3 games (2-1 up) against a rank outsider in the first round.

    I’m going to listen to the Gods and take a wee break from tennis.

  22. punterpounder 2 years ago

    gonna see how this second set shapes up before I cash out but rafa is still miles off his best even on clay maybe its time uncle tony got switched for some one else mr nadal..

  23. Ad 2 years ago

    One point away from 2-0 verdasco coming in there I reckon. That 13 minute service game Rafa eventually held could prove crucial. He was on the brink. We shall see if he can build on this or get pegged back

  24. JamesB81 2 years ago

    Ad

    The H2H between Rafa and FV is 13-2 but FV has won the last two with similar scores

    2012/Clay: 6-3, 3-6, 7-5
    2015/Hard: 6-4, 2-6, 6-3

    Today: 6-3, 0-3

  25. De Niro 2 years ago

    Mr F can we have some little angry icons like a man that goes red then explodes ! Sums up my tennis this week :-(

    Came out firing and 4 bets so far and 4 down :-( have to make do with sad face as we don’t have the man that explodes 😉

    Will again take a step back and wait on the outrights AND any more matchbets later in week !

    Ad – here’s hoping for Delbonis capable for sure.

  26. Ad 2 years ago

    The only trouble with Verdasco on this matc up is that he’s a bit of a wet sponge between the ears compared to Rafa. he needs to be aggressive on his first serve but make a lot of then and he really should win. Rafa has to make a high percentage himself of he will get punished. This set seems to have gone. But I’m still hopeful for Fernando.

  27. Felix 2 years ago

    He’s waiting for the 3rd set. Obviously not trying

  28. Iddy 2 years ago

    De Niro – no horse bets from u today??

  29. Ad 2 years ago

    That set was more about Fernando stumbling that Rafa suddenly finding form. Still there if Verdasco steps it back up. As well as the outright I’m having a little go on
    6-1/ 6-2/ 6-3 Verdasco @ 50/1 50/1 and 10/1. A few pence on 6-0 @ 500 just so I don’t get beat the wrong way!

  30. Ad 2 years ago

    I guess that’s why verdascos never quite made the A list. Bit of a bottle job when there’s a big win in his sights. Doesn’t look like he’ll come through now. I thought the may well do, but never has the same confidence in his as Dustin Brown at Wimby. That man doesnt doubt himself, tighten up or dial it down a notch at crunch time

  31. Felix 2 years ago

    Nothing special coming off Nadal’s racket as per usual

  32. punterpounder 2 years ago

    game set match I feel now vadasco had his chances but im not complaining only need robredo now for a nice win

  33. Ad 2 years ago

    This has been so frustrating to watch. Nadal has played some good defence In the third set but other than that, there’s nothing on the other side of the net that Verdasco should be struggling to beat. It’s intensity and belief, and playing aggressively in the big moments (or at least notakimg cheap mistakes if you don’t!)

    Rafa has a chance to play his way into a bit of form now before he meets anyone else who might shock him. Though I’d like to see Janowicz make it through to play him. That could be a tasty one

  34. Felix 2 years ago

    Verdasco’s brain has simply collapsed. Failed to go 40-0 up on nadal’s first service game in the third and just folded

  35. Ad 2 years ago

    God I can’t watch this any more. So many chances!

  36. Felix 2 years ago

    That was painful. Winning 2 games in the last 2 sets is pretty embarrassing, even by Verdasco’s standards.

  37. Ad 2 years ago

    Two other upsets that I’m backing later today (with hopefully more luck!)

    Krajicek d Baghdatis @ 3/1
    Harrison d Kudla @ 2/1

    Krajicek is a pretty dangerous player when he’s fired up and should be here on home turf against a big name. Baghdatis has shown some better form this year that he was before but is still susceptible to throwing in very uninspired performances, such as his shock defeat to some Colombian I can’t recal in Colombia last week. I can sniff an upset here.

    Kudla has better recent form than Harrison, but there’s not much between them in terms of level and overall form this season, so this price looks big to me. I’m siding with the value Harrison.

    Stakes will be low. I’ve had enough disappointment for one day wth Verdasco folding! Thank god for Gilles Muller.

  38. punterpounder 2 years ago

    tennis 4 fold

    savchuk (inplay)

    flipkens

    nadal

    robredo

    £5 returns £20.88 @Betfair

    *WON*

  39. GAZ B 2 years ago

    Hope few people were on the 3 sets at over 2/1 think a few mentioned at and to be fair I only Checked the market after you guys were talking so thanks :)

  40. Felix 2 years ago

    They playing under the roof in the zverev Robredo match?

  41. Ad 2 years ago

    Krajicek playing quite well, Baghdatis is on form though. Can’t complain. Hopefully he has a dip!

  42. punterpounder 2 years ago

    cmon robredo making a meal of it

  43. Ad 2 years ago

    Harrison you absolute pillock. About four or five incredibly loose and costly points squandered in the tie break and the bet is blown. Not impressed!

  44. Jaseos 2 years ago

    Dazid – Yeah pretty close stuff! The aim, when I make an underdog pick, is that they come close, to justify the bet… I got that so I can’t grumble.

    How are you and Dazzler doing generally with the betting? I see a few winners fluttering around last night gents!

    I try to get on here to post up if something a) gets highlighted b) I see a good case for it and c) are underdogs (it does happen!)

  45. Dazzler 2 years ago

    Cheers Dazid, would have been nicer if the Cards could have scored first but can’t win them all.

    Jaseos it’s been steady. I don’t think there’s been as many upsets this past month, in the run up to the all star game.

    • Dazid316 2 years ago

      MLB Bets For Tonight

      Fav’s Treble
      Treble @ 5.05/1 (£10)
      NY Mets ML
      St Louis Cardinals & Under 9.5 Runs
      San Francisco Giants ML

      Underdog Treble
      Treble @ 9.45/1 (£5)
      Kansas City Royals ML
      Chicago White Sox ML
      Arizona Diamondbacks ML

      Jaseos – steady too,been up and down at times, let down by 1 team usually

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