AFTER a week of funny results I took it fairly easy on a busy night of Europa League action.
I landed a decent Super Single in the shape of Wolfsberger who won 1-0 at Shakhtyor. They were 3-1 at Paddy Power and it looked a big price and I'll deduct 0.3pts after doing a bit of cover on the draw near the end.
The Daily Double was beaten but a surprise home defeat for Ferencvaros after their superb display against Go Ahead in the previous round. Some people will feel I should have put up more tips and quite a few teams I fancied won but at this stage I'm just happy to make a profit on the night and move on.
On Friday there are some League of Ireland games to look at as well as one in Denmark and some across eastern Europe.
I'll consider these matches as well as some of the friendlies before putting up top tips in the morning.
Friendlies include Brisbane Roar v Liverpool, Ajax v Wolfsburg and Braga v Aston Villa and as usual team news is vital before picking a result. Matches that could be one-sided include Villalbes v Deportivo, San Roque v Real Betis and Bormiese v Torino.
The Liverpool match kicks off at 9.45am and it should be another win for Brendan Rodgers' side after their 4-0 defeat of Thailand All Stars. It's the first game since Raheem Sterling officially left the club and a big one for new striker Danny Ings who will be looking to get off the mark after his big-money move from Burnley. Liverpool are 2-5 with BetVictor to win and Ings is 3-4 to net at any time.
Having looked at the Irish games I'm on a double as the Super Single. In the Premier League it's a battle between bottom two Derry City and Limerick. Derry have had a disappointing season but are 10 points better off than their visitors who have just five points from 19 games and two on the road. In 11 meetings between the sides Derry have lost just once.
Another stats-based bet is Finn Harps to beat Cobh in the First Division. Harps lie second despite a mixed run of form but should see off a side who have lost their last two by three goals. In the last 18 meetings between the sides Cobh have won just two but there have been a few draws.
2pts Super Single
Derry (7.45pm)
Finn Harps (8pm)
(6-4, BetVictor)
July Super Single record
22 bets (11 winners, 11 losers)
Profit/Loss: 9.5pts
July Daily Double/Top Treble record
13 bets (1 winner, 12 losers)
Profit/Loss -18pts
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
1-0 to the watcher
Could be goals tomorrow as Trans Narva play Tammeka Tartu. Last h2h was 6-0!
CC O 1.5 mgls TREBLE
FINN HARPS
SHELBOURNE
ST PATS
EVENS
2 points rtns 4
GL LADS
Hey mr f did ur ss dc n odd too
GReaT wins
paul, nice one – I did fancy Odd. That’s two good away wins for them in the Europa League.
posted yesterday….
FRANCE U19s to win
6/4…. LOST
Evening gents, quick in-play…took over 4.5 goals in the PA Peru v Brasil game at 3/1..0-2 after 25…some more to come here I think.
nite owl
colo colo, la galaxy 2 o2.5mgs double 13/10
CC, looks good sir am looking at Ireland too for tomorrow………..
Colo v Conception game…goals could be the way forward here too.
Over 3.5 at 6/5 or over 4.5 at 3/1 if brave…good luck lads
Well done aberdeen that is some result unreal.
craneguy Iv been looking for cola cola previous games. Where have you found there form mate?
No bet today gents. I know, I’m shocked too :)
_______________________________________________________________
July Totals
Bets 42
Staked 95.14
Returned 110.1
Profit 14.96
However :) First biased United bet of the season in their first friendly. Louis Van Gaal has said in his press conference that no player shall play more than 45 minutes, how true that might be I’m unsure but some players may get more minutes than others. Obviously nothing to go big on but knowing us and Club America who have conceded against San Jose midweek and twice against LA Galaxy last week. I’d like to think we’re worthy of grabbing at least three for ourselves no matter who’s on the pitch at what time. LVG will have a leader on for the full 90 whether its Rooney, Schweinsteiger or Carrick and we’ve taken a strong squad to the US with only Di Maria, Rojo and Chicharito left behind, but all three are set to regroup with the squad on the 25th. I can see a 3-0 or 3-1 win for the mighty reds.
Manchester United Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 8/5 @ WillHill – 1.96 points
The game is Saturday morning, kick off 4:00AM.
;)
Guys, just got a free £10 bet from be fair, because their system is a bit shocking at times -wouldnt let me place a bet stating that the bet had already been placed, when it hadn’t. after a minute of trying to place craneguy’s double to then see the market suspend and a goal go in, shortening the total double odds by 1/3, i got in touch with them via their chat service.
any suggestions how best to use this free £10 compensation bet that theyve offered? any tips you feel very strongly about? (whether a single or more combined)
sorry for the essay, thanks in advance to any of you that can offer their input
@hulkshaker thanks for the tip mate over 3.5 goals got it on evens though when 1nil up!..can see the over 4.5 coming in at 3/1..gutted I didn’t do that.wasnt “brave” enough.haha..cheers mate!
No worries Lucky…looking good for the 4.5 goals.
Yeah cover of 9/2 under 4.5 not bad either..haha.they will defo get one more goal though..
Saturday – MLS – 9:00PM
Sebastian Giovinco (Toronto) Anytime @ 7/5 @ PP – 2 points
This is probably a ? For Mr f. On bet 365 etc whilst watching the game & it is attack, dangerous attack, corner etc. how do they know this. Surely there isn’t a bet 365 employee in the Faroe Islands, Uzbekistan etc. I’m quite intrigued with this. Does anyone know how it works?
Long Live The King, re the query about bookies having people at games – there will be a local there monitoring the games either for individual bookies or for the industry as a whole to access. The person there will often be a kid earning a few extra quid which explains why sometimes mistakes are made. I knew some people who do the stats for the Scottish youth games.
Long live the king. I’m don’t know if it was found true but on here a while ago I’m sure somebody said it’s done via a telephone conversation with somebody at the game. Literally somebody shouting attack, throw in, corner etc on the phone. I could be wrong though.
@Jordan
In the old days or in the middle of no where it was like that.
Now it’s done on a tablet device where they click a button for each outcome (corner, attack, goal etc).
Obviously it’s all outsourced and all the employees who are doing it are freelancers paid per game rather than on a specific bookies books.
Bet365 and other bookies get their match stats from a company called RunningBall who have a data scout at the game
In this article: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/news/11421732/Revealed-the-ghost-game-bet-on-around-the-world…that-never-actually-took-place.html
That’s a great article on the infamous “ghost” game
Link doesn’t work but if you google ghost game it’s the top hit
One bet today
Nordsjaelland o1.5tg evens
My heinz of draws finished 3 winners 3 losers ( all just by 1 goal) paid slight profit overall.
should of tipped what put on in local bookies
randers draw
chermo d morre draw
legia win treble.
May treat myself to a day off. Anyone know if be able to watch united v club america at 4am before start work at 6. Jordan?
Its all right. Think 365 streaming it. Best of luck today chaps
Australia MGS (small stakes!)
Dandenong u20 > 2.5
Bentleigh Greens 1.5
Ashburton Women > 2.5
1.26/1
Over 1.5 Match Goals Treble
Germany 5.30pm
SpVgg Bayreuth v SV Schalding-Heining
6pm
TSV Buchbach v TSV Rain Am Lech
Ireland 8pm
Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers
EVENS (Boylesports)
Combo (2,3/3) @ 2.5
====================
San Lorenzo V Arsenal Sarandi
1 @ 1,45
Finn Harps V Cobh Ramblers
1 @ 1,50
Trans Narva V Jalgpallikool Tammeka
1 @ 1,47
Combo (4,5/5) @ 17.2
====================
Fc Nordsjaelland V Sonderjyske
1 @ 1,9
Hk Kopavogs V Grotta
1 @ 1,85
Bohemians V Sligo
1 @ 2,15
Finn Harps V Cobh Ramblers
BTTS @ 1,88
San Lorenzo V Arsenal Sarandi
1/1 @ 2,05
we know benteke is off to liverpool but if anyone can find a price on pedro to be a liverpool player take it.
I’m on the Aussie games this morning, shall post my tips shortly
nite owl
colo colo, la galaxy 2 o2.5mgs double 13/10 LOST
goal short in la game
well done on the colo colo game hull………….
OK Aussie games I’m on…
O2.5mgs 7-Fold
Ashburton Women game –
Box Hill Women game –
Casey Comets Women game –
Bentleigh Greens U20 game –
Bentleigh Greens Game –
Cove game –
Modbury Jets game –
7.97/1
2 Points
Cove – to win
Bentleigh Greens – to win
Ashburton Women – to win
Box Hill women – to win
Casey Comets women – to win
13.63/1
1.5 POINTS
5 fold – wins
Cove – win
Bentleigh Greens – win
Ashburton Women – win
Box Hill Women – win (have also covered with Heidelberg Women win)
Casey Comets Women – win
38.17/1
1/2 POINT
Also, small stake on..
7-fold
Ashburton Women game – O2.5mgs
Casey Comets Women game – O2.5mgs
Bentleigh Greens U20 game – O2.5mgs
Cove game – O2.5mgs
Modbury Jets game – O2.5mgs
Bentleigh Greens game – O2.5mgs
Box Hill Women game – U2.5mgs
25.54/1
1/2 POINT
Good luck all who are on
should be goals in the Brisbane Roar v Liverpool game
Looking at the Austrian cup games this evening. Some real mis matches there. Looked back on last year’s first round and pretty well all games went over 2.5 goals. The only exceptions being games between similar level clubs and for some reason Rapid Vienna’s game. Looking a bit more in depth at Rapid’s record shows that they aren’t in the habit of thrashing lower league opposition so perhaps best swerved. Interestingly last season’s Saturday card returned 100% over 2.5 so there’s form here. Worth a small interest.
As a matter of interest Oggy…all 11 Austrian cup games too go over 2.5 is 35/1
Cove about to kickoff
over 1.5 fhgls 1.77
hello
QPR vs. Al Ittihad?
over 2.5 goals?
Cheers Crane but it wasn’t really a celebration…
Tipped the two games last night to see over 4.5 – both at 3/1…both games had seen 4 goals before half time then sweet FA in either second half.
Unbelievable Jeff.
Anyone know how I can get a job pressing a button for ‘dangerous attacks’ in the Azerbaijan 4th division?
JoeT1987, move to Baku and you’ll have half a chance.
Did a small amount of research and there was nothing worth a lump so I’ve just stuck a few quid on the following 5 fold
Siroki brijeg WIN
Shelbourne Draw no bet
Partizan Belgrade -1 Asian
Nordsjaelland over 1.5mg
NK Maribor WIN
Best of a bad bunch of fixtures really. Also like the look of San Lorenzo at 1/2 but may dabble in that later depending on how this does.
Don’t follow these tips if you don’t feel good. The mojo is a 6 game accumulation.
Valenciennes DNB
Malaga DNB
KAA Gent WIN
Ipswich Town +2
Feel free to select from tomorrow’s games
Manchester Shitty WIN
Fc Porto WIN
Swansea DNB
Monchegladbach DNB
Cove over 1.5 fhgls lost finished 1-0 gt
Unlucky Hampy Cove had enough chances just couldn’t get the 2nd goal
Boro top 6 finish now into 1.83 from 2.20 yesterday at b365 after announcing Downing singing and kalas loan. IF they can get bamford back for another year il back them to win the championship
Gopher looks lije they still struggling to put chances away also. Only game really fancied today.
oh rite hull though you mentioned you were on the o3.5 at 6/5
nae luck the then ha ha :D
Real Madrid sign Kiko Casilla :)
David De Gea club to be at after summer transfer window. Manchester United. Now 6/5 @ Bwin, 5/6 @ Skybet.
Still worth a bet.
So much so I’m getting 2.5 points on the 6/5 @ Bwin. Supposedly De Gea will leave on a free next season if he doesn’t sign a new contract. This bet is 3/5 @ and shortening.
Betting suspended @ Bwin at 1:56PM ;)
I’ve picked out four separate trebles today. Good luck if you follow any of the selections.
Finn Harps (Ireland) / SV Kapfenberg (Austria Cup) / Spartak Moscow (Russia) – 3.5/1
FC Nordsjaelland (Denmark) / Wisla Krakow (Poland) / CS Concordia (Romania) – 10/1
HK Kopavogur v Grotta (Iceland) – Over 2.5 Goals / JK Trans Narva v JK Tammeka (Estonia) – Over 2.5 Goals / Derry City (Ireland) – Over 1.5 Team Goals – 4/1
Both Teams To Score – Wisla Krakow v Gornik Zabreze (Poland) / FC Nordsjaelland v Sonderjyske (Denmark) / SpVgg Bayreuth v SV Schalding-Heining (Germany) – 6/1
>2.5 MGS Austrian Treble
SV Innsbruck
SV Lafnitz
Kremser SC
***In-Play Tip***
Ac Horsens – Over 2.5 Team Goals & Metalist Kharkiv Reserves WIN
Odds are currently 2.5/1
***In-Play Tip***
Ac Horsens – Over 2.5 Team Goals & Metalist Kharkiv Reserves WIN
Odds are currently 2.5/1
LOST :) Let down by Horsens.
I’ll try one more in-play tip, if anybody fancies a go.
FC VIKTORIA KOLN v HERACLES – Over 0.5 first half goals.
Odds are currently 1.72/1.
Sorry, that was meant to be a :(
Not a ‘happy face’, obviously!
St Jarnan v Celtic 22/7 – Celtic WIN 4/6
over 0.5 goals in all premier league games this season for man citeh 33-1. all awa it wor kid
Shocker on the Aussie games today. Not my week.
That a correct price Alves…4/6 CFC win?
Not sure what your 22/7 bit means sir
If so…”I’ll take it…no i said ill take it!” :)
Be shorter asap am sure
22/7 = the date?
Reckon there is some value in the Irish games tonight – 3 bets from me
Double
Drogheda/St Pats BTTS
Bohemians/Sligo BTTS
2.43/1 Bet365
All 4 teams more than capable of scoring/conceding, St Pats/Sligo/Bohem have all scored in 4 out of the last 5 league games and Drogheda have scored in all 5 of their last 5 league games. St Pats/Drogheda have conceded in last 3 out of 5 league games, whilst Sligo/Bohem have conceded in all 5 of the last 5 league games.
I am also taking the BTTS double above and adding Derry City clean sheet NO to make it a treble. Limerick despite being rotten have managed to find the net 6 times in the last 5 league games, must be worth a punt.
Treble
4.5/1 Bet365
I’m also going with a double in the first division with 2 home wins
Finn Harps
Shelbourne
1.6/1 Bet365
Both teams look to be in better form than the opposition though I need to remember I am talking about the Irish League 1 so small stakes only.
Slavia Sofia v Lokomotiv Plovdiv – O1.5mgs 1.57/1
3 points
Lol Mattr…been looong day at work ;)
Bet365 go 2/5 :|
Watching game on Wednesday it should be at least same score.
I’ll not curse it by mentioning who they may have next round but there still 3/1 to make it to group stages ave just been told by lady in William Hills
Bulgaria game
Is not looking so good
Only .5 unit play
Spent a lot of time on tomorrows Australia card so here’s hoping the system bets get back on track with this early Saturday morning tip.
Tip 16 pays 1.09/1
Balcatta v Inglewood Utd (Western youth 0600)
Green Gully v Melbourne Knnights (Victoria youth 0400)
Floreat v Stirling (Western Prem 0800)
GL
Tips: 15
Won: 8
Lost: 7
Starting bank: 12
Bank start of week 2: 14.21
Current stake: 1.18
Current Profit: 1.65
keep an eye of finn harps and derry games could be off due to bad weather
If anyone has spare change and fancies a long shot here are the 12 games the system idenitfied in Australia for O2.5mg. They pay a princely 18/1.
Floreat v Stirling (west Prem 0800)
Cockburn v Armadale (west Prem 0800)
Croydon Kings v Adelaide City (South prem 0630)
Adelaide Comets v Adelaide Raiders(South prem 0630)
Northern rangers v Launceston (Tasmania 0530)
N Geelong v Northcote (Vic youth 0330)
Green Gully v Melbourne Knnights (Vic youth 0400)
Perth Glory v Subiaco (Western youth 0600)
ECU v Sorrento (Western youth 0600)
Balcatta v Inglewood Utd ( Western youth 0600)
Cockburn City v Armadale ( Western youth 0600)
Floreat v Stirling (Western youth 0600)
Bulgaria 1:0
Nice
Bulgaria
Alex
I am rolling the profit
To
Over 2.6
Sorry if this sounds stupid but what’s the difference between
Over 2.0 Asian handicap goal line and
2.0,2.5 Asian handicap goal line
Nice
I hope u guys went with if
3:0
Mattr -placed my Aussie bets earlier … we have a few games in common !!
> 2.5 MGS Double
Bonnyrigg
Marconni
> 2.5 MGS Treble
Croydon Kings
Port Adelaide Pirates
Campbelltown City
> 1.5 MGS Fourfold
Perth Glory Youth
Cockburn City
ECU
Floreat Athena
Irish mixed bag Fourfold:
Derry to score
Drogheda, Finn Harps, Shelbourne games > 1.5 MGS
I’ve gone Drogheda vs St Patrick’s Over 2.5 goals and Shelbourne -0.5 AH tonight ;)
wee go on this tonite
Drogheda btts&overs 13/10
bohemians btts&overs 13/10
fin harps btts&overs 7/5
treble tad under 12/1
GL all tonite……………
Looks like bvb has a strong line up on the friendly now. Ht/ft bvb is evens. May go half stake.
>2.5 MGS Austrian Treble
SV Innsbruck
SV Lafnitz
Kremser SC
2 legs won … 3rd game 1 goal already – lots of cover or cash out for virtually a full profit!
Evening gents,
3 games in the Icelandic U19’s tonight, two KO at 8.00 and one at 9.00.
Over 4.5 goals pays 11/8, 7/4 and 6/4 respectively for the singles and each could be worth a small stake.
Over 4.5 goal treble pays 15/1.
Good luck lads
In play 1 point
Hull and Portsmouth ht/ft 3.2/1
Looks like a lot of the forum is on the Irish games tonight, here’s hoping for a goal fest and not another damp squib like the Europa/champs leg
Good luck all
In play 1 point
Hull and Portsmouth ht/ft 3.2/1
*LOST*
Hull still rubbish. At least some things are constant
In play, Rangers U20 v Arbroath. Rangers U20 to score 5th goal (currently 4-0) @13/10 bet365
Can’t keep up! Now 5-0. O6.5 is 11/10 @Bet365
Bit early but does anyone think villa to get relegated at 3/1 is good value. Delph a done deal and Benteke to follow suit I think they will struggle big time this season. Going to have a wee nibble on them for the drop.
InterYerNan, depends who they bring in – need to spend wisely.
4/6 was available at Ladbrokes for Celtic in away tie in Wednesday, bn working so just reading comments and is BP 4/7 @WillHill
1/2 @Ladbrokes now tho
Celtic to score in both halves 29/20 @Betvictor
Celtic to win both halves 5/2 @BetButler
Celtic to win 4/7 @WillHill
Can I say a large thank you to whoever flagged up the Austrian cup games earlier for over 2.5 goals , your name escapes me sorry .
Europa/Champs Lge all over again, not been a good week for goals.
Should have been plenty of goals in Ireland tonight, backed up by the stats but just didn’t happen. Sorry to anyone that followed. Only saving grace was my 1st division double coming in.
Double
Drogheda/St Pats BTTS
Bohemians/Sligo BTTS
2.43/1 Bet365 – LOSE
Treble
BTTS double above + Derry no clean sheet
4.5/1 Bet365 -LOSE
Double
Finn Harps
Shelbourne
1.6/1 Bet365 -WIN
CC O 1.5 mgls TREBLE
FINN HARPS
SHELBOURNE
ST PATS
EVENS
2 points rtns 4
GL LADS
“””WON”””
:) :)
CC JULY TIPS
Bets. 30
Stake. 56.5
Retns. 43.7
Profit. -10.8
SORRY
rtns. -12.8
Jordan do you still reckon Utd are good for O2.5tgs in the game tomorrow morning, bet365 have it at 6/4.
Irish mixed bag Fourfold:
Derry to score
Drogheda, Finn Harps, Shelbourne games > 1.5 MGS
LOST :( – thanks Derry
To everyone, I’ve been informed through a third party there will be no more tips or comments from raaljaca on here or twitter for the forseeable future. On behalf of site regulars I thank him for the contributions he made and hope he can put his life back together.
MR F,sorry to here this and wish raal all the best.his input/knowledge will missed YNWA raal
Over 1.5 Match Goals Treble
Germany 5.30pm
SpVgg Bayreuth v SV Schalding-Heining
6pm
TSV Buchbach v TSV Rain Am Lech
Ireland 8pm
Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers
EVENS (Boylesports)
LOST – for the third bet in a row one goal short amazed how every bet I do of this type either wins easily or fails by one goal every time annoying to say the least lol
Sat
CC TREBLE
KANAZAWA. D/C japan j2
KYYTO. O1.5 mgls japan j2
FC SION O 1.5 mgls
EVENS
GL LADS
2 rtns 4
CC TREBLE
BIRMINGHAM
BURNLEY
GUISLEY
1.5 points rtns 4.7
GL LADS
Noticed the post earlier in the day Jordan re O2.5tgs tomorrow, will get on it before it drops any.
CC SS
ARSENAL 1.30pm
17/20
3.2. Rtns 6.10
GL LADS
Wato-unlucky mate….its always one goal….grreeerrr
2.5pts fourfold:
LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
Match Result – LA Galaxy
CF America vs Man Utd
Match Result – Man Utd
Man City vs Melbourne City
Match Result – Man City
Real Madrid vs Roma
Match Result – Real Madrid
pays roughly 5/1 across the board
Martin LA Galaxy should win and Gerrard 6-5 with William Hill to score on his MLS debut – might have some of that. KO is 4am.
All the best Raal. Thanks for everything.
Man U and Man C both O1.5tg
Pays 1.05/1
GL
Drogheda btts&overs 13/10
bohemians btts&overs 13/10
fin harps btts&overs 7/5
treble tad under 12/1
all LOST absolute fekn rotten man………
well done all with winners tonite………
All the best raal and thankyou for all the time and hard work you put in! you will b missed my many on this site!
mr f that’s too bad re raal not knowing can only assume alls not so good on the home front atm, KTF raal sir……….. ;)
craneguy, that’s possibly the understatement of the pre-season. I don’t have the full details and don’t want them – whatever has happened I hope he can rebuild his life at some point. He’s made plenty of people money on this site but you have to do the right things too. I won’t be saying anything else on the subject – and after a long day (mostly watching The Open) I’m calling it a night.
too bad wato looked too sir………….
Sorry to hear things are not so good Raal your hard work,tips,comments and sense of humour will be missed by all on here I’m sure.Hope things get sorted out for you soon,regards n best wishes Born To Lose.