July 2: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

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JOHNB got off the mark for the month with a 13-8 double-stake winner on Saturday.

He says: “After a very disappointing first half of the year it was nice to start a month with a winning NAP/NB. With a non-runner it was a 1.5pt profit to start July, I have always said the year is 12 months so 12 months is what I judge myself on. It’s a long way to go to recover but I will end the year in front.

“Whether you have a bet or not on Sunday it’s definitely one of the best Sunday racing days I have seen for a while. Whether in France, Ireland or England, the already established horses or the up and coming ones, we have it all on Sunday.”

Johnb’s Sunday Tips

Windsor 2:10
Lahore 6-4 william hill

Curragh 3:45
Clemmie 5-2 NB william hill

4:50
Wicklow Brave 11-8 NAP william hill

Also 3 x 0.5pt doubles & 1 x 0.5pt treble

Johnb’s Antepost Tip

2018
1000 Guineas
Clemmie 25-1 bet365

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49 Comments
  1. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 3 months ago

    After a very disappointing first half of the year it was nice to start a month with a winning NAP/NB
    With a non runner it was a 1.5pt profit to start July, I have always said that the year is 12 months so 12 months is what I judge myself on, it’s a long way to go to recover but I will end the year in front.

    Sunday’s Tips

    Windsor
    2:10
    Lahore 6/4 william hill

    Curragh
    3:45
    Clemmie 5/2 NB william hill

    4:50
    Wicklow Brave 11/8 NAP william hill

    Also 3x 0.5pt doubles & 1x 0.5pt treble

    Whether you have a bet or not on Sunday it’s definitely one of the best Sunday racing days I have seen for a while, whether in France, Ireland or England, whether it’s the already established horses or the up and coming horses we have it all on Sunday

  2. Profile photo of leando
    leando 3 months ago

    2.00 uttoxeter

    Mileva Roller

  3. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 3 months ago

    Johnb’s Wimbledon Men’s Preview

    Andy Murray (GBR)
Current world ranking: 1
Seeded: 1

    Wimbledon Winner: (2013, 2016)
    
Last year’s result: Won

    Grand Slam results 2017
Australian Open: Fourth round
French Open: Semi-finals

    2017 Wins: Dubai

    Novak Djokovic (SRB)
Current world ranking: 4
Seeded: 2

    Wimbledon Winner (2011, 2014, 2015)
    
Last year’s result: Third round

    Grand Slam results 2017
Australian Open: Second round
French Open: Quarter-finals

    2017 Wins: Doha

    Roger Federer (SUI)
Current world ranking: 5
Seeded: 3

    Wimbledon Winner (2003-07, 09, 12)
    
Last year’s result: Semi-finals

    Grand Slam results 2017
Australian Open: Won
French Open: Did not play

    2017 Wins: Australian Open, Indian Wells, Miami, Halle

    Rafael Nadal (ESP)
Current world ranking: 2
Seeded: 4

    Wimbledon Winner: (2008, 2010)
    
Last year’s result: Did not play

    Grand Slam results 2017
Australian Open: Runner-up
French Open: Won

    2017 Wins: Monte Carlo, Barcelona, Madrid, French Open

    The top four seeds but not the top 4 in the world as number 3 in the world is

    Stan Wawrinka (SUI)
    Current World Ranking: 3
    Seeded: 5

    Wimbledon best result: Quarterfinal (2014, 2015)

    Last years result: 2nd round

    Grand Slam results 2017: Australian Open: Semifinal
    French Open: Runner-Up

    2017 Wins: Geneva

    The top 5 players in the world and the top 5 seeds at this years Wimbledon tournament,
    Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer are seen as the form players coming into Wimbledon while at the time of writing this Andy Murray has pulled out of his Friday match because he is still struggling with a hip injury, it’s been a difficult year for the Brit and his hopes of becoming a three time Wimbledon Champion look to be diminishing but then again we don’t exactly know what the injury is like so we will need to see how he is on court
    Nowak Djokovic is a shadow of his previous self but it was highlighted by me last season that a decline was imminent, he really is struggling to keep his work life and home life separate with the tv cameras following him everywhere for the documentary he is doing, family life along with playing and directing/producing was always going to spell trouble for the onetime World Number One
    Roger Federer on the other hand has had a new lease of life, he has had the French Open off to help his Wimbledon preparations but can we really rely on a 35yo
    Rafael Nadal has been the biggest surprise coming back from injuries to get to what looks an end of year Number One and of course winning the French Open again but he isn’t as good on grass for all the great player he is
    There are plenty of players with good grass court stats but none I can seriously recommend for the title,
    Milos Raonic is a player I have stated on this site as someone who will never win a slam, I maybe should have said he won’t win more than one because anybody can win one slam title, I still don’t think he has the right temperament to do it,
    There are so many players coming into this tournament with fitness worries,
    The young generation coming through are good and their are a few,
    I have previously said on this site how highly I rate Taylor Fritz but he is more for the future, I have also been impressed with Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov, the latter interests me to advance far in this tournament, Khachanov impresses me when he doesn’t hold back and just goes for it, you will also see in my Women’s preview that I really like the aggressive players as cautious gets you nowhere “well except Greece in the Euros”

    Some of this was written before the draw was made and the Tennis Gods have been extremely kind to Andy Murray and he probably couldn’t have picked himself an easier route to the final so at the odds now available I am willing to take a chance on Murray’s fitness because if he was declared 100% fit now then he would be a very short priced favourite

    Wimbledon Men’s bets

    KAREN KHACHANOV to win quarter 2
    22/1 bet365 (1pt win)

    ANDY MURRAY to win tournament 6/1 ladbrokes (1pt eachway)

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 3 months ago

      Johnb’s Wimbledon Women’s Preview

      Probably described as the most open tournament for years but then again open tournaments mean take advantage of the bookies poor knowledge

      My first selection is someone I wasn’t even contemplating backing until I saw how she played her last tournament, infact it looked like she would never play tennis again after suffering a horrific injury to her playing hand, at the back end of last year “20th December” Petra Kvitova had her left hand slashed open in an attempt to stop a burglary at her home when she fended off the attacker who had a knife to her throat, she says she still can’t feel two of her fingers but in all honesty it’s a miracle she can even hold a racket let alone play or even be competitive
      What I like about her and you can see it in her Tennis now is that she is playing because she wants to, she is playing for the enjoyment it gives her but will it be the same in a slam, will her fitness hold out and will she still be able to play to the levels she had before on what is her favoured surface, as for her reaching the high level of tennis I think yes but for the other points we will have to wait till she is on court but at 5/1 I think she is a worthy favourite,
      Her grass court hold/break percentage is a big 123.0% with her holding serve percentage of 86.8% and her breaking serve percentage of 36.2%
      Grass is definitely Kvitova’s most favoured surface and even after her quick return from that horrific injury I can see her going deep into this tournament and even winning it
      GAME ANALYSIS
      Her forehand has a short backswing as her racket doesn’t go past her back shoulder which helps her take the ball early and is good for going down the line with flat shots and could be seen as her biggest strength,
      Her backhand is very strong and she takes the ball early with a lot of power which pressurises opponents
      She is very comfortable coming to the net to finish points off
      Being a lefty helps her serve as it takes opponents time to adjust to the serve, at Wimbledon watch for her sliced serve out wide followed by a down the line forehand, you will see that combo a lot from her and it is very effective
      When returning serve it helps massively to take the ball early which requires a short backswing and as I said earlier that’s what Kvitova does extremely well,
      Another positive for her taking the ball early is it gives her opponent less time to think, it pressurises them and after she hits a good shot expect to see her advance to the net
      Petra Kvitova is an aggressive player with all the tools for grass

      My second selection is a player I backed at the French Open at 100/1, normally I wouldn’t back a player so quickly after winning their maiden slam as it normally takes a player time to recover from the emotion of winning but with Jelena Ostapenko it’s different, she is somewhat quite unique and has a great future, some people will remember me tipping her last season as I thought from what I saw in her playing style and more importantly her shot selection and her attitude all stood out to me

      GAME ANALYSIS
      Ostapenko’s forehand is faster than Andy Murray’s for a start, at the French Open her average speed for forehands was 76mph compared to 73mph for Murray
      One of the things I like about her is how she goes for the lines as much as she can, it doesn’t matter what point it is, the first or the last and it doesn’t matter where her opponent is she just wants to hit those lines which is making her opponents work harder than they would in other matches, some people criticise her because of the amount of shots she misses but that’s her all or nothing game with the French open as a perfect example, in the final Ostapenko hit 54 winners and had 54 unforced errors,
      as I say she will bombard her opponent with line shots then all of a sudden she will change direction with a powerful winner, she uses the whole court,

      Other players that have a chance are Karolina Pliskova, Angelique Kerber, Simone Halep, Coco Vandeweghe and possibly Johanna Konta

      But another player I like and this is also for the future is a player I have tipped up on numerous occasions, at the same age as Ostapenko but from Estonia is ANETT KONTAVEIT, she has all the markings of being a natural grass court player and like Ostapenko, Kontaveit is also an aggressive player, she has yet to win a match at Wimbledon in three previous visits but she is dangerous and capable of going far, she has taken the scalp of two top 10 players, Number 6 Garbine Muguruza 2-6 7-6 6-1 & World Number One Angelique Kerber 6-4 6-0

      Wimbledon Women’s bets

      PETRA KVITOVA to win tournament 5/1 bet365 (2pts win)

      JELENA OSTAPENKO to win tournament 6/1 bet365 (1pt eachway)

      ANETT KONTAVEIT to win tournament 40/1 william hill (0.5pts eachway)

      ANETT KONTAVEIT to win quarter 2
      10/1 bet365 (1pt win)

      JELENA OSTAPENKO to win quarter 3
      6/1 ladbrokes (1pt win)

  4. Profile photo of billy boy
    billy boy 3 months ago

    Pretty poor mods not a mention for ew thief 6 horses tipped 4 winners at 7s,8s,10s & 11/1 other 2 placed at 10s and 6/1 incredible tipping all at prices different class.
    @Johnb what we’re your finishing points for June there nowhere to be seen if av missed them i apologise.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 3 months ago

      75.59pts down, you must have missed it

    • Profile photo of Scott Allot Author
      Scott Allot 3 months ago

      I don’t have time to trawl the thread to see who won what. As always, well done all winners and especially ewthief today – top tipping

      • Profile photo of billy boy
        billy boy 3 months ago

        Just checked Johnb nothing mentioned for 3 days so I didn’t miss it thanks for letting us know if you don’t put up end of month stats how do people know how your going without trailing back through threads which takes ages.
        @Scott cheers ew thief defo deserves a mention surely that’s the most winners and place’s by anybody in 1 day without a loser 👏👏

  5. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Shelford 3.30 rated 140 over hurdles runs off 127 in first handicap over fences ,stable going well ,seems to handle any going 12/1 e/w GL.

  6. Profile photo of chilleden
    chilleden 3 months ago

    There was some top tipping yesterday, especially each way thief. Well done everyone and keep up the good work. Thank you!

  7. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 3 months ago

    just think I have read war and peace 2 well done ew thiief top tipping mate well done lad that take some doing well done all winners yesterday

  8. Profile photo of davyb
    davyb 3 months ago

    Lahore 2.10 win
    valcartier 2.40 win
    whispering bell 3.10 win
    endeavour 3.55 cart

  9. Profile photo of busstop2017
    busstop2017 3 months ago

    E/W THIEF Outstanding yesterday nicely done.

    gl

  10. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 3 months ago

    Absolutely incredible e/way

    Superb prices and 4 winners and two placed as such amazing prices

    If a newspaper tipster / tv tipster did that they would call him a god

    Superb !

  11. Profile photo of rorywhite91
    rorywhite91 3 months ago

    3 from me today;
    Wonga swinger 10/3 2.00 uttoxeter.
    Attest 2/1 4.05
    coolfitch 4.45 Windsor 5/2 NAP

  12. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 3 months ago

    Morning all cheers for the comments lads & well done winners yesterday
    Plough boy 2.15c 10/1
    Poetic presence 2.20c 16/1
    General mcarthur 3.40w 10/1
    Englishman 4.15w 20/1
    Ravenous 5.20w 14/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky31 ☘️Gl all

  13. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 3 months ago

    Some great racing today had a look last night but was a bit pissed going back through now Wicklow should not lose today

  14. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 3 months ago

    No time yesterday to go through the thread to congradulate the winners. Some great tipping but EW THIEF different class. Brilliant stuff.

  15. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 3 months ago

    June minus 15

    Curragh
    14-15 Daisy Domergue 16/1 6 points

    14-45
    Maarek 25/1 5 points win sporting odds
    Elysian Flyer 25/1 5 points win

    Good luck everyone today

  16. Profile photo of busstop2017
    busstop2017 3 months ago

    Afternoon all.

    No bet yesterday , 2 winners friday

    CARTMEL
    15.20 — RED RIVERMAN —

    17.00 — TURTLE CASK —

    UTTOXETER

    15.00 — BURST YA BUBBLE —

    16.05 — EBONY EXPRESS —

    16.35 — HAMMERSLY LAKE —

    gl all

  17. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 3 months ago

    RATTLING JEWEL 12/1 EW 2.45 curr
    NEZWAAH 8/1 EW 4.20 curr
    TOO FAMILIAR 4/1 3.45 curr

    BOL

  18. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 3 months ago

    One more….MY DREAM BOAT 2.55 Saint Cloud looks too big at 9/1 for an ew play. Doesnt look the strongest of group 1’s

  19. Profile photo of cavaggio
    cavaggio 3 months ago

    Acker Bilk 3.10 Windsor Well bred, yard does well here. 20/1 eway

  20. Profile photo of cavaggio
    cavaggio 3 months ago

    The Grey Gatsby 3.15 Curragh best form in the book, first run for Dermot Weld, he could well get further improvement from this colt. 3/1 bet365

  21. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 3 months ago

    15-30 Utoxeter
    Upswing 20/1
    Keltus 14/1

    5 points on Keltus
    8 on upswing

  22. Profile photo of bleeding gums
    bleeding gums 3 months ago

    Hi john. I have been watching racing for years but have never seen a sire as durable as Kodiac. His progeny seem to go over any distance, he had 2 winners in the curragh yesterday and one today. Initially, kodiacs fee was 5k but last year that went up to 50k. This horse is a cash machine john.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 3 months ago

      Yeah decent Sire, he is top Sire for 2yo’s but can hold is own with his older progeny,
      Society Rock was a Sire I thought would do well and it’s a pity he died at 9 as his progeny are doing well and is a big loss to the Talky-Ho Stud but they still have Kodiac and €5000 wasn’t a bad price when you think he’s produced horses like Kodi Bear, Tiggy Wiggy, Adaay and Prince Of Lir, Brother Bear
      His better horses are for the 5f to 7f distance but then it all depends on the Dam as she has a big say as well but I do like Kodiac

  23. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Camelot’s stud fee has gone up by 10k ,first crop due to be seen on a racecourse soon ,must be showing plenty at home ,should be interesting .

  24. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Five of the last 6 horses I’ve posted have finished 2nd ,getting on my nerves now GL.

  25. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Off to Spain this week has anyone used tunnelbear or hide.me to avoid bookmakers being blocked ?

  26. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 3 months ago

    Well that was a good game back from the match up the Warriors. pongo twiston 5.10 cape banjo 5.20 zabalan 5.25
    collodi 5.35 well done John b and all winners so far and all winners yesterday

  27. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Thanks Champyr ,DC ,that’s good as I have Turkey in October as well ,the road to poverty remains open 😀

  28. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 3 months ago

    Well Done again e/w thief 3 places and 150% profit on the L31 alone ,Thanks

  29. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 3 months ago

    A little better on Sunday with two winners and a second to give a 5.72pt profit for the day, just a pity the jockey on Wicklow Brave started racing too early as there was no need for it and all that was achieved was emptying Wicklow Braves tank but as Meatloaf said “Two out of Three ain’t bad”
    July 7.22pts up
    Long way to go but I will end the year in profit

    Mondays Tips

    Wolverhampton
    4:45
    Global Humor 6/4 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)

    • Profile photo of recoba
      recoba 3 months ago

      Right unlucky today with the treble Johnb.
      Very bullish about turning it around..I like it and a good start . 👍

  30. Profile photo of toblerone
    toblerone 3 months ago

    Guys can we all just do our points to level stakes.doesnt add up people betting over 20 points in a day like a guy today he puts up loser after loser then hits a big priced winner with 10 points and sddenly he is 70 points in profit how is anyone going to follow someone who has had so many losers lol. some great guys on here but seems to be a competition going on. Gl

  31. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 3 months ago

    Couple of bets that look good tonight are in the football

    CHILE to score over 1.5 goals 6/4 bet365

    CHILE to win & both teams to score 9/2 william hill

  32. Profile photo of andyeff
    andyeff 3 months ago

    Great tennis tip John at 0-5 in the last I didn’t doubt you at all 😉 what a game thanks

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